Nebraska, 2017

High Wind in Nebraska, March 6, 2017

March 6, 2017 · NWS GID · 7 events in 6 counties and zones

High winds occurred behind a cold front on this Monday afternoon, with near dust storm conditions at times. West-northwest winds were sustained between 30 and 40 mph, mainly along and south of Interstate 80.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 7 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
7

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GID wrote it up.

High winds occurred behind a cold front on this Monday afternoon, with near dust storm conditions at times. West-northwest winds were sustained between 30 and 40 mph, mainly along and south of Interstate 80. Wind gusts around 55 mph were common. However, at times, some locations measured sustained winds around 45 mph, with gusts to 60 mph. The highest gust observed was 63 mph near Kearney. Blowing dust was visible everywhere, generally reducing the visibility to 3 to 7 miles. There were some very localized areas that experienced severely reduced visibility to one quarter mile or less, including on Interstate 80 between Grand Island and Kearney. Near zero visibility 8 miles south of Hastings resulted in a six vehicle pileup. These extremely low visibilities were due the poor decision by some farmers to disc their fields. Satellite imagery showed the dust originated in eastern Colorado, and it was transported northeastward just ahead of a cold front. However, winds behind the front picked up additional dust. The last time dust reduced visibilities significantly, in south central Nebraska, was in October 2012. These high winds combined with extremely low relative humidity (RH) values to create dangerous fire weather conditions. Afternoon minimum RH values were between 10 and 15%. Two wild fires occurred in Clay and Nuckolls Counties. Each fire was a few hundred acre fires and multiple fire departments responded. No structures were affected.

At dawn, a deep low pressure system (983 mb) was over South Dakota with a warm front extending east into the Great Lakes, and a cold front extending southwest to Arizona. A dryline extended south into the warm sector, through western Nebraska and Kansas to New Mexico. As the day progressed, both the dryline and cold front swept through the region as the low occluded and deepened further to 978 mb. In the upper-levels, a trough was over the Western U.S., with a ridge in the East. During the day, a strong shortwave trough over Utah lifted northeast out of the base of the western trough and into Nebraska and South Dakota.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 6, 11:03 AM CST, 2 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 6, 11:03 AM CST, 2 hours 50 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1103 AM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1008 AM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

The high wind warning has been expanded to include our entire cwa
as RAP forecast soundings indicate deep mixing across all of south
central Nebraska and north central Kansas today.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 315 AM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

The main forecast concerns for today are 1. High Winds and 2.
Dangerous Fire Weather Conditions.

Overview:
A strong upper level disturbance will move through the area today.
Ahead of this disturbance, a deep lee trough exists with a strong
pressure gradient across the Central Plains. Southerly winds
overnight are commonly sustained near 25 mph and gusting to 30-35
mph. This is only the beginning for the winds. The strong winds,
mixing and the fact that the dryline is to the west of the area have
kept overnight temperatures mild...in the 50s for the most part.

Today the upper trough will push eastward. The dryline will surge
eastward and dewpoint temperatures will plummet. Winds will become
southwesterly and stay strong before the cold front catches up and
winds become westerly and increase further. Highs today will
again be warm with the help of the warm start to the day and
significant mixing during the afternoon. Highs are again expected
in the 60s and 70s. Now on to the major concerns.

1. High Winds
While strong winds are ongoing as of the issuance of this
forecast, they will only get stronger throughout the day. As the
winds change from the south to the southwest and eventually to the
west behind the cold front they will increase. Using various
guidance soundings and mixing down winds, many points across the
forecast area have sustained wind speeds 40 mph or higher with
gusts over 50 to 55 mph. Despite this, did not expand the High
Wind Warning across the whole forecast area for now, only
expanding it east and south some where confidence is higher, allowing
the day shift to monitor and see how the event evolves. Would not
be surprised to see the High Wind Warning expanded across all of
south central Nebraska and north central Kansas. Have also kept
the mention of blowing dust in the forecast as in afternoon
forecast.

2. Fire Weather
Fire Weather is no less concerning than the wind and is directly
impacted by it. Extreme fire danger has been well
advertised...with an areawide Red Flag Warning issued Sunday
morning. Relative humidities will be in the single digits to teens
across the area and the winds will be howling (as already
discussed).

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 315 AM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

Main forecast concern will be critical fire weather conditions
again Tuesday. See the fire weather section and fire weather watch
for more information. I bumped up winds for Tuesday afternoon as
model blends are likely not picking up the magnitude of post-
frontal winds. The pressure gradient will relax allowing winds to
decrease Tuesday evening and temperatures to fall back into the
20s overnight into Wednesday morning.

