New Mexico, 2022

Drought in New Mexico, July 1 to 31, 2022

July 1 to 31, 2022 · NWS ABQ · 41 events in 41 counties and zones

The North American Monsoon arrived early this year and stayed active throughout all of the month of July 2022 across northern and central New Mexico. Most of the month saw a traditional monsoon pattern develop which meant that the monsoonal moisture plume was focused primarily across western and central New Mexico.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 41 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
41

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.

The North American Monsoon arrived early this year and stayed active throughout all of the month of July 2022 across northern and central New Mexico. Most of the month saw a traditional monsoon pattern develop which meant that the monsoonal moisture plume was focused primarily across western and central New Mexico. This allowed for daily rounds of thunderstorms to focus in these areas with eastern New Mexico commonly seeing more hot and dry days rather than rainy ones. Precipitation totals across western and central New Mexico were generally around 2 to 4 inches during the month with some locally higher amounts in the northern high terrain. Across the east, precipitation totals were generally less than one inch. The drought improvements noted in June continued throughout the month of July with now 76 percent of the state in at least severe drought. About 33 percent of that was in at least extreme drought with about 11 percent in the exceptional category. Most of the improvement was along and west of the central mountain chain with no improvement across the eastern plains.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 10:35 PM MST, 1 hour 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 10:35 PM MST, 1 hour 25 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1135 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF CYCLE
Scattered shra with embedded isold ts remain over parts of central
and western NM, and this activity will taper off over the next few
hours. Outflow from ts activity over CO has pushed swd into the
northeastern plains, and will bring brief gusty winds to KTCC b/w
0630Z to 08Z. Otherwise, conditions turn mostly calm going into
Friday morning and with remnant debris cigs. Another round of diurnal
convection is expected to fire up over the high terrain starting at
18Z Friday before moving over surrounding lower elevations. VCTS is
included at a number of terminals for this activity except KFMN-
KTCC-KROW as these sites look to be a bit too far away to get direct
impacts from storms. Models show another convective outflow bdry
spreading swd through the eastern plains again tomorrow evening,
bringing a repeat round of gusty winds to KTCC past 00Z.

24

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...318 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2022...
.SYNOPSIS...
A few showers and thunderstorms will continue across western and
northern New Mexico overnight as monsoon moisture increases from the
south. An uptrend in storm coverage is forecast for Friday as moisture
combines with a weak cold front moving in from the northeast. The
active monsoon pattern continues into the 4th of July Holiday weekend
with scattered to numerous afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms
producing locally heavy rainfall for western and central portions of
the state. The monsoon moisture plume is forecast to drift eastward
early next week with eastern areas of the state getting into the act.
High temperatures will be near average for early July.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...
12Z upper air data showed the upper high slowly weakening and moving
east over north central/northeast NM compared to 24hrs prior. PWATs
were on the uptrend across central and western NM and the 12Z KABQ
upper air sounding showed an increase to 0.85" from 0.72" 24hrs
prior. This trend is forecast to continue through Friday night, with
PWATs trending up to above 1" at KABQ as the upper high continues a
slow weakening and southeast drift. Today's crop of daytime heating
triggered storms is an improvement from yesterday's limited round,
but we're expecting a more significant uptick Friday. The monsoon
moisture plume, which shows nicely on the latest water vapor
satellite imagery across central/western AZ and far western NM, will
shift east Friday through Friday night and position squarely over
our area. This increase in moisture, combined with a weakening upper
high and a weak backdoor front, explains the forecast uptick in
storm coverage and qpf for Friday. The backdoor front will move
south out of CO tonight, aided by convective outflow, and will bring
added moisture and forcing to the Sangre De Cristos and adjacent
highlands for Friday. Combine this with daytime heating and weak
westerlies around the top of the weakening upper high circulation
and we have the ingredients for deep sustained convection capable of
producing heavy rain across the Sangre De Cristos, adjacent
highlands and even Union Co. The southwest mountain may also be
setup for some heavy rainfall Friday given the moisture surge and
even weaker steering flow. Will issue a Flash Flood Watch for Cerro
Pelado and Hermits Peak/Calf Canyon burn scars for Friday
afternoon/evening and may need to consider expanding to include
areas from near Raton to near Clayton given good run-to-run
consistency from the NAM showing more significant qpf of 1-2" in
that area. Otherwise, daytime temperatures will trend down several
degrees across central and western NM Friday due to added cloud
cover and anticipated rain-cooling.

LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
Elongated upper-level high over the Southern Plains and South
continues in place Saturday through the 4th of July weekend. The
moist flow between this high and a closed low just off of the PACNW
will continue to result in scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms each afternoon and evening over the northwest half or
so of the state. Both the GFS and ECMWF limit convective development
on Sunday thanks to a subsidence inversion strengthening over the
southeast half of the state. GFS seems too dry with the NAM and ECMWF
breaking out thunderstorms over much of the the northwest third or so.
Given that PWATs are forecast to be above climatology and with
plenty of sunshine forecast for Sunday morning, trended precipitation
chances slightly up above NBM guidance Sunday afternoon and evening
as a result. Monsoon moisture plume is forecast to shift slightly
eastward Monday with more storms expected over the northeast and
central highlands and possibly western edges of the eastern plains.
GFS and ECMWF both bring up an easterly wave in the flow Tuesday
which will likely help trigger numerous to widespread showers and
thunderstorms Tuesday and especially Wednesday.

By Thursday, the Four Corners' or monsoon high strengthens over
northern AZ and southern UT, helping to shift the monsoon moisture
along and east of the central mountain chain. Then, much like last
year, the high becomes quite the behemoth (602dm) over eastern UT
and western CO. The easterly flow aloft begins scouring out monsoon
moisture from northern NM with the southern half of the state favored
for afternoon storms. Additionally, the ECMWF ensemble or ENS weekly
precipitation anomaly forecasts are hot off the presses (June 30),
indicating that the monsoon (likely reverse) is here to stay despite
the Four Corners' beast setting up over the Eastern Great Basin and
Central Rockies.

11/33

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
The monsoon moisture plume will shift east over the state Friday
into Saturday, bringing the return of scattered to numerous wetting
storms with the potential for burn scar flooding. An active wetting
storm regime with higher humidity will persist through the weekend
and into early next week, favoring central and western NM. By the
middle of next week, a new upper high center is forecast to build up
over UT/CO, which will allow chances for wetting storms across the
eastern plains to trend up. Daytime temperatures will generally be
at or below normal through the forecast period due to the added
cloud cover and anticipated rain-cooling. Humidity recovery will
generally be good to excellent through the weekend and into the
middle of next week.

11

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch from Friday afternoon through Friday evening for the
following zones... NMZ211-214-215.

&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

41 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Northwest Plateau

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Northwest Plateau forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.045, -108.291 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe to extreme drought conditions from June 2022 continued in July.

Drought, West Central Plateau

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
West Central Plateau forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.803, -108.222 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from June 2022 improved to moderate drought in July.

Drought, Northwest Highlands

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Northwest Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.072, -107.535 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from June 2022 continued in July.

Drought, Far Northwest Highlands

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Far Northwest Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.236, -107.293 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from June 2022 continued in July.

Drought, Far Northeast Highlands

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Far Northeast Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.308, -104.796 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme to exceptional drought conditions from June 2022 continued in July.

Drought, Tusas Mountains Including Chama

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Tusas Mountains Including Chama forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.544, -106.162 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from June 2022 improved to moderate drought in July.

Drought, Upper Rio Grande Valley

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Upper Rio Grande Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.544, -106.162 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from June 2022 improved to moderate drought in July.

Drought, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.032, -104.803 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme to exceptional drought conditions from June 2022 continued in July.

Drought, Jemez Mountains

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Jemez Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.023, -106.622 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe to extreme drought conditions from June 2022 improved to moderate to severe drought in July.

Drought, Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.115, -105.451 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe to extreme drought conditions from June 2022 improved to moderate to severe drought in July.

Drought, Espanola Valley

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Espanola Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.198, -106.100 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from June 2022 improved to moderate drought in July.

