Stronger flow aloft resulted in increasing winds over the higher terrain and adjacent lower levels, with a few stronger gusts around 60 mph occurring across the lower elevations of Chaffee county.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PUB wrote it up.
Stronger flow aloft resulted in increasing winds over the higher terrain and adjacent lower levels, with a few stronger gusts around 60 mph occurring across the lower elevations of Chaffee county.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 5, 2:48 AM MST, 6 hours 42 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 348 AM MDT Sat Nov 5 2022 .SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight) Issued at 339 AM MDT Sat Nov 5 2022 Key Messages: 1) Gusty westerly winds expected for today, especially in the higher terrain. 2) Continued chances for snow in our central mountains. Currently.. Colorado is situated between a low pressure system currently sitting over western Kansas, and a low pressure system making its way into Saskatchewan. Deterministic models also paint a strong jet streak of over 150kt over the northern Rockies this morning. This puts us in strong northwesterly flow, with strong northwesterly surface winds already developing in the high country. Currently seeing gusts over 35 mph at Cottonwood Pass, Monarch Pass, and Wolf Creek Pass. Steep temperature gradients are setting up in our normal strong downsloping areas as westerly flow increases, with Canon City sitting at 41 degrees and Pueblo at 23 degrees. Today and Tonight.. Deterministic models bring the strong jet streak further south as the base of the trough passes through the northern Rockies and into the northern plains throughout the day today. This will lead to more zonal cross barrier flow this afternoon as winds shift from northwesterly to due westerly, especially in the high country, where gusts could reach up to 65 mph. Our central mountains are likely to continue seeing orographically enhanced snowfall throughout the day today as well, especially in Lake County. Lower lapse rates will help to keep accumulations light, but wind driven snow could create hazardous travel conditions for the central mountains today. Gap flow winds are expected to set up early on our adjacent plains this morning. Gusts up to 35 mph will be possible near Pueblo and up 40 mph near Westcliffe, beginning early this morning and persisting through most of the day today. This will lead to spotty near critical fire weather conditions across portions of Pueblo and Huerfano counties this afternoon. Temperatures are expected to be a few degrees above normal this afternoon, with mid 60s for the plains, and low 50s in mountain valleys. As the low continues to make its way across southern Canada tonight, winds will begin to decrease across our region after sunset. Continued downsloping and a fair amount of cloud cover over our plains will keep temperatures slightly warmer tonight than the past few nights, with most of the plains staying just above freezing. We clear out early in the San Luis Valley, where temperatures are expected to fall into the teens. .LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday) Issued at 339 AM MDT Sat Nov 5 2022 Key Messages: 1) Enhanced fire danger for the eastern plains Tuesday and Wednesday. 2) Mountain snow returns Tuesday evening through Thursday. Sunday...Near zonal flow across the region to start out Sunday with some lingering snow showers over the central mts. New snow amounts are expected to amount to less than an inch. Flow aloft begins to shift to a more southwest direction Sunday night as a strong upper low pressure system off the coast of British Columbia and Washington makes a move onshore. At the surface, winds behind the cold front late Saturday night will swing around to a more easterly direction through the day, providing for much cooler conditions with highs in the 50s to near 60F for most locations. Monday...Southwest flow aloft increases across the Four Corners as the low pressure system over the Pacific NW strengthens. Expect dry conditions with highs in the 50s to near 60F for the high valleys, and mid 50s to upper 60s for the plains. Tuesday and Wednesday...Upper system pushes into the Great Basin Tuesday and the tightening pressure gradient will produce strong southwest flow aloft across the state. Combined with the expected dry conditions, critical fire weather conditions may be in place across the plains. Long range models indicate that the upper system will cross the state on Wed, but if the system slows down slightly, fire weather concerns will carry over to Wed as well. As for mt snows, pcpn will initiate along the Continental Divide Tue evening, then gradually spread eastward across all of the higher terrain with areal coverage totally dependent on speed of the system. This will be the warmest portion of the extended forecast, with highs on Tue in the 50s to around 60F for the high valleys, and mid 60s to mid 70s for the plains. On Wed, increasing cloud cover and encroaching precip from the west will cool things slightly, with highs in the 40s to lower 50s for the high valleys, and 60s to lower 70s for the plains. Thursday and Friday...Much cooler to end the work week as northwest flow aloft settles in behind the passing system. Extended models have lingering pcpn chances for much of the area on Thu, but again this will depend on how quickly the system crosses the region. At this time, Friday looks like it will be dry. Plan on highs well below normal, with the upper 30s to mid 40s for most locations both days. Moore && .AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning) Issued at 339 AM MDT Sat Nov 5 2022 VFR conditions are expected at all three TAF sites, KCOS, KPUB, and KALS for the next 24 hours. Strong westerly winds are expected at all three stations this afternoon, especially at KPUB, where gusts up to 30kt are possible. Blowing dust could potentially bring visibility down to MVFR criteria briefly this afternoon, but confidence is low at this point. Expecting KPUB and KCOS to remain westerly later than usual through the overnight hours tonight, with KPUB possibly remaining westerly throughout the entire period. Southerlies eventually take over for KALS tonight. && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SHORT TERM...EHR LONG TERM...MOORE AVIATION...EHR
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Pueblo CO 401 AM MDT Sat Nov 5 2022 COZ058>089-093>099-061300- Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet- Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet- Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet- Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet- Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet- Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Southern San Luis Valley- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet- Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet- Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between 7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet- Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County- Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Feet- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet- Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- 401 AM MDT Sat Nov 5 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east central...south central and southeast Colorado. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Light snow showers will remain possible across the central mountains today, where winds are expected to gust up to 65 mph. Though snow accumulations are expected to be light, wind driven snow could create hazardous travel conditions in the central mountains today. Spotty, marginal critical fire weather conditions are possible through portions of Pueblo and Huerfano counties this afternoon. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday Isolated light snow showers are expected across the northern parts of the central mountains Sunday, with new snow accumulations anticipated to be less than an inch. Fire danger increases across the plains for Tuesday and Wednesday, ahead of an approaching low pressure system. Mountain snow returns for Tuesday night through Thursday as a low pressure system tracks across the region. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters will not be needed today or tonight. EHR/27
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1011 AM MDT SAT NOV 5 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0950 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NE PONCHA SPRINGS 38.53N 106.05W
11/05/2022 M58 MPH CHAFFEE CO AWOS
AWOS STATION KANK SALIDA AIRPORT.
&&The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Salida airport.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Colorado in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Colorado, November 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1067550.