Winds shift southerly for Wednesday and high temperatures will reach
65 to 70 degrees. Again RH values will be near critical thresholds.
Winds will be significantly lighter, but could still approach
near-critical levels briefly during the afternoon.

Precipitation-wise, quiet conditions are expected Tuesday through
Thursday as we remain in quiet northwesterly flow. Kept a very
slight chance of rain/snow in our northernmost counties during the
morning and afternoon Friday, although it looks like most of the
precipitation will be north of the CWA. Better chances for rain,
possibly with a changeover to snow will be Friday night into
Saturday morning as a stronger wave quickly moves through the area.

There is more uncertainty for Sunday at this at this point. We will
be in somewhat messy northwest flow and some models indicating
chances for precipitation. Therefore I didn't make any adjustments
and went with a slight chance for rain/snow during these periods.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1101 AM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

Intense west winds are the main concern through the taf period
with afternoon wind gusts near or over 50kts expected. Wind speeds
will remain very strong all afternoon and into the evening hours
and visibility restrictions in blowing dust are possible. Wind
speeds will decrease tonight, but will increase again by mid/late
morning Tuesday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 315 AM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

Today:
Extreme Fire Danger is expected today across the whole area with
single digit to teens relative humidities and winds sustained at
over 30 mph for most of the day. A Red Flag Warning was issued
Sunday morning and was not changed, it is in effect from noon to
7pm. Do not burn, any fire that develops will get out of control
quickly and be very dangerous.

Tuesday:
Fire weather watch has been issued for Tuesday afternoon.
While conditions won't be as extreme as today, are currently
expecting RH values to be range from 10-20 percent and 25-35 MPH
sustained winds with gusts 35 to 45 MPH.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...High Wind Warning until 7 PM CST this evening for NEZ039>041-
     046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087.

     Red Flag Warning until 8 PM CST this evening for NEZ039>041-
     046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087.

     Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening
     for NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087.

KS...High Wind Warning until 7 PM CST this evening for KSZ005>007-
     017>019.

     Red Flag Warning until 8 PM CST this evening for KSZ005>007-
     017>019.

     Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening
     for KSZ005>007-017>019.

&&

UPDATE...Fay
SHORT TERM...Billings Wright
LONG TERM...Mangels
AVIATION...Fay
FIRE WEATHER...Billings Wright/Mangels
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 6, 10:12 AM CST, 3 hours 41 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1012 AM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
071200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
1012 AM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

A High Wind Warning and a Red Flag Warning are in effect for the
entire outlook area today. Please see the warning messages for
further information.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

A Fire Weather Watch is in effect for Tuesday across the entire
area. Additionally, while it is not as extreme as Today or
Tuesday, fire weather conditions will be near-critical again on
Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

7 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Kearney

When
March 6, 1:53 PM CST
Where
Kearney forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.507, -98.948 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A 59 MPH wind gust was measured by a mesonet site located 2 miles north-northeast of Norman.

High Wind, Webster

When
March 6, 2:45 PM CST to 3:45 PM CST
Where
Webster forecast zone
Measured
37 kt (43 mph) measured sustained
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.176, -98.500 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The average sustained wind speed over the hour was 43 MPH.

High Wind, Gosper

When
March 6, 3:08 PM CST
Where
Gosper forecast zone
Measured
54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.515, -99.831 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A 62 MPH wind gust was measured by a mesonet site located 1 mile west-northwest of Johnson Lake.

High Wind, Webster

When
March 6, 4:25 PM CST
Where
Webster forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.176, -98.500 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A 58 MPH wind gust was measured by a mesonet site located 3 miles southwest of Cowles.

High Wind, Adams

When
March 6, 4:42 PM CST
Where
Adams forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
40.525, -98.501 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A 60 MPH wind gust was measured by the Hastings Airport ASOS.

High Wind, Dawson

When
March 6, 5:35 PM CST
Where
Dawson forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
AWOS
Coordinates
40.870, -99.820 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A 58 MPH wind gust was measured by the Lexington Airport AWOS.

High Wind, Buffalo

When
March 6, 5:38 PM CST
Where
Buffalo forecast zone
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.855, -99.075 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A 63 MPH wind gust was measured by a mesonet site located 3 miles east-southeast of Kearney.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Nebraska in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Nebraska, March 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 683572, 688429, 683571, 683573, 683574, 683575, 683569.