Arizona, 2021Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Arizona, October 5, 2021
October 5, 2021 · NWS VEF · 9 events in 1 county or zone
A cutoff low moved from the Pacific Ocean through the Desert Southwest, triggering a round of thunderstorms. Some storms produced flash flooding and severe winds.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $111,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 9
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A cutoff low moved from the Pacific Ocean through the Desert Southwest, triggering a round of thunderstorms. Some storms produced flash flooding and severe winds.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Las Vegas, NV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 5, 8:45 AM MST, 1 hour 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 5, 8:45 AM MST, 1 hour 25 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
845 AM PDT Tue Oct 5 2021
.SYNOPSIS...Low pressure moving in from Southern California will
spread showers and thunderstorms across areas along and south of
Interstate 15 today. Heaviest rainfall and best chances for
thunderstorms will be across San Bernardino and Mohave counties.
Another weather system will approach the region late in the week
with renewed shower chances and increased wind speeds. Temperatures
for the remainder of the week will tend to be below average.
&&
.UPDATE...Active start to the day as scattered bands of convection
extend from southern Nye/Western Clark county southward towards Lake
Havasu. This activity is fueled by marginal instability focused in
the 500-700mb layer sampled on this mornings 12z VEF sounding as
well as a strongly divergent flow aloft in the northeast quadrant of
an approaching low pressure system near San Diego. Overall
precipitation amounts thus far have been fairly light, ranging from
a tenth or two under most of the heavier downpours, to nearly a half
an inch near Jean this morning under some training storm activity.
Expecting scattered to numerous thunderstorms to continue through
the afternoon hours mainly along and south of I-15 today. Breaks in
the cloud cover will encourage stronger destabilization later this
morning, and when combined with cold mid level temperatures of -13
to -15C at 500mb, small hail will be possible with stronger
updrafts.
Will be making some minor tweaks to the current forecast to account
for latest trends, but overall things remain on track.
-Outler-
&&
.SHORT TERM...Today through Wednesday night.
A line of showers was developing from near Baker up over Las Vegas
early this morning under the diffluent northeast quadrant of the
closed upper low centered along the SoCal Coast. The circulation
center will open up and lift across far southeast California into
western Arizona this afternoon and evening leading to scattered to
numerous rain showers and the potential for thunderstorms. The
latest NBM and HREF solutions continue to indicated Mohave County
will see the highest concentration of showers and thunderstorms,
though nearby areas of eastern Clark and San Bernardino counties
will also be favored, but to a lesser extent. The latest QPF
estimates still indicate 0.25-0.50" over central and eastern Mohave
counties and generally 0.10" or less over Clark and eastern San
Bernardino counties with amounts of 0.25-0.33" in the Spring
Mountains. Of course, the convective nature of the rainfall will
lead to isolated higher amounts. Also, some small hail will be
possible with thunderstorms...especially under the cold pool
tracking over central and southern Mohave county. Temperatures will
be around 10 degrees cooler today than Monday. Showers and
thunderstorms will continue through early evening then should
dissipate by midnight.
A drying southwest flow will develop over our region as the trough
lifts away leaving partly cloudy skies and temperatures only
climbing 2-3 degrees. Highs will be a few degrees below normal with
readings in the 80s across most of the Mojave Desert zones.
.LONG TERM...Thursday through Tuesday.
Progressive, more fall-like pattern illustrated by ensemble guidance
will take us into next week. Next upstream trough coming out of the
Gulf of Alaska progged to split with southern stream energy digging
down the California Coast Thursday before turning inland across
southern California/Mojave Desert Friday. Expect increasing winds
along with another round of light showers. This system is colder and
may bring the first snowflakes to the higher elevations of the
southern Sierra. Additional energy coming down backside of trough
will keep it cool into Saturday with light showers possible over the
higher terrain. Even deeper trough possible early next week. Jury
still out on just how far south this trough may dig and just how wet
it might be. Right now, system looks to take a more inland
trajectory which would lead to a drier system. More confident that
it will become breezy and colder by the middle of next week.
&&
.AVIATION...For McCarran...Winds will follow diurnal patterns
this morning before becoming more south or southeast this afternoon.
Speeds should remain at 8KT or less through the period.
An area of low pressure will move into the region through the day
bringing isolated showers through early afternoon with the better
chances of seeing shower activity at the airport between 20z-00z
this afternoon. Cigs may lower to around 8k feet with any showers,
but there is also some potential of cigs dropping to around 6k feet
with any heavier shower activity. Isolated thunderstorms are also
possible this afternoon, but confidence is too low at this time to
include TS in the TAFs. Precipitation is expected to end this
evening, with conditions improving overnight.
For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...Clouds will continue to increase and lower this morning
as an area of low pressure moves into the region. Isolated to
scattered showers and afternoon thunderstorms will be possible over
much of the area, with the exception of KBIH where no shower
activity is expected. Ceilings to around 8000ft and mountain
obscuration will be possible with any showers, and lower ceilings
down to 5000ft, small hail, and moderate rain would be possible with
any thunderstorm. Conditions will improve this evening and overnight
as rain ends from southwest to northeast. No significant winds are
expected with most areas seeing wind speeds less than 10 kts,
however, there is some potential of seeing wind gusts to around 20
kts near any thunderstorms.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Showers and thunderstorms are
likely to impact areas mainly along and south of I-15 today.
