S. Drought Monitor, extreme drought conditions were reported across Haskell, Shackelford and Jones counties.
Every event with a place to put it; 10 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJT wrote it up.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, extreme drought conditions were reported across Haskell, Shackelford and Jones counties. Impacts of extreme drought included major crop failures, pasture losses and widespread water shortages or restrictions. Severe drought conditions existed north of Interstate 20 and across the Hill Country counties of Kimble and Mason. Impacts from severe drought included crop and pasture losses, water shortages and water restrictions.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 30, 11:02 PM CST, 58 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 1202 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 .AVIATION... /06Z TAFS/ Expect VFR conditions at KSJT and KABI through the forecast period. However, MVFR CIGS will develop across the KJCT, KBBD, and KSOA terminals after 10Z. Some isolated showers and thunderstorms have developed to the west of the forecast area, these are not expected to affect any of the aforementioned terminals. Gusty south winds will return to the San Angelo and Abilene areas sometime after 14Z tomorrow morning. Winds will also become gusty across the Brady, Junction, and Sonora areas, though not until after 17Z. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 620 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014/ AVIATION... /00Z TAFS/ Gusty south winds are coming to an end as well as any chance of seeing precipitation. VFR conditions are expected to prevail across the KABI and KSJT terminals through the forecast period, though gusty south winds will likely return early tomorrow morning. Farther south and east MVFR CIGS are expected to develop during the early morning hours. Since confidence has increased in the development of low clouds across KJCT, KBBD, and KSOA, MVFR CIGS were added after 10Z. Low clouds will likely scatter sometime after 17Z tomorrow. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 402 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014/ SHORT TERM... /Tonight and Wednesday/ Isolated showers have been affecting the Big County this afternoon, embedded within the mid-level moist axis streaming across the Lone Star State from southwest to northeast. The RAP Mesoanalysis indicates a narrow axis of MLCAPE values approaching 1500 J/kg across the western counties this afternoon, but even the cu development as been rather limited, suggesting a pretty strong cap. We are seeing a bit more vertical development in the cu field over the Trans-Pecos area, however, and any convection that develops may drift into the southwest zones. Thus, the slight chance PoPs were retained this evening, mainly west of a line from Ozona, to Robert Lee, to Miller Creek Reservoir. Winds will be a few mph stronger than what was observed last night and, combined with the increasing low-level moisture, should support min temps in the mid to upper 60s. On Wednesday, the thermal ridge axis will shift east, resulting in 850mb temps of 24-25C across the Big Country and Concho Valley by peak heating. With low-level adiabatic lapse rates during the afternoon hours, we should have little problem warming into the lower 90s across much of the area. These warm temperatures may strain the cap to its breaking point by late afternoon, so the mention of showers and thunderstorms was retained after 20z (3 PM). Coverage is expected to remain very limited, but any storms that develop could be strong. LONG TERM... /Wednesday night through Monday/ Afternoon water vapor imagery shows a strengthening trough progressing southeast across the Inter-mountain West, upper-level moisture streaming northeast across west central Texas from Tropical Depression Rachel, and a shortwave trough lifting northeast across the Dakotas. A dryline observed in surface observations extends south through the Texas Panhandle, with a few showers developing ahead of this feature. Ahead of this dryline, southeasterly surface winds continue to advect moisture into the region from the Gulf of Mexico. The trend in the model solutions the past few days has been to delay the arrival of a cold front. This trend has continued today with the GFS and ECMWF trending towards the NAM model. Convective temperatures are expected to be reached tomorrow evening. With sufficient moisture/good instability in place, shower and thunderstorm development will be possible, mainly north and west of a line from San Angelo to Baird. Forecast soundings show SBCAPEs in excess of 2000 J/kg, around 20-25 Kts of 0-6km shear, and T/TD spreads around 30 degrees F. With this type of environment, a few strong thunderstorms will be possible. With the arrival of the upper trough Thursday, a cold front will cross the area during the day. For Thursday, moisture, instability, and shear will increase ahead of the cold front, with forecast soundings indicating convective temperatures being reached, and a higher potential for strong thunderstorms/possibly a few severe/ if frontal timing in the models are correct. Friday will feature cooler temperatures, with highs near 80 degrees. Another disturbance will cross the Central Plains this weekend sending a weak cold front south. This front will stall across the area on Sunday, with increasing surface moisture likely south of the front. However, moisture return looks insufficient for shower development at this time. Overall confidence is moderate in rain chances Wednesday/Thursday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 69 92 72 92 56 / 10 10 20 20 5 San Angelo 69 93 73 89 57 / 10 5 10 20 10 Junction 66 91 73 90 60 / 5 5 5 20 20 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && Aviation: Dunn Short/Long Term: Johnson/60
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 310 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014 TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139- 140-154-155-168>170-011100- FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO- CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD- TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE- MASON- 310 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE BIG COUNTRY...CONCHO VALLEY...AND CROCKETT COUNTY THIS EVENING. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING BEING THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ON THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AREAWIDE. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING BEING THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. JOHNSON
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
10 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Callahan County during October.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Fisher County during October.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated extreme drought conditions across Haskell County during October.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated extreme drought conditions across Jones County during October.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Kimble County during October.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Mason County during October.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Nolan County during October.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated extreme drought conditions across Shackelford County during October.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Taylor County during October.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Throckmorton County during October.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 545348, 545349, 545350, 545351, 545352, 545353, 545354, 545355, 545356, 545357.