Alaska, 2012

Winter Storm and Heavy Snow in Alaska, January 23 to 26, 2012

January 23 to 26, 2012 · NWS AJK · 6 events in 5 counties and zones

25 and merged with the original storm center. This system brought some strong wind to the outer coast and heavy snow to a few areas of the Panhandle through the 27th.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
6

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.

With one strong low center parked in the western Gulf, another system developed SW of Dixon Entrance and made landfall near cape Spencer on the morning of 1.25 and merged with the original storm center. This system brought some strong wind to the outer coast and heavy snow to a few areas of the Panhandle through the 27th.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 23, 3:56 PM AKST, 3 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 23, 3:56 PM AKST, 3 hours 11 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
356 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2012

.SHORT TERM...THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS WIDESPREAD SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOME
MIXED WITH RAIN OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN AREAS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IS NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION WITH SNOW SHOWERS. THE SHOWERS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS BUT BEGIN TO DIMINISH FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH AS THE UPPER TROF LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT. THE
BREAK IN PRECIP WILL NOT LAST LONG OVER THE SOUTHERN AREAS AS A
STRONG 965MB LOW IS DRIFTING NORTH OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC AND
WILL BE JUST WEST OF POW BY TUE MORNING. THE LOW WILL THEN WEAKEN
AS IT DRIFTS NW AND FORMS ANOTHER LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF BY
TUE AFTERNOON.

 SO WITH THAT SAID...THE WINDS OVER THE SE GULF WILL INCREASE TO
GALES LATE TONIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING AS THE LOW WEAKENS. STRONG
WINDS GUSTS WILL ALSO DEVELOP OVER THE THE FAR SOUTHERN AREAS
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING AREAS ALONG WITH GALES IN CLARENCE
STRAIT. THE RAIN OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN AREAS WILL BE HEAVY AT
TIMES WITH THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS ALONG WITH SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNT OF MOISTURE. THE FLOW WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NE NEAR HYDER
THROUGH TUE AND REMAIN NEAR TO BELOW FREEZING. SO WILL ISSUE A
WSW FOR UP TO 10 INCHES BY THE AFTERNOON NEAR HYDER. THE CENTRAL
AREAS WILL BEGIN AS SNOW BUT AS WARMER AIR AND THE FLOW VEERS
AROUND TO THE SE THEY WILL WARM AND MIX WITH RAIN THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON WITH ABOUT 1 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATIONS. THE COASTAL
AREAS WILL ALSO START AS A MIX AND THEN GO TO RAIN IN THE LATE
MORNING BUT THE PASI WILL BE ON THE DRY SIDE THROUGH THE MORNING
DUE TO STRONG EASTERLY DOWN SLOPE WINDS. THE NORTHERN INNER
CHANNELS WILL SEE SOME PRECIP WITH THE MOST FAVORABLE AREAS OF
ZONES 20 AND 21 AS THE EASTERLY WINDS WILL ENHANCE THE PRECIP
SOME WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES. THE JUNEAU AREA WILL SEE SOME SNOW BUT
DUE TO THE EAST WINDS THIS WILL LIMIT THE AMOUNTS TO AROUND
2 INCHES AND SOUTH OF TAKU INLET THEY WILL MIX WITH RAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON. THE FAR INNER CHANNELS WILL SEE THE SNOW SLOWLY
DEVELOP THROUGH THE DAY A THE NORTH WINDS AT THE SURFACE MAY KEEP
THE PRECIP AT BAY FOR A LITTLE BUT THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH IN THE
AFTERNOON AND THE PRECIP SHOULD MOVE OVER THE AREA.

 THE MARINE WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN HALF WILL INCREASE TO SMALL
CRAFTS TO GALES ALONG WITH HIGHER GUSTS FROM INTERIOR PASSES AND
CROSS SOUND AS THE LOW LIFTS NORTH LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH TUE
MORNING. AS THE LOW WEAKENS THE WINDS WILL ALSO RELAX TO BE FROM
30 TO 20 KT.

 THERE IS ABOUT AVERAGE TO BELOW AVERAGE FORECAST CONFIDENCE AS
THE MODELS HAVE BEEN HAVING A HARD TIME WITH THE TACK OF THE LOW
LIFTING NORTH. USED A BLEND OF THE EC/NAM FOR THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD AS THEY INITIALIZED THE BEST AT 12Z THIS MORNING

&&

.LONG TERM...LONG RANGE MODELS ARE STILL HOLDING A DEEP MEAN
UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE ALASKAN INTERIOR THROUGH THURSDAY AND
LIFTING THE UPPER LOW TO THE NORTH ON FRIDAY THEN TO THE NORTHWEST
OVER THE WEEKEND. SOUTH OF THE UPPER LOW...MODELS ARE STRUGGLING
WITH DEVELOPING SYSTEMS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC. THE ECMWF
HAS MADE ITS WAY MORE IN LINE WITH THE NCEP MODELS. REFRESHED THE
INHERITED FORECAST PACKAGE WITH THE GFS AND ECMWF THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY.