Spotters are encouraged to report any significant weather or impacts
according to standard operating procedures.
&&
SHORT TERM...Adair
LONG TERM...Pierce
AVIATION...Gorelow
For more forecast information...see us on our webpage:
https://weather.gov/lasvegas or follow us on Facebook and Twitter
In the hours before
Local storm report, Oct 5, 9:20 AM MST, 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
920 AM PDT TUE OCT 5 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 SSE YUCCA VALLEY 34.10N 116.43W
10/05/2021 SAN BERNARDINO CA PUBLIC
LARGE TREE DOWN IN YUCCA VALLEY DUE TO
THUNDERSTORM RELATED WINDS. PUBLIC ESTIMATED
A TIME OF 3AM WHICH HAS BEEN CONFIRMED VIA
RADAR.
&&
VARIANFlash Flood, Mohave
- When
- October 5, 10:10 AM MST to 12:00 PM MST
- Where
- Mohave County, 4.88 mi SE of Wikieup to 4.85 mi SE of Wikieup
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- County Official
- Coordinates
- 34.642, -113.571
Banegas Ranch Road was closed from Banegas Ranch to Highway 93 due to flooding.
Flash Flood, Mohave
- When
- October 5, 10:10 AM MST to 12:00 PM MST
- Where
- Mohave County, 7.37 mi NNE of Signal to 7.23 mi NNE of Signal
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- County Official
- Coordinates
- 34.567, -113.577
Signal Road was closed from Alamo Road to Highway 93 due to flooding.
Thunderstorm Wind, Mohave
- When
- October 5, 10:12 AM MST to 10:17 AM MST
- Where
- Mohave County, 1.19 mi ENE of Yucca
- Measured
- 51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 34.879, -114.132
Flash Flood, Mohave
- When
- October 5, 10:20 AM MST to 12:00 PM MST
- Where
- Mohave County, 5.88 mi ENE of Cone Spgs to 5.99 mi ENE of Cone Spgs
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- County Official
- Coordinates
- 34.907, -113.552
Bogeles Ranch Road was closed from Upper Trout Creek Road to Bogeles Ranch due to flooding.
Flash Flood, Mohave
- When
- October 5, 10:20 AM MST to 12:00 PM MST
- Where
- Mohave County, 2.34 mi SSE of Cone Spgs to 4.3 mi SSE of Cone Spgs
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Property damage
- $2,000
- Reported by
- County Official
- Coordinates
- 34.849, -113.634
Pump Station Road and Huffritter Road were closed from Back Road to Highway 93 due to flooding.
Flash Flood, Mohave
- When
- October 5, 10:30 AM MST to 12:00 PM MST
- Where
- Mohave County, 2.94 mi SSE of Kingman Arpt to 2.89 mi SSE of Kingman Arpt
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- County Official
- Coordinates
- 35.210, -113.632
Hackberry Road was closed from Highway 93 to Route 66 due to flooding.
Thunderstorm Wind, Mohave
- When
- October 5, 10:30 AM MST to 10:35 AM MST
- Where
- Mohave County, 3.03 mi ESE of Cone Spgs
- Measured
- 48 kt (55 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 34.867, -113.599
Thunderstorm winds knocked down multiple heavy-duty command tents and porta-potties.
Thunderstorm Wind, Mohave
- When
- October 5, 10:48 AM MST to 11:03 AM MST
- Where
- Mohave County, 1.99 mi NNW of Kingman to 0.55 mi SSE of Berry
- Measured
- 59 kt (68 mph) measured gust
- Property damage
- $100,000
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 35.228, -114.059
Thunderstorm winds blew down trees and power lines across the city of Kingman.
Thunderstorm Wind, Mohave
- When
- October 5, 12:50 PM MST
- Where
- Mohave County, 23.34 mi SSE of Littlefield
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 36.582, -113.732
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Mississippi, October 5, 2021$31,000 · 1.75 in hail · 11 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Arizona, October 5, 2021$15,000 · 1.75 in hail · 20 events
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Utah, October 5 to 8, 202160 kt wind · 6 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Tennessee, October 5, 20215 events
- Flash Flooding in Alabama, October 5 to 6, 20214 events
- Damaging Wind in California, October 5, 2021$1,000 · 1 event
- Damaging Wind in Maryland, October 5, 2021$2,000 · 50 kt wind · 1 event
- Damaging Wind in Virginia, October 5, 2021$2,000 · 50 kt wind · 1 event
- Hail in Arizona, October 5, 20210.75 in hail · 1 event
- Hail in Arizona, October 5, 20211 in hail · 1 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 989145, 989146, 989147, 989148, 989149, 989150, 989151, 989152, 989153.