Arkansas, 2023Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Arkansas, March 24, 2023
March 24, 2023 · NWS LZK · 24 events in 17 counties and zones
Several inches of rain fell across Arkansas associated with a storm system moving across the region. Flash flooding and some severe weather was noted.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 24
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Several inches of rain fell across Arkansas associated with a storm system moving across the region. Flash flooding and some severe weather was noted.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 24, 2:11 AM CST, 2 hours 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 24, 2:11 AM CST, 2 hours 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
311 AM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday Night )
Issued at 305 AM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023
To begin the period, a slow moving frontal boundary currently
situated over the northwestern part of the state will continue to
bring the chance for showers and thunderstorms across northern and
central parts of the state. As we approach sunrise, expect
showers and thunderstorms to become more widespread across central
and northern Arkansas. Given latest CAMs, this looks to be a two-
pronged event with initial convection this morning and a second
round arriving later this afternoon and evening. Calmer conditions
return by the end of the period as the front clears the state and
high pressure builds in.
As mentioned above, the weather system to impact the state today
will bring the threat for damaging winds, tornadoes, hail, and heavy
rainfall. As we continue into the afternoon hours, the frontal
boundary (situated over NW AR) is expected to push east and
southeast...as the front moves into a more favorable airmass, storms
could intensify along and ahead of the front.
High-res models are looking particularly concerning each model cycle
as supercells could fire off ahead of the main line...followed by a
squall line bringing the chance for QLCS tornadoes and damaging
winds. This set up is looking particularly concerning for the
southeastern half of the state, especially for portions of the
ArkLaMiss region. Given dewpoints in the mid to upper 60s to near 70
degrees, CAPE values of 1000+ J/kg, 0-3 km SRH values of 300-500
m2/s2, and afternoon/evening timing of convection...it all points to
an increasing threat for a severe weather outbreak. Please
continue to monitor reliable weather sources for updated
information and make sure you have a plan in place in case you are
put under a tornado/severe thunderstorm warning. Also, make sure
to remain weather aware today!
An additional threat associated with this system looks to be the
heavy rain/flooding potential. Model guidance suggests PWAT values
could range from 1.50-1.75+ inches across the state. This becomes a
greater concern when you look at how saturated soil conditions are
given past rainfall events...elevating the threat for flooding. Long
story short...the rainfall has no where to go.
Given the latest model guidance...the highest QPF values look most
likely across portions of northern and central Arkansas where two to
four inches of rain are expected with locally higher amounts
possible. Additionally, up to an inch will be possible for portions
of southern Arkansas. A Flood Watch is in effect for portions of
northern and central Arkansas through Saturday morning to express
the concern for flooding in these areas. Given model uncertainty
on extent of the heaviest rainfall...locations outside of the
flood watch should still be aware of the flash flooding potential.
Ultimately, the heaviest of the rain will be found along and
north of wherever the warm fronts makes it.
Temperatures are forecast to be above average through the period.
High temperatures are expected to be in the lower 60s to lower 80s
with overnight low temps in the lower 40s to upper 60s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 305 AM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023
Period will feature just a few showers over the far southern part of
the state Sunday followed by several days of dry conditions. This in
turn will be followed by yet another chance of precipitation to
close out the period. The models are not in the best of agreement in
the overall evolution of the pattern so a general middle of the road
approach will be used.
Period initiates with a broad cyclonic flow over the majority of the
nation with a quasi stationary surface boundary remaining along the
gulf coast. A wave is expected to develop along this boundary Sunday
with maybe a few showers sneaking into the far southern part of the
state but most areas will remain dry. With broad southerly flow in
place, temperatures are expected to warm into the mid 60s to mid
70s.
Upper flow will be largely zonal through the middle of the week with
a non nondescript wave or two rippling through the prevailing flow.
Other than occasional passing clouds, these waves will move through
with little fan fare. High temperatures early next week are expected
to be close to seasonal averages.
Meanwhile another strong upper low will be slamming into the
California coast around the middle part of the week. This system
will move inland and into the the western high plains with lee side
cyclogenesis expected.
As the system kicks out to the northeast, moisture will be pulled
back into the region with showers and the occasional thunderstorm
returning late in the forecast period as the associated surface
boundary approaches. Rainfall amounts do not appear to be excessive
at this time.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1209 AM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023
Mostly MVFR conditions will prevail through the overnight hours
with conditions to continuing to deteriorate through the early
morning hours. As terminals are affected by SHRA/TSRA, expect
MVFR/IFR conditions. Winds will be mostly out of the south and
southeast and could be gusty at times. Precip will come to an end
late in the period as a frontal boundary clears the area.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR 69 50 69 46 / 100 70 0 0
Camden AR 79 52 75 47 / 90 40 0 0
Harrison AR 62 43 62 41 / 100 40 10 0
Hot Springs AR 72 50 71 46 / 100 40 0 0
Little Rock AR 76 52 74 48 / 100 60 0 0
Monticello AR 81 57 78 51 / 90 80 0 0
Mount Ida AR 70 48 71 44 / 100 30 0 0
Mountain Home AR 63 45 63 42 / 100 40 10 0
Newport AR 71 51 66 48 / 100 80 0 0
Pine Bluff AR 79 55 75 49 / 100 70 0 0
Russellville AR 69 47 70 43 / 100 40 0 0
Searcy AR 74 49 71 45 / 100 70 0 0
Stuttgart AR 78 54 72 49 / 100 90 0 0
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Saturday morning for ARZ004>008-014>017-024-
025-031>034-039-042>046-103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-
203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313-340-341.
