Drought, Lee
- When
- October 4, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
- Where
- Lee forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 31.780, -84.141 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
D2 drought conditions developed in the northern portions of Lee and Worth counties on October 4, 2016 and persisted through the end of the month and into November. In fact, by October 25th, D3 drought conditions were affecting the extreme northeastern portion of Lee county.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.
D2 drought conditions developed in the northern portions of Lee and Worth counties on October 4, 2016 and persisted through the end of the month and into November. In fact, by October 25th, D3 drought conditions were affecting the extreme northeastern portion of Lee county.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 3, 9:24 PM EST, 2 hours 36 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 1024 PM EDT MON OCT 3 2016 .UPDATE... Showers that have lingered into the evening are generally on a weakening trend with a very slow westward movement. Expect only light rain to prevail within a couple of hours, with all rain over land coming to an end by 06z. && .AVIATION [Through 00Z Wednesday]... VFR conditions should prevail through the TAF. There are some indications that patchy ceiling or vis restrictions may present themselves overnight, though confidence is too low to include at any particular terminal. Due to this evenings rain, should restrictions be introduced, VLD would likely be first. && .PREV DISCUSSION [328 PM EDT]... .NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]... A few showers and thunderstorms have popped up along a line from Apalachicola to Tifton. Expect coverage to increase over the next several hours, especially west of that line. Thunderstorms should dissipate after midnight. Lows tonight will be in the mid to upper 60s. .SHORT TERM [Tuesday Through Wednesday Night]... As the stacked low over the northern plains lifts northward an upper level ridge will build in over the eastern US. Locally, convection will triggered along the East coast sea breeze and the stalled boundary in the area. The western half of the CWA will be drier but tropical moisture will start to increase over the eastern half through the period. Highest PoPs will be limited to the Big Bend and coastal waters with 20-40% expected. Highs will be in the upper 80s and lows will be in the 60s. .LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday]... The location, movement and strength of the upper level ridge will influence how close Hurricane Matthew will get to the east coast of Florida. Most of the tropical moisture will stay to our east, but there will be a chance of showers and thunderstorms for southern Georgia and the Big Bend. Rain chances will be 20-30% Thursday and Friday. A dry cold front will approach the area Saturday night bringing cooler and drier air. Expect lows to return to the upper 50s. .MARINE... Winds will reach cautionary levels Tuesday night and will increase to 20 to 25 knots starting Wednesday night as the gradient tightens. .FIRE WEATHER... No fire weather concerns are anticipated through the next few days, with RH values above critical thresholds and light winds across our area. .HYDROLOGY... Widespread heavy rainfall is not expected. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Tallahassee 68 89 69 88 68 / 20 20 0 10 0 Panama City 70 86 70 86 69 / 10 20 0 10 0 Dothan 64 89 65 88 63 / 0 10 0 0 0 Albany 65 89 64 87 64 / 10 10 0 10 0 Valdosta 67 88 67 87 66 / 30 30 0 20 0 Cross City 70 87 70 86 71 / 40 40 10 30 10 Apalachicola 72 85 71 85 71 / 20 20 10 10 0 && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. && UPDATE...Harrigan NEAR TERM...Weston SHORT TERM...Weston LONG TERM...Weston AVIATION...Harrigan MARINE...Weston FIRE WEATHER...Moore HYDROLOGY...Weston
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Georgia in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, October 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 658981, 658982.