Heavy rain brought more flooding in the latter part of the month of February 2019.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.
Heavy rain brought more flooding in the latter part of the month of February 2019.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 20, 3:40 AM CST, 20 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 340 AM CST Wed Feb 20 2019 .Short term...Today through Thursday night Latest storm system in what seems to be constant parade of them continues to exit to the east of the state this morning. Both the synoptic scale and high res models remain in decent enough agreement that a blend of forecast solutions seems prudent. Latest surface analysis shows surface low pressure over the far southeast corner of Arkansas with attendant cold front extending all the way to the gulf coast. Feature expected to continue to move eastward this morning taking the bulk of the precipitation with it. Will need to hold on to residual showers over the east this morning before slightly drier air arrives to give the region a brief respite from the active weather. However, before that drier air does arrive, fog looks to be prevalent for at least a few hours this morning. Rain amounts appear to be minimal for today and then confined to the east and southeast so the flash flood watch will be dropped with the forecast package issuance this morning. Weak high pressure will build in across the region to bring dry conditions to the area for most of today and tonight but all signs point to a return to additional rain chances starting as early as Thursday morning over the southeast corner of the state. Area will be located between broad upper ridging over the southwest Atlantic and another strong upper trough moving into the southwest CONUS. Moisture will be on the return as a result of this set up and with a stalled out frontal boundary to the south of the state acting as a source of lift, scattered scattered showers return to the forecast. This boundary will begin to lift to the north Thursday and into Thursday night as a warm front with low pressure forming along it. Showers will expand to the north and east through the night and into Friday with isolated thunderstorms not out of the question. Right now it looks warm enough that only liquid precipitation is expected as warmer air surges north. && .Long Term...Friday through Wednesday To begin the period, upper flow can be characterized with large troughing over the Desert Southwest and ridging just east of the Bahamas. Between the trough and ridge, amplified southwesterly flow dominates the eastern-two thirds of the nation. On Friday, moisture will continue to advect up and over a quasi-stationary boundary oriented SW to NE near the AR/LA border. A fairly widespread area of precipitation is expected to expand northward during the day in response to increasing frontogenesis along the boundary. Saturday, a closed low develops within the trough out west. The upper low is expected to eject into the TX panhandle while the upper trough remains put over the SW. Surface low pressure develops in lee of the Rockies and quickly intensifies while moving northeast. Increasing PGF ahead of the surface low should help the quasi- stationary front begin lifting northward as a warm front into portions of central AR before becoming stationary again. WAA and moisture advection will increase as surface winds increase ahead of a developing cold front. Heading into Saturday afternoon, upper level divergence will be maximized over the region as the low passes just north and west of AR, vertical motion will be further aided by the warm front, and synoptic lift downstream from the trough. All this should come together to help possibly trigger strong to severe thunderstorms during the day. There will be plenty of wind energy aloft for storm organization and plenty of lift to get these storms to develop. Ample moisture should be available across the warm sector with indications of dew points reaching the mid 60s. However, instability appears to be the limiting factor for this event. Lapse rates do not appear overly impressive indicative of ongoing convection/latent heat release aloft during the early portion of Saturday. We would need a decent dry period for the column to cool sufficiently and steepen lapse rates from the cold core low. This does not appear a likely scenario therefore expecting a low CAPE/marginal to high shear environment. While all modes of severe weather will be possible the main concern at the moment will be the possibility of strong damaging winds, with a lesser concern of large hail and tornadoes. This will be closely monitored over the next several days with updated risks associated with this system. In addition to possible severe weather on Saturday, moderate to heavy rain is expected late Thursday through Saturday evening. Additional heavy rain may lead to areas of flash flooding and increased river flooding. