South Carolina, 2018

Damaging Winds in South Carolina, June 25, 2018

June 25, 2018 · NWS ILM · 6 events in 3 counties and zones

A pre-frontal trough produced strong thunderstorms.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$3,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
6

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ILM wrote it up.

A pre-frontal trough produced strong thunderstorms.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wilmington, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 25, 12:15 PM EST, 2 hours 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 12:15 PM EST, 2 hours 49 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
Issued by National Weather Service Charleston SC
115 PM EDT Mon Jun 25 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Hot and humid conditions will continue today. Showers and
thunderstorms will become more numerous this afternoon into
Tuesday ahead of a cold front, which will bring some relief from
the heat for midweek. Temperatures will rebound to above normal
again late in the week, with the potential for another cold
front to approach the area on Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1:15 PM: A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for the
entire area until 10 PM tonight. We're in the process of
updating the forecast with the latest CAM guidance to account
for the expected trends into this evening.

As of 10:30 AM...A few minor changes were made to the forecast.
Temperatures were running a few degrees lower than what the
hourly forecast was showing, so we took the current observations
and blended them with the temperatures for this afternoon,
which were left unchanged. The temperatures are probably being
held down a bit by a thick layer of clouds over the coastal
counties, stretching offshore. We also made some minor
adjustments to the sky grids, mainly taking the current
observations and blending it into this afternoon with the
expected development. As for POPs, radar is relatively dry now,
so we also lowered them for the next hour or two and then have
POPs increasing along the coast associated with the sea breeze,
then increasing further as convection lights up this afternoon.

A cold front will drop down from the north this afternoon and
tonight. The changing winds will initially focus convection
along the sea breeze closer to the coast and then along the
front as it pushes south. Storms should begin to develop as we
reach convective temps early this aftn. Strong sfc heating,
steep lapse rates, CAPE up near 4000 J/kg, precip water values
up over 2 inches will all help to support decent convective
development which will be more isolated in nature initially, but
will increase in coverage heading into this evening and tonight
as a shortwave tracks across the Carolinas. This will enhance
convection with severe potential along with possibility of
excessive rainfall. SPC has our entire CWA no in a slight risk.
The main threat is damaging winds, but some small hail is also
possible.

The winds will be quite variable and fairly weak as boundary drops
slowly south over the area. Low pressure develops west of the area
as shortwave moves east and then tracks through mainly after
midnight. The variable and lighter low level winds initially should
make for some interesting boundary interactions with the NW steering
flow initially stronger pushing the storms toward the SE and the
coast. As the shortwave reaches the Coastal Carolinas, the winds
aloft will back to the W-SW maintaining a more E-NE storm direction.
Sounding data shows winds increasing out of the SW up to 45 kts
between 06z and 09z. This should transition to a more linear
development and greater potential for wind damage overnight, whereas
initially the mid level flow weakens late aftn into the eve leaving
slower moving storms and potential for flooding. WPC has local area
highlighted for slight risk of excessive rainfall and flash
flooding. Have not included any enhanced wording in forecast yet,
but may want to consider as confidence grows with event evolving.

Slightly lower overnight dewpoints and temps will will give a less
of a jumpstart for high temps today. Overall expect another hot and
humid day with temps reaching between 90 and 95 most places. The
warmest will be over Williamsburg and Georgetown counties as they
will be the last area the front drops into, with heat index values
just making it to 105, but possibly only for an hour before aftn
convection lowers them a bit. Overnight lows will be a few degrees
less behind cold front with most places between 70 and 75. The 850
temps will drop a couple of degrees through the period.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 3 AM Monday...Cold front in the area at the start of the
period will gradually sink south during Tue before stalling and
slowly dissipating on Wed. Series of weak shortwaves will move
through the flat mid-level flow, along the boundary. These impulses
will have plenty of moisture tap into, precipitable water is
forecast to approach 2.40 inches on Tue. Abundant cloud cover will
limit heating and thus CAPE, but it won't take much given the
surface boundary and the mid-level support. The last shortwave later
Tue could be particularly potent with some of the guidance showing a
well defined surface low with the shortwave. All of this points to
an active day convection wise with good agreement on precip chances
in the likely category. If the final shortwave is as strong as
depicted by the NAM/ECMWF, widespread heavy rain and localized
flooding could be an issue Tue afternoon. Cloud cover will help keep
highs in the low to mid 80s. Debris cloud and moisture lingering in
the region Tue night will keep lows above climo. Precip chances will
be decreasing overnight as slightly drier air aloft and subsidence
in the wake of the final wave spreads over the region.

