Low pressure off the Delmarva peninsula intensified rapidly as it moved northeastward. Its path just southeast of Nantucket brought heavy snow to all of southern New England and blizzard conditions and coastal flooding to coastal areas.
Every event with a place to put it; 41 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS BOX wrote it up.
Low pressure off the Delmarva peninsula intensified rapidly as it moved northeastward. Its path just southeast of Nantucket brought heavy snow to all of southern New England and blizzard conditions and coastal flooding to coastal areas. Near blizzard conditions occurred across much of eastern Massachusetts.
This was the latest in a series of snowstorms that piled nearly 60 inches of snow on the city of Boston in barely three weeks. This amount of snow in such a short amount of time wreaked havoc on much of eastern Massachusetts. School and work for some employees were delayed or even cancelled, plowing and shoveling became nearly impossible, and the Massachusetts Bay Transit Authority reduced or even cancelled services more than once during the winter snow blitz. The MBTA commuter rail and subway lines were plagued with delays and cancellations that lasted until the end of March.
The large amount of snow, combined with wintry, frigid temperatures resulted in snow piling up on roofs and numerous (250) roof collapses were reported to emergency management and to the National Weather Service in the days after this snowstorm. Fortunately no injuries to humans were reported. However, a large amount of snow fell off a Boston-area ice rink roof, burying a man and knocking down four others. No one was seriously hurt, but two of the people were taken to the hospital for evaluation. In barn collapses in Stoughton and Andover, a total of 40 horses were trapped and rescued. In another barn collapse in Westford, two horses died.
In another who would have guessed scenario, a falling icicle ruptured a gas line causing an explosion at the Duxbury House, an Alzheimer's care facility in Duxbury. No one was injured.
There were several indirect fatalities related to the snow. These include: a 57 year old man who died shoveling snow, a 57 year old woman hit by a snow plow, and a 60 year old man hit by a snow plow.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 14, 11:22 AM EST, 2 hours 38 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1122 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
A POWERFUL AND VERY DANGEROUS OFFSHORE STORM DEVELOPING SATURDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR COASTAL COMMUNITIES.
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WINDS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS FOR THE
OUTER-CAPE AND NANTUCKET. EXCEPTIONALLY COLD AIR...THE COLDEST OF
THE SEASON...FOLLOWS LATE SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER
STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED BY MIDWEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
11 AM UPDATE...
PATCHY LIGHT SNOW HAS BEGUN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CT VALLEY AT
16Z EVEN WITH HIGH TEMP/DEWPT SPREADS...LIKELY DUE TO THE VERY
COLD TEMPS /MAINLY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS/.
NOTING LOW PRES WORKING OUT OF THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES AT 15Z. A
WARM FRONT /OF SORTS/ DEVELOPING ACROSS NYC AREA NW THROUGH
CENTRAL NY WHICH IS CAUSING THE OVERRUNNING LIGHT SNOW TO
DEVELOP...MOST OF WHICH IS ALOFT BUT COULD REACH THE GROUND.
APPEARS THAT THE STEADIER SNOWS ARE ACROSS CENTRAL NY INTO NE PA
AND NW NJ AT 16Z...THOUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP FURTHER E AS
THE LOW BEGINS TO REDEVELOP OFF THE NJ COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.
VERY LOW EARLY MORNING TEMPS NOTED...AS LOW AS -19 AT KOWD...-15
AT KCEF AND -14 AT BOTH KTAN AND KBED AS WINDS DROPPED OFF TO
CALM. TEMPS ARE RECOVERING WELL AS WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY...
THOUGH READINGS THIS MORNING WERE RUNNING AROUND 5 DEGREES COLDER
THAN FORECAST...WHICH HAVE BEEN UPDATED. ALSO UPDATED POPS TO
INCREASE JUST A BIT OVER WESTERN AREAS WITH THE PRECIP ALREADY
STARTING TO FALL ALBEIT LIGHTLY.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
*/ STORM SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE SWEEPS S OF NEW ENGLAND TODAY INTO TONIGHT...BOMBING
OUT SUNDAY ROUGHLY 100 MILES E OF CAPE COD AS THE LOW IS CAPTURED
BENEATH THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL CUTOFF. A CENTRAL LOW PRES ROUGHLY
970-975 MB ADVERTISED EQUIVALENT TO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE. LOW
PULLS E WHILE CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
*/ STORM UNCERTAINTY...