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches is expected during this time across the eastern half of AR. With antecedent conditions across the eastern half of AR, it will not take much additional rainfall to cause issues across this region. A strong frontal boundary is progged to move across Arkansas late Saturday into Sunday. Much colder and drier air will advect into the region as high pressure moves into the region. By Tuesday, a warm front begins lifting northward from the Gulf Coast region into central TX/LA/MS. Precipitation is expected to develop on both sides of this boundary. It appears the bulk of the rainfall will stay south of AR through early Wednesday. Model consistency is pretty high through the long term giving better confidence in heavy rain/severe weather potential in the forecast. A few timing issues arise however will go with a blend of solutions to account for this. Temperatures will be above average through Saturday however behind the front, temperatures will drop to around normal or slightly below normal through the period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 54 33 49 39 / 20 0 20 40 Camden AR 58 36 54 46 / 20 0 50 70 Harrison AR 49 30 50 36 / 10 0 10 20 Hot Springs AR 56 34 52 43 / 10 0 20 50 Little Rock AR 56 36 51 43 / 20 0 30 50 Monticello AR 58 39 54 47 / 40 10 60 80 Mount Ida AR 56 34 52 43 / 10 0 20 50 Mountain Home AR 49 31 50 36 / 10 0 10 30 Newport AR 54 34 49 40 / 20 0 20 40 Pine Bluff AR 57 37 52 45 / 30 10 50 70 Russellville AR 53 34 53 41 / 10 0 10 30 Searcy AR 55 34 51 42 / 20 0 30 50 Stuttgart AR 55 38 51 44 / 30 10 40 60 && .LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE. && Short Term...GOUDSWARD / Long Term...JONES
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Little Rock AR 353 AM CST Wed Feb 20 2019 ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-211100- Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone- Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne- Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry- Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike- Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland- Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew- 353 AM CST Wed Feb 20 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas. .DAY ONE...Tonight Scattered showers will be possible this morning over mainly eastern sections of the state but hazardous weather is not expected. Heavy rain fell across parts of the area on Tuesday and as a result, area rivers will continue to run high. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday The potential exists for periods of moderate to heavy rainfall across central, eastern, and southeastern Arkansas through the weekend. In addition to potentially elevating river levels across central and eastern Arkansas, flash flooding will be a concern. On Saturday, there is a possibility of strong to severe storms during the afternoon across all of Arkansas. All modes of severe weather will be possible although damaging winds will be the main concern with a lesser threat of large hail and isolated tornadoes. Stay informed by monitoring the latest forecasts and outlooks from your National Weather Service forecast offices. .Spotter Information Statement... Spotter activation may be needed Saturday afternoon. && Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1027 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1026 PM ICE STORM HARRISON 36.24N 93.12W
02/19/2019 BOONE AR 911 CALL CENTER
ONE-QUARTER INCH OF FREEZING RAIN MEASURED AROUND
HARRISON.
&&
62PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1102 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1055 PM ICE STORM HARRISON 36.24N 93.12W
02/19/2019 BOONE AR FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
ONE-QUARTER INCH OF FREEZING RAIN MEASURED ON POWER LINES
IN HARRISON.
&&
44PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1104 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1102 PM FLASH FLOOD PERRYVILLE 35.01N 92.80W
02/19/2019 PERRY AR LAW ENFORCEMENT
NUMEROUS ROADS IN AND AROUND PERRYVILLE CLOSED DUE TO
HIGH WATER.
&&
JGOUDSPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1120 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1102 PM ICE STORM 1 S JASPER 35.99N 93.19W
02/19/2019 NEWTON AR LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREES DOWN 1.5 MILES SOUTH OF JASPER ON HIGHWAY 7 DUE TO
ICING CONDITIONS.
&&
JGOUDSPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1123 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1123 PM ICE STORM COMPTON 36.08N 93.30W
02/19/2019 NEWTON AR LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREES DOWN IN COMPTON ON HIGHWAY 43 DUE TO ICING
CONDITIONS.
&&
JGOUDSPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1222 AM CST WED FEB 20 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1221 AM FLASH FLOOD PETIT JEAN MTN 35.16N 92.93W
02/20/2019 CONWAY AR SOCIAL MEDIA
HIGHWAY 154 HAS WATER COVERING THE ROADWAY.
&&
JGOUDSThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
6 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain brought flooding to the Fourche LaFave River at Houston on February 20.
Heavy rain brought flooding to the White River at Newport on February 20.
Heavy rain brought flooding to the Little Red River at Judsonia on February 20.
Heavy rain brought flooding to the Ouachita River at Camden on February 21.
A 76 year old man passed away after driving into a flooded road along Highway 37 driving from Jackson County towards Independence County. It appeared as though the driver went around four barricades in place for flooding along the highway near Elgin before driving into flood waters. Flood waters were over the highway due to flooding along the Black River at the time of the incident.
Heavy rain brought flooding to the Ouachita River at Arkadelphia on February 23.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flood, Jackson | 2019-02-22 | 76 | Male | Vehicle/Towed Trailer | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, February 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 809919, 809932, 809931, 809927, 816788, 809924.