Montana, 2020High Wind in Montana, March 10 to 11, 2020
March 10 to 11, 2020 · NWS TFX · 9 events in 7 counties and zones
A strong west to northwest flow aloft developed over North-central Montana as a trough of low pressure moved south out of Canada. A tight surface pressure gradient helped translate some of the upper level winds to the surface.
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 9
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A strong west to northwest flow aloft developed over North-central Montana as a trough of low pressure moved south out of Canada. A tight surface pressure gradient helped translate some of the upper level winds to the surface. Ridge top wind gusts of 80 mph were measured, while 50 to 70 mph wind gusts were observed over the plains. Dry antecedent conditions lead to blowing dust issues north and east of Great Falls and some blowing snow occurred along the immediate eastern slopes of the Northern Rocky Mountain Front.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 10, 9:12 AM MST, 27 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 10, 9:12 AM MST, 27 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1012 AM MDT Tue Mar 10 2020
.SYNOPSIS...
Westerly winds will increase across the region today, and keep
temperatures above normal through tonight. The strongest winds
will be along the Rocky Mountain Front starting this afternoon,
while lesser, but still strong winds spread east onto the plains
overnight. The passage of a weak Canadian cold front on Wednesday
will help decrease the winds, but bring areas of rain and snow
showers with slightly cooler temperatures, which should continue
into Thursday. However, a cold and snowy weather pattern will
likely return on Friday and continue through the weekend.
&&
.Morning Update...
Morning Update has been published, with no major adjustments made
to the on-going forecast other than to update hourly trends. High
Wind Warning still looks on track for today and this evening
across Central and North Central Montana. Locations along the
Rocky Mountain Front have already been gusting in the 50-75 mph
range this morning, which has been causing areas of blowing snow,
most notably in the St Mary Valley of Glacier County. Elsewhere
across the remainder of North Central and Central Montana, expect
winds to continue to increase across the region through the
remainder of the morning and become gusty by the afternoon hours.
Current start time (6pm MDT) for the High Wind Warning over the
plains still looks good for now, but I will closely monitor the
situation in the event the start time needs to be adjusted to an
earlier one. In addition to the high winds over these areas, am
also concerned with the potential for reduced visibilities due to
blowing dust. Otherwise, expect increasing precipitation chances
along the Divide this afternoon due to increasing moist, westerly
upslope flow. - Moldan
&&
.AVIATION...
Updated 545 AM MDT Tue Mar 10 2020 (10/12Z TAF Period)
Patchy fog and low clouds may bring periods of MVFR/IFR conditions
to some of the southwest valleys (including KBZN and KWYS) through
around 16Z. Otherwise, conditions will remain VFR. However, an
increasing west-northwest flow aloft will bring increasing westerly
winds with widespread mountain wave turbulence and periods of low
level wind shear to the area, along with mid and high level
cloudiness. The strongest winds will be after 18Z along the Rocky
Mountain Front, with gusts in excess of 60 kt possible. Lesser, but
still strong, winds will spread over the plains from 18Z to 00Z,
bringing gusts to around 50 kt at times to the western plains (KCTB
and KGTF) and up to 40 kt to the eastern plains (KHVR and KLWT).
Some areas over the plains may have periods of blowing dirt/dust,
especially just to the northeast of KGTF. Coulston
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 545 AM MDT Tue Mar 10 2020/
Today through Thursday...
The main concern for the next 24 to 36 hours will be increasing
winds across the forecast area. A strong west-northwest flow aloft
will spread high clouds over the area in the wake of an exiting
shortwave trough this afternoon. A strong surface pressure
gradient along the Rocky Mountain Front will also help translate
these winds down to the surface there this afternoon, and
generally continue them into Wednesday morning. Forecast models
indicate 80 kt winds possible over the ridge tops, which may lead
to gusts of up to 90 mph at times right along the Front, but gusts
to 70 mph are more likely for most of the Rocky Mountain Front
east into eastern Glacier County. As the pressure gradient spreads
east from the Rocky Mountain Front late this afternoon into the
evening, the energy in the flow aloft will help translate strong
winds out onto the adjacent plains, gusting to 60 mph at times.
Dry ground on the plains may be lifted as blowing dirt/dust in
some areas, while snow falling on the ridgetops of the Rocky
Mountain Front may be blown through Marias Pass, both of which may
reduce visibility at times. The stronger model winds has
increased confidence that High Wind criteria winds will occur, so
have upgraded the High Wind Watches to Warnings and started them a
couple of hours sooner than the Watches. Winds are expected to
decrease during the day on Wednesday as another shortwave trough
moves through Montana and drags a weak Canadian cold front south
over the plains. This frontal passage will help cool above normal
temperatures today and tonight back closer to normal Wednesday and
Wednesday night with areas of light rain and snow. The chance for
a few lingering showers continues into Thursday under more of a
northwest flow aloft in the wake of the shortwave, as temperatures
continue to cool to below normal.
