A vigorous system moved through the region during the 27th spawning a few tornadoes and severe thunderstorms.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LCH wrote it up.
A vigorous system moved through the region during the 27th spawning a few tornadoes and severe thunderstorms.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lake Charles, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 27, 5:03 AM CST, 4 hours 32 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
603 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021
.DISCUSSION...
For the 27/12Z TAF Issuance.
&&
.AVIATION...
Main issue today will be convection out ahead of a rather strong
cold front. Used tempo groups to try to time the main convection
which is expected to be a squall line moving out ahead of the
front. Strong wind gusts can be expected with this squall line
along with IFR type ceilings and visibility with heavy rainfall.
Skies are expected to clear out with gusty west winds behind the
front.
Rua
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 426 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021/
SYNOPSIS...
Rather intense thunderstorms are expected today ahead of a cold
front. These thunderstorms will bring the potential for severe
weather. Behind the front, cooler and more seasonable fall weather
can be expected into the weekend.
Severe Weather Potential...
Enhanced Risk (Level 3 out of 5) for roughly the area southeast of
an Alexandria to Lake Charles line. Slight Risk (Level 2 out of 5)
for the remainder of the forecast area.
Hazards...
Damaging straight line wind gusts with a qlcs feature. A few
tornadoes could also be embedded within this line feature.
Also, any discrete cells that develop ahead of the line will have
the potential to rotate and produce tornadoes.
Brief heavy rainfall due to high rainfall rates may lead to minor
street flooding and of low lying areas.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning.
Timing...
Southeast Texas...line from mid morning to around noon. discrete
cells possible by early morning.
Southwest and west central Louisiana...line from around noon time
to mid afternoon. discrete cells possible by mid morning.
East central and south central Louisiana...line from mid to late
afternoon. discrete cells possible by late morning.
Rua
SHORT TERM [through Friday night]...
A rather potent upper level low and trough will take on a negative
tilt as it moves east from the Rockies today to the Mid-
Mississippi Valley by tomorrow morning. This system will push a
dryline followed by a cold front across the forecast area.
Ahead of this system, low level southerly will increase with a low
level jet between 40 and 50 knots. This will help greatly increase
moisture and instability across the forecast area. Precipitable
water values will increase to between 2 and 2.25 inches which are
well over the 90th percentile of SPC daily climo and around the
max moving values. Instability values will also be decent with
most unstable CAPE between 1500 and 2500 j/kg.
Meanwhile, a strong mid and upper level jet with the upper level
storm system will allow lift to take place along with a turning of
the wind profile. What is concerning is progs show 0-1km bulk
shear over 30 knots and 0-1km storm relative helicity over 200
m2/s2.
All this means is rather intense thunderstorms will be possible
today. A line of thunderstorms is already noted west of the I-35
corridor in central Texas. This QLCS feature is expected to move
quickly to the east reaching southeast Texas by mid morning then
across the Sabine River around noon time. The forward momentum of
this system will allow for the possibility of bringing down
rather gusty straightline winds. Within bowing structures, some
quick spin up tornadoes cannot be ruled out.
Ahead of this line, there will be the possibility of discrete
thunderstorm cells to form over the Gulf and move onshore. These
cells will have the chance to take advantage of the maximized
rotating energy becoming supercells with tornado potential. These
cells may begin to form during the early morning hours.
The enhanced risk for parts of southwest Louisiana into south
central Louisiana is due to the higher probability for tornadic
activity. This is mainly the best region that may see the discrete
supercell development. There is a 10 percent risk probability of a
tornado within 25 miles of a point in this area.
The progressive nature of the line of storms should help hold down
the excessive rainfall risk. However, the rainfall rates will be
high so any of the stronger storms associated with mesocyclone
features may produce a high amount of rainfall in a short period
of time leading to minor flooding.
Good news is that once the front moves across, a deep northwest
flow will develop. This will bring down a dry continental air
mass with shower activity ending quickly from west to east during
the afternoon and early evening hours.
