Georgia, 2016

Drought in Georgia, October 4 to 31, 2016

October 4 to 31, 2016 · NWS TAE · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

D2 drought conditions developed in the northern portions of Lee and Worth counties on October 4, 2016 and persisted through the end of the month and into November. In fact, by October 25th, D3 drought conditions were affecting the extreme northeastern portion of Lee county.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.

D2 drought conditions developed in the northern portions of Lee and Worth counties on October 4, 2016 and persisted through the end of the month and into November. In fact, by October 25th, D3 drought conditions were affecting the extreme northeastern portion of Lee county.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 3, 9:24 PM EST, 2 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 3, 9:24 PM EST, 2 hours 36 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1024 PM EDT MON OCT 3 2016

.UPDATE...

Showers that have lingered into the evening are generally on a
weakening trend with a very slow westward movement. Expect only
light rain to prevail within a couple of hours, with all rain over
land coming to an end by 06z.

&&

.AVIATION [Through 00Z Wednesday]...

VFR conditions should prevail through the TAF. There are some
indications that patchy ceiling or vis restrictions may present
themselves overnight, though confidence is too low to include at
any particular terminal. Due to this evenings rain, should
restrictions be introduced, VLD would likely be first.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [328 PM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

A few showers and thunderstorms have popped up along a line from
Apalachicola to Tifton. Expect coverage to increase over the next
several hours, especially west of that line. Thunderstorms should
dissipate after midnight. Lows tonight will be in the mid to upper
60s.

.SHORT TERM [Tuesday Through Wednesday Night]...

As the stacked low over the northern plains lifts northward an upper
level ridge will build in over the eastern US. Locally, convection
will triggered along the East coast sea breeze and the stalled
boundary in the area. The western half of the CWA will be drier but
tropical moisture will start to increase over the eastern half
through the period. Highest PoPs will be limited to the Big Bend
and coastal waters with 20-40% expected. Highs will be in the
upper 80s and lows will be in the 60s.

.LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday]...

The location, movement and strength of the upper level ridge will
influence how close Hurricane Matthew will get to the east coast of
Florida. Most of the tropical moisture will stay to our east, but
there will be a chance of showers and thunderstorms for southern
Georgia and the Big Bend. Rain chances will be 20-30% Thursday and
Friday. A dry cold front will approach the area Saturday night
bringing cooler and drier air. Expect lows to return to the upper
50s.

.MARINE...

Winds will reach cautionary levels Tuesday night and will increase
to 20 to 25 knots starting Wednesday night as the gradient
tightens.

.FIRE WEATHER...

No fire weather concerns are anticipated through the next few
days, with RH values above critical thresholds and light winds
across our area.

.HYDROLOGY...

Widespread heavy rainfall is not expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   68  89  69  88  68 /  20  20   0  10   0
Panama City   70  86  70  86  69 /  10  20   0  10   0
Dothan        64  89  65  88  63 /   0  10   0   0   0
Albany        65  89  64  87  64 /  10  10   0  10   0
Valdosta      67  88  67  87  66 /  30  30   0  20   0
Cross City    70  87  70  86  71 /  40  40  10  30  10
Apalachicola  72  85  71  85  71 /  20  20  10  10   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

UPDATE...Harrigan
NEAR TERM...Weston
SHORT TERM...Weston
LONG TERM...Weston
AVIATION...Harrigan
MARINE...Weston
FIRE WEATHER...Moore
HYDROLOGY...Weston

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Lee

When
October 4, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Lee forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.780, -84.141 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Worth

When
October 4, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Worth forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.552, -83.851 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Georgia in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, October 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 658981, 658982.