A VARIETY OF SNOWFALL TOTALS ADVERTISED BY BOTH PUBLIC AND PRIVATE
MARKETS. ITS A TOUGH FORECAST THAT COMES DOWN TO THE PROXIMITY AND
LOCATION OF THE STORM TO NEW ENGLAND EXPECTING A TIGHT W-E GRADIENT
OF SNOWFALL WHILE GUESSING SNOW-TO-LIQUID RATIOS. CONTINUED WOBBLES
IN LOW POSITIONING AMONGST THE 14.0Z GUIDANCE. JUST A SLIGHT SHIFT W
OR E UP TO THE TIME OF THE STORM CAN MAKE A HUGE DIFFERENCE THAT CAN
LEAD TO ANGST AND AGONY AMONG FELLOW METEOROLOGISTS.
ITS NOT EASY AND CAN UNDERSTAND EVERYONES FRUSTRATION. ASIDE WE ARE
REASONABLY CONFIDENT THAT THE EASTERN-HALF OF S NEW ENGLAND WILL
EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT IF NOT LIFE-THREATENING IMPACTS. POINTS
HIGHLIGHTED IN THE DISCUSSION BELOW.
*/ SNOW...
- SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW.
AS THE LOW SWEEPS SE OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION OVER THE WATERS
IMMEDIATELY S OF NEW ENGLAND EXPECT AN OVER-RUNNING SETUP AS S-FLOW
ASCENDS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE H85-7 CLOSED LOW. BAROCLINIC-LEAF
SETUP BENEATH DIFFLUENCE ALOFT.
PATTERN-PREFERENCE TO THE HIGH-RES WRF / NAM / REGIONAL CANADIAN
FORECAST SOLUTIONS. SO A LULL IN ACTIVITY IS FAVORED AROUND MIDNIGHT
AS THE LOW TRANSITIONS E AND BEGINS TO BOMB INTO THE GULF OF MAINE.
AN AVERAGE 0.2-0.3 LIQUID EQUIVALENT THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH HIGHER
TOTALS ACROSS THE E-HALF OF S NEW ENGLAND. EVALUATING 14.0Z BUFKIT
PROFILES AND APPLYING A COBB TECHNIQUE...18:1 TO 20:1 SNOW-TO-LIQUID
RATIOS EXPECTED YIELDING 3 TO 6 INCH SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.
ARCTIC AIR DRIVING S/SE TOWARDS THE LOW-CENTER PER ISALLOBARIC WIND
RESPONSE. WINDS WILL PEAK AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING
POSSIBLE. AN ALL-SNOW EVENT.
LITTLE CONFIDENCE TO BELIEVE SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-INCH PER HOUR WILL
MATERIALIZE...BUT AREAS OF LOW VISIBILITY AT OR BELOW HALF A MILE
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. SNOW WILL EASILY ACCUMULATE. HAZARDOUS
TRAVEL CONDITIONS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
*/ HEADLINES...
- A POWERFUL AND VERY DANGEROUS STORM...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
- WHITE OUT CONDITIONS / NEAR-ZERO VISIBILITIES AT TIMES
- EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WINDS...HURRICANE FORCE OVER CAPE/ISLANDS
- LIKELY STRUCTURAL DAMAGE AND WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES
- MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING / BEACH EROSION
- HEED ALL WARNINGS! TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED!
*/ SNOW...
- SUNDAY MORNING INTO SUNDAY EVENING...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW.
SWEEPING ACROSS 40N/70W BENCHMARK SE OF NANTUCKET...FORECAST MODEL
CONSENSUS HAS THE LOW BOMBING TO A 970-975 MB CENTRAL PRESSURE ABOUT
100 MILES E OF CAPE COD. BOMBOGENESIS AHEAD OF WHICH THE WARM-MOIST
CONVEYOR BELT ISENTROPICALLY ASCENDS AND CYCLONICALLY TROWALS REAR-
WARD TOWARDS THE W/NW-QUADRANT OF THE H85-7 CLOSED LOW. COMBINATION
OF MID-LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS / DEFORMATION YIELDS MODERATE TO HEAVY
SNOWBANDING ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE E NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE.
BIG QUESTION IS WHERE SNOWBANDING MATERIALIZES. IS THE LOW CAPTURED
CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE COAST OR DOES THE BETTER SNOWBANDING REMAIN JUST
OFFSHORE? NON-GFS PREFERENCE WHICH IS AN OUTLIER WITH POSITIONING OF
THE H85-7 LOW. FOCUS UPON THE IMMEDIATE NW-QUADRANT. THUS CONFIDENCE
OF SNOWBANDING TO EXTEND FROM NE MA ON UP THE MAINE COASTLINE. ONLY
CONSIDERING AN INCH PER HOUR SNOWFALL RATES AS LIKELY THE SWEET-SPOT
OF SNOWBANDING WILL BE WELL N ACROSS E-MAINE COAST BORDERING CANADA.