Cooler more seasonable conditions can then be expected through the
end of the forecast period. There will be a good pressure gradient
between the surface low and the building high pressure. This will
likely mean rather brisk and gusty northwest winds on Thursday
into Friday, especially during the daytime when mixing is at its
peak. A wind advisory will be likely on Thursday.
Some wrap around cloudiness may move into central Louisiana during
Thursday. However, expect any rain showers to stay to the north.
Rua
LONG TERM [Saturday through Next Thursday]...
The start of the long term period will be breezy and cool with
beautiful weather. Elevated winds after the front on Wednesday will
hang around until Saturday when high pressure starts building in
from the west, allowing gradient flow to relax. Daytime temperatures
Thursday will be in the low 70s, about 5 to 6 degrees cooler than
the normal maximum temperature for late October. High temperatures
will quickly return to seasonal normals Friday and through the
beginning of next week as upper level flow becomes zonal and high
pressure slides eastward over the region.
The Halloween forecast looks great! Saturday (10/30) and Sunday
(10/31) will both be cool and dry with clear or mostly clear skies
and a light northwest breeze. Temperatures will fall quickly into
the low to mid 60s after sundown.
Clear and dry with seasonal daytime temperatures will persist for
Monday and Tuesday. Winds look to turn to the southeast on Tuesday
and Wednesday ahead of a reinforcing cold front passage in the later
part of the week. As of now, no severe weather is expected, rather
just increased rain chances.
11
MARINE...
Rather breezy southerly winds can be expected today as a storm
system strengthens across the Southern Plains. Wind speeds will be
around 20 knots with gusts to 30 knots and a Small Craft Advisory
will be in effect.
As the storm system moves off to the east, a cold front will move
across the coastal waters later today and this evening. Strong
thunderstorms will be possible ahead of the front with the
potential for intense wind gusts and a few waterspouts.
Behind the cold front, west then northwest winds will develop.
These winds will be rather strong and gusty as the pressure
gradient will be tight, and the cold air advection over warm Gulf
waters will allow for mixing and bringing strong elevated winds
down to the surface. Frequent wind gusts over 40 knots will be
possible from tonight into Thursday night. Current a Gale Watch is
in effect for the coastal waters, and this may be upgraded to a
warning later today.
Winds will decrease over the weekend as the high pressure system
settles over the region.
Rua
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX 79 55 71 49 / 100 10 10 0
LCH 81 57 74 51 / 100 0 0 0
LFT 83 59 73 53 / 100 20 10 0
BPT 82 56 74 51 / 100 0 0 0
&&
.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...Gale Watch from late tonight through Friday morning for GMZ450-
452-455-470-472-475.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM CDT Thursday for GMZ452-455-472-
475.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM CDT Thursday for GMZ450-470.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Friday for GMZ430-432-435.
&&Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 458 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-281100- Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry- Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin- Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-East Cameron- Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-Northern Newton- Southern Jasper-Southern Newton- 458 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west central Louisiana and southeast Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Severe Weather Potential... Enhanced Risk (Level 3 out of 5) for roughly the area southeast of an Alexandria to Lake Charles line. Slight Risk (Level 2 out of 5) for the remainder of the forecast area. Hazards... Damaging straight line wind gusts with a qlcs feature. A few tornadoes could also be embedded within this line feature. Also, any discrete cells that develop ahead of the line will have the potential to rotate and produce tornadoes. Brief heavy rainfall due to high rainfall rates may lead to minor street flooding and of low lying areas. Frequent cloud to ground lightning. Timing... Southeast Texas...line from mid morning to around noon. discrete cells possible by early morning. Southwest and west central Louisiana...line from around noon time to mid afternoon. discrete cells possible by mid morning. East central and south central Louisiana...line from mid to late afternoon. discrete cells possible by late morning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Brisk and gusty northwest winds will bring the chance for a wind advisory on Thursday and Friday. Otherwise, no hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. GMZ452-455-472-475-281100- Coastal waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA out 20 NM- Waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA from 20 to 60 NM- 458 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Gulf of Mexico. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Small Craft Advisory. Gale Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. GMZ430-432-435-281100- Sabine Lake-Calcasieu Lake-Vermilion Bay- 458 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal lakes and bays of the Gulf of Mexico. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Small Craft Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Small Craft Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. GMZ450-470-281100- Coastal waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX out 20 NM- Waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX from 20 to 60 NM- 458 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Gulf of Mexico. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Small Craft Advisory. Gale Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1013 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021
TXZ180-201-215-216-259>261-271600-
Orange TX-Jefferson TX-Hardin TX-Northern Newton TX-
Northern Jasper TX-Southern Jasper TX-Tyler TX-
1013 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Jefferson, eastern
Tyler, northwestern Newton, Hardin, northwestern Orange and Jasper
Counties through 1100 AM CDT...
