A large area of precipitation moved across North Mississippi during the morning and early afternoon of January 10, 2013. A wake low pressure area developed over Arkansas behind the area of precipitation.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
A large area of precipitation moved across North Mississippi during the morning and early afternoon of January 10, 2013. A wake low pressure area developed over Arkansas behind the area of precipitation. This created a strong pressure gradient across North Mississippi resulting in some downed trees and power outages.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 10, 3:50 PM CST, 1 hour earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 350 PM CST THU JAN 10 2013 .DISCUSSION...SURFACE ANALYSIS THIS AFTERNOON PLACES A SURFACE LOW OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...WITH WATER VAPOR SATELLITE TRENDS PLACING THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NEARLY OVER THE SAME LOCATION. A WARM CONVEYOR BELT OF RAIN HAS PERSISTED ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY...BUT HAS DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON WITH ONLY A SMALLER BAND LEFT ACROSS NORTH MISSISSIPPI. STRONG TO PERHAPS ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THIS EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH...HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL THIS WEEKEND...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF WINTER WEATHER NEXT WEEK ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA PROVIDE SEVERAL FORECAST CHALLENGES IN THIS AFTERNOON/S FORECAST. .SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...SHORT TERM MODEL TRENDS INDICATE THE SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WILL MOVE NORTHEAST UP INTO MISSOURI TONIGHT AND INTO ILLINOIS ON FRIDAY. BASED ON LATEST SHORT TERM MESOSCALE TRENDS...THINK OVERALL POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING REMAIN QUITE LOW AS THE DEVELOPMENT OF FAVORABLE INSTABILITY CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE AND WILL HAVE TO CONTEND WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. IF DECENT INSTABILITY WAS TO BE REALIZED...OVERALL CONVECTIVE MODE WOULD POINT TO LOW TOPPED SUPERCELLS WITH THE THREAT OF A BRIEF TORNADO POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...AND PERHAPS PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS. NONETHELESS...WILL ADJUST WORDING IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK TO MENTION POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODCING DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS THE ABOVE MENTIONED AREAS FOR THIS EVENING. AS THE SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...A LINGERING SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL EVENTUALLY STALL OUT ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND PRODUCING THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AS THIS SURFACE FRONT WILL BE NEARLY PARALLEL TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW ALOFT. NOT CONCERNED AT THIS MOMENT ABOUT SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THIS WEEKEND AS MODELS SHOW A MAJORITY OF THE PRECIPITATION OCCURRING ON OR BEHIND THE SURFACE BOUNDARY. HOWEVER...THE LARGER CONCERN REMAINS ABOUT THE POTENTIAL FOR ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE MID SOUTH THIS WEEKEND AND POSSIBLE FLOODING. MODELS INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR 3-6 INCHES OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE MID SOUTH THROUGH LATE SUNDAY. FOR THE TIME BEING WILL UPDATE THE HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK PRODUCT AND LET THE MIDNIGHT SHIFT CONSIDER ISSUING A FLOOD WATCH FOR THIS WEEKEND IF CONDITIONS STILL LOOK FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND SUBSEQUENT FLOODING POTENTIAL. .LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...GFS/ECMWF LONG TERM MODELS INDICATE THIS SURFACE FRONT WILL REMAIN NEARLY QUASI- STATIONARY ACROSS THE MID SOUTH THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE TWO MODELS...SPECIFICALLY THE GFS BEING QUICKER THAN THE ECMWF AND DEVELOPING A SECONDARY LOW ALONG THE FRONT. FOR THE TIME BEING...WILL USE A BLEND OF THE TWO MODELS WITH MORE PREFERENCE TOWARDS THE ECMWF. COLDER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT MAY PRODUCE WINTER PRECIPITATION CHALLENGES SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AND AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. STILL TO EARLY TO PIN DOWN EXACT PRECIPITATION TYPES...BUT WILL MENTION POSSIBILITY IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. BEYOND TUESDAY...SIGNIFICANT MODEL DIFFERENCES REMAIN WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN AND KEPT POPS LOW DURING THIS TIMEFRAME. CJC && .AVIATION... 