The passage of strong upper trough resulted in strong winds in the Guadalupe Mountains.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
The passage of strong upper trough resulted in strong winds in the Guadalupe Mountains.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 5, 10:36 AM MST, 24 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1136 AM CST THU NOV 5 2015
.DISCUSSION...
The latest Aviation Discussion is included below
&&
.AVIATION...
Fog this morning has given way to westerly winds and VFR
conditions across area terminals. Winds are forecast to remain
westerly and become gusty through the afternoon with gusts of 25-30
kts possible at all terminals. Gusts will subside around sunset
with winds calming and becoming northerly by morning.
&&
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 445 AM CST THU NOV 5 2015/
UPDATE...
See public discussion below.
DISCUSSION...
Updated the grids to add patchy dense fog across Lea county New
Mexico and much of the Permian Basin this morning based on latest
observations and trends. Also removed mention of any
precipitation today based on latest radar trends.
updated products to be sent shortly
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 346 AM CST THU NOV 5 2015/
DISCUSSION...
Large upper level trough centered across northern Arizona will
move quickly east today to the western high plains by this
evening. As a result surface dry line/cold front combo will
quickly move east this morning toward central Texas. Thunderstorm
chances across the extreme eastern Permian Basin should end
this morning as these surface features move quickly east of the
forecast area. In its wake slightly cooler air and windy to very
windy conditions will develop in the mountains with breezy to
windy conditions developing in many areas of the plains as the
vigorous upper trough passes by to the north. Will continue the
High Wind Warning for the Guadalupe Mountains Today due to a 40 to
50 knot westerly 700 millibar wind forecast combined with a tight
surface pressure gradient. Winds will diminish rapidly by sunset
due to nocturnal cooling and passage of the upper trough.
Friday looks to be a quiet day behind this system before a broader
and weaker upper trough approaches from the northwest Friday
night and Saturday. This trough will combine with a reinforcing
cold front to produce mainly a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms across the eastern Permian Basin and lower Trans
Pecos of west Texas Friday night and Saturday. In addition much
below normal temperatures are expected behind this front Saturday.
The rest of the forecast Sunday through the middle of next week
looks dry with zonal flow transitioning to southwesterly aloft
ahead of the next western system. Near normal temperatures are
expected through this period.
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Friday morning FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES... Northern Lea County...Southeast
Plains/BLM Roswell/LNZ.
High Wind Warning until 5 PM MST this afternoon FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains NP/Lincoln NF/LNZ...
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.
TX...High Wind Warning until 5 PM MST this afternoon FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains.
&&
99HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 851 AM CST THU NOV 5 2015 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-061500- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS- LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN- DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU- BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 851 AM CST THU NOV 5 2015 /751 AM MST THU NOV 5 2015/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT WESTERLY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH, AND GUSTS NEAR 65 MPH, ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THEREFORE, A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT. COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION TONIGHT. NORTHERN LEA COUNTY IN NEW MEXICO COULD HAVE A FREEZE BY FRIDAY MORNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 713 AM CST THU NOV 5 2015 NMZ029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-060>063-068>070-051600- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-WINKLER-ECTOR- MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE... JAL...SEMINOLE...LAMESA...GAIL...SNYDER...ANDREWS...STANTON... BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...KERMIT...ODESSA...MIDLAND... GARDEN CITY...CRANE...MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE 713 AM CST THU NOV 5 2015 /613 AM MST THU NOV 5 2015/ ...LOCALLY DENSE FOG ACROSS THE AREA... REPORTS FROM ACROSS THE AREA INDICATE PATCHY DENSE FOG. VISIBILITIES ARE THE LOWEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PERMIAN BASIN AND ARE AS LOW AS ONE EIGHT OF A MILE...THE NORTHWEST BASIN REPORTS 1 TO 5 MILES... LEA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AROUND ONE QUARTER MILE...AND THE EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN REPORTS 2 TO 5 MILES. FOG IS EXPECTED TO LIFT BY 10 AM. BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN VISIBILITY IN SHORT DISTANCES. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT INTERSECTIONS.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, November 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 602045.