Alaska, 2018

Winter Storm in Alaska, February 23 to 24, 2018

February 23 to 24, 2018 · NWS AJK · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

The weather front swept over the central panhandle on 24 February, spreading snow over the cooler air trapped near the surface. An easterly flow pattern ahead of the front/low resulted in some upslope flow to the easterly slopes increasing the snowfall.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.

The weather front swept over the central panhandle on 24 February, spreading snow over the cooler air trapped near the surface. An easterly flow pattern ahead of the front/low resulted in some upslope flow to the easterly slopes increasing the snowfall. Temperatures began warming to in the afternoon leading to a wetter snowfall in the afternoon and compaction of the snowpack.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 23, 5:59 AM AKST, 7 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 23, 5:59 AM AKST, 7 hours 10 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
559 AM AKST Fri Feb 23 2018

.SHORT TERM.../Friday morning through Saturday night/...As one
low exits, our focus has shifted toward a second gale force low in
the Gulf on Saturday.

Showery precipitation has taken over across the central panhandle
this morning. Yakutat received 7 inches of snow over the last 24
hours and Petersburg reported just over 5 inches as of early this
morning. Many locations have already changed over to rain or a
rain/snow mix as pockets of warm air advection have moved in
behind the low, limiting snow accumulations to less than 1 inch at
the Juneau Airport. Winter storm warnings for both zones were
cancelled early as a result of the warmer than anticipated low
level air and a lack of heavy snow.

Changes to winds on the outside were confined to the Saturday
and Saturday night time period with a strong nudge towards the
06z NAM. Net result was increased winds to high end gales over
the Gulf. Cannot rule out storm force winds at this time.

Temperatures agreed quite well in both MOS Guidance and model
spectrum spreads. Maximum temperatures over the coastal waters
were decreased for today and a slight decrease in temperatures for
most locations for Saturday. Not many changes to minimum
temperatures were made, as some clearing is expected tonight
before the next system moves in.

POP and QPF were adjusted using the NAM and 3 hour GFS, as
agreement between these two models was relatively consistent once
again. This quickened the onset of precipitation to mid-morning
Saturday and ending late Saturday night for most of the panhandle.
Preliminary snowfall totals for Saturday are ranging from 1-2",
with the outer coast likely to see rain. This will shift us into
more of a showery regime, with CAPE values approaching 400-500
J/kg. A possibility of lightning along the coast cannot be ruled
out completely.

Confidence remains about average. The general pattern has not
changed significantly overall, but it is the small scale
variations in these patterns that have limited the predictability
of these systems.

.LONG TERM...Sunday through Friday...We'll start off the long term
on Sunday with a broad upper level trough positioned over the
panhandle and western Canada and an upper level ridge building
over the western gulf. A weakening surface low associated with a
shortwave embedded within the upper level trough will continue to
traverse southeast across the panhandle, taking with it lingering
precipitation. This feature will also help to tighten the
pressure gradient between it and a weak high pressure near the
border with mainland Alaska and the Yukon. This setup may provide
a brief northerly outflow event, so we increased winds
accordingly through Lynn Canal. As the ridge of high pressure
strengthens over the gulf and pushes east Sunday night into early
Monday morning, this should help to fully clear out precipitation,
albeit briefly, before our next system moves in Monday.

Continuing with our progressive pattern trend, a shortwave with
an associated developing surface low will dig into the western
gulf Sunday night. A weather front with the low will lift across
the eastern gulf and impact the panhandle Monday continuing into
Tuesday. 700 mb model frontogenesis shows strengthening along the
front, which should help trigger the lift we need for
precipitation. Models also show significant moisture advection
ahead of the front on Monday, so we could see some substantial
precip amounts with this system. This may potentially be a tricky
system regarding precip type; model 925 mb temps show a relatively
cold air mass over the panhandle, so precip could start off as
snow and briefly transition to a rain/snow mix or remain all snow.

We mainly focused on forecast updates for the early period in the
long term, which included the Sunday through Monday timeframe. We
chose a NAM/GEM blend, using NAM more for winds and GEM for
precip elements. After this timeframe, we allowed WPC guidance to
remain and added in NBM for select elements, mainly temperatures,
which were adjusted down for later next week.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ012-041>043-051-052.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ013-032>036.
Small Craft Advisory due to Seas for PKZ022-053.

&&

SS/Fritsch/Voveris

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 23, 10:25 AM AKST, 2 hours 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1025 AM AKST FRI FEB 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     SNOW             PETERSBURG              56.81N 132.96W
02/23/2018  M1.8 INCH                           AK   OTHER FEDERAL

            STORM TOTAL AT PETERSBURG AIRPORT. CURRENTLY RAINING.

0600 AM     SNOW             8 S PETERSBURG          56.70N 132.96W
02/23/2018  M5.1 INCH                           AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL AT 9 MILE MITKOF HIGHWAY.

0600 AM     SNOW             EAGLECREST              58.27N 134.51W
02/23/2018  M6.0 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            AT THE BASE OF EAGLECREST SKI AREA.

0700 AM     SNOW             34 WNW HAINES           59.43N 136.33W
02/23/2018  M4.0 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL AT HAINES CUSTOM STATION.

0700 AM     SNOW             EAGLECREST              58.27N 134.51W
02/23/2018  M7.0 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            MEASURED AT THE TOP OF EAGLECREST SKI AREA.

0800 AM     HEAVY SNOW       YAKUTAT                 59.54N 139.73W
02/23/2018  M7.0 INCH                           AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            STORM TOTAL AT YAKUTAT AIRPORT.

0815 AM     SNOW             HYDER                   55.91N 130.02W
02/23/2018  M6.2 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL AT HYDER

0825 AM     SNOW             8 N SKAGWAY             59.59N 135.33W
02/23/2018  M3.0 INCH                           AK   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            24 HOUR SNOW AMOUNT AT SKAGWAY CUSTOMS STATION.

0825 AM     SNOW             14 N SKAGWAY            59.68N 135.33W
02/23/2018  M5.0 INCH                           AK   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            24 HOUR SNOW ACCUMULATION AT WHITE PASS.

0900 AM     SNOW             1 S MENDENHALL GLACIER  58.40N 134.55W
02/23/2018  M2.1 INCH                           AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            STORM TOTAL AS OF 9 AM FRIDAY AT THE JUNEAU FORECAST
            OFFICE.

1015 AM     SNOW             10 S WRANGELL           56.33N 132.40W
02/23/2018  E2.4 INCH                           AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALL OF THE SNOWFALL HAPPENED BEFORE 10 PM LAST NIGHT.
            RAIN AFTER THAT. AT 11 MILE ZIMOVIA HIGHWAY.

&&

EAL

Event by event

2 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Inner Channels From Kupreanof Island to Etolin Island

When
February 23, 1:09 PM AKST to February 24, 6:00 PM AKST
Where
Inner Channels From Kupreanof Island to Etolin Island forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter

Petersburg trained spotter measured 10 inches of new snow at 1525 2/24. Impact was snow removal. No damage reported.

Winter Storm, Eastern Baranof Island and Southern Admiralty Island

When
February 24, 1:09 PM AKST to 6:00 PM AKST
Where
Eastern Baranof Island and Southern Admiralty Island forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter

The east coast of Baranof Island observed 7 inches of new, heavy wet snow by the evening of 2/24. Impact was heavy wet snow removal.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, February 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 738840, 738521.