A strong disturbance crossing over the ArkLaTex initiated several storms west of Interstate 55. Flash flooding occurred as a result of the storms, as well as a few instances of thunderstorm wind damage.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.
A strong disturbance crossing over the ArkLaTex initiated several storms west of Interstate 55. Flash flooding occurred as a result of the storms, as well as a few instances of thunderstorm wind damage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 10, 5:07 AM CST, 7 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
507 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013
.DISCUSSION...
FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER ARE CONCERNS TODAY MAINLY OVER
SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS...
THE GOING FORECAST IS WORKING OUT FAIRLY WELL AS TREMENDOUS UPPER
LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT CONTINUE WELL OUT
AHEAD OF A DEEP CLOSED LOW MOVING NE ACROSS TX. THE GREATEST MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOCUSING OVER THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH AREA WHICH INCLUDES NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL MS. RAINFALL COULD BE HEAVY NORTH OF THE WATCH AREA BUT IT
DOES NOT APPEAR FORECASTED RATES WARRANT A NORTHWARD EXPANSION OF THE
WATCH. THE IDEA THAT A COASTAL MCS WILL KEEP HEAVIER RAINFALL AMOUNTS
FOCUSED TO THE SOUTH STILL HOLDS.
ALSO STILL OF A CONCERN IS THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK AS STRONG LOW LEVEL
SHEAR AND A LOW-LCL ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTS A RISK FOR A FEW TORNADOES
TODAY ALONG WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR WHERE GREATER LOW LEVEL TRANSPORT (MID/UPPER 60S
DEWPOINTS) AND INSTABILITY IS FORECAST. A SECOND AREA OF GREATER
STRONG/SEVERE TSTM RISK STILL SEEMS POSSIBLE OVER THE DELTA REGION
WHERE THE GREATEST MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS/FORCING COULD ENHANCE
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL THERE THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY IF GREATER
DAYTIME HEATING CAN OCCUR AS SUGGESTED BY MAV MOS. OVERALL...WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION THE HEAVY RAINFALL AND SEVERE WEATHER IN THE
GRAPHICS/HWO FOR TODAY. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY EVENTUALLY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED INTO THE
EVENING.
LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL WANE OVERNIGHT WITH
THE CLOSE LOW LIFTING OUT QUICKLY TO THE NORTHEAST...BUT SHOWERS
SHOULD LINGER AT LEAST INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS THE WEAK COLD FRONT
STALLS OUT OVER CENTRAL MS AND THEN BEGINS A NORTHWARD RETREAT IN
RESPONSE TO THE NEXT APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. SHOWERS COULD
QUICKLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE FRIDAY NIGHT IN THE FORECASTED WARM
ADVECTION REGIME AND HAVE FOLLOWED THE HIGHER MAV MOS GUIDANCE
POPS. /EC/
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
FOR THIS WEEKEND A STRONGER UPPER TROUGH WILL DIG SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THE WESTERN CONUS AND REINFORCE THE PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST MID/UPPER
LEVEL FLOW OVER THE ARKLAMISS REGION. ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL HELP WARM
FLOW CONVECTION TO DEVELOP ON SATURDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT
MARKING THE LEADING EDGE OF A POLAR AIRMASS WILL APPROACH THE LOWER
MS VALLEY REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND ENHANCE LIFT WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS. ANOMALOUS PRECIPITABLE WATER IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN ABOVE 1.5 INCHES.
