Oregon, 2022High Wind in Oregon, November 16, 2022
November 16, 2022 · NWS PQR · 1 event in 1 county or zone
Strong east winds blew through the Western Columbia River Gorge as high pressure set up east of the Cascades, squeezing through the Columbia River Gorge.
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Strong east winds blew through the Western Columbia River Gorge as high pressure set up east of the Cascades, squeezing through the Columbia River Gorge.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Portland, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 15, 9:24 PM PST, 2 hours 36 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 9:24 PM PST, 2 hours 36 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Portland OR
924 PM PST Tue Nov 15 2022
Updated short term discussion and aviation discussion
.SYNOPSIS...High pressure will remain over the Pac NW this week,
maintaining mild days and chilly nights. Breezy easterly winds today
through early Wednesday, then easing winds. The next chance of rain
will be Sunday and into the early part of next week.
&&
.UPDATE...Thursday...Increased forecast sustained winds and wind
gusts on Thursday over the western Columbia River Gorge, eastern
portions of the Portland metro, and the West Hills area in Portland.
Model guidance is in good agreement that the pressure gradient from
Troutdale to the Dalles will be slightly stronger on Thursday when
compared to today. The NAM suggests the gradient will peak around
-8.3 mb early Thursday morning before decreasing to around -6.0 mb by
the late afternoon. Forecast NAM soundings at Troutdale show
sustained winds around 40 kt at 1000 ft AGL. Overall, expecting winds
to be a bit stronger on Thursday when compared to Wednesday with
gusts as high as 40-45 mph in the Wood Village, Fairview and
Troutdale area and along the West Hills in Portland. Gusts to 70 mph
are likely in the Corbett area with gusts as high as 80-85 mph likely
at Crown Point. East winds will continue Thursday night into Friday
but should gradually weaken. -TK
.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Friday...A clear Rex Blocking pattern
can be seen in IR/Water Vapor Satellite Imagery today and with
deterministic and ensemble models show very little deviation in this
blocking pattern as it slowly moves further east through
Wednesday/Thursday. This will result in dry, mild days and chilly
nights. Cross-Cascades gradients have weakened slightly and are
currently around 5 to 7 mb. This is resulting in easterly winds
in/around the west Columbia River Gorge of 25 to 40 mph with gusts 45
to 60 mph. As the blocking pattern moves further east/southeast,
gradients will continue to weaken. This will result in easterly winds
slowly weakening through Wednesday. As mentioned previously,
Wednesday into Thursday there will be a brief transition as the ridge
axis is elongated and pushed eastward as a shortwave low from Canada
moves into the region. While this will not really impact the overall
pattern of dry, mild days and chilly nights, it will bring in some
slightly cooler arctic air as well as some cloud cover. As this
shortwave trough moves across the Cascades, the pressure gradient
will re-strengthen and result in breezy east winds returning. At this
time the gradients are expected to be a bit stronger with around 7 to
9 mb across the Columbia River Gorge.
Also, given the blocking pattern there are some air stagnation
concerns through Thursday. However, as mentioned previously easterly
flow is expect to weaken by tomorrow and as such will increase the
chances for more widespread air stagnation concerns as valley
inversions strengthen under persistent high pressure and increasing
subsidence. However, the time frame for the elevated concerns is
expected to be less than 48 hours as a shortwave trough dropping down
along the Cascades bringing stronger easterly winds to the Gorge and
Cascades Thursday. Friday, models have an upper level ridge returning
with easterly winds continuing across the area.
