Hail, Kearney
- When
- October 1, 6:30 PM CST
- Where
- Kearney County, 2.03 mi WSW of Lowell
- Measured
- 0.88 in hail
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 40.643, -98.868
Nickel size hail was reported at El Charman housing development.
This Wednesday evening into early Thursday morning featured South Central Nebraska's last bout of strong to severe thunderstorms in 2014. Although radar data suggested that isolated severe convection lingered into the early morning hours of the 2nd, all ground-truth severe weather reports occurred on the 1st between 730-1130 pm CDT, in areas west of Highway 14 and south of Highway 92.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GID wrote it up.
This Wednesday evening into early Thursday morning featured South Central Nebraska's last bout of strong to severe thunderstorms in 2014. Although radar data suggested that isolated severe convection lingered into the early morning hours of the 2nd, all ground-truth severe weather reports occurred on the 1st between 730-1130 pm CDT, in areas west of Highway 14 and south of Highway 92. The highlight of the evening was an elevated supercell that tracked east generally down Highway 6 through Adams and Clay counties between 8-10 pm CDT, yielding numerous reports of hail up to half dollar size in places including Hastings. Along with the hail, this storm produced strong to marginally severe wind including measured gusts of 55 MPH at Hastings airport and 66 MPH at a mesonet site five miles southwest of Harvard. Not surprisingly, this combination of hail and wind damaged siding on area homes. Outside the path of this primary severe storm, there were several other quarter size hail reports during the evening, including near Naponee and Franklin in Franklin County and at Amherst and near Miller in Buffalo County. Due to the fairly progressive nature of most convection, the majority of South Central Nebraska received no more than 0.50-1.00 inch of rain, although small pockets topped out closer to two inches, including 1.88 two miles west of Kenesaw (NeRAIN).
Taking a closer look at convective mode and timing, the first isolated strong to severe storms flared up between 630-800 pm CDT within various central counties including Franklin, Kearney, Adams and Buffalo. As this initial isolated activity drifted east or northeast during the ensuing few hours, by far the most organized storm was the one over Adams/Clay counties, which assumed elevated supercell characteristics. A bit later in the evening mainly between 10 pm-12 am CDT, another isolated strong to severe storm drifted across northeastern Dawson and northern Buffalo counties. However, the main feature of the later evening and post-midnight hours was a north-to-south oriented squall line that first entered far western portions of South Central Nebraska between 11 pm-12 am CDT. Initially, it appeared this convective line might become legitimately severe, but in fact it yielded only a few reports of sub-severe hail and wind as it limped into the Highway 281 corridor counties by 2 am CDT. Just as it appeared any severe threat might be over with for the night, the southern end of the line morphed into a semi-discrete, radar-indicated severe storm that tracked across mainly southern portions of Webster, Nuckolls and Thayer counties between 2-4 am CDT before exiting the local area. However, this storm yielded no verifying ground-truth reports, and in its wake, only scattered showers and a few very weak thunderstorms lingered over South Central Nebraska through the remainder of the night.
On the synoptic scale aloft, this early-autumn severe event focused just downstream from a sharpening mid-upper trough axis aligned from the far western Dakotas to the Four Corners region at midnight. Some of the initial early-evening convection was likely aided by subtle forcing from a weak lead wave out ahead of this parent trough. At the surface during the evening, forcing for convection was also rather nebulous, although a weak trough axis was draped through the general area. Toward midnight and through the early morning hours of the 2nd, a more organized cold front pushed through South Central Nebraska and helped promote the increasing areal coverage of convection. Instability-wise, this was not an overly-favorable setup for severe weather as surface dewpoints only averaged in the mid-50s F and most-unstable CAPE only peaked around 1000 J/kg. However, 0-6 kilometer deep layer wind shear was fairly strong at generally 40-50 knots, helping to enhance storm organization.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 1, 5:45 PM CST, 45 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 645 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY) ISSUED AT 326 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM IS THE SMALL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AND THEN A BETTER CHANCE OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY. LOOKING AT THE BIG PICTURE...A BROAD TROUGH IS SITUATED OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE U.S. WITH VARIOUS SHORTWAVES ROTATING THROUGH. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH WAS OVER NORTH CENTRAL UTAH SLIDING EAST INTO COLORADO. ANOTHER WAVE OVER WESTERN CANADA WAS DROPPING SOUTHEAST AND SHOULD PHASE SOMEWHAT WITH THE SOUTHERN WAVE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE WAS CENTERED OVER CENTRAL MANITOBA AND SOUTHERN KANSAS CONNECTED BY A FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WAS LYING JUST EAST OF OUR CWA. THE BETTER SURFACE MOISTURE WAS POOLING ALONG THE BOUNDARY WITH MID 60 DEW POINTS IN EASTERN NEBRASKA COMPARED TO LOWER 40S IN THE PANHANDLE. THE DEWPOINT DIFFERENCE ACROSS OUR CWA AT 19Z WAS ABOUT 10 DEG F FROM EAST TO WEST. FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS LOOK TO BE SOUTHEAST OF OUR AREA...AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHERE CAPES ARE ALREADY IMPRESSIVE AND CIN IS NIL. JUST DONT SEE A LOT OF INGREDIENTS TO KICK OFF STORMS IN OUR CWA WITH MID LEVEL FORCING STILL WELL UPSTREAM AND SURFACE BOUNDARY WELL EAST. THE PROBLEM IS THAT SEVERAL MESO-SCALE MODELS INCLUDING THE HRRR DEVELOP CONVECTION OVER THE CWA LATE THIS AFTERNOON DURING MAX HEATING. THIS TREND NOT EVIDENT IN ALL MESO-SCALE MODELS HOWEVER AS THE VARIOUS RUNS OF THE HOP-WRF ENSEMBLE KEEPING IT DRY OVER US UNTIL LATER TONIGHT. WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH RADAR AND SATELLITE TRENDS AND WILL MOST LIKELY STICK WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING. IF ANYTHING DOES POP...IT COULD APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH. CHANCES FOR RAIN THEN INCREASE QUITE A BIT OVERNIGHT AS SHARP MID LEVEL TROUGH NOTED ABOVE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. FORCING LOOKS GOOD WITH THIS SYSTEM AS SEEN IN THE TIME/HEIGHT SECTIONS IN BOTH THE NAM AND GFS MODELS. THE TIME HEIGHT SECTIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WIND...AND OMEGA SHOW THE BEST FORCING OVER THE CWA BETWEEN 07Z AND 15Z WITH OMEGA VALUES BETWEEN 5-8 UBARS/SEC AND PLENTY OF MOISTURE. AN ISENTROPIC PLAN VIEW PLOT DOES SHOW SOME WARM ADVECTION OVERNIGHT BUT BELIEVE THE BIGGER CONTRIBUTOR TO THE OMEGA IS COMING FROM THE DPVA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHARP MID LEVEL TROUGH. SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE MODERATE RAIN AGAIN TONIGHT AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES CLIMB TO OVER AN INCH. INSTABILITY IS THERE BUT NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE SO WE COULD GET THUNDER BUT STORMS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. THE WAVE WILL TAKE A WHILE TO CLEAR THE CWA ON THURSDAY AND KEPT POPS FAIRLY HIGH IN THE MORNING BEFORE DRYING IT OUT WEST TO EAST IN THE AFTERNOON. .LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY) ISSUED AT 326 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT AT THE START OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD...WITH W/NWRLY FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS STARTING TO BUILD IN BEHIND A PASSING MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS SLIDING EAST TOWARD THE MISSOURI RIVER AREA. THE SFC PATTERN DURING THE THURSDAY EVENING HOURS IN ON THE WEAKER SIDE...SITTING IN BETWEEN AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED TO THE EAST AND NW OF THE CWA. NOT EXPECTING ANY PRECIPITATION RIGHT AWAY...BUT ONE OF THE CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST WAS TO INSERT A SLIGHT CHANCE MENTION OF SHOWERS...AFFECTING THE AREA NEAR/AFTER MIDNIGHT INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. WHAT WAS HINTED AT YESTERDAY BY A FEW MODELS HAS GAINED TRACTION...WITH MORE SUPPORT SHOWING THIS PRECIP POTENTIAL...DRIVEN BY THE EXIT REGION OF A STRONG 140-ISH KT UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK...MOVING IN FROM THE NORTH ON THE BACKSIDE OF ANOTHER DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH ND TOWARD MN. ANY PRECIP THAT DEVELOPS AT THIS POINT LOOKS TO SLIDE EAST OF THE CWA NEAR SUNRISE...SO KEPT THE DAYTIME HOURS ON FRIDAY DRY. ACCOMPANYING THAT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BE A REINFORCING SFC COLD FRONT...BRINGING ANOTHER SHOT OF COOLER AIR AND GUSTY NW WINDS. MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING SKY COVER DIMINISHING AND DEWPOINTS FALLING WELL INTO THE 20S /ANOTHER DROP FROM THE ONE MADE YESTERDAY/. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW MIXING POTENTIAL UP NEAR 750MB...TAPPING INTO STRONGER WINDS ALOFT...RESULTING IN SPEEDS PICKING UP INTO THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE...GUSTS OVER 40 MPH CERTAINLY POSSIBLE AS WELL. THE COOLER AIR MASS ALONG WITH THE GUSTY NW WINDS WILL NOT MAKE FRIDAY THE MOST PLEASANT OF DAYS...WITH HIGHS TRENDED DOWN A TOUCH MORE...RANGING FROM THE MID 50S IN THE NORTH TO NEAR 60 IN NC KS. AS WE GET INTO THE FRI NIGHT/SAT MORNING HOURS...WINDS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH /BUT NOT LOOKING TO GO COMPLETELY CALM AT THIS POINT/ AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN BEHIND THE FRONT...AND LOOKS TO CENTER ITSELF OVER THE SRN PLAINS BY SUNRISE SAT. WITH THE TAPERING WINDS...EXPECTED MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND COOLER AIR MASS...TEMPS WILL PLUMMET. ONLY MADE MINOR TWEAKS TO THE FORECAST LOWS...WHICH STILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 30S. LOOKS TO BE THE FIRST CHANCE AT MORE WIDESPREAD AT LEAST FROST...WITH THE NRN HALF OF THE CWA WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF HITTING THE FREEZING MARK. LOOKING TO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE NEXT WORK WEEK...OVERALL FEW CHANGES WERE NEEDED. BY 12Z SATURDAY...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING WELL AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL NWRLY FLOW IN PLACE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS...WITH THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION...AND RIDGING EXTENDING ALONG THE WEST COAST. OVERALL THERE DOESNT LOOK TO BE ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THAT PATTERN...WITH PRECIP CHANCES REMAINING PRIMARILY N/NE OF THE CWA...THOUGH IT WOULDNT TAKE MUCH OF A SOUTHWARD PUSH TO HAVE THE CWA BE AFFECTED BY SOME SMALL CHANCES /SUNDAY NIGHT?/. WILL BE SOMETHING TO WATCH OVER THE COMING DAYS. THE COOLER AIRMASS IN PLACE LATE THIS WEEK STARTS MAKING A BETTER PUSH EAST DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK...SO EXPECTING A REBOUND IN TEMPERATURES. CURRENTLY HAVE LOW 60S TO NEAR 70 GOING FOR TEMPS SAT...WITH HIGHS CLIMBING BACK INTO THE MID 70S TO NEAR 80 BY TUE/WED. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING) ISSUED AT 636 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT BOTH TERMINALS OVERNIGHT AS A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE CROSSES OVER COLORADO APPROACHES THE LOCAL AREA. WHILE THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED SHRA OR TSRA AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...THE BETTER CHANCE WILL COME AFTER MIDNIGHT AS FORCING FROM THE APPROACHING DISTURBANCE PROVIDES LIFT FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SHRA AND TSRA ACTIVITY. AT THIS TIME...EXPECT MVFR CIGS TO DEVELOP AFT 02/06-02/08Z...WITH POTENTIALLY LOWER CIGS AND VSBYS IN HEAVIER SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. AT THIS TIME...BROAD BRUSHED THE FORECAST WITH LOWER CEILINGS AND VSBYS THROUGH ABOUT 02/16Z...WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING THEREAFTER. WINDS AHEAD OF THIS DISTURBANCE WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTHEAST...AND BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY AND GUSTY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. && .GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. KS...NONE. && SHORT TERM...EWALD LONG TERM...ADP AVIATION...ROSSI
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 337 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087- 021200- PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE- SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK- GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN- WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER- 337 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING WITH THE BEST CHANCES TO THE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80. ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH. A BETTER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AFTER MIDNIGHT AS STORMS MOVE IN FROM THE WEST. THESE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...BUT HAIL BETWEEN THE SIZE OF DIMES AND NICKELS COULD BE POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. SPEEDS BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S. STAY UP TO DATE TO THE LATEST FORECAST REGARDING THE POTENTIAL FOR FROST DEVELOPMENT AND TEMPERATURES NEAR FREEZING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. && MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS (ALL LOWERCASE)
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
<meta charset="utf-8">
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
<title>Service Notice</title>
<link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
<main class="wrap">
<section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
<div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
<h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
<p id="message1">
The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
</p>
<p id="message2">
Please try again in a few minutes.
</p>
<p class="small" id="detail">
If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
</p>
</section>
</main>
<script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html><!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
<meta charset="utf-8">
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
<title>Service Notice</title>
<link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
<main class="wrap">
<section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
<div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
<h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
<p id="message1">
The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
</p>
<p id="message2">
Please try again in a few minutes.
</p>
<p class="small" id="detail">
If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
</p>
</section>
</main>
<script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html><!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
<meta charset="utf-8">
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
<title>Service Notice</title>
<link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
<main class="wrap">
<section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
<div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
<h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
<p id="message1">
The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
</p>
<p id="message2">
Please try again in a few minutes.
</p>
<p class="small" id="detail">
If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
</p>
</section>
</main>
<script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 51 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:32 UTC.
17 hail, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Nickel size hail was reported at El Charman housing development.
This report is from NERAIN network.
At Southern Hills Golf Course, 1.25 inch diameter hail occurred.
Quarter size hail was reported at 830 pm CDT about 2 miles southwest of Hastings, which was reported by a trained spotter. Quarter size hail was also reported at 833 pm CDT about 4 miles southwest of Hastings, which was reported by the public.
Copious amounts of hail were covering Highway 6, with some hail up to the size of quarters.
Several NWS employees in Hastings reported penny to nickel size hail during this time.
One inch diameter hail was occurring, with damage to siding occurring. Wind gusts of 55 mph were measured a bit earlier at 848 pm CDT at the Hastings Airport, which likely contributed to the damage to siding. This report was received from Facebook.
This report was received from Facebook.
The one inch diameter hail occurred along with thunderstorm wind gusts estimated at 50 mph.
This report was relayed by the Clay County Emergency Manager.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Nebraska in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Nebraska, October 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 545881, 543720, 542111, 542112, 542113, 542115, 542122, 542123, 543715, 543717, 542125, 542126, 542128, 542127, 543703, 543665, 543671, 543672.