MODELS AND ENSEMBLES HAVE SOME VARYING SOLUTIONS WITH THE PROGRESS
OF THE FRONT AS IT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND INTO
NEXT WEEK. THE GFS AND ITS ENSEMBLES TRY TO PUSH THE FRONT
SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION THAN IT WAVERS SOME. WHILE THE EURO AS WELL
AS ITS ENSEMBLES HAS THE FRONT HANGING UP OVER THE REGION FROM
SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AS ANOTHER SHORT WAVE APPROACHES FROM
THE SOUTHWEST. OPTED TO GO WITH THE SLOWER CAMP OF THE EURO WITH
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A SERIES DISTURBANCES IN THE FLOW. THE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS SHOULD BEGIN ON SATURDAY IN THE DELTA REGION. IN
THIS SCENARIO WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ANTICIPATING RATHER MILD
CONDITIONS PRIOR TO THE FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS THE REGION. IT WILL
BE UNSEASONABLY MILD WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE 70S OVER MUCH OF
THE FORECAST AREA FOR THE SATURDAY AND PART OF THE AREA ON SUNDAY
PERIOD...NEARLY 20 DEG F ABOVE CLIMATIC NORMAL. THE GLOBAL MODEL
CONSENSUS HAS THE FRONT WAVERING AROUND THE THE REGION FOR SUNDAY
THROUGH VERY EARLY TUESDAY WITH THE APPROACH OF ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
THE FRONT WILL FINALLY CLEAR WELL SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION AS WE GO
THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY AS THE NEXT SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE
REGION. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY COULD BE FROM
THREE TO FIVE INCHES WITH HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF GREATER
THAN 1.5 INCHES. AS WE GET CLOSER TO THE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WE WILL LIKELY NEED TO RAMP UP WORDING FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OVER AT LEAST PARTS OF THE ARKLAMISS. THIS
WILL BRING UP FLOODING ISSUES WITH THE ALREADY SATURATED SOILS.
THE DELTA REGION NORTHWEST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE SEEMS TO BE THE PRIME
REGION FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS
STILL EXPECTED TO BE MITIGATED WITH A WARM CAP IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT.
AS WE GO INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE WILL
APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST. OPTED TO GO TOWARD THE WETTER
EURO SOLUTION WITH THIS WET PATTERN. THE GFS WAS DRY WITH THIS
FEATURE.
AS FAR AS TEMPS ARE CONCERNED WENT CLOSE TO THE MAV GUIDANCE PRIOR TO
THE STRONG FRONT...THEN WENT WITH A BLEND OF MAV, GMOS AND ENSEMBLE
GUIDANCE. FOR POPS HAVE LEANED TOWARD THE EURO SOLUTION. /17/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON 74 56 73 63 / 93 66 27 65
MERIDIAN 73 61 74 64 / 57 74 46 65
VICKSBURG 74 52 73 61 / 96 51 15 64
HATTIESBURG 74 61 76 63 / 96 65 42 31
NATCHEZ 74 53 74 64 / 98 43 19 62
GREENVILLE 73 51 72 58 / 98 70 9 56
GREENWOOD 73 56 72 63 / 90 85 15 61
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR MSZ053-054-059>064-
072>074.
LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-
023>026.
AR...NONE.
&&HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 233 PM CST WED JAN 9 2013 LAZ015-016-023>026-MSZ047-053>066-072>074-102045- RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-WARREN- CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS- FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES- MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 233 PM CST WED JAN 9 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT FOR SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY AS A POTENT STORM SYSTEM AND HIGH MOISTURE STREAM INTO THE REGION. RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH LATE THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES...WHICH COULD BE HIGH ENOUGH TO RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING IN A FEW LOCATIONS. SMALL CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS CAN EXPECT SOME RISES IN WATER LEVELS. IN ADDITION...A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT ATTEMPTS TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. ALTHOUGH HIGH LEVELS OF WIND SHEAR ARE ANTICIPATED, THE LEVELS OF INSTABILITY SHOULD REMAIN LOW ENOUGH TO KEEP THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER RATHER LOW. THE MOST INTENSE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH. THIS RISK OF STRONG STORMS AND HEAVY RAINS WILL END THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A SURFACE BOUNDARY STALLS OUT OVER THE REGION ALLOWING FOR A WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING TIMING, STRENGTH, AND OVERALL RAINFALL TOTALS OF THIS SYSTEM, SO PLEASE STAY TUNED TO FUTURE FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY AND AGAIN THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK. MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-102045- GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA- HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA- KEMPER-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE- 233 PM CST WED JAN 9 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL, EAST, AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY PERIODS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES NORTH OF THE AREA WHILE ATTEMPTING TO BRING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION. RAINFALL RATES COULD POSSIBLY BE HIGH ENOUGH TO RESULT IN PONDING WATER ISSUES...PARTICULARLY IN LOW LYING AREAS. SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS CAN EXPECT RISES IN WATER LEVELS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A SURFACE BOUNDARY STALLS OUT OVER THE REGION ALLOWING FOR A WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING TIMING, STRENGTH, AND OVERALL RAINFALL TOTALS OF THIS SYSTEM, SO PLEASE STAY TUNED TO FUTURE FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY AND AGAIN THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK. ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-041-102045- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-BOLIVAR- SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY- 233 PM CST WED JAN 9 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS, PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS A POTENT DISTURBANCE SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION INTO AN MARGINALLY UNSTABLE BUT HIGHLY SHEARED AIR MASS. THE MOST INTENSE STORMS COULD BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO AT LEAST 60 MPH AND A TORNADO OR TWO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. IN ADDITION...MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY WITH THIS ACTIVITY AS THE OVERALL DISTURBANCE SHIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL RATES COULD BE HIGH ENOUGH TO RESULT IN SOME PONDING OF WATER ISSUES...PARTICULARLY IN THE LOW LYING AREAS. SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS CAN EXPECT RISES IN WATER LEVELS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A SURFACE BOUNDARY STALLS OUT OVER THE REGION ALLOWING FOR A WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING TIMING, STRENGTH, AND OVERALL RAINFALL TOTALS OF THIS SYSTEM, SO PLEASE STAY TUNED TO FUTURE FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY AND FOR PORTIONS OF THIS WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. ALLEN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
236 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1233 AM FLASH FLOOD SICILY ISLAND 31.85N 91.66W
01/10/2013 CATAHOULA LA LAW ENFORCEMENT
WATER ENTERED THE SICILY ISLAND PD STATION...NUMEROUS
REPORTS OF LOW-LAND FLOODING WITH WATER CROSSING HIGHWAYS
ACROSS CATAHOULA PARISH...REPORTED BY CATAHOULA SO
&&
ECMSZ047-101030-
WARREN MS-
404 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
404 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013
...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING THROUGH WARREN COUNTY...
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WIND GUSTS
AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF VICKSBURG AT 402 AM
CST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.
THIS STORM IS INTENSIFYING AND COULD BECOME SEVERE.
PEOPLE IN EASTERN WARREN COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.
LAT...LON 3222 9098 3229 9097 3230 9092 3237 9087
3234 9092 3235 9094 3245 9090 3245 9086
3257 9084 3248 9060 3235 9068 3234 9071
3234 9070 3214 9081 3216 9085 3213 9084
3212 9087 3219 9102
TIME...MOT...LOC 1002Z 210DEG 28KT 3225 9085MSZ040>042-047-101125- WARREN MS-SHARKEY MS-ISSAQUENA MS-YAZOO MS- 453 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 453 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013 A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH GUSTY WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WAS LOCATED OVER REDWOOD AT 453 AM CST...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH. PEOPLE IN SOUTHWESTERN YAZOO...SOUTHEASTERN ISSAQUENA...SOUTHERN SHARKEY AND NORTH CENTRAL WARREN COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. LAT...LON 3291 9086 3287 9055 3240 9071 3244 9094 TIME...MOT...LOC 1053Z 191DEG 32KT 3252 9079 MRM
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 83 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 11:15 UTC.
7 flash flood, 3 thunderstorm wind, 1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Localized road flooding occurred. One water rescue was needed in the area.
Several trees were blown down around Natchez. A tree was blown onto a house on Bishop Street.
A mudslide caused by the heavy rains was blocking traffic on Mission 66. Old Highway 27 and Paxton Road was barricaded off due to water covering the intersection.
Water covered Eastwood Road in Natchez.
Trees were blown down county wide.
Trees were blown down along the Natchez Trace Parkway and along Highway 547.
Flooding occurred in Anguilla. Some residents had water approaching their homes.
Several houses and an elementary school had water in them. Several roads around town were also under water.
Several roadways were under six to ten inches of water.
Several businesses were flooded in Bude. All lanes of State Route 556 between Highway 98 and Meadville were closed due to flooding.
A couple trees were blown down in Meridian.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, January 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 424003, 424009, 431505, 424010, 424011, 424012, 424025, 424046, 424049, 424050, 424052.