&&
SHORT TERM...233
LONG TERM....56
AVIATION...233
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 24, 3:20 AM CST, 1 hour 6 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
420 AM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023
ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-250930-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
420 AM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms will become widespread today as a cold
front pushes through the area. There is an increase threat for
severe storms this afternoon and evening as the cold front pushes
through the state. The southeastern half of the state currently
sees the greatest risk for hail...damaging winds...and tornadoes.
Additionally, flash flooding will be possible across portions of
the state given already saturated soils and heavy rainfall
expected.
Make sure to remain weather aware today and have multiple ways to
receive warnings. Additionally, have a plan in place should you
be put under a tornado warning.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.Spotter Information Statement...
Spotter Activation May Be Required
&&
Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.
233/56
Event by event
15 flash flood, 7 heavy rain, 2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Flash Flood, White
- When
- March 24, 4:26 AM CST to 7:26 AM CST
- Where
- White County, 0.69 mi S of Bald Knob to 0.86 mi S of Bald Knob
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 35.310, -91.570
Numerous accidents occurred in areas of high water.
Heavy Rain, Newton
- When
- March 24, 11:04 AM CST
- Where
- Newton County, 0.56 mi W of Jasper
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 36.000, -93.190
Heavy rain was measured at 2.50 inches in Jasper.
Thunderstorm Wind, Saline
- When
- March 24, 11:06 AM CST
- Where
- Saline County, 0.69 mi S of Benton Saline Co Arp
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 34.560, -92.600
A house in Benton sustained moderate damage when two trees fell on the structure. Winds were believed to be sub severe, and the trees likely fell due to extremely saturated soil conditions.
Flash Flood, Polk
- When
- March 24, 2:10 PM CST
- Where
- Polk County, 0.57 mi W of Mena to 0.28 mi NNW of Mena
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 34.580, -94.240
Flash flooding was observed in multiple areas across the county, including water over multiple roadways.
Flash Flood, Scott
- When
- March 24, 2:26 PM CST
- Where
- Scott County, 0.57 mi E of Hon to 0.3 mi E of Hon
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 34.930, -94.170
A little more than 4 miles of state highway 80 was closed between Hon and Anderson due to flash flooding.
Heavy Rain, Johnson
- When
- March 24, 2:27 PM CST
- Where
- Johnson County, Clarksville to 0.13 mi SSW of Clarksville
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 35.470, -93.470
Widespread street flooding was observed in and around Clarksville. Rainfall was measured at 6.50 inches in Clarksville.
Heavy Rain, Independence
- When
- March 24, 3:10 PM CST
- Where
- Independence County, 1.68 mi E of Batesville
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 35.770, -91.620
Numerous sites across the county reported between 4.00 and 4.25 inches of rain.
Flash Flood, Saline
- When
- March 24, 3:15 PM CST to 6:15 PM CST
- Where
- Saline County, 1.29 mi WSW of Alum Fork to 1.07 mi W of Reform
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 34.795, -92.862
A 68-year old man on a motorcycle tried to cross a road at the Lake Winona spillway. He was swept off the pavement and down the Alum Fork Saline River where he drowned, 5 miles northwest of Paron.
Flash Flood, Pope
- When
- March 24, 3:24 PM CST to 6:24 PM CST
- Where
- Pope County, 0.56 mi E of Oakland Hgts to 0.67 mi WSW of Russellville
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 35.270, -93.140
Numerous roadways under water in and around Russellville.
Flash Flood, Garland
- When
- March 24, 3:31 PM CST to 6:31 PM CST
- Where
- Garland County, 2.2 mi SW of Ozark Lithia to 2.45 mi SW of Ozark Lithia
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 34.580, -93.050
Numerous roads in and north of Hot Springs were under water.
Flash Flood, Logan
- When
- March 24, 3:32 PM CST to 6:32 PM CST
- Where
- Logan County, 1.39 mi ESE of Booneville to 1.9 mi SW of Booneville Muni Arpt
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- River/Stream Gage
- Coordinates
- 35.124, -93.906
The Petit Jean River at Booneville rose approximately 16 feet and came out of its banks near Booneville.
Heavy Rain, Conway
- When
- March 24, 3:42 PM CST
- Where
- Conway County, 2.36 mi WSW of Petit Jean State Park
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 35.120, -92.940
Rainfall was measured at 3.10 inches on the south side of Petit Jean Mountain.
