Another very dry month across southwest New Mexico led to some areas which had recently been brought out of D3(Extreme) and D4(Exceptional) drought back into D3(Extreme) drought.
Every event with a place to put it; 9 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
Another very dry month across southwest New Mexico led to some areas which had recently been brought out of D3(Extreme) and D4(Exceptional) drought back into D3(Extreme) drought.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 10:01 PM MST, 1 hour 59 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1101 PM MDT Sun Oct 31 2021 .AVIATION...06Z TAF CYCLE VFR conditions through the period. P6SM SKC-SCT250 through period. Winds west of the Rio Grande will remain west to northwest. Winds east of the river will be east a generally AOB 10KTS. Winds over the east will start to turn more west to southwest by around 18z becoming west to northwest after 01Z. && .PREV DISCUSSION...547 PM MDT Sun Oct 31 2021... .SYNOPSIS... Warmer temperatures will continue the next few days before a backdoor cold front approaches the area. Temperatures drop into the mid-60s for much of the area Thursday before gradually warming up to the low-70s heading into the weekend. Most of the borderland will stay dry, but the Sacramento Mtns may have their next shot at precipitation late Wednesday into Thursday morning but should stay very minimal. Otherwise, calm conditions for the forecast period. && .DISCUSSION... .SHORT TERM...Tonight and Monday... Quiet short term period with zonal flow increasing across the area overnight behind a weak shortwave trough currently passing through. Should see skies become mostly clear across the CWA early with some increasing high clouds again after midnight. A weak back door is currently over the far eastern counties, but looks to have a hard time progressing very far west with the increasing west flow. Should again see lows generally in the 40s to around 50 lowlands with 30s in the mountains. For Monday, expect winds to turn back to the west to southwest across the Borderland by midday. There will be some scattered high clouds from time to time but shouldn't have much effect on temperatures. Should see highs again in the 70s to near 80 lowlands with mid 50s to upper 60s in the mountains. && .LONG TERM... Zonal flow and dry westerly winds will make for another warm day on Tuesday. Upper-level moisture will continue to filter into the region bringing a blanket of clouds throughout the day which may keep us a few degrees cooler than Monday. By Wednesday, a backdoor cold front is attempting to make its way westward but seems to stall along the Sacs. Late Wednesday into Thursday, the front finally pushes through. Breezier overnight winds in eastern areas and minimal precipitation behind the front may bring some light showers to the Sacramento Mtns Thursday morning. Wet bulb zero heights and 700 mb temps are too elevated to allow for snow chances. The cold front will certainly be noticed Thursday as areawide temperatures will fall below the climatological norm for this time of year. The end of the work week looks beautiful where clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s is expected. Breezy winds will pick up in the afternoon due to a lee-side low traveling south down the eastern NM border but will taper off soon after sunset. Temperatures stay pleasant this weekend as we stick to the low-70s areawide. Another backdoor cold front may make an appearance in the latter part of the weekend. Although, a few degree drop will be the only noticeable feature with this front. && .FIRE WEATHER... Persistent zonal flow pattern over the region for the next couple of days will keep temperatures mild with 70s for the lowlands and mainly 60s in the mountains. RH's will continue to fall into the teens for the lowlands with some 20s in area mountains. Winds are expected to remain at or below 15 mph through the period though, so critical fire conditions are not expected. A back door front is expected Wednesday night which could bring a brief cool down to the area and a few showers for the Sacs. Vent rates will remain in the fair to good categories. && && && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 50 80 50 78 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 48 77 48 73 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 45 77 44 77 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 45 76 46 75 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 36 53 36 50 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 46 74 46 72 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 44 68 46 66 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 41 78 42 75 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 43 76 45 73 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 49 80 51 77 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 41 77 44 72 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 45 81 49 81 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 45 71 49 70 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 47 79 48 78 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 47 77 44 75 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 48 77 51 76 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 35 77 46 75 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 44 78 44 76 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 45 78 46 75 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 45 76 46 75 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 38 66 40 60 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 35 65 38 61 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 33 64 37 58 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 35 69 36 67 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 46 73 46 72 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 40 75 44 73 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 30 69 38 67 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 39 72 41 69 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 33 71 37 75 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 33 69 43 68 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 43 72 45 69 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 43 77 44 76 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 43 77 43 74 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 43 76 44 75 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 46 71 46 70 / 0 0 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...None. && 04-Lundeen/99/99
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 436 AM MDT Sun Oct 31 2021 NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-011045- Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range- Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley- Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel- Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin- Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes- Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley- Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin- West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet- Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet- East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa- Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County- Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin- Southern Hudspeth Highlands- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County- 436 AM MDT Sun Oct 31 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed. Dennhardt
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
10 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The entire zone remained in Severe(D2) drought through the month of November. The Buckhorn Cooperative Observer reported 0.06 inches of precipitation which was 0.78 inches below normal.
Severe(D2) drought conditions remained across the area through the month. The Gila Hot Springs Cooperative Observer reported 0.21 inches of precipitation which was 0.82 inches below normal.
The entire zone remained in Severe(D2) drought conditions through November.
Severe(D2) drought conditions continued through the entire month. The White Signal Cooperative Observer reported just a trace of precipitation which was 1 inch below normal.
All areas of the zone remained in Severe(D2) drought except the far southeast which was in Moderate(D1) drought. The Cooperative Observer at Antelope Wells received 0.40 inches of precipitation which was 0.41 inches below normal.
Severe(D2) drought remained in place through the month of November.
The entire zone remained in Severe(D2) drought conditions through the month. The Deming Airport reported 0.05 inches which was 0.45 inches below normal.
The month started with the entire zone in Severe(D2) drought, but by the end of the month, all areas except the far north were placed in Extreme(D3) drought. The Hillsboro Cooperative Observer reported 0.01 inches of precipitation which was 0.73 inches below normal.
The month started with Severe(D2) drought over the west and Moderate(D1) drought across the east. By the end of the month, the far west was in Extreme(D3) drought and the remainder of the area was in Severe(D2) drought. The Truth or Consequences Airport reported just a trace of precipitation which was 0.51 inches below normal.
The western half of the zone remained in Severe(D2) drought while the east stayed in Moderate(D1) drought.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, November 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 993172, 993173, 993174, 993175, 993176, 993177, 993178, 993180, 993185, 993188.