S. coast.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MHX wrote it up.
On November 19th Eastern North Carolina was located between strong high pressure building in from the north and a stalled coastal low pressure off the Southeastern U.S. coast. These features placed the region in a persistent northeast flow with elevated seas and rough surf conditions. One fisherman was swept off the beach near the south end of Portsmouth Island during the afternoon hours and was not found until December 2nd.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 19, 8:05 PM EST, 55 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
805 PM EST MON NOV 19 2012
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FURTHER OFFSHORE THROUGH TUESDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO THE NORTH. THE LOW WILL DEEPEN WELL
OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM
THE WEST FRIDAY AND CROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
AS OF 730 PM MON...DROPPED MENTION OF RAIN FOR REST OF NIGHT AS
MEASURABLE PCPN THREAT WILL REMAIN OFF COAST...BUT DID ADD CHANCE OF
DRIZZLE AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER. NO
CHANGES TO MIN TEMPS.
/PREVIOUS DISCUSSION/
AS OF 2 PM MON...PRECIP ASSOC WITH THE LOW PRESSURE OFFSHORE WILL
CONT TO END OVERNIGHT. WILL HAVE SLIGHT POPS IMD CST THIS
EVENING THEN MAINLY DRY LATE TONIGHT. LOW CLOUD WILL PERSIST THRU
THE NIGHT AND THIS WILL KEEP TEMPS UP WITH MID/UPR 40S INLAND TO
MID 50S OBX. NE WINDS WILL DIMINISH OVER THE INLAND AREAS AFTER
SUNSET...ALONG THE COAST WILL REMAIN GUSTY.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
AS OF 2 PM MON...WEAK UPR RDG IN THE MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO AN
APPROACHING TRF LATER IN THE DAY. EXPECT MAINLY DRY
CONDITIONS...POSS A FEW ISOLD SHRA LATE AS TRF APPROACHES.
WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS EARLY...THESE MAY LIFT/SCT OUT A BIT LATER
IN DAY HOWEVER GOOD DEAL OF MID CLOUDS EXPECTED SO OVERALL WILL BE
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM MID/UPR 50S INLAND TO AROUND
60 CST.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 315 PM MON...LITTLE CHANGE IN FCST REASONING FOR THE LONG
TERM. CLOUDS WILL FINALLY DECREASE TUE NIGHT AS HIGH PRES BEGINS
TO RIDGE INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH AND WEST...AND LOW PRES
WELL OFFSHORE BEGINS TO LOSE ITS INFLUENCE IN SENSIBLE WEATHER TO
THE AREA. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE GUSTY THROUGH THANKSGIVING
HOWEVER AS GRADIENT REMAINS. TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN A BIT
BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY AS DEEP NORTHERLY FLOW
REMAINS WITH E NC ON LEE SIDE OF UPPER TROUGH...WITH HIGHS
GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOME CLOUDS WILL LINGER ACROSS
THE FAR EASTERN AREAS AS LOW PRES WELL OFFSHORE IN THE ATLANTIC
MAY RETROGRADE JUST A BIT ON THURSDAY.
LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BACK BRIEFLY TO THE WSW ON FRI INVOF APPROACHING
PROGRESSIVE SHORT WAVE THAT WILL SWEEP THROUGH ON SAT BRINGING A
SFC COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. MAX TEMPS FRI WILL REACH INTO THE
60S BEFORE FALLING AGAIN ON THE WEEKEND BEHIND THE FROPA. NO
PRECIP EXPECTED WITH THIS FRONT...AS AIRMASS AHEAD OF IT WILL BE
QUITE DRY AND NO GULF MOISTURE WILL BE TAPPED. HIGHS BY SUNDAY
WILL BE BACK DOWN INTO THE MID 50S FOR MOST AREAS...WITH LOWS THIS
WEEKEND IN THE 30S. WENT WITH THE SLIGHTLY COOLER ECMWF GUIDANCE
FOR TEMPS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 630 PM MON...CURRENT MVFR CIGS EXPECTED TO LOWER TO IFR DURING
EVENING AND THEN TO LIFR OVERNIGHT...WHILE WINDS KEEP VSBYS TO MVFR.
IFR STRATUS SHLD GRAD LIFT TO MVFR TUE MORN THEN SCT OUT TO VFR
LATER IN THE MORN OR AFTN.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 315 PM MON...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE LONG TERM AS HIGH
PRES WILL BE IN CONTROL. GUSTY N WINDS WILL CONTINUE HOWEVER
THROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY AS LOW PRES REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC AND HIGH PRES RIDGING INTO THE CAROLINAS
PRODUCING A PRES GRADIENT.
&&
.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 730 PM MON...GUSTY N WINDS CONTINUE OVER AREA AND GUST
POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...THUS EXTENDED GALES AND SCA FOR
ALBEMARLE SOUND TO 4 AM.
/PREVIOUS DISCUSSION/
AS OF 2 PM MON...WL CONT GALE WARNING FOR CNTRL AND SRN WTRS THRU
EVENING. WINDS HAVE INCREASED A BIT PAST CPL HRS A FEW SPOTS AND
GUSTS AOA 34 KTS A GOOD BET FOR AT LEAST OUTER WTRS THIS EVENING.
