On June 19th, afternoon thunderstorms developed in east-central Colorado due to a surface trough setting up on the lee side of the Rocky Mountains. One of these thunderstorms produced a wind gust up to an estimated 65 mph.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GLD wrote it up.
On June 19th, afternoon thunderstorms developed in east-central Colorado due to a surface trough setting up on the lee side of the Rocky Mountains. One of these thunderstorms produced a wind gust up to an estimated 65 mph.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 19, 10:33 AM MST, 2 hours 12 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 1133 AM MDT Sun Jun 19 2022 .SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday) Issued at 300 AM MDT Sun Jun 19 2022 Hot and windy conditions will occur once again today with highs back into the upper 90s and lower 100s with breezy to windy south winds. Will see some isolated showers and thunderstorms develop in Colorado by the afternoon with lee trough making its way into the area. Instability and shear will be lacking and no severe storms are expected. However, with inverted-V soundings and DCAPE up to 1500 j/kg cannot rule out a stronger wind gust. Showers will dissipate after sunset. Low temperatures tonight will be in the 60s and 70s. Upper ridge axis shifts a little further east on Monday with a cold front moving into eastern Colorado and prefrontal trough in northwest Kansas. Short term CAMs highlighting the trough as focus for convective initiation in the afternoon, roughly along a Tribune to McCook line, after 21z. Environment near the trough will be weakly unstable with mixed layer CAPE 1000-1500 j/kg, DCAPE about the same, and deep layer shear around 20 kts. So, appears to be a marginal set up for severe storms with wind the primary hazard, but perhaps some hail up to quarter size as well with any stronger updraft. Lack of shear will be a limiting factor, however. Storms dissipate by around 03z Monday evening. High temperatures will once again be in the upper 90s to lower 100s with breezy to windy southwest winds. Cold front will make its way through the area Monday night with northerly winds by early Tuesday morning. Low temperatures will range from the mid 50s in northeast Colorado behind the front to the upper 60s in Hill City ahead of it. Front will clear the area by Tuesday morning with lighter winds shifting from north in the morning to east to northeast by the afternoon. Temperatures will be closer to normal with highs ranging from the lower 80s in northeast Colorado to the lower 90s in Hill City and McCook. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will move in from the southwest Tuesday afternoon and evening with a weak shortwave trough rotating around the ridge which will have moved into Arkansas/Texas area. Model forecast soundings show little to no instability, but with just a hint of non-zero MUCAPE. So, no severe storms expected, but maybe a few rumbles of thunder with the showers. QPF is generally less than a tenth of an inch. Low temperatures will be in the 50s and 60s. .LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 225 AM MDT Sun Jun 19 2022 For this long-term forecast pattern, there has been a noticeable shift in the overall projected pattern to develop by the end of this week. Zonal flow is still anticipated to take shape for the middle of the week, but forecast guidance is no longer depicting a larger ridge of high pressure redeveloping across the Rockies by the weekend. What this means for the Tri-State Region is that another prolonged period of heat is no longer anticipated. In fact, forecast guidance indicates that another weak cold front should move into the region Saturday and Sunday, which should produce another sensible dip in temperatures similar to what will be observed on Tuesday. Now, despite the cold front coming in, there should still be a few hot days to get through Thursday through Saturday before those cooler temperatures are observed...just simply stating that it no longer looks like a more prolonged heatwave type event lasting through the weekend and into early next week. Highs each day Thursday through Saturday should be in the 90s to hitting the century mark for some locations. Wednesday now looks to be trending cooler as well as it seems forecast guidance is indicating some widespread cloud cover over the region, likely a result of southwestern monsoonal moisture moving northeast across the Plains. When it comes to precipitation, as a result of the zonal flow, disturbances should continue to pass over the region throughout this long-term forecast period. Currently, the best chances for thunderstorms arrive on Wednesday, and then again Saturday into Sunday. This is when the upper level disturbance should combine with lingering surface boundaries to produce at least scattered storms. It is possible that thunderstorm chances persist as the heat builds back in, in other words, on Thursday and Friday, though chances for precipitation do drop off as forcing looks much weaker for these days. Regarding severe weather chances, the current threat for Wednesday appears low. Shear does increase in the late afternoon, mainly east of Highway 83. However, the instability axis remains well to the east...over central Kansas, which with the instability and shear not co-located, a severe weather situation would appear unlikely. Therefore, most likely, storms would exhibit airmass thunderstorm tendencies, but perhaps a cluster