 A 960 MB LOW ENTERS INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF EARLY TUESDAY
EVENING WILL MOVE OVER THE PANHANDLE BY LATE NIGHT THEN QUICKLY
JUMP TO THE NORTHERN GULF BY MID MORNING WEDNESDAY. ALONG WITH THE
STORM TRACK...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED NORTH OF A LINE
FROM ELFIN COVE SOUTHEAST TO JUNEAU TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. WARNING LEVEL SNOW WILL FALL OVER THE HAINES
AREA WITH ADVISORY LEVEL SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED FOR GLACIER
BAY...HOONAH...ANGOON AND JUNEAU. SKAGWAY MAY HAVE ADVISORY LEVEL
SNOW AMOUNT. A STRONG HIGH MOVING EAST ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN
PACIFIC WILL MAINTAIN GENERAL WIND DIRECTION FROM SOUTHEAST TO
SOUTH WEDNESDAY AND ENHANCE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. MAY NEED TO ADD STRONG WIND HEADLINE FOR THE
SOUTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY.

 BEGINNING ON FRIDAY...A COMPLEX SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE GULF BUT OPERATIONAL MODELS HANDLE THE SYSTEM QUITE
DIFFERENTLY. THE GFS TAKES THE LOW AS A DOMINANT DYNAMIC CYCLONE
WHILE THE ECMWF KEEPS THE SYSTEM SOMEWHAT WEAKER. THE HPC APPROACH
KEEPS THE SYSTEM AS A STRONG LOW FOR THE WEEKEND. BLENDED GRIDS
FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THE END WITH THE HPC OUTPUTS. THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY WILL SEE THE MEAN UPPER LOW MOVES NORTH ACROSS THE ALASKAN
INTERIOR AND THE GENERAL WIND DIRECTIONS WILL SHIFT TO MORE
SOUTHWEST. SEVERAL MORE LOWS WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF. ACTIVE TROUGHS WILL SWING ACROSS THE
EASTERN GULF AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA THROUGH FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY
RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND FROM 3 AM AKST TUESDAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
     AKZ027.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 5 AM AKST WEDNESDAY
     FOR AKZ020-021-024-025.
         STRONG WIND FROM 3 AM AKST TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR
     AKZ028.
         WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 4 PM AKST TUESDAY FOR AKZ029.
         WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 5 AM AKST WEDNESDAY
     FOR AKZ019.
         WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON FOR AKZ017.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-022-033>036-041>043.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-021-031-032-051>053.

&&

ABJ/AHN

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 23, 5:48 PM AKST, 1 hour 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
548 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     HEAVY SNOW       YAKUTAT                 59.54N 139.73W
01/23/2012  M5.9 INCH                           AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

PRB

Event by event

4 winter storm, 1 heavy snow, 1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island

When
January 23, 7:07 PM AKST to January 24, 5:00 AM AKST
Where
Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter

Highly variable snow amounts around Juneau for this storm. 4 to 6 inches on the afternoon of 1.23 then 4 to 11 inches new snow by the morning of 4.24.

Heavy Snow, Haines Borough and Lynn Canal

When
January 24, 4:00 PM AKST to January 25, 5:00 AM AKST
Where
Haines Borough and Lynn Canal forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

Downtown Haines got a storm total of 31.6 inches of new snow during this storm. Haines Customs got 18.0 inches.

Winter Storm, Eastern Chichagof Island

When
January 24, 6:00 PM AKST to January 25, 9:00 AM AKST
Where
Eastern Chichagof Island forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

Hoonah got 6 to 7 inches of new snow on the afternoon of 1.24 and by the morning of 1.25 had an overnight dump of 11.6 inches for a storm total of around 18 inches.

Winter Storm, Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area

When
January 24, 7:42 PM AKST to January 25, 12:00 PM AKST
Where
Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

The NWS office in Yakutat measured 11.3 inches of new snow on 1.24 and 11.2 inches of new snow on 1.25. A storm total of nearly two feet added to the near record snowfall for the season. Snow removal has been a significant problem and cost to Yakutat for the winter of 2011-12.

High Wind, Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area

When
January 25, 12:00 AM AKST to 9:00 AM AKST
Where
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
C-MAN Station

Although land stations only showed wind to 40 MPH, Cape Decision had gusts to 81 KT. Analysis showed extreme pressure gradients along the outer coast.

Winter Storm, Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area

When
January 26, 9:20 AM AKST to 9:00 PM AKST
Where
Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

The NWS office in Yakutat measured 8.7 inches of new snow on 1.26 and 9.3 inches of new snow on 1.27. Storm total 18 inches which added to the near record snowfall for the season.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, January 2012

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 365092, 365079, 365093, 365094, 364982, 365095.