AS THE LOW DRIFTS FURTHER OFFSHORE AND THE HIGH TO THE N WEAKENS
EXPECT WINDS TO GRAD DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. SEAS OF
10 TO 13 FEET THIS EVENING CNTRL AND NRN WTRS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE
TO 7 TO 10 FT LATER TUE.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 315 PM MON...SCA CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE WATERS
THROUGH AT LEAST FRI. IN FACT...SEAS LOOK TO INCREASE ONCE AGAIN
LATE WED THROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY AS LOW PRES WELL OFFSHORE
RETROGRADES JUST A BIT...WHILE AT THE SAME TIME HIGH PRES RIDGES
INTO THE CAROLINAS. THIS WILL INCREASE THE GRADIENT JUST A BIT...
AND WITH LONG ENE FETCH...SEAS WILL INC TO 10 TO AS HIGH AS 14
FEET FOR THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL WATERS. WAVE PERIODS SHOULD
GENERALLY REMAIN ENE IN THE 10 TO 12 SECOND RANGE. WAVEWATCH SEEMS
TO BE A BIT UNDERDONE ON WAVE HEIGHTS AS IT HAS BEEN FOR THE LAST
SEVERAL DAYS WITH THIS LOW PRES SYSTEM OFFSHORE...AS THE LONG ENE
FETCH CONTINUES. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH ON FRI AS THE
OFFSHORE LOW FINALLY GETS KICKED WELL OUT TO SEA WITH DIGGING LOW
PRES TROUGH SET TO MOVE THROUGH ON THE WEEKEND. SCA MAY CONTINUE
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WATERS AS WINDS PICK UP FROM
THE NW DUE TO COLD AIR ADVECTION AND SEAS RESPOND BY STAYING ABOVE
6 FEET ON SAT AND CONTINUE INTO SUN.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
AS OF 2 PM MON...COASTAL FLOOD ADVRY CONTINUES FOR CARTERET...CRAVEN
AND PAMLICO COUNTIES OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH WIND SPEEDS WILL SLOWLY
BE SUBSIDING PERSISTENT FETCH WILL KEEP WTR LEVELS CLOSE TO 2 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL MUCH OF THE NIGHT ADJACENT TO SRN PAMLICO SOUND.
PERSISTENT N/NE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING INCREASED SURF AND
WAVE RUN-UP ALONG THE BEACHES NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS INTO TUE.
CONTINUE TO SEE OCEAN OVERWASH AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN PRONE
AREAS WERE DUNES HAVE BEEN SEVERELY ERODED...GENERALLY ALONG PEA
ISLAND AND RODANTHE S CURVES...KITTY HAWK BETWEEN MILE POSTS 3 AND
5 AND PARTS OF SOUTH NAGS HEAD. MINOR OCEAN OVERWASH ONTO HIGHWAY
12 WILL BE POSSIBLE ALTHOUGH WILL MAINLY AFFECT DOT REPAIRS AS THE
HIGHWAY IS CLOSED IN THE MOST VULNERABLE AREAS...THOUGH MAY SEE
TEMPORARY CLOSURES OF THE 4WD BYPASS AROUND THE S-CURVES.
IN ADDITION...SURF HEIGHT NORTH OF CAPE HAT IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE AROUND 7 TO 10 FEET TONIGHT...AND 6 TO 9 FEET TUE SO WILL
CONTINUE HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
&&
.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY FOR NCZ103.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY FOR NCZ103.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR NCZ093>095.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR AMZ135.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY FOR AMZ130.
GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY FOR AMZ152-154-156-158.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST SATURDAY FOR AMZ150.
&&
SYNOPSIS...RF
NEAR TERM...JBM/RF
SHORT TERM...RF
LONG TERM...RF/TL
AVIATION...JBM/TL
MARINE...JBM/RF/TL
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...RFHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 301 PM EST MON NOV 19 2012 NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-098-104-202015- MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT- MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS HYDE- 301 PM EST MON NOV 19 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ103-202015- OUTER BANKS DARE- 301 PM EST MON NOV 19 2012 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH SURF ADVISORY. COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY. A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH...OCEAN OVERWASH AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ARE LIKELY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH SURF ADVISORY. COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY. A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST THROUGH MIDWEEK. WINDS GUSTS 20 TO 30 MPH...OCEAN OVERWASH AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ093>095-202015- CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET- 301 PM EST MON NOV 19 2012 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY. A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST THROUGH TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH ARE LIKELY. PROLONGED NORTHEAST WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL RESULT IN MINOR WATER LEVEL RISES FOR AREAS ADJACENT TO THE SOUTHERN PAMLICO SOUND. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
539 PM EST MON NOV 19 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0533 PM COASTAL FLOOD 3 W BUXTON 35.26N 75.58W
11/19/2012 MAINLAND DARE NC PUBLIC
ESTIMATED ONE TO ONE AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
ON PAMLICO SOUND.
&&
EVENT NUMBER MHX1200553
AUSTINPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
547 PM EST MON NOV 19 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0533 PM COASTAL FLOOD BUXTON 35.26N 75.53W
11/19/2012 DARE NC PUBLIC
ESTIMATED ONE TO ONE AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
ON PAMLICO SOUND.
&&
EVENT NUMBER MHX1200553
AUSTIN1 high surf. Local standard time, as filed.
A person fishing near the south end of Portsmouth Island was washed into the ocean due to high surf and was found near Cape Lookout by the public on December 2nd, 2012.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, November 2012
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 415742.