Severe drought conditions developed across the northern Big Country during November.
Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJT wrote it up.
Severe drought conditions developed across the northern Big Country during November.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 11:46 PM CST, 14 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1246 AM CDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Monday) Issued at 241 PM CDT Sun Oct 31 2021 Beautiful day in progress across west central Texas with plenty of sunshine. A weak cold front is draped roughly along a line from Big Lake to San Angelo to Brownwood. Temperatures behind the front in the Big Country are in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Across the rest of the area temperatures have warmed into the upper 70s to mid 80s. It'll be another quiet night although some patchy low level stratus may develop near daybreak. Lows will be in the mid to upper 40s in the Big Country and in the lower to mid 50s elsewhere. Tomorrow will be another relatively mild day to kick off the month of November. The aforementioned frontal boundary will slowly lift northward during the day resulting in east-southeast low level flow. High temperatures are a little bit tricky as the NAM is cooler especially in the Big Country due to more extensive cloud cover in the afternoon. Have lowered temps a couple of degrees but not as cool as the NAM. Expect highs generally in the mid to upper 70s for most of the area. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through next Sunday) Issued at 225 PM CDT Sun Oct 31 2021 The main focus for this upcoming week is the anticipated arrival of a Canadian airmass into west Texas and resulting showers from isentropic lift. At this point, it appears the cold front will arrive Monday night into early Tuesday morning. As is typical, the NAM shows the coldest temperature trend, and since it tends to handle these cold airmasses the best, we have trended heavily towards this solution. NAM forecast soundings show a steep inversion setting up by Tuesday afternoon as the cold air moves in rapidly at the surface. Most likely, high temperatures will occur in the morning, then lower through the rest of the day. Moisture riding over the top of the front will result in mostly cloudy to overcast skies with dreary conditions settling in Tuesday night. These cloudy, cool and wet conditions will likely persist through Thursday as the cold air is reinforced by northeast surface winds. The axis of a shortwave trough in the northwest flow aloft moving through will increase chances for rain showers across the area, although amounts look to be only 0.25-0.75 inches. By Friday, the shortwave will move out of the area, and southerly flow returns at the surface. This should allow skies to clear out and temperatures to return to near normal. Earlier model runs had another shortwave system moving into Texas on Saturday, but this morning's 12Z runs keep this feature over the northern Plains. Dry conditions with seasonal temperatures are therefore expected on Saturday and Sunday. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1236 AM CDT Mon Nov 1 2021 VFR conditions will continue overnight. For the early to mid- morning hours, some low cloud development is expected over the Northern Edwards Plateau and possibly as far north as KSJT. Also expecting patchy low cloud development over parts of the Big Country, mainly north and northwest of KABI. Carrying MVFR ceilings at KSOA and KSJT, with a scattered layer at KJCT and KABI. Generally light winds overnight will become south at 8-11 knots by midday or early afternoon. This to occur as a shallow stalled surface boundary lifts north as a warm front. The boundary could start to sag south again Monday night, and expect increasing low cloud development mainly after Midnight. Will further assess model data for position of the front through the next 24 hours and the extent of low cloud development. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 52 65 48 54 / 10 20 60 70 San Angelo 54 75 51 59 / 5 10 40 50 Junction 56 80 56 69 / 0 5 20 40 Brownwood 54 72 51 59 / 5 20 50 70 Sweetwater 51 63 47 52 / 10 20 50 60 Ozona 57 76 55 63 / 0 5 20 30 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...42 LONG TERM....SK AVIATION...19
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service San Angelo TX 215 PM CDT Sun Oct 31 2021 TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139- 140-154-155-168>170-011915- Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho- Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford- Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble- Mason- 215 PM CDT Sun Oct 31 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday The threat for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
4 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
According to the US Drought Monitor, Throckmorton County had severe drought conditions during the entire month of November.
According to the US Drought Monitor, Haskell County had severe drought conditions during the entire month of November.
According to the US Drought Monitor, Fisher County had severe drought conditions during the entire month of November.
According to the US Drought Monitor, Jones County had severe drought conditions during the entire month of November.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 994598, 994599, 994600, 994601.