Drought, Northeast Highlands

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Northeast Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.480, -104.816 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions from June 2022 continued in July.

Drought, Guadalupe County

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Guadalupe County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.863, -104.791 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions from June 2022 improved to severe to extreme drought in July.

Drought, De Baca County

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
De Baca County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.342, -104.412 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions from June 2022 continued in July.

Drought, Chaves County Plains

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Chaves County Plains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.363, -104.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions from June 2022 continued in July.

Drought, Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.494, -105.396 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions from June 2022 improved to severe drought in July.

Drought, Santa Fe Metro Area

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Santa Fe Metro Area forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.416, -106.504 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions from June 2022 improved to severe drought in July.

Drought, Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.121, -106.434 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions from June 2022 improved to severe drought in July.

Drought, Estancia Valley

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Estancia Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.066, -106.166 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions from June 2022 improved to severe drought in July.

Drought, Central Highlands

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Central Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.209, -105.548 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions from June 2022 improved to severe drought in July.

Drought, Chuska Mountains

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Chuska Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.045, -108.291 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from June 2022 improved to moderate drought in July.

Drought, Southwest Mountains

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Southwest Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.961, -107.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe to extreme drought conditions from June 2022 improved to moderate drought in July.

Drought, San Francisco River Valley

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
San Francisco River Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.915, -108.405 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from June 2022 improved to moderate drought in July.

Drought, Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.002, -106.839 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions from June 2022 improved to severe drought in July.

Drought, Eastern Lincoln County

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Eastern Lincoln County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.745, -105.459 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe to extreme drought conditions from June 2022 continued in July.

Drought, South Central Highlands

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
South Central Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.277, -106.262 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from June 2022 continued in July.

Drought, South Central Mountains

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
South Central Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.745, -105.459 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from June 2022 continued in July.

Drought, West Central Mountains

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
West Central Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.821, -107.693 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe to extreme drought conditions from June 2022 improved to moderate to severe drought in July.

Drought, West Central Highlands

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
West Central Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.993, -107.256 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe to extreme drought conditions from June 2022 improved to moderate to severe drought in July.

Drought, San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.961, -107.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions from June 2022 improved to severe drought in July.

Drought, Union County

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Union County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.482, -103.471 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme to exceptional drought conditions from June 2022 continued in July.

Drought, Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.592, -105.139 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from June 2022 improved to moderate drought in July.

Drought, Lower Rio Grande Valley

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Lower Rio Grande Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.007, -106.930 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions from June 2022 improved to severe to extreme drought in July.

Drought, Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.544, -104.059 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions from June 2022 improved to severe drought in July.

Drought, Quay County

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Quay County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.104, -103.550 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme to exceptional drought conditions from June 2022 continued in July.

Drought, Curry County

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Curry County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.574, -103.347 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Exceptional drought conditions from June 2022 continued in July.

Drought, Roosevelt County

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Roosevelt County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.021, -103.480 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme to exceptional drought conditions from June 2022 continued in July.

Drought, Southwest Chaves County

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Southwest Chaves County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.363, -104.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe to extreme drought conditions from June 2022 continued in July.

Drought, Harding County

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Harding County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.858, -103.820 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme to exceptional drought conditions from June 2022 continued in July.

Drought, Eastern San Miguel County

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Eastern San Miguel County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.480, -104.816 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions from June 2022 improved to severe to extreme drought in July.

Drought, Upper Tularosa Valley

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Upper Tularosa Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.876, -106.194 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from June 2022 continued in July.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Mexico in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, July 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1034424, 1034425, 1034426, 1034427, 1034428, 1034429, 1034430, 1034431, 1034432, 1034433, 1034434, 1034435, 1034436, 1034437, 1034438, 1034439, 1034440, 1034441, 1034442, 1034443, 1034444, 1034445, 1034446, 1034447, 1034448, 1034449, 1034450, 1034451, 1034452, 1034453, 1034454, 1034455, 1034456, 1034457, 1034458, 1034459, 1034460, 1034461, 1034462, 1034463, and more.