A deep and broad upper level low pressure system over the Great Lakes brought the upper level jet stream south over West Texas and eastern New Mexico. Strong winds associated with the jet stream mixed into the higher elevations of the Guadalupe Mountains.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
A deep and broad upper level low pressure system over the Great Lakes brought the upper level jet stream south over West Texas and eastern New Mexico. Strong winds associated with the jet stream mixed into the higher elevations of the Guadalupe Mountains.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 5, 2:18 PM CST, 1 hour 33 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 218 PM CST Fri Feb 5 2021 .DISCUSSION... After a chilly start to the day temperatures have warmed nicely into the 60's across the area. Will see another quiet night before winds pick up Saturday morning behind a cold front. NW winds could gust over 30 mph across the Permian Basin so have retained the blowing dust already in the forecast. Strong winds will diminish by afternoon with highs Saturday very similar to this afternoon. Winds quickly switch to the west and southwest Sunday leading to much warmer temperatures. Expect highs mostly in the 70's with an 80 degrees not out of the question west of the Pecos River. The forecast becomes more uncertain heading into the rest of next week as very cold, Arctic air pushes south across the Plains. The leading edge of this airmass will settle across the TX Panhandle Monday, but not make much headway south. The majority of the area should see another very warm day Monday with highs in the 70's. Most forecast models then show the cold airmass slowly oozing southwest across the area into Tuesday, but it's worth noting there are some outliers that keep us warm into the end of next week. The upper pattern doesn't support a quick frontal passage so it may take a couple days for the front to fully pass through our area. There continues to be quite a bit of uncertainty as to how cold it will get behind this front. The current thinking is that high temperatures will fall back into the 50's for the Permian Basin Tuesday with 70's and 80's further west. By Wednesday, clouds should be on the increase and temperatures may not make it out of the 40's and 50's for much of the area minus the Rio Grande. Again, this forecast could change drastically in the coming days. Late next week into the weekend features a major surge of Arctic air into the area. This very cold air will quickly engulf much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. We may see several days below freezing with even a possibility of wintry precipitation. There is a lot to be worked out in the coming days with regard to the cold air so stay tuned! && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 39 63 34 72 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 36 63 31 74 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 44 71 39 73 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 43 65 39 79 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 37 58 38 66 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 36 60 32 72 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 32 63 27 72 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 41 64 35 75 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 40 64 35 75 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 38 66 30 77 / 0 0 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...None. && 87/29
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 139 PM CST Fri Feb 5 2021 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082- 270>282-061945- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler- Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- 139 PM CST Fri Feb 5 2021 /1239 PM MST Fri Feb 5 2021/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday Blowing dust will possible on Saturday across Lea county in Southeast NM, as well as the Permian Basin due to gusty northwest winds in the morning and early afternoon. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... https://weather.gov/midland
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, February 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 946166, 946164.