A deep, occluded mid-latitude storm system tracking north-northeastward from the Quad Cities area, featured a strengthening upper-level wave. The wave's negatively-tilting trough axis created a strong wind field about 1 mile above the surface at the 850 millibar pressure level.
Every event with a place to put it; 10 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS IND wrote it up.
A deep, occluded mid-latitude storm system tracking north-northeastward from the Quad Cities area, featured a strengthening upper-level wave. The wave's negatively-tilting trough axis created a strong wind field about 1 mile above the surface at the 850 millibar pressure level. This caused generally 50-60 mph wind gusts at the surface across central Indiana during mainly morning and midday hours on the 5th. The strongest, isolated wind gusts reached 58-65 mph, mainly across Tippecanoe County and Clinton County. Isolated damage reports were led by several counties east of Indianapolis that each reported multiple downed trees and/or numerous power outages.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Indianapolis, IN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 5, 9:03 AM EST, 30 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 1003 AM EDT Sat Nov 5 2022 .Mesoscale Update... Issued at 1003 AM EDT Sat Nov 5 2022 Subtle augmentation of surface pressure fields (i.e., weak mesohigh) are enhancing sustained wind and gust speeds on the northwest edge of the rain band across central Indiana. This will result in brief/isolated wind gusts near 60 mph in a corridor from near Kokomo to Crawfordsville to Greencastle over the next hour or two. A wind gust 58 mph wind gust was measured at Frankfort/KFKR AWOS recently. This slightly enhanced corridor of wind may impact areas further east including Indianapolis through midday. Otherwise, windy conditions with gusts up to 40 to 50 mph are expected across a broader area driven by synoptic scale tightening MSLP gradient associated with a strong mid-latitude system passing to our northwest. && .Forecast Update... Issued at 857 AM EDT Sat Nov 5 2022 Water vapor channel satellite imagery shows shortwave trough near Kansas City now. Satellite-derived layered moisture shows preceding warm conveyor belt, midlevel forcing and associated rain band moving through Indiana now. Dry sub-cloud layer will moisten but will be a little more pervasive with eastward extent through the morning. Thus, rainfall amounts around 0.50 inches across western Indiana may tapper to between 0.25 and 0.50 further east through late morning. Meanwhile, MSLP gradient will tighten further resulting in an increase in sustained wind speeds. Modest mixing by midday and into the afternoon will likely result in the windiest period of the day with wind gusts in the 40-55 mph range as the core of the low level jet crosses. Sometimes wind can be enhanced on the back side of these rain bands, but in this case with an abense of a more convectively-driven cold pool and mesohigh, we do not expect substantial mesoscale enhancement, and are not currently seeing that in the observations. If a location where to see a wind gusts closer to 60, it should be where MSLP gradient is tightest across the northwest portion of our area, and/or where additional precipitation elements coinciding with the modest mixing reform further west. The upstream convection along the front may augment winds by locally enhancing momentum transport later this afternoon. Limiting factors for a more significant convectively driven wind scenario will be (1) overall lack of convective intensity owing to very weak instability, and (2) its position westward of the core of the low level jet. Nevertheless, we will need to monitor this possibility closely. Even a very small positive area (<300 J/kg MUCAPE) amidst strong frontal forcing could be sufficient to maintain a thin line of shallow convection currently seen moving into west-central Illinois. && .Short Term...(Today and tonight) Issued at 300 AM EDT Sat Nov 5 2022 * Wind Advisory continues today, with gusts of 40 to 55 mph possible * Rain will move through at times today Early this morning, surface low pressure was across western Missouri, with an upper low in Kansas. A large area of showers and some thunderstorms extended from Wisconsin southwest into Louisiana. Winds were gusting to near 30 mph across central Indiana, with gusts near 40 mph in Illinois. TODAY... Both the upper and surface lows will deepen quickly as they trek northeast into Wisconsin today. A strong low level jet will move into central Indiana with this system, with speeds in excess of 55kt. This jet will bring in moisture to the area today. Wind Threat.. The quickly tightening pressure gradient will increase the winds this morning. Some mixing will bring down stronger wind gusts in addition to the decent sustained winds. Model ensembles show a high probability of 40mph gusts, with most areas seeing lower odds of 50mph gusts. Bufkit soundings show potential momentum transfer of over 40kt possible many areas as well. Thus, feel