Abnormally dry weather carried over from October through November for portions of south central Alabama, resulting in several weeks of Severe (D2) drought conditions. The governor of Alabama issued a No Burn Order for the entire state of Alabama on November 9th.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS BMX wrote it up.
Abnormally dry weather carried over from October through November for portions of south central Alabama, resulting in several weeks of Severe (D2) drought conditions. The governor of Alabama issued a No Burn Order for the entire state of Alabama on November 9th.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Birmingham, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 13, 11:50 PM CST, 10 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1150 PM CST Mon Nov 13 2023 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Tuesday) Issued at 1143 AM CST MON NOV 13 2023 Central Alabama will be within somewhat of a unique setup over the next couple of days sandwiched between a large ridge moving east across the Midwest and Ohio Valley, and an upper-level cutoff low over western Texas which is initiating surface cyclogenesis in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. This orientation will produce low-level northeasterly flow across the area while mid to upper-level flow will be out of the west-southwest, resulting in a low to mid level moisture gradient with drier air over the northern half of the CWA and deeper moisture content confined to the Gulf Coast region. While we still have cirrus clouds over the area, most of the low clouds have been shoved back to the southwest, and some filtered sun will be possible today which should allow for temperatures to warm into the upper 60s to lower 70s despite weak height falls. A surface low will form south of Louisiana tonight and drift eastward across the northern Gulf of Mexico producing showers along the Gulf Coast. It will take some time for deeper moisture to return to Central Alabama due to the easterly low-level winds, so it appears that higher rain chances will remain just southwest of the forecast area tonight and for much of the day tomorrow, but Chance to Likely PoPs will develop across the far southwest by tomorrow afternoon/evening as the low moves closer to the Florida Panhandle. Temperatures will be a few degrees cooler due to increasing clouds with highs in the mid to upper 60s. 86/Martin && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 1249 PM CST MON NOV 13 2023 No major changes needed for the forecast Tuesday night through Sunday. There's still quite a bit of uncertainty on the northern extent of precip Tuesday night through Thursday. Areas generally south of the Hwy 80 corridor have the best chance of seeing 1" or higher in rainfall through Thursday while locations across the far northern counties may see very little rain. 25/Owen Previous long-term discussion: (Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 159 AM CST MON NOV 13 2023 A southern stream shortwave currently near the Texas Big Bend will be located over the Lower Mississippi Valley by Tuesday night, moving slowly eastward across southern Alabama Wednesday before weakening as it moves towards the Florida peninsula Thursday. At the surface the shortwave will interact with a stalled front over the northern Gulf resulting in a wave of low pressure. Meanwhile a 1032 mb high over the Mid-Atlantic will reinforce a persistent CAD wedge and stable easterly winds at the surface. The tightening pressure gradient between these two features will result in some 20 to 30 mph wind gusts on Wednesday. There continues to above normal model spread for this lead time regarding the low-level wind fields associated with the wave of low pressure, resulting in continued uncertainty regarding the northern extent of precipitation. Was hesitant to follow the NBM trend of lower PoPs Tuesday night and Wednesday except in the far northeast counties, so stuck close to the previous forecast given the waffling model solutions and abundant mid-level moisture. Probabilities for any beneficial rainfall above 1 inch remain less than 50 percent across the northern half of the area. Meanwhile across the southern half of the area there continues to be some meaningful probabilities of 2 to 3 inches especially along our southern border. Temperatures will be highly dependent on rainfall location and intensity. Some moisture and rain chances may linger into Thursday depending on the eastward progression and weakening of the shortwave, with the Gulf low weakening and a new surface low over the Bahamas becoming dominant. High temperatures will remain dependent on the extent of the associated cloudcover. A vigorous northern stream shortwave in northwest flow aloft and associated cold front Friday/Friday night will eventually scour out this moisture, while some light showers will be possible along the front. Saturday looks dry for outdoor activities with northwesterly winds. The next system may begin to approach the area as early as Sunday night, but there is plenty of spread in the guidance regarding timing and details of the trough and any potential surface cyclogenesis. 32/Davis && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1142 PM CST MON NOV 13 2023 VFR conditions are expected through this TAF cycle. An area of light rain ahead of a Gulf low will gradually lift northward late tonight and today, impacting mainly the southern terminals this TAF cycle, but should have limited impact on visibilities. Cigs will gradually lower through the period, but remain VFR until after this TAF cycle. Light winds overnight will become easterly at 8 to 10 kts Tuesday. 32/Davis && .FIRE WEATHER... Rain chances will return from south to north late tonight through Tuesday night. Light to moderate rain continues Wednesday through Thursday morning with the highest rainfall amounts south. RH values will drop into the 30 to 45 percent range Tuesday afternoon across northern portions of Central Alabama with higher values further south. Winds will be gusty Tuesday night through Wednesday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 45 68 46 60 / 0 0 40 50 Anniston 47 69 47 60 / 0 0 40 50 Birmingham 51 67 50 59 / 0 0 50 60 Tuscaloosa 51 70 48 60 / 0 20 70 60 Calera 51 68 49 59 / 0 10 50 60 Auburn 51 64 48 56 / 0 20 50 70 Montgomery 52 64 49 61 / 10 40 70 70 Troy 53 64 48 62 / 40 60 70 70 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...86 LONG TERM....25 AVIATION...32/Davis
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Birmingham AL 212 AM CST Mon Nov 13 2023 ALZ011>015-017>050-141115- Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee- Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega- Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa- Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon- Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour- 212 AM CST Mon Nov 13 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the National Weather Service office in Birmingham. .DAY ONE...Outlook through Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Activation of storm spotters and emergency management is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Drought severity increased to severe (D2) in mid November but decreased back to (D1) by the end of the month due to increased rainfall.
Drought severity increased to severe (D2) in mid November but decreased back to (D1) by the end of the month due to increased rainfall.
Drought severity increased to severe (D2) in mid November but decreased back to (D1) by the end of the month due to increased rainfall.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Alabama in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Alabama, November 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1143118, 1143119, 1143121.