Abnormally dry weather continued across much of Arkansas during the month of November and fueled the spread of moderate (D2) drought conditions over parts of Northeast Arkansas. Dry conditions negatively impacted pastures, triggering more feeding of hay, and causing concern for hay shortages for the winter months.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
Abnormally dry weather continued across much of Arkansas during the month of November and fueled the spread of moderate (D2) drought conditions over parts of Northeast Arkansas. Dry conditions negatively impacted pastures, triggering more feeding of hay, and causing concern for hay shortages for the winter months. The drought caused river and lake levels to be at low levels.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 14, 5:43 AM CST, 17 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 543 AM CST Tue Nov 14 2017 .UPDATE... Updated for the 12z Aviation Discussion. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 327 AM CST Tue Nov 14 2017/ Temperatures are mainly in the upper 30s to near 40 this morning with light northeast winds and a deck of cirrus moving across the region. High pressure today will keep the area dry and clear with high temperatures mainly in the 60s. By tonight clouds will be streaming back into the Midsouth ahead of the next cold front, keeping overnight lows in the 40s. Rainfall should hold off until tomorrow with the exception of a shower or two in far northeast Arkansas. The aforementioned cold front will traverse the Midsouth on Wednesday, but it will have little impact on temperatures due to the lack of any appreciable cold air mass. Instead clouds and rain will be the main story, with perhaps a thunderstorm or two as well. Best chances for rain with this front will be in northern sections of the Midsouth. Wednesday night into Thursday appears mainly dry with the front south of the area and temperatures remaining near normal. Thursday night into Friday the front will lift back to the north as a warm front, but precipitation chances appear minimal at this time with a strong cap in place. Only a chance of a shower or thunderstorm in western and northern sections of the Midsouth where the cap will be weaker. Temperatures are expected to surge into the 70s across most of the Midsouth with a tightening pressure gradient and increased southerly flow. Following this point model solutions begin to diverge significantly. If you've been following along to previous forecast packages... considerable uncertainty still exists in regards to timing and intensity of the next major cold front. Both operational solutions have been slowing down with subsequent runs, and now it appears the main band of precipitation will hold off until at least Friday night per the GFS solution.. while the Euro has slowed the passage of the front all the way to midday Saturday. While timing is still a major issue, the organization of the precipitation and resultant chances for a strong to severe storms appear to be minimal with a slower moving front and less robust system, particularly this far south in the CONUS. Even still a squall line with heavy rain and thunderstorms is expected sometime between Friday night and Saturday, PoPs will likely have to be increased in future forecast packages once timing can be better nailed down. Stay tuned. Dry weather is expected for the remainder of the weekend and headed into next week with temperatures ranging from slightly below normal to near normal. WLC && .AVIATION.../12z TAFs/ VFR conditions are forecast through the period with light east winds becoming southeast/south today and tonight. Winds will increase from the south on Wednesday morning at KMEM. A few light showers may occur late in the forecast period near KJBR (24 hrs) and potentially KMEM (24-30 hrs). JLH && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Memphis TN 419 AM CST Tue Nov 14 2017 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-151230- Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay- Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur- Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood- Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lawrence- Lee AR-Lee MS-Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion- Panola-Pemiscot-Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman- Randolph-Shelby-St. Francis-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton- Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-Yalobusha- 419 AM CST Tue Nov 14 2017 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas... the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday A few strong thunderstorms are possible Friday night into Saturday across the Midsouth. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe (D2) drought conditions developed across the county.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, November 2017
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 727774.