New Mexico, 2022

High Wind in New Mexico, December 31, 2022

December 31, 2022 · NWS ABQ · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Strong westerly winds impacted parts of the northeast highlands and high plains of central New Mexico. Peak gusts of 60 to 64 mph were felt at Las Vegas and near Vaughn starting in the morning hours and lasting into the early afternoon.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.

Strong westerly winds impacted parts of the northeast highlands and high plains of central New Mexico. Peak gusts of 60 to 64 mph were felt at Las Vegas and near Vaughn starting in the morning hours and lasting into the early afternoon.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 31, 8:39 AM MST, 1 hour 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 31, 8:39 AM MST, 1 hour 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
839 AM MST Sat Dec 31 2022

...New MESOSCALE UPDATE...

.MESOSCALE UPDATE FOR STRONG WEST WINDS... Issued at 831 AM MST
Sat Dec 31 2022

Strong west winds will continue across much of east-central NM
through the day thanks to strong winds aloft and the resulting
998mb lee side low over northeast NM and southeast CO. Forecast
model guidance continues to trail current observations across much
of this region so went ahead with including eastern San Miguel,
Quay, Curry and Roosevelt counties in the wind advisory through
00Z Sunday. Remainder of forecast on track with no further updates
anticipated.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 209 AM MST Sat Dec 31 2022

Wind gusts up to 50 mph are forecast from around Red River
southward to around Sandia Park, Moriarty, and Santa Rosa today.
Today's high temperatures are forecast to climb around 3 to 12
degrees warmer than Friday's readings, but a disturbance will
bring some light snow mainly to northwest areas. A stronger
weather system will bring widespread rain and high terrain snow to
central and western areas Sunday, then mostly snow to those areas
Sunday night and Monday. A few to several inches of accumulation
will be possible with the heaviest amounts potentially reaching a
foot in the Tusas Mountains and southwest mountains. Another
disturbance may bring additional snow accumulation to locations
along and west of the continental divide Tuesday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 209 AM MST Sat Dec 31 2022

Strong and perturbed northwest flow aloft is currently overlaying
NM. Some mountain wave activity has been observed over the central
to north central NM high terrain and more-so into CO, and this is
somewhat masking the subtle shortwave troughs that are moving toward
the NM-CO border. Persistent mid level moisture will stay over the
north central to northwestern NM zones with the stiffening flow
leading to better orographic forcing through the rest of the morning
with the approaching shortwave energy even helping to spread some
light snow into nearby lower elevation zones. Areas along and just
east of the central mountain chain will continue to observe
periodically gusty winds through the early morning, turning a bit
more persistent into the late morning and afternoon hours as
vertical boundary layer mixing increases. The Wind Advisory will be
expanded to the Sandia/Manzano zone to account for the strong winds
there that should develop and persist until dusk. North central to
northwestern zones will see a gradual retreat of precipitation this
afternoon as shortwave energy dissipates in the backing and more
westerly flow, however the high terrain areas within these zones may
never see a full cessation of snow flurries due to sufficient
orographics from the strong westerlies. Outside of these north
central to northwestern zones, cirrus will be the primary cloud type
with a fairly widespread blanket over most of the area. Despite this
cloud cover, temperatures should gain a few to several degrees area
wide as pressure heights rise in the backing flow aloft.

The flow will continue backing more southwesterly tonight, and while
mid level wind speeds will not be as high as this morning’s, there
will still be periodic gusty conditions over ridge tops and mountain
peaks due to the 25 to 45 kt H7 flow. Much of the boundary layer in
lower elevations will also fail to fully decouple overnight with
persistent high clouds keeping tonight’s temperatures quite mild by
late December standards.

Big changes remain on the horizon for western NM on Sunday as a deep
upper low rounds southern NV, riding on the strong jet off of the
Pacific. This low will draw in ample Pacific moisture to the
American southwest (PWATs advertised to climb 1 to 2 standard
deviations above climatology) with a healthy swath of rain and
mountain snow overtaking AZ and western NM Sunday afternoon. Winds
at H7 will be surging to 40 to 60 kt from the southwest with much of
the southern NM high terrain consequently experiencing windy
conditions Sunday. These will also introduce orographic forcing,
mostly over the southwestern mountains of NM in addition to the
vigorous upper level dynamics associated with the approaching low.
Look for high snow levels due to relatively warm conditions and high
dewpoints that will elevate wet bulb zero heights, but peaks above
8,000 to 9,000 feet in western NM could receive a quick burst of a
few inches, especially where convective activity develops Sunday
afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 209 AM MST Sat Dec 31 2022

A few to several inches of snow accumulation are forecast Sunday
night through Monday over the mountains and west as an upper
level low pressure system crosses the Four Corners region in route
from Las Vegas, NV to the northeast corner of CO. The weather
system will send a gusty Pacific cold front through NM Sunday
night dropping the snow level to valley bottoms in most locations
west of the central mountain chain. QPF and snow amounts
decreased some in the latest model runs. At this time, it looks
like the heaviest snow accumulations could reach nearly a foot in
the Tusas Mountains and southwest mountains. Will continue the
ongoing Winter Storm Watch and see what models do with the system
in the next few runs.

