Puerto Rico, 2022

Strong Wind in Puerto Rico, March 6, 2022

March 6, 2022 · NWS SJU · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A line of showers stretching from north to south crossed Puerto Rico during the afternoon hours of March 6th. This resulted in gusty straight-line wind damage across sections of eastern Puerto Rico.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.

A line of showers stretching from north to south crossed Puerto Rico during the afternoon hours of March 6th. This resulted in gusty straight-line wind damage across sections of eastern Puerto Rico.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 6, 10:03 AM AST, 4 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 6, 10:03 AM AST, 4 hours 57 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
1003 AM AST Sun Mar 6 2022

.UPDATE...Unsettled weather conditions will continue to prevail
across the local islands throughout the day under trofiness and
plenty of moisture. Therefore, continue to expect periods of
showers with heavy rainfall as well as thunderstorms particularly
across northeast Puerto Rico and portions of central and
southwest. There is a risk of urban and small stream flooding over
these areas. Sharp rises along rivers cant be ruled out. By
Monday evening through Tuesday, moisture will decrease to seasonal
normal levels.

&&

.AVIATION...Brief periods of MVFR conds will remain possible at
the USVI terminals and JSJ/JBQ in SHRA throughout the forecast
cycle with VCTS in and around JPS through at least 06/22z. Winds
will peak up at 15 to 20 knots with stronger gusts becoming at
around 12 knots overnight.

&&

.MARINE...Fresh easterly winds and a weak northerly swell will
promote choppy and hazardous seas through at least midweek.
Boaters can expect seas up to 10 feet particularly across the
Atlantic offshore waters.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 534 AM AST Sun Mar 6 2022/

SYNOPSIS...Predominately easterly surface flow and a front to the
northwest will maintain showery, cool and unstable conditions
through Tuesday. Low level moisture will persist through the end
of the week allowing shallow showers and some afternoon
thunderstorms in western Puerto Rico Wednesday through Saturday.
A high risk of rip currents will spread to most coasts today and
Monday and for northern beaches the high risk will continue
through much of the week.

SHORT TERM...Today through Tuesday...

Moisture advection under an east northeast wind flow with a frontal
boundary stalled northwest of the area has promoted a cool
advective pattern through the night hours with showers affecting
mainly the U.S. Virgin Islands and the eastern third of Puerto
Rico, including Vieques and Culebra. Although instability aloft is
present, a slight decrease in moisture at the mid-levels has
significantly reduced the thunderstorm activity across the
waters. In fact, no thunderstorms were detected throughout the
night over the forecast area. This slight reduction in moisture at
the mid-levels is expected through the morning hours. As such,
thunderstorms were removed from the forecast through late this
morning, although some very brief isolated thunderstorms cannot be
ruled out over the local waters. Regardless, scattered to
numerous showers will continue to affect windward coastal areas
through the morning hours.

The frontal boundary is not expected to move much closer to the
forecast area. However, it is anticipated that its associated
moisture will interact with a strengthening mid-level low over
the northeastern Caribbean basin and a deepening upper-level
trough today while moving eastward across the forecast area. This
will promote moisture fragmentation at the mid-levels from the
southern tip of the frontal boundary and later sinking southward
today through Monday as moisture embedded in the northeasterly
trades will continue to moisten the boundary layer. This will
support above normal moisture content up to 500 mb. This, in
combination with unstable weather conditions aloft, surface
heating, and mountain effects will produce another round of fairly
active showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Global models
have backed off slightly from widespread thunderstorm activity
due to a slight reduction in available moisture. Nevertheless,
weather conditions still look optimal for shower and thunderstorm
activity capable of producing gusty winds and periods of moderate
to heavy rain this afternoon for interior and western sections of
Puerto Rico which will cause areas of urban and small stream
flooding. Fresh to strong wind conditions will also aid in the
formation of streamers downwind of Vieques and Culebra which could
affect the eastern municipalities of Puerto Rico and also
downwind of El Yunque into the southern sections of the San Juan
metropolitan area.

