California, 2020

Flash Flood and Debris Flows in California, March 10 to 11, 2020

March 10 to 11, 2020 · NWS HNX · 8 events in 1 county or zone

An upper level low stalled off the coast of southern California on March 10. Moisture associated with this system pushed inland into the area during the day and combined with instability over Kern County to produce periods of heavy rainfall during the afternoon.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
8

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS HNX wrote it up.

An upper level low stalled off the coast of southern California on March 10. Moisture associated with this system pushed inland into the area during the day and combined with instability over Kern County to produce periods of heavy rainfall during the afternoon. Several stations in the Kern County Mountains and Deserts measured over an inch of rainfall while the Frazier Park area was hit hard by slow moving thunderstorms, and picked up over two inches of rainfall which produced debris flows in the area closing several roads. Meanwhile, law enforcement reported widespread flooding in Kern County during the afternoon and early evening hours. Further north precipitation amounts were significantly lower with Fresno County southward to northern Kern County picking up a tenth to half an inch of rain while areas north of Fresno County generally picked up a tenth of an inch or less of rainfall.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hanford, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 10, 2:38 AM PST, 10 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 10, 2:38 AM PST, 10 hours 12 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
338 AM PDT Tue Mar 10 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
An Eastern Pacific storm system will approach the coast of
California through Wednesday. Significant rainfall is likely in
the Kern County mountains and desert Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday
night. This storm system should stall just offshore of California
Wednesday, before shifting southward Wednesday night and
Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Lots of cloud cover across central CA due to the next weather
system off the central CA coast. Weather radars indicated rain
bands have already pushed over the Los Angeles basin. The weather
system is a closed mid level trough which may move slowly
affecting the central CA weather for the next two days. Satellite
images show the tropical atmospheric river remains well south of
the trough towards Baja. However precipitable water estimates off
the S CA coast are relative high around 150 percent of normal.
Models prog for the trough moving east towards point conception
through Wednesday. The Southern half of the district will be the
favorable quadrant for dynamic lift. This will bring a threat of
rain especially over the Kern county mountains and desert. In
addition low level flow from E-SE will enhance the orographic lift
over Tehachapi mountains through this afternoon resulting in an
increase threat for heavy rain. Wind flow weakens and turns more
south in the evening decreasing the threat of heavy rain
overnight. Thunder will be possible this afternoon with strong
dynamics and models indicating some instability towards the south
valley. However CAPE values are fairly low less the 100J/Kg.
Instability values are greater and more widespread on Wednesday
due to cooler air aloft, thus thunder will possible again
Wednesday afternoon.

Rain totals will vary considerably from north to south, with less
than one tenth of an inch expected in Merced County to as much as
around one and one half of an inch to two inches in the Kern
County mountains. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for the Kern
County mountains and desert Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night
due to the potential for rockslides and mudslides. A foot of snow
is likely along the Sierra Nevada crest of Tulare County, mainly
Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning. A Winter Weather
Advisory is in effect for the Tulare County portion of the
Southern Sierra Nevada above 7000 feet Tuesday through Wednesday.
The storm system approaches point conception Wednesday afternoon,
before shifting southward Wednesday night and Thursday.
Precipitation chances will decrease Wednesday night and Thursday
as the storm system moves farther away from Central California.
The storm system moves onshore over the Baja Peninsula Thursday
night. A ridge of high pressure over the E Pac will build E over
CA Friday and into the upcoming weekend.

A colder weather system may impact Central California late this
weekend or early next week. Forecast confidence is low regarding
the timing and strength of this weather maker.

&&

.AVIATION...
Areas of mountain obscuration over the Tehachapis and S Sierra
Nevada after after 15Z. VFR conditions will prevail at MCE, MER,
FAT, VIS, and BFL through 20Z Tuesday. Rain will overspread the
San Joaquin Valley from south to north Tuesday afternoon,
increasing the chances of sub-VFR conditions.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
None.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is medium.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
an/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch from noon PDT today through late tonight for
CAZ195>199.

Winter Weather Advisory until 5 PM PDT Wednesday for CAZ194.

&&

public...MV
aviation....BSO

weather.gov/hanford

The radar

The Los Angeles radar (KVTX), 50 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:48 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 flood, 2 debris flow, 1 heavy rain, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Rain, Kern

When
March 10, 12:50 PM PST to 2:50 PM PST
Where
Kern County, Frazier Park
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
34.820, -118.950

A trained spotter in Frazier Park measured 1.40 inches of rainfall in two hours. 2.40 inches in total fell on March 10. Two other stations in Frazier Park measured 2.88 inches and 1.95 inches of rain on March 10.

Debris Flow, Kern

When
March 10, 2:43 PM PST to 11:00 PM PST
Where
Kern County, 0.72 mi E of Frazier Park to 0.74 mi E of Frazier Park
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
34.820, -118.937

California Highway Patrol reported mud covering the road on Mount Pinos Way near Johnson Rd. in the eastern portion of Frazier Park.

Debris Flow, Kern

When
March 10, 3:32 PM PST to 11:00 PM PST
Where
Kern County, 1.09 mi W of Frazier Park to 1.16 mi W of Frazier Park
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
34.821, -118.969

California Highway Patrol reported mud, dirt and rock on the intersection of Frazier Mountain Park Road and Mount Pinos Way.

Flood, Kern

When
March 10, 3:50 PM PST to 5:50 PM PST
Where
Kern County, 4.14 mi N of Buttonwillow to 4.15 mi N of Buttonwillow
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
35.460, -119.474

California Highway Patrol reported roadway flooding on Buttonwillow Dr. at the intersection of Interstate 5.

Flood, Kern

When
March 10, 5:23 PM PST to 7:23 PM PST
Where
Kern County, 0.93 mi NNW of Oil Jct to 0.95 mi NNW of Oil Jct
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
35.413, -119.054

California Highway Patrol reported roadway flooding on State Rd. near Olive Dr. in Oildale.

Flood, Kern

When
March 10, 5:51 PM PST to 7:51 PM PST
Where
Kern County, 1.54 mi ESE of Jastro to 1.58 mi ESE of Jastro
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
35.373, -119.044

California Highway Patrol reported roadway flooding along northbound SR 99 near California Ave. in Bakersfield.

Flash Flood, Kern

When
March 10, 6:00 PM PST to March 11, 12:00 AM PST
Where
Kern County, 1.9 mi N of Cantil to 2.49 mi NNE of Cantil
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
35.327, -117.963

California Highway Patrol reported water, debris and tree branches covering Redrock Randsburg Road.

Flood, Kern

When
March 10, 6:42 PM PST to 8:42 PM PST
Where
Kern County, 0.86 mi NE of Oil Jct to 0.89 mi NE of Oil Jct
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
35.409, -119.039

California Highway Patrol reported flooding at the intersection of Airport Dr. and Roberts Ln. in Oildale.

What these are

Heavy Rain
Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.
Debris Flow
A fast-moving slurry of mud, rock and debris, usually on a slope soaked by heavy rain or stripped by a fire.
Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in California, March 2020

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 871853, 871846, 871847, 871849, 871850, 871851, 871848, 871852.