or two of non-severe storms form. For the weekend storms that are forecast, it does appear that a more favorable set-up takes shape across the Tri-State Region. Higher surface moisture is anticipated with this frontal passage, and this should result in higher instability/CAPE values being observed. In addition, as upper level disturbances move through, the wind field aloft improves and with the turning winds along the front, the overall wind shear values increase as well. That being said, there is a lot to be resolved for this severe weather potential, including exact instability and shear values, timing of the upper level disturbances, and most importantly, the mesoscale surface features (front and residual outflow boundaries). Therefore, will hold off on any severe weather mention for next weekend for the time being but it is something to monitor. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon) Issued at 1132 AM MDT Sun Jun 19 2022 Both KGLD and KMCK expect to see VFR conditions throughout the 18Z TAF period. KGLD begins with southerly winds at 25G25 kts that expect to decrease to 16G26 kts around 02Z. At 05Z, KGLD sees southerly LLWS of 50 kts at 2 kft that lasts until 08Z. At 16Z, KGLD winds look to become southwesterly at 25G25 kts. KMCK starts with southerly winds at 23G33 kts that decrease to 16G26 kts by 02Z. Southerly LLWS of 50 kts at 2 kft is seen at KMCK by 05Z when winds slow to around 17 kts. At 12Z, LLWS ends at KMCK when winds become south-southwesterly at 16G26 kts then increase to 20G30 kts at 15Z. && .GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. CO...NONE. NE...NONE. && SHORT TERM...024 LONG TERM...RRH AVIATION...076
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Goodland KS 1143 AM MDT Sun Jun 19 2022 COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-201745- Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas- Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- 1143 AM MDT Sun Jun 19 2022 /1243 PM CDT Sun Jun 19 2022/ This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska... northwest Kansas and east central Colorado. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected once again in the Colorado and Kansas border area due to gusty south winds and low humidity. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon and persist into the early evening. Locally strong winds will be possible near any shower or thunderstorm. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... Scattered showers and thunderstorms Monday afternoon and evening will be capable of producing locally strong wind gusts. A chance for showers and thunderstorms continues Tuesday and Wednesday. A few strong storms will be possible with wind the primary hazard, but widespread severe weather is not expected. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected to be required. Please report any fires sighted to your local dispatch.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
105 PM MDT Sun Jun 19 2022
COZ092-191930-
Cheyenne County CO-
105 PM MDT Sun Jun 19 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of western Cheyenne
County in east central Colorado through 130 PM MDT...
At 105 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 5
miles west of Kit Carson, or 29 miles west of Cheyenne Wells, moving
north at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of western Cheyenne
County in east central Colorado, including the following locations...
Wild Horse.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Goodland.
&&
LAT...LON 3904 10303 3904 10256 3868 10283 3870 10303
TIME...MOT...LOC 1905Z 201DEG 28KT 3878 10290
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
TriggPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
115 PM MDT SUN JUN 19 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0105 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 NNW RULETON 39.52N 101.93W
06/19/2022 M51 MPH SHERMAN KS MESONET
MESONET STATION FW1147 16 NW GOODLAND.
&&
TTPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
129 PM MDT SUN JUN 19 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0129 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNE GOODLAND 39.37N 101.70W
06/19/2022 M54 MPH SHERMAN KS ASOS
ASOS STATION KGLD GOODLAND.
&&
TTSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
140 PM MDT Sun Jun 19 2022
COZ091-092-192000-
Kit Carson County CO-Cheyenne County CO-
140 PM MDT Sun Jun 19 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central
Cheyenne and south central Kit Carson Counties in east central
Colorado through 200 PM MDT...
At 140 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles north of Kit Carson, or 24 miles west of Cheyenne Wells, moving
north at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of north central
Cheyenne and south central Kit Carson Counties in east central
Colorado.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3880 10271 3886 10290 3912 10283 3908 10250
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 200DEG 30KT 3890 10279
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
TriggThe Goodland radar (KGLD), 103 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:45 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Report received of a estimated 65 mph thunderstorm wind gust at location.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Colorado in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Colorado, June 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1039281.