Heavy Rain, Conway
- When
- March 24, 3:42 PM CST
- Where
- Conway County, 2.36 mi WSW of Petit Jean State Park
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 35.120, -92.940
Rainfall was measured at 3.10 inches on the south side of Petit Jean Mountain.
Flash Flood, Johnson
- When
- March 24, 3:44 PM CST to 6:44 PM CST
- Where
- Johnson County, Clarksville to 0.26 mi E of Clarksville
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 35.470, -93.470
At least one house was flooded, some bridges were underwater, and multiple roadways were flooded across the county.
Flash Flood, Pulaski
- When
- March 24, 3:58 PM CST to 6:58 PM CST
- Where
- Pulaski County, 0.89 mi SE of Levy to 0.73 mi ESE of Levy
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 34.790, -92.260
Numerous roads and neighborhoods in North Little Rock flooded.
Flash Flood, Pulaski
- When
- March 24, 4:00 PM CST to 7:00 PM CST
- Where
- Pulaski County, 0.89 mi SE of Pulaski to 0.64 mi ESE of Pulaski
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 34.740, -92.310
Numerous roads flooded near the UALR Campus.
Thunderstorm Wind, Hot Spring
- When
- March 24, 4:10 PM CST
- Where
- Hot Spring County, 0.69 mi S of Glen Rose
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 34.450, -92.730
Trees were blown down across the road in the Glen Rose area north of Malvern.
Flash Flood, Saline
- When
- March 24, 4:29 PM CST to 7:29 PM CST
- Where
- Saline County, 0.89 mi NW of Bryant to 1.46 mi N of Bryant
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 34.610, -92.490
Access roads along Interstate 30 were flooded in places, in particular near exit 123.
Flash Flood, Pulaski
- When
- March 24, 5:15 PM CST to 8:15 PM CST
- Where
- Pulaski County, Warsaw to 0.12 mi E of Warsaw
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 34.950, -92.150
Portions of Peters Road were underwater and nearly impassable.
Flash Flood, Lonoke
- When
- March 24, 5:30 PM CST to 8:30 PM CST
- Where
- Lonoke County, Cabot to 0.21 mi NW of Cabot
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 34.970, -92.020
Numerous roads in Cabot were underwater.
Flash Flood, Jefferson
- When
- March 24, 5:56 PM CST to 8:56 PM CST
- Where
- Jefferson County, 0.69 mi N of Brewster to 0.15 mi NE of Brewster
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 34.210, -92.020
Numerous roads were underwater in Pine Bluff.
Flash Flood, Prairie
- When
- March 24, 7:57 PM CST to 10:57 PM CST
- Where
- Prairie County, 1.33 mi ENE of Hickory Plains to 1.21 mi SSW of Mooresville
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 34.990, -91.710
Multiple sections of Highway 38 were under water.
Heavy Rain, Polk
- When
- March 24, 8:11 PM CST
- Where
- Polk County, 0.57 mi W of Mena
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 34.580, -94.240
Rainfall was measured at 3.20 in Mena.
Heavy Rain, Lawrence
- When
- March 24, 8:37 PM CST
- Where
- Lawrence County, 0.69 mi N of Ravenden
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 36.240, -91.250
Rainfall was measured at 3.22 inches in Ravenden.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
- Heavy Rain
- Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornadoes and Flash Flood in Mississippi, March 24, 202320 deaths · 170 injured · $112 million · EF4 · 11 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Mississippi, March 24, 20232 deaths · 56 injured · $81 million · EF3 · 30 events
- Tornadoes and Damaging Winds in Alabama, March 24 to 25, 20231 death · $27 million · EF2 · 63 events
- Rip Currents in Puerto Rico, March 24, 20232 deaths · 2 injured · 2 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Missouri, March 24 to 27, 20231 death · $40,000 · 7 events
- Rip Current in Florida, March 24, 20231 death · 1 event
- Tornadoes and Hail in Texas, March 24 to 27, 20235 injured · $335,000 · EF1 · 18 events
- Tornado and Flash Flood in Tennessee, March 24, 2023$269,000 · EF1 · 10 events
- Tornadoes in Tennessee, March 24, 2023EF2 · 2 events
- Damaging Winds in Tennessee, March 24, 20231 injured · $246,000 · 70 kt wind · 12 events
- Flood and High Wind in Ohio, March 24 to 25, 2023$135,000 · 52 kt wind · 6 events
- Damaging Winds in West Virginia, March 24, 2023$45,000 · 70 kt wind · 3 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1088178, 1088152, 1088154, 1088156, 1088158, 1088159, 1088160, 1090478, 1088161, 1088162, 1088163, 1088164, 1088165, 1088166, 1088167, 1088168, 1088169, 1088170, 1088171, 1088172, 1088173, 1088174, 1088176, 1088177.