Front lingers in or just south of the area Wed becoming diffuse as
heating pushes temps into the upper 80s and sea breeze becomes
better defined. Significant differences between the GFS and
NAM/ECMWF solutions for Wed. This is down to the handling of the Tue
afternoon/evening shortwave. GFS solution would produce isolated to
scattered convection with precipitable water around 1.9 inches and
MLCAPE 2500-3000 J/kg. NAM/ECMWF solution has stronger post wave
subsidence in the area, as surface low off the NC/SC coast starts to
become more defined. Subsidence coupled with slightly drier air
aloft leads to less convection. Will maintain inherited solution
which was middle of the road between the 2 solutions, slight chance,
and hope for better agreement in coming model runs. Lingering low
level moisture and mixing will keeps lows above climo Wed night.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 3 AM Monday...The GFS has a 500 mb shortwave moving
eastward and off the Carolina coast on Thursday. The ECMWF is
more bullish with this shortwave, however it off to the
northeast ahead of the 500 mb ridge which builds eastward over
the eastern U.S. late week into the weekend. Either scenario
would result in little direct impacts on our tangible weather.

The approach of a late-week cold front will maintain the
potential for unsettled weather into the weekend, as it will
likely stall somewhere in the area. Overall, it will be
difficult to rule out some degree of shower and thunderstorm
development in the CWA during any period of the extended
forecast.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 12Z...A lull in convection is expected into the early to
mid afternoon hours at which time sea breeze may become a little
more active. Better chances late today and tonight as potent
shortwave and a cold front move into the area. Strong convection
with possible IFR in heavier rain and very gusty winds will
accompany these features tonight. Mainly westerly winds today,
except along the coast where sea breeze will have minimal
success pushing inland. Winds are likely to shift to northwest
or even north late in the period as large area of convection
moves offshore.

Extended Outlook...Mostly VFR. Mainly afternoon showers and
thunderstorms each day with short duration flight category
restrictions possible, except for Tuesday as cold front lingers in
the area, producing increased chc of shwrs/tstms.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 10:30 AM...A cold front will drop down from the north
today into tonight. Winds initially from the SW will veer to the
west as cold front approaches and will then shift around to the
N later today and should be more easterly by early Tues, but
remaining on the weaker side. Front will not make it through the
local waters before stalling and beginning to become more
diffuse heading into Tues. Overall expect winds 10 to 15 kts
with winds slightly stronger in SW flow to the south of the
front. Seas up near 3 to 4 ft at the moment will fall a bit
through the day down to 2 to 3 ft most waters.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 3 AM Monday...Cold front will be stalled in the area on
Tue before washing out on Wed. Presence of the boundary early in
the period will keep winds light and variable. Later Tue night
winds gain a bit of a northerly component but speeds remain
under 10 kt. Front washing out Wed allows the sea breeze and
possibly a weak low off the NC/SC coast to play more of a role
in wind direction. East to southeast flow returns Wed with winds
becoming more southerly Wed night. Gradient is on the weak side
and speeds will remain 10 kt or less. Seas 2 to 3 ft on Tue
drop to around 2 ft Tue night into Wed. Development of east-
southeast flow Wed will build seas back to 2 to 3 ft later Wed
and Wed night.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 3 AM Monday...Weak low pressure along a stalled front
will lift off to the northeast with minimal direct impacts
expected across area waters at this time. Models have been
having trouble coming into agreement on this feature, so overall
confidence associated with it remains low. Another frontal
boundary will drop south into the Carolinas on Friday, but at
this time it appears it will stall inland. Potential for
scattered showers and thunderstorms will increase Thursday and
Friday.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 25, 12:13 PM EST, 2 hours 51 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
Issued by National Weather Service Charleston SC
113 PM EDT Mon Jun 25 2018

NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-054>056-058-059-
261715-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-
Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-
Coastal Brunswick-Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-
Williamsburg-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Central Horry-Northern Horry-
113 PM EDT Mon Jun 25 2018

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 218 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina and
northeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

There is marginal risk for excessive rainfall and localized flash
flooding potential on Tuesday.