This activity is expected to persist through Sunday evening and
Monday morning with the potential of shower and thunderstorm
activity over the local waters moving over windward coastal areas,
especially over the northeastern municipalities of Puerto Rico.
Urban and small stream flooding can be expected in areas with the
heaviest showers this afternoon through early Monday morning.
Lingering moisture with instability aloft should support another
active Monday afternoon across interior and western sections of
Puerto Rico but with less coverage than today.

By Monday evening through Tuesday, moisture will decrease to
seasonal normal levels. Cloud coverage and shower activity should
decrease, but enough moisture will promote passing showers over
windward coastal areas during evening and morning hours and
localized afternoon activity mainly driven by daytime heating and
local effects across western Puerto Rico.

LONG TERM...Wednesday through Sunday...
High pressure continues across the central Atlantic through the
rest of the period to maintain 10 to 20 knot easterly surface
flow. High pressure does briefly build toward the central
tropical Atlantic to cause more east southeasterly flow over the
forecast area Friday and Saturday, but this is now showing up
weaker than in previous model runs. Nevertheless the GFS continues
to show a warming trend through Thursday and only a gradual
cooling trend afterward. Overall, the moisture pattern at low
levels remains nearly saturated and will provide ample humidity
for shower formation wherever vertical motion factors and heating
at the surface are favorable, but no significant features move
through during the period and moisture is generally less than 60
percent between 825-600 mb. This will impede vertical development
even with moderately low 500 mb temperatures through Sunday.
Moderate wind flow will also keep showers moving although some
areas could see repeated activity to the point that ponding of
water will occur--mainly in western and interior Puerto Rico.
Upper levels are marked by a ridge building into the area from the
southeast and pushing a weak jet over the forecast area Thursday
night and Friday. This passage will enhance the showers somewhat,
but this activity will tend to be modulated more by the patchy
nature of the moisture passing through Friday through Sunday.

AVIATION...Mainly VFR conds expected with VCSH over all terminals
except TJPS through 06/14Z. Brief MVFR possible for most terminals
afterwards with VCTS in and around TJPS/TJBQ through at least
06/22z. Winds picking up to around 15 to 20 knots today, remaining
out of the east, with sea breeze variations and stronger gusts.
Maximum winds WNW 30-40 kts btwn FL320-400.

MARINE...Seas at the outer buoy have begun to increase to 8 to 9
feet, but are being caused by the increasing winds to the east. A
weak spike of seas of 5 to 6 feet did make it as far south as
Rincon earlier Saturday night but they have returned to previous
levels. Seas are expected to rise with the winds and up to 10 feet
could be seen in the northern-most waters of the local Atlantic
Sunday night with 5 foot swell from the north northeast. Periods
are expected to be 8 to 10 seconds owing to the local nature of
the generation area. Seas of at least 6 feet will continue in the
local outer Atlantic waters for the rest of the week and beyond.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  83  73  83  74 /  80  80  60  50
STT  83  72  83  73 /  60  70  50  40

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday afternoon for Culebra-
     North Central-Northeast-Northwest-San Juan and Vicinity-
     Southeast-Vieques.

     High Rip Current Risk from 6 PM AST this evening through Tuesday
     afternoon for Mayaguez and Vicinity.

VI...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday afternoon for St Croix-
     St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands.

AM...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 2 PM AST Tuesday
     for Caribbean Waters of Puerto Rico from 10 NM to 17N-Mona
     Passage Southward to 17N.

     Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 2 AM AST
     Wednesday for Coastal Waters of Northern Puerto Rico out 10
     NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM AST Thursday for Atlantic Waters
     of Puerto Rico and USVI from 10 NM to 19.5N.

     Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM AST Wednesday for Anegada
     Passage Southward to 17N-Coastal Waters of Southern USVI
     Vieques and Eastern Puerto Rico out 10 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM AST Tuesday for Coastal Waters
     of Northern USVI and Culebra out 10 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Monday to 2 AM AST Tuesday for
     Coastal Waters of Northwestern Puerto Rico out 10 NM.

