Alaska, 2012

Winter Storm and High Wind in Alaska, January 1, 2012

January 1, 2012 · NWS AJK · 8 events in 8 counties and zones

2. Snow amounts varied from 6 inches to a foot for most northern sections and wind gusts up to 60 MPH were observed.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
8

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.

A storm covering the entire Gulf of Alaska on 1.1 caused heavy snow, storm force winds and rain into 1.2. Snow amounts varied from 6 inches to a foot for most northern sections and wind gusts up to 60 MPH were observed. Haines customs near the Canadian border measured 42.0 inches of new snow on the morning of 1.2.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 31, 4:39 PM AKST, 9 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 31, 4:39 PM AKST, 9 hours 21 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
439 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

.SHORT TERM...COMPLICATED WINTER WEATHER SCENARIO WITH BOTH
WINTER STORM AND HIGH WIND WARNINGS. A COMPLEX LOW SOUTH OF THE
GULF HAS A DEVELOPING WAVE ENTERING THE SOUTHERN GULF THIS
EVENING. THIS WAVE WILL DEVELOP INTO A SURFACE LOW OVERNIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA IN CONJUNCTION WITH LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE GULF IS ALREADY PRODUCING A STRONG EASTERLY
NEAR-SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT. ORIENTATION OF MID LEVEL
THICKNESS PATTERN AND VERY HIGH MID LEVEL MOISTURE VALUES SETTING
UP A SIGNIFICANT OVER RUNNING EVENT FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA IN THE
SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD THAT WILL EXTEND INTO THE BEGINNING OF
THE LONG RANGE FORECAST PERIOD.

AS THE LOW APPROACHES TONIGHT, EXPECT THE OFFSHORE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TO INTENSIFY AND A SOUTHERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE
FAR NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS WILL REVERSE. HIGH WIND WARNING IN
PLACE FOR ZONE 27 BEGINNING TOMORROW MORNING ASSOCIATED WITH A
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH. HIGH WIND WARNING EXPANDS TO INCLUDE ZONES 23
AND 28 AS THE MAIN OCCLUDED FRONT APPROACHES LAND. THINK MOST OF
THE WIND FOR ZONE 23 WILL BE EXPERIENCED ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
PORTION OF BARANOF ISLAND. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL EXPAND NORTH AND
INLAND AS THE FRONT MOVES OVER LAND. WINDS GENERALLY EASTERLY OR
SOUTHEASTERLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CAPE SPENCER TO NEAR BERNERS
BAY. WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY FOR POINTS NORTH OF HERE.
ADDITIONALLY, STRONG OUTFLOW GUSTS OUT OF THE NORTHEAST WILL OCCUR
OVER ZONE 17 WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN YAKUTAT.

IN ADDITION TO HAZARDOUS WINDS, THIS SYSTEM WILL FEATURE HEAVY
SNOW. SURFACE TEMPS WILL SUPPORT SNOW AT THE START OF THIS EVENT
ACROSS ALL OF THE PANHANDLE AND SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE TONIGHT AND
SPREAD NORTH BEFORE THE ACTUAL WINTER STORM WARNING STARTS, SINCE
THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUING THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT FOR NORTHERN LOCATIONS. SOUTHERN
LOCATIONS WILL SEE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO
RAIN, AS WILL YAKUTAT. SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ALONG THE OUTER
COAST BETWEEN CAPE SPENCER AND CAPE EDGECUMBE WITH 4 TO 8 INCHES
EXPECTED. LOCATIONS FROM SITKA SOUTH SHOULD SEE ONLY 1 TO 2 INCHES
BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO RAIN. CENTRAL PANHANDLE LOCATIONS EXPECTED
TO SEE HEAVIEST SNOW FROM THIS OVER RUNNING EVENT. WITH UP TO 12
INCHES CURRENTLY IN THE FORECAST FOR HAINES, GUSTAVUS, HOONAH, AND
JUNEAU. AM EXPECTING 8 TO 10 INCHES FOR KAKE, PETERSBURG, AND
WRANGELL. SNOW OVER THE WINTER STORM WARNING AREA WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE LONG RANGE FORECAST PERIOD WHICH BEGINS SUNDAY EVENING.