ASIDE...VISIBILITIES A QUARTER MILE OR LESS FOR ALL OF E MA COMBINED
WITH EXTREME WINDS /MORE ON THAT LATER/.
TIGHT W-E GRADIENT OF LIQUID-EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION. AVERAGE 0.3-
0.4 OVER AREAS ENCOMPASSED IN THE BLIZZARD...WITH AN AVERAGE OF 0.1-
0.2 FOR LOCALES W. SNOW-TO-LIQUID RATIOS OF 20:1. SO EXPECTING 6-8
INCHES E...WITH ONLY 2-4 W. AGAIN A SHARP W-E GRADIENT IS EXPECTED.
STORM-TOTAL: ROUGHLY 4 TO 8 W-E ACROSS THE INTERIOR...ROUGHLY 8
TO 14 OVER THE E WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS PERHAPS UP TO 20-INCHES
ANTICIPATED LOCALLY OVER NE MA WHERE THERE IS CONFIDENCE FOR HEAVY
SNOWBANDING. AGAIN SOME CAUTION...JUST A SLIGHT WOBBLE IN THE LOW
COULD YIELD SIGNIFICANTLY DIFFERENT OUTCOMES. OUR FORECAST
NEVERTHELESS CONVEYS OUR CONFIDENCE.
STORM SWEEPS E AND WELL-OFFSHORE LATE SUNDAY BEHIND WHICH SOME OF
THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON FOLLOWS. USHERED BY CONTINUED STRONG
TO DAMAGING WINDS WHICH PREVAIL INTO MONDAY MORNING. SEE THE LONG-
TERM DISCUSSION FOR MORE DETAILS.
- WARNINGS
WINTER STORM WARNINGS FOR W MA / N CT. BLIZZARD WARNING EXTENDED
TO S-COASTAL RI WITH ANTICIPATED 50+ MPH WIND GUSTS.
*/ WIND...
- HEADLINES
WIND ADVISORY / HIGH WIND WARNING CRITERIA INCORPORATED RESPECTIVELY
INTO THE WINTER-WEATHER HEADLINES. MARINE STORM WARNINGS FOR ALL
WATERS EXCEPT AROUND CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS WHERE HURRICANE FORCE
WIND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED.
- OVERVIEW
A NON-GFS CONSENSUS CONTINUES A 970-975 MB SURFACE LOW 100 MILES E
OF CAPE COD SUNDAY...PRESSURES EQUAL TO AN AVERAGE CENTRAL PRESSURE
OF A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE! COUPLE THAT WITH ARCTIC AIR SURGING S IN
LOW-LEVELS STEEPENING LAPSE RATES TO H9 WITH THE ISALLOBARIC WIND
RESPONSE AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS.
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WINDS WHICH WOULD CAUSE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE /
WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. WINDS BEGIN EARLY SUNDAY. STRONGEST WINDS
CENTERED AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY /EXPECTED WIND VALUES NOTED BELOW/.
A COMBINATION OF NON-GFS CONSENSUS WIND GUSTS WITH A IN-HOUSE WIND
GUST MIX-DOWN TOOL YIELDS WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 40 TO 50 MPH ACROSS
THE INTERIOR...WITH AROUND 50-60 ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN AND 60-70
MPH OVER CAPE ANN / CAPE COD / NANTUCKET WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF THE
OUTER-CAPE AND NANTUCKET EXPERIENCING HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS.
- WARNINGS
ARE INCORPORATED INTO WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS. WIND ADVISORIES
FOR THOSE AREAS IN A WINTER STORM WARNING. HIGH WIND WARNING FOR
THOSE AREAS IN A BLIZZARD WARNING.
*/ EXTREMELY BITTERLY EXCEPTIONALLY COLD WIND CHILLS...
STRENGTH OF THE STORM AND THE ISALLOBARIC RESPONSE YIELDS A NON-
DIURNAL TREND THROUGH THE DAY. TOWARDS EVENING THE COMBINATION OF
WINDS AND TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE SINGLE- DIGITS TO BELOW-
ZERO WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL VALUES THAT DROP BELOW WIND CHILL
WARNING CRITERIA AT 25 BELOW-ZERO.
- WARNINGS
WIND CHILL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN POSTED ACCORDINGLY.
*/ COASTAL FLOODING...
PLEASE SEE THE COASTAL FLOODING SECTION BELOW.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
*/ HIGHLIGHTS...
- COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON EARLY NEXT WEEK
- ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM POSSIBLE BY MIDWEEK
*/ DAILIES...
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...