Wind will also be a concern with the storm system. The upper low
will pass north of the forecast area, so it will steer the polar
jet stream over our south central and eastern forecast zones
Sunday night through Monday night. Model solutions differ on the
strength of the 700 mb flow over the south central mountains where
the strongest winds are expected. Ranges vary from 45-65 kt Sunday
night, suggesting surface wind gusts could reach or exceed 50 kt
from Ruidoso to Dunken. Scattered rain and snow showers are also
expected at that time, indicating too much instability for a
mountain wave over the south central mountains. For now the
forecast grids depict gusts up to 50 mph over the south central
mountains Sunday night into Monday, and up to 45 mph across the
eastern plains due to the strong flow aloft and a sharp surface
trough south of a ~999 mb lee-side surface low over southeast CO.
Strong winds will probably produce blowing and drifting snow
mainly in the mountains east of the continental divide Sunday
night and Monday.

After a much cooler day Monday, temperatures will fall further
Tuesday and Tuesday night as another upper level trough crosses NM
from the west. The system is currently forecast to weaken as it
arrives, so snow amounts should be lighter than the Sunday-Monday
storm. At this time a few to perhaps 6 inches look possible mainly
over the west central and southwest mountains, and west central
plateau. High temperatures look to bottom out around 3-13 degrees
below normal on Tuesday, then trend warmer during the latter half
of the work week as the first ridge of 2023 crosses NM from the
west. The ridge will be a fast mover through, allowing a shortwave
trough in southwest flow aloft to clip the Four Corners region
and our northwest mountains with increased cloud cover and a
chance for snow Thursday night and Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 438 AM MST Sat Dec 31 2022

Strong northwest winds aloft are ushering a disturbance aloft into
Colorado and northern New Mexico. This has produced some light
snow over north central and northwestern New Mexico along with
MVFR to briefly IFR ceilings. Conditions will improve into the
afternoon with lower elevations returning to VFR, but high peaks
and ridge tops in north central and northwestern New Mexico may
remain obscured into tonight. The strongest winds will be found
along and immediately downwind (east southeast) of the central
mountain chain where gusts of 35 to 45 kt are expected with
mountain wave activity and low level wind shear likely. Elsewhere
VFR conditions with just high, fair weather cirrus clouds are
expected today and tonight.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 209 AM MST Sat Dec 31 2022