Overall, the synoptic pattern will change through the remainder of
the week, but will result in minimal changes as dry, mild days along
with chilly nights are expected to persist. Easterly winds will
diminish over the next 24 to 36 hours, but will return towards the
end of the week. /42
.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...The stretch of dry and
mild weather with frosty mornings will continue into the weekend as
guidance remains in good agreement on the upper level ridge
persisting over the West Coast through at least Saturday. Both
deterministic and ensemble solutions continue to hint at the
breakdown of the ridge in the Sunday-Monday timeframe, albeit with a
high degree of uncertainty regarding the details of how the pattern
will evolve thereafter. Cluster analysis shows the ECMWF and CMC as
most bullish on the transition as 70-80 percent of the respective
members depict zonal flow or even a more troughy pattern developing
by early next week. This yields increasing precipitation chances
heading into Sunday and early next week, with the bulk of individual
ensemble members across model suites depicting at least some
measurable precipitation at PDX by Monday/Tuesday. Stuck close to NBM
mean for the official forecast given the scarcity of specific
details, with precipitation chances returning to the area on Sunday
and increasing through early next week. Snow levels look to climb to
around 4000-5000 ft as the precipitation arrives, likely keeping any
winter weather impacts limited to the Cascade passes for now. /CB
&&
.AVIATION...06Z TAFs: High pressure remains over the region with
dry, northerly flow aloft which will veer back to northwest
Wednesday. Widespread VFR conditions expected through Wednesday
with mostly clear skies. East winds will continue through the
Portland metro tonight as well as downsloping offshore along the
coast. Winds will also continue to remain strong at around
1500-2000 ft AGL with gusts to around 40 kt. Prepare for gusty
winds up to around 25 kt in the Gorge and spill over area east of
KPDX. In the central and southern Willamette Valley, will lighter
north
to northeasterly wind. Winds will likely lighten enough a chance
for fog development late tonight near KEUG and KHIO after 12Z
Wednesday. Latest HREF shows near 30% chance near KEUG of
visibility less than 1/2 mile.
Another offshore flow pattern expected to develop beginning
Thursday morning, potentially bringing stronger east winds than
the last 24 hours.
For detailed Pac NW aviation weather information, go online to:
http://weather.gov/zse
KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR under clear skies and east winds expected
for the next 24 hours. Gusts around 15 to 20 kt may still occur
for the next few hours, however will ease to around 6-8 kt by 09z.
Lighter east winds expected through Wednesday night. /Kriederman
&&
.MARINE...A thermally induced surface trough along the coast will
continue to weaken over the next 24 hours while high pressure
remains inland east of the Cascades. This will maintain offshore
winds through Wednesday before pressure gradients weaken and winds
become light Wednesday night. East winds will be gusty at times,
especially out of coastal gaps through tonight and into Wed
morning. Offshore winds again increase on Thursday and likely
persist through Friday.
Seas will generally hover around 4 to 6 ft at 12 seconds through
the end of the week. A northwest swell arriving later on Wednesday
may build seas up to 7 to 8 feet at 15 seconds through Thursday
morning. /DH
&&
.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...None.
WA...None.
PZ...None.
&&
www.weather.gov/portland
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High Wind, Western Columbia River Gorge
- When
- November 16, 12:00 AM PST to 11:59 PM PST
- Where
- Western Columbia River Gorge forecast zone
- Measured
- 82 kt (94 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
East wind gust to 94 mph recorded at Crown Point (DW6193), and to 78 mph at Corbett (CW2664) .
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Lake-Effect Snow in New York, November 16 to 21, 20223 deaths · $31 million · 14 events
- Drought in Oklahoma, November 16 to 30, 202247 events
- Heavy Snow and Winter Weather in Maine, November 16, 202210 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Indiana, November 16 to 17, 20225 events
- Heavy Snow and Winter Weather in Wyoming, November 16 to 18, 20224 events
- Winter Storm in Michigan, November 16 to 17, 20223 events
- Lake-Effect Snow in Pennsylvania, November 16 to 17, 20223 events
- Lake-Effect Snow in Ohio, November 16 to 17, 20222 events
- Funnel Cloud in Florida, November 16, 20221 event
- Winter Weather in Maryland, November 16 to 17, 20221 event
- Heavy Snow in Colorado, November 16 to 18, 20221 event
- Heavy Snow in South Dakota, November 16 to 17, 20221 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1066688.