- WIND CHILL WARNINGS POSTED FOR LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING
STRONG LOW PRES WILL BE SLIDING S OF NOVA SCOTIA SUNDAY NIGHT AS
HIGH PRES FORCES IT/S WAY INTO THE REGION. THE RESULTANT STRONG
PRES GRADIENT MEANS THAT GUSTY NW WINDS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT SUN NIGHT AND EARLY HALF OF MON. DURING THIS
SAME PERIOD...IT APPEARS THE FETCH IS JUST RIGHT FOR THE OUTER ARM
OF CAPE COD TO BE CLIPPED BY OCEAN EFFECT CLOUDS AND POSSIBLY EVEN
SOME LIGHT SNOWS. SNOW WILL BE ENDING ELSEWHERE EARLY IN THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AS DRY ARCTIC AIRMASS UNDERCUTS THE UPPER LVL
COMMA HEAD.
CONDITIONS STILL ON TRACK TO BE THE COLDEST AIRMASS WE HAVE SEEN
SO FAR THIS SEASON. NO MATTER HOW YOU SLICE IT...H5 HEIGHTS BELOW
500DM...H85 TEMPS 2-3 STD DEVIATIONS BELOW NORMAL /-15C TO -22C/
AND A VERY LOW DYNAMIC TROP ALL SIGNS POINT TO THIS. GUIDANCE 2M
TEMPS ARE STILL SUB 10F...AND MOS ARE NOT MUCH WARMER HERE...FEEL
A BLEND OF BOTH WILL PROBABLY WORK. HOWEVER...SUN NIGHT INTO MON
AFTER SNOWS END...THE REAL ISSUE WILL BE THE GUSTY 20-35 MPH WINDS
ON TOP OF THIS WHICH WILL MEAN WIND CHILLS IN THE -20F TO -30F
RANGE FOR INTERIOR MA/NW RI AND NRN CT. WIND CHILL ADVISORIES AT
THE VERY LEAST WILL BE NEEDED...BUT IT/S LIKELY THAT WIND CHILL
WARNINGS ARE FORTHCOMING.
CONDITIONS STILL COLD ON TUE...BUT WILL FEEL ALMOST BALMY IN
COMPARISON AS TEMPS SHOULD BE ABLE TO SNEAK INTO THE TEENS AND
MAYBE INTO THE LOW 20S. WIND CHILLS MON NIGHT STILL
COLD...ADVISORY LEVEL NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
CONFIDENCE IN THIS SYSTEMS NOT AS HIGH AS ONE WOULD LIKE...BUT
THERE ARE SIGNS HERE. CPC AND A LOOK AT THE GLOBAL H5 PATTERN BOTH
SHOW LITTLE REAL CHANGE WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN SYNOPTICALLY...
AND THIS IS SUPPORTED BY THE CPC PROJECTED TELECONNECTIONS.
THEREFORE...FEEL THAT THE FAR SOUTH SUPPRESSION BY THE 00Z AND 06Z
MODEL RUNS WAS TOO MUCH. WE JUST DON/T SEE ENOUGH SUPPORT TO SHIFT
THE MEAN STORM TRACK THAT FAR SOUTH. GEFS AND ECENS MEANS ARE MUCH
MORE SIMILAR IN TRACK /LEE OF SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TO ABOUT
50-100 NM SE OF THE 40/70 BENCHMARK/ TO THE 12Z OPERATIONAL RUNS.
THEREFORE...WILL BE LEANING MUCH CLOSER TO THE 12Z GUIDANCE WITH
MOST OF THE WEIGHT ON THE MORE CONSISTENT ENSEMBLE MEANS FOR THIS
PARTICULAR UPDATE CYCLE.
THAT BEING SAID...THIS TRACK DOES SUPPORT MODEST LIFT IN THE NE
AND NW QUADS OF THE LOW PRES AS IT PASSES JUST S OF THE AS TROWAL
SETS UP BENEATH THE EQUATORWARD ENTRANCE REGION OF THE UPPER JET.
THEREFORE...COULD SEE ENOUGH LIFT THOUGH THE COLUMN AND WITHIN THE
DENDRITE ZONE. QPF VALUES GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 0.25 AND 0.5
INCHES WHICH WOULD SUPPORT ADVISORY LEVEL TO APPROACHING WARNING
LEVELS. THE KEY WILL BE THE COLD AIR. SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK IS
LIKELY TO KEEP THE NEAR SFC LAYER COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW...BUT IT
DEPENDS ON HOW DEEP. SHOULD THIS NORTHWARD SHIFT BACK
CONTINUE...MORE WARM AIR WILL BE APPARENT ABOVE THE SFC. FOR
NOW...WILL BE LEANING MAINLY ON SNOW...BUT SOME ICE IS NOT OUT OF
THE QUESTION AND THIS WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED AS WE APPROACH. FOR
WHAT ITS WORTH...THE ARCTIC IMPULSE IS CHILLING /LITERALLY/ IN THE
BEAUFORT SEA RIGHT NOW...SO SAMPLING IS QUITE SPARSE.
