On October 27th, northwestern Kansas saw windy conditions in the wake of a departing storm system from the previous day. While most of the area saw winds gusting up to around 45 to 55 mph, a 62 mph wind gust was reported at the Goodland ASOS.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GLD wrote it up.
On October 27th, northwestern Kansas saw windy conditions in the wake of a departing storm system from the previous day. While most of the area saw winds gusting up to around 45 to 55 mph, a 62 mph wind gust was reported at the Goodland ASOS.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 27, 10:27 AM MST, 2 hours 26 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 1127 AM MDT Wed Oct 27 2021 .SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday night) Issued at 347 AM MDT Wed Oct 27 2021 Across the region this morning, most of the area is now under cloudy skies, as moisture on the backside of the slowly exiting low pressure system works south over the area. Some light echoes showing up on radar currently. wind regime remains from the northwest, gusting up into the 35 to 45 mph range. Temps arm currently ranging mainly in the upper 30s through the 40s. A few spots east are near 50F. The latest RAP40 500mb analysis in combination with mid level water vapor imagery continue to show the strong trough over the central portion of the country, moving very slow eastward due to the blocking effects of an amplified ridge over the eastern portion of the country. With no way to move east, a north-south flow will persist over the Plains region. For the Tri State area, we are under the backside northerly flow with a tight gradient, allowing for gusts to persist in the 35-45 mph range. Clouds and remaining moisture are moving south in tandem with the current surface wind regime. Precip remnants are scattered with no major accumulation of rain due to being whipped around by the winds. Latest model runs continue to show persistence with the current winds as little movement in the upper trough until Friday, when a strong upper ridge moves out of the Rockies, with a surface ridge over the Plains region. CAA will persist over the CWA over the next 48 hrs with a warmup Friday. The area will see moisture slowly push east thru the day with dry conditions late today into Friday. Temps cold enough at night to warrant mention of frost. Thursday dry enough with strong gusts to continue mention of elevated to near critical fire wx conditions for areas along/west of Highway 27. With no let up in synoptic wind pattern, gusts expected to remain near 50 mph today and again on Thursday. For temps, cool airmass remains over the region for today and into Thursday. Highs will range in the upper 50s into the lower 60s. For Friday, a warm up occurs, especially over western locales. Highs on Friday will range from the mid 60s to the lower 70s. Overnight lows will range widely from the mid 30s to lower 40s tonight, upper 20s to lower 30s Thursday night and lower to mid 30s Friday night. With northwesterly winds persisting into Thursday night, the area will see wind chill readings crop up. Tonight, readings will range from the lower 20s west to the lower 30s east. Thursday night, readings in the lower to mid 20s area-wide. By Friday night, readings will range from the upper 20s to lower 30s. .LONG TERM...(Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 319 AM MDT Wed Oct 27 2021 The extended forecast begins with zonal flow aloft over the Tri- State region as an upper low continues to move from west to east across Canada, clipping the states along the U.S.-Canadian border. Saturday will be the warmer day of the weekend with highs topping out primarily in the 60s, with a few low 70s possible south of Interstate 70. Lows will range from the mid-20s to mid-30s. Saturday evening, a cold front will move in from the north ushering cooler air into the region, with below normal high temperatures expected. High temperatures in the Tri-State area for this time of year are typically in the mid-60s. Forecasted high temperatures for Sunday afternoon range from the mid-40s to low 50s. Sunday evening, a weak shortwave trough begins to move into the Tri-State area. Weak convergence with upslope flow and the advancing trough will kick off a few rain showers in the evening as temperatures cool into the low to mid-40s for areas along and north of Highway 36, and mid-40s for areas south of the highway. Rain will transition to snow as temperatures drop into the 20s and 30s overnight. Any snow accumulations are expected to be minor at this time due to a lack of moisture to work with and a warm ground. Motorists are advised to keep an eye out for slick spots Monday morning, particularly on elevated surfaces in areas that receive precipitation. A few lingering snow showers will be possible north of I-70 as people head out the door Monday morning. Temperatures warming into the mid to upper 30s in the morning will result in any lingering showers transitioning to a rain/snow mix before becoming all rain. Precipitation chances end from south to north by mid-day. The weather remains unsettled Monday through Wednesday as a series of shortwave troughs move through the region. A few light rain and snow showers will be possible each day with p-types being dependent on temperatures. After low to mid-40s for highs Monday afternoon, temperatures gradually warm back into the 50s by Wednesday. Lows each night are expected to be in the 20s for most of the area with a few 30s possible in the southeastern corner of the Tri-State area. For areas east of the Highway 27 corridor, this may result in the first freeze of the season. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon) Issued at 1108 AM MDT Wed Oct 27 2021 An upper level ridge will continue slowly moving the upper low pressure system east. Due to the ridge moving over the High Plains, the region will remain under NW flow and breezy conditions for majority of the TAF period. Winds over the KGLD terminal are expected to be sustained at 25-35 kts with gusts up to 45kts through 00Z. This evening through the end of the period, winds are expected to decrease to 20-25 kts with gusts up to 35 kts. KMCK is expected to have winds of 20-30 kts this afternoon with gusts up to 40 kts. After 00Z, winds are forecast to decrease to 15-25 kts with gusts up to 25 kts. Thursday morning, winds over KMCK will begin to increase with gusts up to 35 kts by the end of the period. LLWS is expected to impact the terminal or within the vicinity of the terminal from 06-14Z from the NW to NNW at 40-50 kts. && .GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. CO...NONE. NE...NONE. && SHORT TERM...JN LONG TERM...AW AVIATION...KMK
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Goodland KS 130 PM MDT Wed Oct 27 2021 COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-281930- Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas- Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- 130 PM MDT Wed Oct 27 2021 /230 PM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021/ This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska... northwest Kansas and east central Colorado. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... Strong northwesterly winds with gusts up to 55 mph are possible today. These winds could impact high profile vehicles on east-west orientated roadways. With the strong winds, blowing dust may impact portions of the area with visibility reduced to a mile or less at times. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... Northwest winds gusting up to 50 mph are expected during the day Thursday. This may cause difficult driving conditions for those traveling across east west oriented roadways. Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are expected Thursday afternoon along the Colorado Kansas border. Late this weekend into next Monday, chances increase for wintry precipitation and freezing temperatures. Tuesday into Wednesday of next week, temperatures will drop into the 20s, giving the area a potential hard freeze for those locales that have not gotten yet. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed. Spotters are encouraged to report any fires to their local dispatch centers.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
818 AM MDT WED OCT 27 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0120 PM WILDFIRE 7 ENE KIRK 39.66N 102.48W
10/26/2021 YUMA CO 911 CALL CENTER
*** 1 FATAL ***
DELAYED REPORT. SPARKS FROM A COMBINE
STARTED A WILDFIRE IN A CORNFIELD.
&&
KMKPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
843 AM MDT WED OCT 27 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0120 PM WILDFIRE 7 ENE KIRK 39.66N 102.48W
10/26/2021 YUMA CO 911 CALL CENTER
*** 1 FATAL, 1 INJ ***
CORRECTS PREVIOUS WILDFIRE REPORT FROM 7 ENE
KIRK. DELAYED REPORT. SPARKS FROM A COMBINE
STARTED A WILDFIRE IN A CORNFIELD.
&&
KMKThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
KGLD ASOS recorded a 62 mph wind gust at location.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, October 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 989178.