Scattered showers and thunderstorms developed across Middle Tennessee during the afternoon hours on October 5. There were a few reports of flooding across the area.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OHX wrote it up.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms developed across Middle Tennessee during the afternoon hours on October 5. There were a few reports of flooding across the area.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 5, 12:55 PM CST, 5 hours 17 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 155 PM CDT Tue Oct 5 2021 .DISCUSSION... Upper low remains camped out over MS this afternoon. The favorable moisture channel is setup along and east of the axis which extends north of the low. The system will slowly move northward over the next 24 to 36 hours. Impulse driven energy will continue to work northward across our area this evening then again late tonight with likely to categorical pops. On Wednesday, some west to east curvature and shear will develop to the east of the upper low. Energy will again pick up late in the day with pops once again reaching the likely category. In fact categorical pops are on order for a good portion of the Plateau for Wednesday night. As for precip amounts through Wednesday night, it looks like 1 inch far northwest up to 2 inches far southeast/south central areas. This is below ffg levels so will not be including any flood watches with the forecast. Pops will begin a down trend on Thursday as the low lifts northward and the better channeling moves eastward. By late Thursday night only a 20/30 percent chance will reside along the plateau. Near term temps look to be above normal, especially overnight lows. In the extended forecast, upper ridging to build in over the weekend with warm and pop free conditions. A weakening frontal boundary will be on approach early next week with low pops returning. Forcing appears to be a little overdone with the models,gfs especially, given the mslp model returns. Otherwise, temperatures looking warm to the tune of 10-12 degrees or so above normal. && .AVIATION... 18Z TAF DISCUSSION. BNA/MQY/CKV/CSV...Mainly light showers continue to spread into Middle Tennessee as an inverted trough develops across the mid state. At the same time, a low height center near the confluence of MS/LA/AR is helping to pull additional moisture into Middle Tennessee, so we can expect high rain chances today and tomorrow. The HRRR brings mainly scattered cells across the mid state during the next several hours. There may be some storms embedded in these echoes, but the chance of storms is low enough that we'll mention just showers in the TAF's for now. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 65 77 65 78 61 / 80 60 70 60 10 Clarksville 64 77 64 79 58 / 80 50 60 50 10 Crossville 62 72 63 73 58 / 60 60 80 80 50 Columbia 64 77 65 79 59 / 80 60 70 50 10 Lawrenceburg 65 77 65 79 59 / 80 60 70 50 10 Waverly 63 76 64 79 59 / 80 40 50 50 10 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && DISCUSSION......21 AVIATION........08
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Nashville TN 502 AM CDT Tue Oct 5 2021 TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-061000- Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston- Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-Jackson- Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury- Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-Coffee- Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles- 502 AM CDT Tue Oct 5 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middle Tennessee. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Patchy dense fog possible through early morning hours today. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. JB Wright
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
140 PM CDT Tue Oct 5 2021
TNZ058-060-094-051930-
Lawrence TN-Lewis TN-Maury TN-
140 PM CDT Tue Oct 5 2021
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of eastern Lewis,
northeastern Lawrence and southwestern Maury Counties through 230 PM
CDT...
At 139 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm with
some mid level rotation near Summertown, or 15 miles north of
Lawrenceburg, moving northwest at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Possible Landspouts and winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Gusty winds
could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured
objects.
Locations impacted include...
Mount Pleasant, Summertown, Gordonsburg and Hampshire.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3555 8753 3570 8725 3546 8712 3545 8715
3544 8716 3543 8719 3543 8721 3539 8721
3535 8730
TIME...MOT...LOC 1839Z 147DEG 8KT 3546 8726
LANDSPOUT...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
FBPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
447 PM CDT TUE OCT 05 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0436 PM TORNADO 4 SW MOUNT JULIET 36.16N 86.56W
10/03/2021 WILSON TN BROADCAST MEDIA
A SMALL WEAK EF-0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ALONG JOHN HAGER
ROAD IN SOUTHWEST MOUNT JULIET THEN MOVED NORTHEAST
ACROSS I-40. SEVERAL VIDEOS OF THE TORNADO WERE TAKEN IN
THIS AREA. THE TORNADO APPARENTLY LIFTED BEFORE CROSSING
CENTRAL PIKE THEN BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN AGAIN ON HATCHER
ROAD WHERE IT BLEW DOWN A FEW TREES. MAX WINDS WERE
ESTIMATED AT 60 MPH.
&&
CORRECTED FATALITIES...INJURIES...REMARKS
EVENT NUMBER OHX2100667
SHAMBURGERSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
522 PM CDT Tue Oct 5 2021
TNZ094-052245-
Lawrence TN-
522 PM CDT Tue Oct 5 2021
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Lawrence County through 545 PM CDT...
At 522 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Lawrenceburg, moving northwest at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Lawrenceburg.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3528 8758 3531 8758 3536 8751 3524 8738
3518 8744
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 130DEG 9KT 3523 8744
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
WhiteheadSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
549 PM CDT Tue Oct 5 2021
TNZ058-093-094-052330-
Lawrence TN-Wayne TN-Lewis TN-
549 PM CDT Tue Oct 5 2021
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central Lewis,
east central Wayne and northwestern Lawrence Counties through 630 PM
CDT...
At 549 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles northwest of Lawrenceburg, moving northwest at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of south central
Lewis, east central Wayne and northwestern Lawrence Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3531 8744 3526 8752 3539 8767 3548 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 2249Z 147DEG 10KT 3532 8750
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
WhiteheadSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
711 PM CDT Tue Oct 5 2021
TNZ058-060045-
Lewis TN-
711 PM CDT Tue Oct 5 2021
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Lewis
County through 745 PM CDT...
At 711 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles west of Summertown, or 10 miles southeast of Hohenwald, moving
northwest at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Hohenwald.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3558 8752 3546 8744 3546 8745 3542 8745
3542 8748 3541 8748 3541 8750 3551 8763
TIME...MOT...LOC 0011Z 144DEG 12KT 3543 8745
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
WhiteheadThe Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 128 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:10 UTC.
2 flood, 2 flash flood, 1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
High water was reported across Clax Branch Road with a vehicle reportedly washed into Caney Branch. No injuries.
Vehicle reportedly washed into a creek at St. Joseph Park. Occupants were uninjured.
Orton Road in Deerfield reportedly underwater.
Mount Nebo Road was reportedly underwater.
CoCoRaHS Station Loretto 1.1 E reported 4.50 inches of rain since 4:15 PM with rain still falling.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, October 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 990065, 990069, 990071, 990073, 990075.