At 1013 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 10 miles northeast of Rockland to 7 miles
southwest of Spurger to 6 miles southeast of Saratoga to 6 miles
northwest of Rollover Pass. Movement was east at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Beaumont, Lumberton, Vidor, Jasper, Silsbee, Kirbyville, Kountze,
Sour Lake, Nome, Evadale, Town Bluff, Call, Ebenezer, Hamshire, Fred,
Buna, Bevil Oaks, China, Rose City and Pine Forest.
This includes Interstate 10 in Texas between mile markers 859 and
832.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 PM CDT for southeastern
Texas.
&&
LAT...LON 3064 9437 3105 9438 3116 9387 3066 9385
3024 9401 2965 9412 2956 9435 2989 9436
2989 9444 3011 9445 3011 9454
TIME...MOT...LOC 1513Z 267DEG 30KT 3114 9430 3065 9429 3024 9444 2958
9457
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH
25PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1014 AM CDT WED OCT 27 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0921 AM TORNADO 4 W BRIDGE CITY 30.04N 93.92W
10/27/2021 ORANGE TX PUBLIC
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1018 AM CDT WED OCT 27 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0946 AM TORNADO 4 ESE MAURICEVILLE 30.20N 93.81W
10/27/2021 ORANGE TX STORM CHASER
MULTIPLE DAMAGE REPORTS.
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1021 AM CDT WED OCT 27 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0938 AM TORNADO 5 WNW ORANGE 30.12N 93.83W
10/27/2021 ORANGE TX PUBLIC
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1022 AM CDT WED OCT 27 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0950 AM TORNADO 5 E MAURICEVILLE 30.23N 93.79W
10/27/2021 ORANGE TX PUBLIC
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1023 AM CDT WED OCT 27 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0956 AM TORNADO 4 SSW DEWEYVILLE 30.25N 93.77W
10/27/2021 NEWTON TX PUBLIC
&&The Lake Charles radar (KLCH), 54 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 15:37 UTC.
4 tornado, 3 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A tornado touched down along and near Hwy 109 in western Beauregard Parish, snapping or uprooting several trees. Max estimated winds were 110 MPH.
The radar indicated a tornado debris signature east of Hwy 12 in western Calcasieu Parish. This is a rural area with no roads where the radar signature was seen. No damage was seen on Hwy 12.
A tornado touched down west of Elliott Road and traveled east parallel to and south of Ham Reid Road causing significant structural damage to around a dozen homes and minor damage to several more in the neighborhood. Reports from Calcasieu sheriff indicated a woman was injured when a window was blown into their home. A second person suffered a deep laceration to the leg as a result of blowing debris. The tornado weakened as it crossed Lake street and lifted as it passed along Aberdeen Drive. Max estimated wind speed was 130 MPH.
The tornado began on Industrial Ave off of Hwy 14. Two large warehouse-sized buildings has sections of their roof and wall collapse. Damage continued on the other side of I-210, where some trees were snapped off of East Prien Lake Road. One person was injured when a window blew in. Max estimated winds were 105 MPH.
Walgreens near Lake and West McNeese Streets sustained minor roof damage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Louisiana in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Louisiana, 2021Warnings in Louisiana, October 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-30. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 989254, 989255, 989253, 989257, 989256, 989259, 989258.