the Wind Advisory looks good today all areas. Winds may diminish enough south for an early cancellation later this afternoon. There is a concern for higher wind gusts approaching warning criteria in the northwest forecast area, with probabilities of 50mph or higher gusts maximized there. This makes sense with strong pressure couplets expected just west and northwest in Illinois today. A dry slot also introduces a possibility of higher gusts. However, low clouds may inhibit mixing some with the dry slot. Also, as mentioned above, the highest pressure changes will be west and north of the area. For a line of showers developing with the cold front this afternoon, lack of instability decreases odds of winds mixing down with the showers. Thus, do not plan on upgrading the Wind Advisory at this time. Will mention gusts to 55mph northwest though. Rain Threat.. The forcing from this system combined with the moisture will bring showers to central Indiana today. Will go high PoPs all areas at some point today. Coverage and intensity of the first band of showers may lower as it moves east away from the main forcing to the west/northwest, but coverage will still be enough for categorical PoPs. A second thin line of showers looks to develop with the surface cold front this afternoon. Models continue to show little to no instability today. This would keep the threat of thunder too low to mention. However, with thunder already east of St Louis at the moment, will have to keep an eye out for a potential inclusion of thunder this morning west. Temperatures.. Clouds/rain should keep highs in the 60s today, even with a warm start. TONIGHT... As the upper and surface lows pull away from the area, winds will quickly diminish. Clouds will decrease as well. Cold advection behind the cold front will bring a return of temperatures closer to average for November, with lows in the lower to middle 40s. && .Long Term...(Sunday through Friday) Issued at 300 AM EDT Sat Nov 5 2022 * Unseasonable warmth continues next week * Persistently dry...before towards low POPs Thursday night-Friday Dry conditions will prevail Sunday as the atmosphere resumes the southwesterly flow pattern over Indiana courtesy of the gradient between surface high pressure over the southeastern CONUS and an active jet/troughs crossing from the Dakotas to Ontario. Much more tolerable winds amid this comparatively weaker gradient will gust to 15-20 mph...bringing another unseasonably warm day with highs in the mid- to upper 60s. A cold front will cross the Midwest Sunday night into early Monday as a another dome of very broad and amplified high pressure builds from central Canada into the eastern US. While this dome will prevail through the midweek, its center will stay well north of the region while crossing Ontario...so that significantly cooler readings are not expected. Meanwhile, the pattern aloft will favor a broad, deep trough plunging across the western CONUS...which will promote upper ridging to build from the Deep South to the southern Great Lakes. Through Wednesday night...a very dry column from the Canadian air mass will hold precipitable water values under 0.50 inches for most of the region...while resultant ample sunshine and higher heights boost afternoon maxs into the 60s to near 70F. Winds veering through easterly components should prevent temperatures from approaching record levels. The western trough is expected to progress eastward later in the week, promoting cyclogenesis through the Upper Midwest...with a trailing cold front likely crossing Indiana towards the end of the long term. Low confidence in any organized rain given the antecedent dry pattern and ensembles suggesting best forcing stays north/west of the region...although moderate confidence readings return to seasonable, if not below normal levels by week's end. && .Aviation...(12Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 656 AM EDT Sat Nov 5 2022 Impacts: * Non-convective low-level wind shear through 20z * SHRA this morning...then MVFR CIGs this afternoon through 20z * Wind gusts 31-46 kts through 20z today...especially at KHUF/KLAF Discussion: Occluding storm system near Quad Cities early this morning will track northward to Lake Superior by early this evening...while associated cold front crosses central Indiana from west to east this afternoon. SHRA this morning will trend to scattered broken lines of showers through 20z this afternoon...with isolated thunder possible at KHUF/KBMG today, although chances are too low to include in TAF. VFR decks this morning will yield MVFR CIGs in stronger showers... before widespread MVFR CIGs settle over the region this afternoon through 20z. Meanwhile, non-convective low-level speed shear is also possible through 20z given the system's strong low-level jet. Southerly winds ahead of the front this morning will increase to 20- 25 kts, with gusts to 40-46 kts at KLAF, and gusts to 31-42 kts elsewhere. Winds will veer amid the frontal zone this afternoon, to 230 degrees at all TAF sites by 22z...sustained at 19-24 kts with gusts to 31-43 knots. Winds will diminish from southwest to northeast early this evening...amid VFR conditions and clearing this evening. && .IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Wind Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for INZ021-028>031- 035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072. && Mesoscale...BRB Update...BRB Short Term...50 Long Term...AGM Aviation...AGM
