Multiple mid to upper level disturbances moving through the region triggered scattered showers and thunderstorms. One cluster of storms moved across the northern Piedmont counties, knocking down a few trees in Burlington, including one tree down onto a home.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RAH wrote it up.
Multiple mid to upper level disturbances moving through the region triggered scattered showers and thunderstorms. One cluster of storms moved across the northern Piedmont counties, knocking down a few trees in Burlington, including one tree down onto a home. The same cluster of storms continued to move east across Orange County where an isolated tree crashed through a mobile home and caused a fatality.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 28, 2:55 PM EST, 32 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Raleigh NC 355 PM EDT Sun Jun 28 2020 .SYNOPSIS... Multiple mid and upper level disturbances will move east and southeast across the Carolinas through tonight. Surface high pressure over Florida this weekend will weaken as a cold front moves south into North Carolina on Monday and Tuesday and then lingers across the area through mid-week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 355 PM Sunday... ...Potential for some severe thunderstorms with damaging winds continues across central NC from Burlington/Raleigh/Goldsboro south and west... The air mass across central NC has become moderately unstable this afternoon with MLCAPE values ranging from 1000 to 1500 J/kg in an increasingly convectively active environment. The latest regional radar imagery indicates a portion of the convection across eastern TN/KY earlier this morning and perhaps the associated MCVs are now pushing east and initiating convection east of the Appalachians in the Foothills and western Piedmont. The evolution of the convection over the next several hours will be complicated as multiple mesoscale and synoptic features initiate and organize the convection resulting in a messy radar with multiple waves of multi-cell clusters and line segments. SPC maintains much of the area in a slight risk with a destabilizing airmass with MLCAPE up to 2000 J/kg, some enhanced flow at 700 to 500 mb of 35+ kts and organizing convective clusters. The greatest severe weather threat across our area is likely to result from organizing convection in the Foothills that will spread southeast from the Yadkin valley late this afternoon across the western and southern Piedmont into the Sandhills and southern Coastal Plain by mid evening. Several convection allowing models have been persistent in explicitly indicating a convective cluster/line segment with wind gusts in excess of 40 to 50 kts in a swath from near Lexington/Albemarle east/southeast to Sanford/Rockingham and then on to Fayetteville/Clinton by 8 to 11pm. Lingering shower and thunderstorm activity is apt to persist/redevelop overnight across the south, near the SC border as a resultant boundary and an approaching short wave trough support convection despite the typical diurnal minimum in convection. Lows tonight will range around 70. -Blaes && .SHORT TERM /MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT/... As of 315 PM Sunday... A shortwave trough will be dropping southeast and exiting central NC on Monday morning. In its wake be larger scale subsidence and a gradual decrease in precipitable water from north to south with a more northerly low to mid level flow. Convection tonight will result in a composite outflow boundary/effective front across southern NC which will likely contribute to a region of enhance cloudiness during the morning with more scattered diurnal cumulus clouds across the area during the afternoon. The south tier in proximity to the resultant boundary and greater instability will be favored for scattered shower/thunderstorm activity. Overall coverage across central NC should be much less than previous days. Convection allowing models support this pattern with limited activity that is scattered about across the south and across the northern Piedmont late Monday afternoon as a disturbance moves south from VA. Highs will once again range in the upper 80s to lower 90s with lows around 70. -Blaes && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 335 PM Sunday... The extended forecast continues to show little change from day to day. An upper low sitting over New England Tuesday and Wednesday will open into a trough Thursday and move offshore. A weak surface boundary will be near the area for much of the week, but this should have little impact on diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms. Wednesday and Thursday still appear to be the days with the greatest coverage, but unlike neighboring offices to the south and west, do not have the confidence to go with likely pops this many days out. After a slight lull in coverage Friday and Saturday, coverage of precipitation may begin to increase with the development of another upper low across Alabama and Mississippi over the weekend. Temperatures should be near normal for much of the period, dropping a few degrees by Sunday. && .AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 255 PM Sunday... VFR conditions are widespread across central NC early this afternoon with a few localized restrictions in residual haze and dust from the Saharan Air Layer and a few showers across the southern Piedmont and southern Coastal Plain. Expect shower and thunderstorm activity to increase across the western/northern Piedmont and Foothills during the 19 to 22Z period and then spread initially across the Triad and western Piedmont terminals before 00Z and across the Piedmont, Coastal Plain and Sandhills between 22Z and 03Z with the strongest convection from near and south of KINT/KGSO to KFAY this afternoon and evening. Areas of strong wind gusts in excess of 30kts and sub- VFR conditions are expected as these storms move east and spread southeast at 25kts. Widespread convection should diminish after 03Z but additional or lingering areas of showers and possibly a storm are possible overnight, especially across the south, Some areas of sub-VFR clouds are possible overnight, especially toward daybreak and near the SC border. Outlook: The weather pattern this work week will support a chance of mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. The greatest coverage and chance of showers/storms is expected for Wednesday and Thursday. -Blaes && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SYNOPSIS...Blaes NEAR TERM...Blaes SHORT TERM...Blaes LONG TERM...Green AVIATION...Blaes
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Raleigh NC 414 PM EDT Sun Jun 28 2020 NCZ038>040-073>077-083>086-088-089-292015- Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Anson- Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson- 414 PM EDT Sun Jun 28 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. A cluster or two of strong thunderstorms with locally damaging wind gusts will develop and spread east and southeast across the area through around 10 PM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. NCZ021>025-041>043-078-292015- Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Durham-Wake-Johnston-Wilson-Wayne- 414 PM EDT Sun Jun 28 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Scattered thunderstorms, in a cluster or two, will be capable of producing strong to locally damaging wind gusts through around 10 PM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. NCZ007>011-026>028-292015- Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe- 414 PM EDT Sun Jun 28 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms through mid evening will be capable of producing strong to locally damaging wind gusts. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
345 PM EDT Sun Jun 28 2020
NCZ022-023-282030-
Guilford NC-Alamance NC-
345 PM EDT Sun Jun 28 2020
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN ALAMANCE AND
NORTHEASTERN GUILFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EDT...
At 344 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Monroeton, or 9 miles northeast of Greensboro, moving southeast at 15
mph.
Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Greensboro, Burlington, McLeansville, Elon, Summerfield, Gibsonville,
Alamance, Lake Guilford Mackintosh Marina, Lake Jeanette Marina and
Monticello.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
50 mph are capable of knocking down small or weakened trees and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture and other
light outdoor objects.
&&
LAT...LON 3624 7957 3624 7953 3625 7953 3618 7941
3592 7955 3610 7996 3625 7984
TIME...MOT...LOC 1944Z 301DEG 13KT 3620 7976
JDThe Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 104 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:28 UTC.
2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
One tree was reported down on a house, along with multiple trees reported down in Burlington.
One tree fell on a mobile home in the 1200 block of Martin Luther King Boulevard, resulting in a fatality.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunderstorm Wind, Orange | 2020-06-28 | 47 | Male | Mobile/Trailer Home | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, June 2020
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-30. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 900615, 900616.