The rainfall deficit across east and south of Puerto Rico resulted in the continuation of drought conditions, with Severe Drought (D2) across the south and eastern and central interior.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.
The rainfall deficit across east and south of Puerto Rico resulted in the continuation of drought conditions, with Severe Drought (D2) across the south and eastern and central interior.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 9:01 PM AST, 2 hours 59 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
901 PM AST Thu Jun 30 2022
.UPDATE...
No significant change to previous forecast or reasoning. Moisture is
decreasing slightly, but lingering moisture will continue to support
typical shower activity. Fewer passing showers are expected tonight
than last night. Still expecting an active weekend, as the tropical
wave continues its approach.
&&
.AVIATION...
Generally VFR conditions are expected to continue across all
terminals. VCSH overnight at TIST/TISX are expected to have limited
operational impacts at those aerodromes. Tomorrow's afternoon
convection will again be in western and interior Puerto Rico;
limited impacts are expected at aerodromes, but VCSH expected for
TJBQ, with most showers likely to remain south of the aerodrome.
Winds east at around 8 to 12 knots overnight, picking up after
sunrise, to 15 to 20 knots tomorrow, with stronger gusts.
&&
.MARINE...
No changes made to previous forecast or reasoning. Modest
improvement in conditions continues tomorrow, but rapid
deterioration of conditions is expected late tomorrow. Small Craft
Advisories remain in place.
There is a high risk of rip currents for most local beaches.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 623 PM AST Thu Jun 30 2022/
SYNOPSIS...
Moisture from Potential Tropical Cyclone Two resulted in showers
mainly over Western Puerto Rico during the afternoon hours.
Some rain activity should continue tonight and overnight mainly
over the eastern area. An increase in precipitable water values
continues to be forecast on Saturday due to the passing of a
tropical wave. This tropical wave has a low chance to further
develop but should bring enhanced shower and thunderstorm
activity. Small craft advisories are currently in effect for
offshore waters besides the Atlantic waters. High rip current risk
is currently in effect for most beaches in Puerto Rico, and the
beaches of Vieques, Culebra and St. Croix .
SHORT TERM...Today through Saturday...
Main shower and thunderstorm activity for the forecast area this
afternoon was in western Puerto Rico, mainly in the Mayaguez
municipality. Streamers also formed out of St. Croix, St. Thomas and
Culebra. The streamers out of St. Croix have stayed over the
Caribbean Sea while the one out of St. Thomas and Culebra is
reaching eastern and eastern-interior municipalities. All of this
activity currently continues but has diminished in coverage and
intensity. Precipitable water values are currently within
normal values for this time of the year, at around 1.6 inches,
with moisture from Potential Tropical Cyclone Two which is
currently in the eastern Caribbean. This moisture can work to
support the typical shower activity for the forecast area during
the overnight and afternoon hours. On Friday, as an upper-level
level low nears the forecast area, rain chances and thunderstorm
activity on Friday could be enhanced, including the afternoon
seasonal pattern over western Puerto Rico but windy conditions can
work to diminish total rainfall accumulations that day. The high
pressure system at the surface just west of the Azores will be
found north of the Azores Islands by the end of the forecast
period, on Saturday night. Precipitable water values should rise
significantly to above normal values, around 2.3 inches due to
moisture from a vigorous tropical wave moving over the area on
Saturday. Even with this tropical wave having a low chance (10%)
to develop into a tropical cyclone it will continue to affect the
region for the rest of the short term period. Increased shower and
thunderstorm activity to end the short term period can lead to
urban and small stream flooding in many sectors of the island with
the largest accumulations possibly eastern and southeastern
Puerto Rico. The tropical wave should also bring surface winds of
15 to 25 mph with higher gusts.
LONG TERM...Sunday through Wednesday...
FROM PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 544 AM AST Thu Jun 30 2022/
Moisture associated to a tropical wave is expected to linger across
the area during the first half of the period. A this time this
tropical wave has a 10% chance of development during the next five
days. However, it will reach the local islands as a strong and
vigorous wave. The latest GFS-20 model guidance shows a trend
moisture content causing heavy rainfall across the islands. The
eastern portions of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands are
expected to receive most of the rainfall activity, increasing the
potential of thunderstorms and flooding. Unstable conditions
aloft will persist at least until late Monday. Associated impacts
with this system could lead to strong winds with gusts,
thunderstorms, heavy rainfall, hazardous marine and coastal
conditions, and urban and small streams flooding. On Monday, the
moisture content will continue high across the local area,
increasing the potential for another round of showers and
unstable conditions. Tuesday onwards, weather conditions will
star to improve as the tropical wave moves out of the region. A
mass of dry air will filter into the area and a ridge will place
near the region. A seasonal weather pattern will return with
passing showers during the morning hours across the windward
portions of the islands, followed by the afternoon convection in
the west. Winds will return form the east-southeast. Expect an
increase in temperatures and more Saharan Dust.
AVIATION...Easterly winds will continue between 15 and 20 knots
with gusts between 25 and 30 knots thru this evening (30/23z). This
winds will bring clouds and showers over TAFs, producing brief MVFR
conditions. Afternoon SHRA and TSRA will develop over the interior
and western PR and could impact JBQ/JPS thru 30/23z. Winds will
become calm to light and variable after 30/23z. A similar pattern is
expected tomorrow.
MARINE...