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...
ANOTHER ROUND OF HIGH PRES MOVES IN ONCE AGAIN ASSOCIATED WITH A
FAIRLY COLD AIRMASS. WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY HERE
HOW DEEP THE UPPER LVL TROF ULTIMATELY GETS...FEEL THE TREND OF
BELOW NORMAL TEMPS HOLDS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION /16Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...
LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...HIGH CONFIDENCE.
VFR IN THE MORNING. DETERIORATING THEREAFTER WITH -SN SPREADING
ACROSS THE TERMINALS. MVFR-LIFR CIGS AND VSBYS...WORST TOWARDS
EVENING. ACCUMS AROUND 3-6 INCHES. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AT FIRST
GRADUALLY BACKING OUT OF THE N.
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
STORM INTENSIFYING OFFSHORE. N-WINDS GUSTING AROUND 40-50 KTS
ACROSS MUCH OF INTERIOR S NEW ENGLAND WITH GUSTS AROUND 50-60 KTS
ACROSS E/SE-COASTAL TERMINALS WHERE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AND +SN/BLSN
LIKELY. STRONGEST WINDS AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY. IFR-VLIFR. 1/4SM
VSBYS. AIRPORT WEATHER WARNINGS LIKELY TO BE NEEDED FOR GUSTY
WINDS AND SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH PER HOUR.
KBOS TAF...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. CERTAIN OF TRENDS BUT NOT ON
TIMING. WORST OF CONDITIONS TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
KBDL TAF...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. CERTAIN OF TRENDS BUT NOT ON
TIMING. NEAR-BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY.
OUTLOOK...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE.
CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR AS SNOWS COME TO AN END W TO E THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS OUT OF THE NW REMAIN ELEVATED 30-40 KT
SUN NIGHT...THEN 25-35 KT DURING THE DAY ON MON. VERY COLD.
TUESDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE.
MAINLY VFR WITH CONTINUED COOL CONDITIONS ALTHOUGH NOT AS COLD AS
MONDAY. WINDS GENERALLY WEAKER.
WEDNESDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
POTENTIAL FOR YET ANOTHER STORM. CLOSER TRACK SUGGESTS BETTER
CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL...BUT WITH BETTER POTENTIAL FOR
SOME ICE ALSO MIXING IN ESPECIALLY NEAR THE SOUTH COAST. A FURTHER
SOUTH TRACK MEANS GENERALLY LESS ACCUMULATIONS...BUT A BETTER
CHANCE FOR ALL SNOW.
&&
.MARINE...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...
LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HEADLINES...
- HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS FOR WATERS AROUND CAPE COD
- STORM WARNINGS FOR ALL OTHER WATERS
- HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNINGS FOR ALL WATERS
INTO THIS EVENING...HIGH CONFIDENCE.
LIGHT S-SW WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO
25 KT. ALREADY NOTING GUSTS TO 29 KT AT BUOY 44065 OUTSIDE NY
HARBOR /ELEVATED TOWER/ AT 16Z. SEAS BELOW 5 FT EARLY...BUT WILL
BUILD TO AROUND 5-6 FT ON THE SOUTHERN OUTER WATERS BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WATERS
WITH LOWERING VISIBILITIES.
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
STORM INTENSIFYING OFFSHORE ROUGHLY 50-100 NM E OF PROVINCETOWN MA.
N-WINDS INCREASING TO HURRICANE FORCE 60-70 KTS ACROSS THE WATERS
AROUND CAPE COD / NANTUCKET WITH 50-60 KTS ON ALL OTHER WATERS.
SEAS BUILD TO 30 FEET ON THE OUTER WATERS DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE
WINDS AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY. COMBINATION OF WINDS ALONG WITH WAVE
ACTION AND ARCTIC AIR POURING S...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNINGS
POSTED. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WHICH WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED LOW
VISIBILITIES.
OUTLOOK...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
STORM FORCE CONDITIONS OUT OF THE NW WILL GIVE WAY TO GALES BY
EARLY MONDAY MORNING. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO LINGER INTO
MUCH OF THE DAY MONDAY. MODERATE TO POSSIBLY HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
LIKELY.
TUESDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE.
ALTHOUGH WINDS AND SEAS WILL START AROUND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS MON NIGHT...A PERIOD OF MAINLY QUIET BOATING WEATHER IS
LIKELY TO FOLLOW BY THE DAYTIME ON TUE AS HIGH PRES BUILDS OVER.
WEDNESDAY...LOW CONFIDENCE.