While no critical fire weather is foreseen through the first few
days of the New Year, a breezy to often windy weather pattern will
persist, especially along and east of the central mountain chain as
the persistent jet stream keeps feeding into NM from the Pacific.
Fortunately, humidity should stay fairly elevated and above critical
thresholds due to Pacific moisture moving into the area. In fact,
much of western and central NM will receive periods of valley rain
and mountain snow, particularly late Sunday through Tuesday night,
but the eastern plains will see less moisture and minimal wetting
precipitation. Lowest afternoon humidity values will tend to be
found over the eastern plains later in the week on Thursday and
Friday when readings will drop close to 20 percent. Valleys and
sheltered locations will have to contend with poor smoke dispersion
and ventilation in the mornings and early afternoon periods, but
should get some brief opportunities for better mixing in the
afternoon hours through the next few days. This could come to a halt
by Thursday of next week when lighter winds and lower mixing heights
might keep poor ventilation intact on a widespread basis.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  45  32  48  27 /  30  30  80  70
Dulce...........................  41  28  44  23 /  60  50  80  90
Cuba............................  44  28  44  22 /  20  10  70  80
Gallup..........................  45  32  45  24 /  20   5  80  60
El Morro........................  42  28  44  23 /  10   5  80  70
Grants..........................  47  25  46  21 /   5   0  70  70
Quemado.........................  49  29  46  24 /   0   0  80  70
Magdalena.......................  54  36  51  28 /   0   0  50  70
Datil...........................  51  30  46  25 /   0   0  70  70
Reserve.........................  52  30  46  24 /   0   5  90  90
Glenwood........................  53  37  49  28 /   0   5  90  90
Chama...........................  37  24  40  18 /  60  50  80  90
Los Alamos......................  47  32  43  27 /  10  10  60  90
Pecos...........................  50  32  49  24 /  10   0  50  80
Cerro/Questa....................  43  31  44  21 /  10  10  50  80
Red River.......................  40  26  43  15 /  20  10  50  80
Angel Fire......................  42  30  44  16 /  20  10  50  80
Taos............................  45  26  46  20 /  20  20  50  80
Mora............................  51  34  52  24 /  10   5  40  80
Espanola........................  53  29  51  25 /  10   5  50  90
Santa Fe........................  47  33  46  26 /  10   5  60  90
Santa Fe Airport................  49  31  48  25 /   5   0  50  80
Albuquerque Foothills...........  50  35  49  33 /   0   0  50  80
Albuquerque Heights.............  52  37  50  30 /   0   0  50  70
Albuquerque Valley..............  54  32  52  29 /   0   0  50  70
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  52  34  50  30 /   0   0  50  70
Belen...........................  57  32  54  29 /   0   0  50  70
Bernalillo......................  53  33  51  30 /   0   0  50  70
Bosque Farms....................  55  30  53  27 /   0   0  50  70
Corrales........................  53  33  51  30 /   0   0  50  70
Los Lunas.......................  56  31  53  27 /   0   0  50  70
Placitas........................  50  33  49  31 /   0   0  50  80
Rio Rancho......................  52  34  49  31 /   0   0  50  70
Socorro.........................  59  35  55  30 /   0   0  50  70
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  46  34  46  27 /   0   0  60  80
Tijeras.........................  47  34  48  29 /   0   0  60  80
Edgewood........................  48  32  50  27 /   0   0  50  80
Moriarty/Estancia...............  50  29  51  24 /   0   0  40  80
Clines Corners..................  47  32  48  24 /   0   0  30  70
Mountainair.....................  49  34  49  27 /   0   0  40  70
Gran Quivira....................  50  33  49  28 /   0   0  40  70
Carrizozo.......................  51  39  55  31 /   0   0  30  70
Ruidoso.........................  53  38  52  26 /   0   0  30  70
Capulin.........................  58  33  56  26 /   0   0   5  30
Raton...........................  60  30  56  24 /   0   0  10  40
Springer........................  61  30  58  25 /   0   0  10  50
Las Vegas.......................  58  36  53  25 /   0   0  30  70
Clayton.........................  65  37  61  30 /   0   0   0  20
Roy.............................  61  34  56  29 /   0   0   5  30
Conchas.........................  67  37  60  34 /   0   0   5  30
Santa Rosa......................  60  37  57  32 /   0   0   5  30
Tucumcari.......................  66  40  62  36 /   0   0   0  20
Clovis..........................  64  40  64  36 /   0   0   0  10
Portales........................  65  41  66  38 /   0   0   0  10
Fort Sumner.....................  64  38  60  35 /   0   0   0  10
Roswell.........................  68  38  68  38 /   0   0   0  20
Picacho.........................  64  41  63  34 /   0   0  10  40
Elk.............................  63  40  61  31 /   0   0  10  50

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 5 PM MST this afternoon for NMZ232-234>236.

Winter Storm Watch from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon
for NMZ208-210-211.

Wind Advisory until 6 PM MST this evening for NMZ213>215-221>223-
229-233.

&&

SHORT TERM...33
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...52

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 31, 5:36 AM MST, 4 hours 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
536 AM MST SAT DEC 31 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0453 AM     HIGH SUST WINDS  6 E STORRIE LAKE STATE  35.65N 105.13W
12/31/2022  M40 MPH          SAN MIGUEL         NM   ASOS

            ASOS STATION KLVS LAS VEGAS MUNI AIRPORT.

&&

RTJ
Local storm report, Dec 31, 5:37 AM MST, 4 hours 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
537 AM MST SAT DEC 31 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 AM     HIGH SUST WINDS  11 SE VAUGHN            34.48N 105.08W
12/31/2022  M43 MPH          GUADALUPE          NM   MESONET

            MESONET STATION NMC40 SE VAUGHN.

&&

RTJ

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Guadalupe County

When
December 31, 9:50 AM MST to 9:55 AM MST
Where
Guadalupe County forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
34.863, -104.791 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A mesonet station southeast of Vaughn measured a wind gust of 59 mph.

High Wind, Northeast Highlands

When
December 31, 11:25 AM MST to 12:00 PM MST
Where
Northeast Highlands forecast zone
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
35.480, -104.816 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Las Vegas Municipal Airport measured a wind gust of 63 mph.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Mexico in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, December 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1062479, 1062478.