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 534 AM EDT Sat Nov 5 2022 INZ030-031-037>042-046>049-054>057-062>065-070>072-060945- Clinton-Howard-Boone-Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph- Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-Rush-Monroe- Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings- Including the cities of Frankfort, Kokomo, Lebanon, Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers, Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson, Muncie, Winchester, Union City, Farmland, Parker City, Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville, Indianapolis, Greenfield, New Castle, Martinsville, Mooresville, Greenwood, Franklin, Shelbyville, Rushville, Bloomington, Nashville, Columbus, Greensburg, Bedford, Mitchell, Seymour, and North Vernon 534 AM EDT Sat Nov 5 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM TODAY... This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Sustained winds up to 30 mph with gusts around 50 mph are expected today. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. && More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind INZ021-028-029-035-036-043>045-051>053-060-061-067>069-060945- Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Fountain-Montgomery-Vermillion-Parke- Putnam-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Sullivan-Greene-Knox-Daviess-Martin- Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport, West Lebanon, Lafayette, West Lafayette, Attica, Covington, Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Clinton, Fairview Park, Rockville, Montezuma, Rosedale, Greencastle, Terre Haute, Brazil, Spencer, Gosport, Sullivan, Carlisle, Shelburn, Farmersburg, Linton, Bloomfield, Jasonville, Worthington, Vincennes, Washington, Loogootee, and Shoals 534 AM EDT Sat Nov 5 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM TODAY... This hazardous weather outlook is for western central Indiana. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Isolated thunderstorms are possible this morning. Severe storms are not expected. Lightning is the primary hazard, Sustained winds up to 30 mph with gusts into the 45 to 55 mph range are expected today. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. && More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
948 AM EDT SAT NOV 5 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0935 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 WSW FRANKFORT 40.27N 86.57W
11/05/2022 M58 MPH CLINTON IN AWOS
KFKR FRANKFORT AWOS.
&&The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
10 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
High gradient winds downed a sycamore tree 2-3 feet in diameter, 2 miles east-southeast of Bloomington. The peak wind of the day at the Bloomington ASOS was 49 kts from the south-southeast at 1006 EST.
An Indiana DOT mesonet site at 0.7 miles south of Loogootee recorded a peak gradient wind gust of 50 kts.
High gradient winds downed a tree into power lines and across a road at 1610 North Bell Street in Kokomo. Winds also downed power lines at the intersection of County Roads 250 North and 300 East.
High gradient winds downed a tree onto a car on Interstate 74, 4 miles west-northwest of New Point, injuring one person. Multiple trees were reported downed across Decatur County.
Multiple trees were reported downed by strong gradient winds across Delaware County, including at 3 miles west-northwest of Gaston.
High gradient winds downed multiple trees across Madison County, with power outages reported.
High gradient winds both snapped a power pole 1.4 miles west-northwest of Arlington and downed multiple trees throughout the county.
Purdue University Airport recorded a peak gradient wind gust of 56 kts from the southwest; gusts, greatest during 745-1700 EST, were generally 26-43 kts. The West Lafayette 6 NW site measured a peak gust of 43 kts at 1530 EST.
High gradient winds downed three trees at a residence 2.2 miles east-northeast of Brazil on County Road 100 East. A healthy, 2-foot diameter tree was snapped and downed into a home; two other trees were uprooted, one falling into a new swing set.
Mesonet site at the interchange between I-65 and Indiana Route 28, 1.3 miles east of Fickle, recorded a peak gradient wind gust of 56 kts. The Frankfort AWOS, FKR (4.9 miles to the east) recorded a peak gust of 50 kts at 835 EST.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Indiana in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Indiana, November 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1056185, 1056184, 1056186, 1056187, 1056188, 1056189, 1056191, 1056181, 1056190, 1056183.