DEPENDING ON HOW CLOSE YET ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM GETS TO THE
SOUTHEASTERN WATERS...GALES OR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE LIKELY.
A CLOSER TRACK WOULD SUGGEST GALES WHILE A FURTHER SE TRACK WOULD
SUGGEST SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AND SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED FOR THE SALISBURY TO CAPE ANN REACH OF COASTLINE...INCLUDING
THE PLUM ISLAND AREA. THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO
A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN THIS AREA. THIS IS WHERE THE NOSE OF
THE LOW LEVEL JET IS POINTED AT REGARDLESS WHICH MODEL ONE CHOOSES
AND STRONGEST SURFACE GRADIENT AT THE TIME OF THE SUNDAY MORNING
HIGH TIDE. THIS HAS BEEN A FAIRLY CONSISTENT SIGNAL FOR THE PAST
SEVERAL MODEL RUNS. WE ARE THINKING THAT THE SURGE WILL BUILD TO
ABOUT 2.5 FEET AND WAVES SEVERAL MILES OFFSHORE TO NEAR 20 FEET BY
AROUND THE TIME OF THE SUNDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE...BETWEEN 7 AND 8
AM.
WE ARE ANTICIPATING JUST AREAS OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING FROM
GLOUCESTER TO THE BOSTON HARBOR AREA WITH A STORM SURGE NEAR 2 FEET
DURING THE SUNDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE. THE BOSTON HARBOR AREA IS
COVERED BY A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
FOR THE REACH OF COASTLINE FROM HULL TO PLYMOUTH AND SANDWICH TO
DENNIS...WE ANTICIPATE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WITH AREAS OF MODERATE
COASTAL FLOODING. AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...THE STORM SURGE IS
PROJECTED TO BE BETWEEN 2 AND 2.5 FEET AND WAVES 15 TO 20 FEET
SEVERAL MILES OFFSHORE. THIS WILL PROBABLY BE ENOUGH SURGE AND WAVE
ACTION FOR SOME OVERWASH IN THE MORE VULNERABLE AREAS IN THE SOUTH
SHORE COMMUNITIES INCLUDING HULL...SCITUATE...AND MARSHFIELD. WE
HAVE UPGRADED THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH TO A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR
THIS REACH OF COASTLINE...ALTHOUGH ANTICIPATE TO BE MORE OF A LOW
END COASTAL FLOOD WARNING. AN ADVISORY MIGHT SUFFICE FOR THIS AREA
BUT THERE IS CONCERN FOR INCREASED VULNERABILITY CAUSED BY THE
JANUARY BLIZZARD IN SOME SPOTS. ALSO...THE SURGE AND SEAS COULD BE
SOMEWHAT HIGHER IF THE STORM SHOULD INTENSIFY JUST A LITTLE MORE
QUICKLY.
FURTHER SOUTH...SOME BEACH EROSION AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS
LIKELY ALONG SOME NORTH AND EAST FACING SHORELINES IN CHATHAM AND
NANTUCKET. ANTICIPATE A STORM SURGE OF 1.5 TO 2 FEET AT THE TIME OF
THE SUNDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE IN NANTUCKET HARBOR...AND HAVE ISSUED A
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THAT AREA. A NORTH TO NORTHWEST WIND WILL
BECOME VERY STRONG AND LIKELY INCREASE THE SURGE INTO NANTUCKET
HARBOR LATER SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON BUT AFTER THE HIGH TIDE.
&&
.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WIND CHILL WARNING FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 8 AM EST MONDAY FOR
CTZ002>004.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY FOR CTZ002-003.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST
SUNDAY FOR CTZ004.
MA...BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR
MAZ005-013-017-018-020-021-023.
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 6 AM TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY FOR MAZ007-
019-022.
WIND CHILL WARNING FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 8 AM EST MONDAY FOR
MAZ005>007-010>019-026.
BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR
MAZ006-007-014>016-019-022-024.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
MAZ015-016-024.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY FOR MAZ002-003-008>011.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST
SUNDAY FOR MAZ004-012-026.
WIND CHILL WARNING FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 11 AM EST MONDAY FOR
MAZ002>004-008-009.
RI...BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR
RIZ006>008.
WIND CHILL WARNING FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 8 AM EST MONDAY FOR
RIZ001>004.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST
SUNDAY FOR RIZ001>005.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST
MONDAY FOR ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256.
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
ANZ231-232-250-254-255.
STORM WARNING FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM EST MONDAY FOR ANZ230-
233>237-251-256.