Surface high pressure stretched across the North Atlantic will
combine with the passage of Potential Tropical Cyclone Two well to
the south of the local area to result in a tight pressure gradient
over the region. This will sustain moderate to fresh and locally
strong winds. Building seas are expected, and seas of up to 5 to 7
feet are anticipated and should increase Friday night, especially
for local offshore waters and passages.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 90 78 87 / 40 40 60 80
STT 79 89 80 87 / 30 40 60 80
&&
.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM AST Friday for Culebra-
Northeast-Ponce and Vicinity-Southeast-Vieques-Western
Interior.
High Rip Current Risk through Friday afternoon for North Central-
Northwest-San Juan and Vicinity.
VI...High Rip Current Risk through Friday afternoon for St Croix.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM AST Sunday for Caribbean Waters
of Puerto Rico from 10 NM to 17N-Mona Passage Southward to
17N.
Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM Saturday to 8 PM AST Sunday for
Atlantic Waters of Puerto Rico and USVI from 10 NM to 19.5N.
Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM Saturday to 2 PM AST Sunday for
Coastal Waters of Southern USVI Vieques and Eastern Puerto
Rico out 10 NM.
Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM Saturday to 8 AM AST Sunday for
Coastal Waters of Northern USVI and Culebra out 10 NM.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM AST Sunday for Anegada Passage
Southward to 17N.
&&
SHORT TERM...CRS
LONG TERM....MRR
PUBLIC DESK...JAPerspectivas sobre las Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan PR 446 AM AST jueves 30 de junio de 2022 AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-010900- San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste-Este Interior-Norte Central-Interior Central- Ponce y Vecindad-Noroeste-Oeste Interior-Mayaguez y Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra- Vieques-Las aguas costeras cercanas y lejanas a la costa del Atlantico y del Caribe- 446 AM AST jueves 30 de junio de 2022 Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras adyacentes. .Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche .Tronadas...Existe la posibilidad de tronadas con lluvia fuerte a rafagas breves en el oeste e interior de Puerto Rico. .Inundaciones...Lluvias fuertes podran causar inundaciones urbanas y de riachuelos en el oeste e interior de Puerto Rico. .Viento...Se esperan vientos sostenidos en exceso de 20 mph (17 nudos) a traves de las aguas locales dentro de 20 millas de la costa y de las planicies costeras del norte y sur de Puerto Rico. .Oleaje...Se espera un oleaje picado de hasta 7 pies a traves de las aguas locales mar afuera. .Corrientes marinas...Hay un riesgo alto de corrientes marinas para las playas del norte y sureste de Puerto Rico, y la mitad este de Vieques y la midas este de Culebra. La mayoria de las otras playas tendran riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas. .Calor...La humedas alta resultara en indices de calor de 102 hasta 105 grados Fahrenheit para las elevaciones bajas de Puerto Rico de las planicies costeras del norte y oeste de Puerto Rico y Culebra. .Dias dos hasta el siete...viernes a miercoles Se espera que ocurran indices de calor de 102 grados o mas cada dia excepto el domingo en las elevaciones bajas de la costa norte central y algunas otras localidades en el oeste y costa norte de Culebra. Existe un riesgo moderado o alto de corrientes marinas para la mayoria de las playas durante el periodo. Oleaje de 6 pies y vientos de 20 mph (17 nudos) o mas pueden esperarse el viernes en la noche hasta el domingo en la noche. .Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores... No se espera activacion amplia de observadores. Sin embargo, le agradeceriamos reportara cualquier informacion sobre vientos, olas y corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan siguiendo todas las indicaciones locales y estatales. AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-010900- San Tomas, San John e Islas Adyacentes-Santa Cruz-Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas costeras adyacentes del Caribe- 446 AM AST jueves 30 de junio de 2022 Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para Islas Virgenes Estadounidenses y las aguas costeras adyacentes. .Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche .Viento...Se esperan vientos sostenidos en exceso de 20 mph (17 nudos) a traves de las Islas Virgenes Americanas y las aguas costeras adyacentes. .Oleaje...Se espera oleaje picado de hasta 7 pies mayormente a traves de las aguas locales mar afuera y Pasaje de Anegada. .Corrientes marinas...Existe un riesgo alto de corrientes marinas para todas exceto la costa oeste deSanta Cruz, existe un riesgo moderado para el resto. .Dias dos hasta el siete...jueves a martes Existe un riesgo moderado o alto de corrientes marinas para la mayoria de las playas durante el periodo. Oleaje de 6 pies y vientos de 20 mph (17 nudos) o mas pueden esperarse el viernes en la noche hasta el domingo en la noche. .Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores... No se espera activacion amplia de observadores.
4 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The 28-day average streamflow from USGS river gauge network indicated streamflows running below normal or well below normal across most of Puerto Rico. This drought was of concern to agricultural interests, as hot and dry conditions increased water demands and stressed pastures, crops and native vegetation.
The 28-day average streamflow from USGS river gauge network indicated streamflows running below normal or well below normal across most of Puerto Rico. This drought was of concern to agricultural interests, as hot and dry conditions increased water demands and stressed pastures, crops and native vegetation.
The 28-day average streamflow from USGS river gauge network indicated streamflows running below normal or well below normal across most of Puerto Rico. This drought was of concern to agricultural interests, as hot and dry conditions increased water demands and stressed pastures, crops and native vegetation.
The 28-day average streamflow from USGS river gauge network indicated streamflows running below normal or well below normal across most of Puerto Rico. This drought was of concern to agricultural interests, as hot and dry conditions increased water demands and stressed pastures, crops and native vegetation.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, July 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1045199, 1045200, 1045201, 1045202.