&&

UPDATE...OMS
AVIATION...OMS
PUBLIC DESK...CAM
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 6, 6:28 AM AST, 8 hours 32 minutes before
Perspectivas sobre las Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo
Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan PR
516 AM AST domingo 6 de marzo de 2022

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-070930-
San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste-
Este Interior-Norte Central-I anterior Central-Ponce y Vecindad-
Noroeste-Oeste Interior-Mayaguez y Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra-Vieques-
Las aguas costeras cercanas y lejanas a la costa del Atlantico y
Caribe-
516 AM AST domingo 6 de marzo de 2022

Esta Perspectiva sobre las Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo es para
Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras adyacentes del Atlantico.

.Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche

.Tronadas...Existe la probabilidad de lluvia fuerte y vientos en
rafagas esta tarde y noche a traves del area.

.Inundaciones...Lluvia fuerte pudieran resultar en inundaciones
urbanas y de pequenos riachuelos.

.Viento...Se esperan vientos sostenidos en exceso de 20 mph (17
nudos) a traves de las aguas locales con vientos sostenidos en
exceso de 25 MPH a traves de porciones del noroeste de las aguas
mar afuera del Atlantico.

.Oleaje...Se espera oleaje picado de hasta 6 pies a traves de las
aguas locales con alturas de olas significativas entre 7 y 9 pies a
traves de las aguas mar afuera del Atlantico.

.Corrientes Marinas...Existe un riesgo alto de corrientes marinas
para las playas del norte de Puerto Rico desde Aguadilla hasta San
Juan, Culebra y el extremo este de Vieques.

.Dias dos hasta el siete...lunes a sabado

Las condiciones de mal tiempo para las islas continuaran hasta al
menos el lunes. Por ende, existe un riesgo alto de inundaciones
urbanas y de pequenos riachuelos en el noreste, centro y oeste de
Puerto Rico. No se pueden descartar aumentos subitos en los niveles
de los rios.

El riesgo alto de corrientes marinas continuara durante todo el
periodo de pronostico. El aumento en los vientos a traves de las
aguas local continuaran hasta mediados de semana.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No se espera activacion amplia de observadores. Sin embargo, le
agradeceriamos reportar cualquier informacion sobre vientos,
corrientes marinas y oleaje al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en
San Juan.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-070930-
San Tomas, San John e Islas Adyacentes-
Santa Cruz-Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas costeras adyacentes
del Caribe-
516 AM AST domingo 6 de marzo de 2022

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para
Islas Virgenes Estadounidenses y las aguas costeras adyacentes.

.Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche

.Tronadas...Existe la probabilidad de lluvia fuerte y vientos en
rafagas esta tarde y noche a traves del area.

.Inundaciones...Lluvia fuerte pudieran resultar en acumulaciones de
agua en las carreteras y areas con mal drenaje.

.Viento...Se esperan vientos sostenidos en exceso de 20 mph (17
nudos) a traves de las aguas locales.

.Oleaje...Se espera oleaje picado de hasta 6 pies a traves de las
aguas locales con alturas de olas significativas entre 7 y 9 pies a
traves de las aguas mar afuera del Atlantico.

.Corrientes Marinas...Existe un riesgo alto de corrientes marinas
para las playas del este de Santa Cruz y noroeste de San Tomas. Hay
un riesgo moderado para el resto de las playas.

.Dias dos hasta el siete...lunes a sabado

La actividad de aguaceros aumentara el lunes a medida que se
aproxime la zona frontal. Como resultado, existe un riesgo de
inundaciones urbanas.

El riesgo alto de corrientes marinas continuara durante todo el
periodo de pronostico. El aumento en los vientos a traves de las
aguas local continuaran hasta mediados de semana.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No se espera activacion amplia de observadores. Sin embargo, le
agradeceriamos reportar cualquier informacion sobre vientos,
corrientes marinas y oleaje al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en
San Juan.

Event by event

1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Strong Wind, San Juan and Vicinity

When
March 6, 3:00 PM AST to 4:15 PM AST
Where
San Juan and Vicinity forecast zone
Measured
30 kt (35 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Local Official

Tree Branches were knocked down by strong wind gusts at Barrio Camarones, Road 836, KM 2.7.

What these are

Strong Wind
Non-thunderstorm winds below high wind criteria that nonetheless caused damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, March 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1012645.