&&
SYNOPSIS...BELK/SIPPRELL
NEAR TERM...BELK/SIPPRELL/EVT
SHORT TERM...SIPPRELL
LONG TERM...DOODY
AVIATION...DOODY/SIPPRELL
MARINE...DOODY/SIPPRELL/EVT
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...STAFFHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 518 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 MAZ002-003-008-009-151030- WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA- WESTERN HAMPDEN MA- 518 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 11 AM EST MONDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WARNING. WIND CHILL WARNING. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR ANOTHER COASTAL STORM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. MAZ006-014-151030- WESTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA- 518 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 8 AM EST MONDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR INTERIOR NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BLIZZARD WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BLIZZARD WARNING. WIND CHILL WARNING. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR ANOTHER COASTAL STORM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. MAZ007-019-151030- EASTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA- 518 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 8 AM EST MONDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COASTAL ESSEX AND COASTAL PLYMOUTH COUNTIES IN MASSACHUSETTS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BLIZZARD WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BLIZZARD WARNING. COASTAL FLOOD WARNING. WIND CHILL WARNING. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR ANOTHER COASTAL STORM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. MAZ005-013-017-018-151030- CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA- WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA- 518 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST MONDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 8 AM EST MONDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND INTERIOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BLIZZARD WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BLIZZARD WARNING. WIND CHILL WARNING. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR ANOTHER COASTAL STORM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. MAZ004-151030- NORTHERN WORCESTER MA- 518 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 11 AM EST MONDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WARNING. WIND CHILL WARNING. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR ANOTHER COASTAL STORM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. CTZ004-MAZ012-026-RIZ001>004-151030- WINDHAM CT-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA- NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI- EASTERN KENT RI- 518 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 8 AM EST MONDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WARNING. WIND CHILL WARNING. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR ANOTHER COASTAL STORM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. MAZ020-021-023-RIZ006>008-151030- SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-DUKES MA-WASHINGTON RI- NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI- 518 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST MONDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BLIZZARD WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BLIZZARD WARNING. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR ANOTHER COASTAL STORM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. RIZ005-151030- BRISTOL RI- 518 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR BRISTOL COUNTY RHODE ISLAND. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WARNING. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR ANOTHER COASTAL STORM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. CTZ002-003-MAZ010-011-151030- HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA- 518 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 8 AM EST MONDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT AND SOUTHWESTERN MASSACHUSETTS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WARNING. WIND CHILL WARNING. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR ANOTHER COASTAL STORM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. MAZ024-151030- NANTUCKET MA- 518 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NANTUCKET. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BLIZZARD WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BLIZZARD WARNING. COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR ANOTHER COASTAL STORM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. MAZ022-151030- BARNSTABLE MA- 518 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CAPE COD. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BLIZZARD WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BLIZZARD WARNING. COASTAL FLOOD WARNING. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR ANOTHER COASTAL STORM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. ANZ234-151030- BUZZARDS BAY- 518 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM EST MONDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR BUZZARDS BAY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. STORM WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. STORM WARNING. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR ANOTHER COASTAL STORM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. MAZ015-016-151030- SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA- 518 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 8 AM EST MONDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR GREATER BOSTON. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BLIZZARD WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BLIZZARD WARNING. COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY. WIND CHILL WARNING. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR ANOTHER COASTAL STORM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. ANZ231-232-250-254-255-151030- CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND- COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET- 518 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR ANOTHER COASTAL STORM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. ANZ230-233-235>237-251-256-151030- BOSTON HARBOR-VINEYARD SOUND-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY- BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND- 518 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM EST MONDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MOST OF THE MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS...AND THE RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. STORM WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. STORM WARNING. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR ANOTHER COASTAL STORM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT @NWSBOSTON
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
16 heavy snow, 13 extreme cold/wind chill, 5 winter weather, 3 blizzard, 3 coastal flood, 1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Twelve to eighteen inches of snow fell across western Middlesex County.
Fourteen to seventeen inches of snow fell across southeastern Middlesex County.
Twelve to fifteen inches of snow fell across northwestern Middlesex County.
Eight to twelve inches of snow fell across northern Worcester County.
Five to thirteen inches of snow fell across southern Worcester County.
Eight to seventeen inches of snow fell across northern Bristol County.
Seventeen to twenty-three inches of snow fell across southern Bristol County. Received reports of several vehicles stuck in snowbanks in Freetown and in New Bedford..
Three to six inches of snow fell across western Franklin County.
Four to nine inches of snow fell across eastern Franklin County.
Four to five inches of snow fell across western Hampden County.
Three to nine inches of snow fell across eastern Hampden County.
Four to six inches of snow fell across western Hampshire County.
Four to seven inches of snow fell across eastern Hampshire County.
Twelve to sixteen inches of snow fell across western Norfolk County.
Twelve to nineteen inches of snow fell across eastern Norfolk County. Exit 11B on Interstate 93 Southbound was closed due to high snow drifts blocking the exit ramp.