18Z TAF CYCLE BAND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS STREAMING NORTH FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS AREA SHOULD START TO DIMINISH AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES. CONDS WILL GENERALLY BE IFR THIS AFTERNOON THOUGH KMEM HAS SHOWN IMPROVEMENT OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS AND DECIDED TO KEEP MVFR CONDS THERE...AT LEAST FOR NOW. EXPECT ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP IN ADVANCE OF APPROACHING UPPER TROF. THESE WILL SWING THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH IFR/MVFR CONDS CONTINUING. CONDS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE LATER TONIGHT WITH VFR CONDS RETURNING FRI MORNING EXCEPT AT KTUP WHERE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LINGERS. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY FROM THE SE TODAY...VEERING TO THE SSW OVERNIGHT AND DIMINISHING. SJM && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MEM 55 72 61 72 / 60 10 40 90 MKL 58 70 57 71 / 60 10 40 90 JBR 52 68 53 67 / 70 0 30 90 TUP 61 72 61 74 / 70 20 60 70 && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 358 PM CST THU JAN 10 2013 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-111200- ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA- CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER- FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY- ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON- MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT- PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY- ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA- UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 358 PM CST THU JAN 10 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A POTENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID SOUTH TONIGHT. A FEW STRONG TO PERHAPS ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...AND PERHAPS EAST ARKANSAS THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT FOR ANY THUNDERSTORM THAT REACHES SEVERE LIMITS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE MIDSOUTH ON SATURDAY AND WILL BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE REST OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. RAIN WILL FALL FOR AN EXTENDED AMOUNT OF TIME OVER MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS THE AREA. THE RAIN COULD ALSO BE HEAVY AT TIMES. SINCE THIS SYSTEM WILL FOLLOW THE ONE THAT WILL OCCUR TODAY...THE GROUND WILL ALREADY BE SATURATED. FLASH FLOODING AND POSSIBLY SMALL RIVER FLOODING COULD OCCUR AS A RESULT. RAIN COULD CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO RAIN ON MONDAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM. NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. THIS COULD HAPPEN AGAIN LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING AS WELL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 338 PM CST THU JAN 10 2013 ARZ036-MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ088>092-110000- ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-CRITTENDEN-DESOTO- FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-MARSHALL- MCNAIRY-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-SHELBY- TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-YALOBUSHA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABERDEEN...AMORY...BARTLETT... BATESVILLE...BOLIVAR...BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...COLLIERVILLE... CORINTH...GERMANTOWN...IUKA...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...NEW ALBANY... OLIVE BRANCH...OXFORD...SAVANNAH...SOMERVILLE...SOUTHAVEN... TUNICA...TUPELO...WEST MEMPHIS 338 PM CST THU JAN 10 2013 ...GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON... SOUTHEAST WINDS HAVE INCREASED ACROSS PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL ARKANSAS INTO THE MEMPHIS METROPOLITAN AREA AND ACROSS NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH HAVE OCCURRED THIS AFTERNOON. IT APPEARS A SMALL WAKE LOW...OR AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...HAS DEVELOPED OVER ARKANSAS CREATING A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS PARTS OF THE MIDSOUTH. WAKE LOWS SOMETIMES FORM ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF LARGE RAIN AREAS...OR WHERE PRECIPITATION IS CLOSE TO ENDING. PEOPLE ACROSS SOUTHERN WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI... INCLUDING THE MEMPHIS METROPOLITAN AREA...SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR A SUDDEN INCREASE IN WIND SPEED. GUSTS COULD BRIEFLY EXCEED 40 MPH IN SOME AREAS. SJM
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Strong winds knocked down trees and caused power outages across central and southern areas of Tupelo.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, January 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 427027.