Friday through next Tuesday...
A winter storm is still on track to impact Montana Friday through
Sunday. A low pressure trough is forecast to move south over
southwestern Canada on Friday, but models are in better agreement
with the track of the system than from previous days. A low
pressure center develops at the base of the trough and moves down
the Pacific Northwest coast, tapping into moisture from the ocean
and bringing widespread precipitation to much of the area on
Friday, which is a bit earlier than previously forecast. A
Canadian cold front will also move south over the plains through
Friday night, cooling temperatures there mostly into the single
digits above and below zero. The low pressure center is then
forecast to move slowly down the Pacific coast Saturday into
Sunday, continuing a moist southwest flow with a further influx of
cold air; lows in the single digits above and below zero will
spread into Southwest Montana by Saturday night and highs on
Sunday will only be in the single digits and teens. This latest
forecast has widespread measurable snowfall for much of the area,
so this better agreement in the models increases confidence that
winter weather highlights may be needed. Temperatures may start to
moderate on Monday with decreasing precipitation as the low
pressure area moves farther away from the area.
Coulston
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF 50 39 48 22 / 10 20 60 50
CTB 46 34 42 19 / 0 0 60 40
HLN 53 35 50 24 / 10 10 20 30
BZN 50 29 50 23 / 10 10 50 30
WYS 36 15 37 10 / 10 50 60 40
DLN 47 28 49 22 / 10 0 10 10
HVR 51 35 45 23 / 0 30 60 10
LWT 44 35 43 21 / 0 20 90 60
&&
.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning from 6 PM this evening to noon MDT Wednesday
Cascade...Chouteau...Eastern Pondera...Eastern Teton...Judith
Basin...Liberty...Toole.
High Wind Warning until noon MDT Wednesday Eastern Glacier...
Northern Rocky Mountain Front...Southern Rocky Mountain Front.
&&
http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls
High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front
- When
- March 10, 9:39 AM MST
- Where
- North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
- Measured
- 62 kt (71 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
A station at 2 SE Browning measured a 62 kt non-thunderstorm wind gust.
High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front
- When
- March 10, 10:39 AM MST
- Where
- North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
- Measured
- 51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
A station a 2 SE Browning measured a 51 kt non-thunderstorm wind gust.
High Wind, Liberty
- When
- March 10, 11:45 AM MST
- Where
- Liberty forecast zone
- Measured
- 51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
A station at 14 NNW Joplin (Chester DW4821) measured a 51 kt non-thunderstorm wind gust.
High Wind, Eastern Glacier
- When
- March 10, 12:56 PM MST
- Where
- Eastern Glacier forecast zone
- Measured
- 53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
The Cut Bank Airport measured a 53 kt non-thunderstorm wind gust.
High Wind, Fergus
- When
- March 10, 1:15 PM MST
- Where
- Fergus forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
A station at 3 NW Coffee Creek measured a 50 kt non-thunderstorm wind gust.
High Wind, Cascade
- When
- March 10, 9:22 PM MST
- Where
- Cascade forecast zone
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
The Great Falls Airport measured a 52 kt non-thunderstorm wind gust.
High Wind, Judith Basin
- When
- March 10, 10:05 PM MST
- Where
- Judith Basin forecast zone
- Measured
- 55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
A station at 2 SSE Geyser measured a 55 kt non-thunderstorm wind gust.
High Wind, Madison
- When
- March 11, 1:00 PM MST
- Where
- Madison forecast zone
- Measured
- 56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
A station at 4 SE Virginia City (MTM17) measured a 56 kt non-thunderstorm wind gust.
High Wind, Cascade
- When
- March 11, 1:44 PM MST
- Where
- Cascade forecast zone
- Measured
- 53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
The Great Falls Airport measured a 53 kt non-thunderstorm wind gust.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
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- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in North Atlantic Coastal Waters, March 10, 202015 events
- High Wind in Wyoming, March 10 to 12, 202075 kt wind · 9 events
- Flash Flood and Debris Flows in California, March 10 to 11, 20208 events
- Flash Flood and Flood in Arizona, March 10 to 13, 20203 events
- High Wind in Montana, March 10 to 11, 202056 kt wind · 3 events
- Cold in Alaska, March 10, 20201 event
- Dense Fog in Idaho, March 10, 2020$8,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flood in California, March 10, 2020$2,000 · 1 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 875700, 875701, 875703, 875702, 875704, 875708, 875705, 875712, 875710.