Eleven to twenty inches of snow fell across western Plymouth County.
While blizzard conditions were met for a brief time (7:55am-11:15pm), near blizzard conditions continued for nearly 24 hours in eastern Plymouth County. While difficult to measure with all the blowing, roughly twelve to seventeen inches of snow fell. Wires were downed onto John Alden Road in Plymouth. In Marshfield, a tree was downed onto wires on Webster Street.
Eleven to eighteen inches of snow fell across southern Plymouth County.
While blizzard conditions were met for a brief time (8:30am-1pm), near blizzard conditions continued for nearly 24 hours on Cape Cod. While difficult to measure with all the blowing, roughly seven to twelve inches of snow fell. Sustained winds were recorded on a number of instruments, including an ASOS, to be 40 mph. Gusts to 64 mph were measured at Hyannis during the peak of the storm.
About ten inches of snow fell on Martha's Vineyard.
Eleven to fourteen inches of snow fell across interior Essex County.
Thirteen to twenty-two inches of snow fell across coastal Essex County.
Thirteen to sixteen inches of snow fell across Suffolk County.
While blizzard conditions were met for a brief time (8:40am-1:10pm), near blizzard conditions continued for nearly 14 hours on Nantucket. While difficult to measure with all the blowing, roughly nine inches of snow fell. The Automated Surface Observing System at Nantucket Memorial Airport (KACK) recorded sustained wind speeds of 49 mph and gusts to 65 mph at the peak of the storm.
In Marshfield, two feet of street flooding occurred by the Esplanade in Brant Rock. Up to six inches of street flooding occurred on Ocean Street. Bay Avenue was flooded by water coming over the part of the sea wall near Brighton Street that was compromised in the previous storm. In Scituate, portions of Central Avenue were closed due to flooding. Water overflowed the seawalls near Turner and Oceanside Roads and was flowing around houses. The water was unable to drain because of snow mounds blocking storm drains. Sediment and water washed onto Rebecca Road. In Hull, Atlantic Avenue was closed from town hall to the Cohasset line due to coastal flooding. Minor flooding by the sewage treatment plant on Nantasket Avenue.
Beaches and dunes were eroded in Sandwich. Bulkheads and houses on White Cap Lane were undermined. Beach dunes were washed into the Town Neck Beach parking lot.
Minor coastal flooding occurred at the Children's Beach boat ramp. The barrier beach at Folger's Marsh was breached. Francis Street was closed at Union Street and Washington Street was closed from Commercial Street to Francis Street.
The Automated Surface Observing System at Martha's Vineyard Airport (KMVY) recorded wind gusts to 58 mph. No damage was reported.
The Automated Surface Observing System at Worcester Regional Airport (KORH) recorded wind chills as low as 38 below zero.
The Automated Surface Observing System at Fitchburg Municipal Airport (KFIT) recorded wind chills as low as 31 below zero.
The Automated Surface Observing System at Hanscom Field in Bedford, MA (KBED) recorded wind chills as low as 30 below zero.
The Automated Surface Observing System at Beverly Municipal Airport (KBVY) recorded wind chills as low as 27 below zero.
The Automated Surface Observing System at Norwood Memorial Airport (KOWD) recorded wind chills as low as 29 below zero.
ASOS sites at surrounding locations, including KBOS, KLWM, KBED, and KOWD all recorded wind chills as low as 30 below zero.
ASOS sites at surrounding locations, including KFIT, KLWM, and KBED all recorded wind chills as low as 31 below zero.
The Automated Surface Observing System at Orange Municipal Airport (KORE) recorded wind chills as low as 28 below zero.
The Automated Surface Observing System at Barnes Municipal Airport (KBAF) recorded wind chills as low as 27 below zero.
The Automated Surface Observing System at Boston's Logan International Airport (KBOS) recorded wind chills as low as 28 below zero.
ASOS sites at surrounding locations, including KBOS, KPYM, and KOWD all recorded wind chills as low as 29 below zero.
The Automated Surface Observing Station at Plymouth Municipal Airport (KPYM) recorded wind chills as low as 28 below zero.
The Automated Surface Observing System at Lawrence Municipal Airport (KLWM) recorded wind chills as low as 28 below zero.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Massachusetts in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Massachusetts, February 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 560715, 560716, 560717, 560725, 560726, 560704, 560705, 560709, 560710, 560711, 560712, 560713, 560714, 560719, 560720, 560721, 560722, 560723, 560702, 560706, 560707, 560708, 560724, 560718, 560748, 560749, 560752, 560728, 560735, 560730, 560731, 560733, 560736, 560737, 560741, 560729, 560734, 560738, 560739, 560740, and more.