Heat index values could reach 100 to 105 degrees Thursday through
Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

AMZ250-252-254-256-261715-
Coastal waters from Surf City to Cape Fear NC out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Fear NC to Little River Inlet SC out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little River Inlet to Murrells Inlet SC out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Murrells Inlet to South Santee River SC out
20 nm-
113 PM EDT Mon Jun 25 2018

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 218 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the adjacent Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 25, 2:41 PM EST, 23 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
Issued by National Weather Service Charleston SC
341 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

NCZ087-252015-
Robeson-
341 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN ROBESON
COUNTY...

At 340 PM EDT, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm near Rex, or 7 miles east of Raeford, moving
southeast at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...strong winds 45 to 55 mph and up to penny sized hail.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to plants,
           trees and crops is possible. Damage to windshields is
           unlikely.

Some locations in the path of this storm include...
St. Pauls, Rex and Shannon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Excessive cloud to ground lightning is occurring. Avoid using metal
equipment and keep distance from objects such as irrigation systems,
poles, fences and trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3493 7899 3492 7896 3488 7892 3486 7893
      3485 7892 3475 7898 3484 7919 3495 7904
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 296DEG 10KT 3495 7909

JRL
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 2:57 PM EST, 7 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
Issued by National Weather Service Charleston SC
357 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

SCZ017-023-252030-
Marlboro-Darlington-
357 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF DARLINGTON AND
SOUTHWESTERN MARLBORO COUNTIES...

At 356 PM EDT, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm near Auburn, or near Darlington, moving southeast
at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...strong winds 45 to 55 mph and excessive cloud to ground
           lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. All outdoor activities should
           cease. Move indoors immediately.

Some locations in the path of this storm include...
Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dovesville, Mechanicsville,
Mont Clare, Darlington Raceway and Auburn.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect. Thunderstorms can produce
large hail, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes suddenly, sometimes
with little or no warning. Be alert for rapidly changing weather
conditions and be ready to act quickly if severe weather is observed
or a warning is issued.

Report damage directly to the Charleston National Weather Service at
1-888-383-2024 when it is safe to do so. You can also email your
report to nws.charlestonsc@noaa.gov.

&&

LAT...LON 3449 8005 3449 8002 3450 7998 3449 7996
      3449 7988 3454 7983 3456 7982 3452 7974
      3432 7963 3429 7970 3430 7973 3427 7974
      3425 7978 3425 7980 3418 7993 3442 8018
TIME...MOT...LOC 1956Z 319DEG 9KT 3433 7996

NED

The radar

The Wilmington radar (KLTX), 125 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:01 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

6 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Marlboro

When
June 25, 3:04 PM EST to 3:06 PM EST
Where
Marlboro County, 2.76 mi N of Five Forks
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$500
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
34.590, -79.580

A tree was blown down on Hwy 9 at Clio Country Club.

Thunderstorm Wind, Florence

When
June 25, 4:05 PM EST to 4:07 PM EST
Where
Florence County, 2.15 mi SSE of (Flo)florence City-C
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
34.150, -79.710

There were two large trees that were blown down on Bridle Circle.

Thunderstorm Wind, Florence

When
June 25, 4:16 PM EST to 4:18 PM EST
Where
Florence County, 2.15 mi SSE of (Flo)florence City-C
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$500
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
34.150, -79.710

A tree was blown down on Trilly Lane.

Thunderstorm Wind, Georgetown

When
June 25, 4:59 PM EST to 5:01 PM EST
Where
Georgetown County, 3.6 mi SW of Pelersfield
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
33.640, -79.270

A tree was blown down on Pleasant Drive.

Thunderstorm Wind, Florence

When
June 25, 5:25 PM EST to 5:27 PM EST
Where
Florence County, 2.37 mi SSE of Sardis
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$500
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
34.000, -79.910

A tree was blown down on Creek Road.

Thunderstorm Wind, Florence

When
June 25, 5:35 PM EST to 5:37 PM EST
Where
Florence County, 0.57 mi W of Olanta
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$500
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
33.930, -79.940

A tree was blown down on Park Avenue.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in South Carolina in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in South Carolina, June 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 759348, 759354, 759349, 759350, 759351, 759355.