USED GFS FOR SHORT TERM FORECAST DUE TO SUPERIOR INITIALIZATION
OF DEVELOPING WAVE IN THE GULF AND PARENT LOW TO THE SOUTHWEST.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE.

.LONG TERM...THE EVENTS IN THE SHORT RANGE SECTION ABOVE CONTINUE INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT WITH THE LANDFALLING FRONT PROVIDING WARM ADVECTION THAT
RAISES THE SNOW LEVELS IN A S TO NORTH SEQUENCE ALONG THE PANHANDLE.
SOME OF THE WINTER STORM WARNINGS LISTED BELOW ARE FOR HEAVY SNOW
THAT ENDS DUE TO THE WARMUP CHANGING SNOW TO RAIN OR AT LEAST MIXING
WITH RAIN. PLEASE READ THE WARNINGS FOR DETAILS.

MONDAY WILL HAVE LITTLE DIURNAL TEMPERATURE RISE WITH THE COLD AIRMASS
AFTER FROPA.

LARGE SCALE OF TWO MAJOR SYSTEMS, ONE ON EITHER SIDE OF THE DATELINE.
THE SECOND LARGE SYSTEM TWO BEGIN TO CROSS THE DATELINE AND HAS A
HIGHLY BAROCLINIC ENVIRONMENT WITH DEEP STRONG CYCLOGENESIS BEGINNING.
THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE FIRST SYSTEM IS AVERAGE FOR THE
LONG RANGE SECTION.  THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE SECOND MAJOR
SYSTEM IS BELOW AVERAGE.

MODELS: THROUGH 18Z MONDAY THE 31.12 GFS WAS EMPHASISED DUE TO A
GOOD INITIALIZATION OF A COMPLEX SYSTEM. THE SECOND MAJOR SYSTEM
IS STILL ISSUED USING BOTH THE GFS AND EC.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 6 PM AKST SUNDAY FOR AKZ024-
     026.
         HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM AKST SUNDAY FOR AKZ027.
         WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 9 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM AKST MONDAY FOR
     AKZ019>021-025.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM AKST SUNDAY FOR AKZ022.
         HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM AKST SUNDAY FOR AKZ023-028.
         STRONG WIND FROM MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR AKZ029.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ022-036-041>043.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011>013-021-031>035-051>053.

&&

ABJ/JBT

Event by event

6 winter storm, 2 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Eastern Baranof Island and Southern Admiralty Island

When
January 1, 2:00 AM AKST to 11:47 AM AKST
Where
Eastern Baranof Island and Southern Admiralty Island forecast zone
Reported by
Unknown

There are no known sources to verify or invalidate this event. Surrounding communities got plenty of snow.

High Wind, Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area

When
January 1, 6:00 AM AKST to 6:00 PM AKST
Where
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
AWOS

Hydaburg AWOS measured gusts around 60 MPH on the afternoon of 1.1.

Winter Storm, Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area

When
January 1, 9:00 AM AKST to 6:00 PM AKST
Where
Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

The NWS office in Yakutat measured 5.9 inches of new snow during the afternoon of 1.1 and a slight amount of snow after midnight on 1.2. The snow became mixed with rain that evening. Peak wind was 31 MPH during this event.

Winter Storm, Haines Borough and Lynn Canal

When
January 1, 9:00 AM AKST to 11:50 PM AKST
Where
Haines Borough and Lynn Canal forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

Downtown Haines COOP observer measured 16.1 inches of new snow on the morning of 1.2. Haines Customs measured 4.0 inches of new snow on 1.1 and 42.0 inches of new snow on 1.2. Analyses showed that most of the snow fell before midnight.

Winter Storm, Glacier Bay

When
January 1, 9:00 AM AKST to 3:45 PM AKST
Where
Glacier Bay forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

Gustavus COOP observer measured 8.5 inches of new snow on 1.1 then the snow turned to rain on the evening of 1.1 into 1.2.

Winter Storm, Eastern Chichagof Island

When
January 1, 9:00 AM AKST to 3:45 PM AKST
Where
Eastern Chichagof Island forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter

A spotter at Hoonah measured 6.5 inches of new snow on 1.1 and an additional 4.9 inches during the early morning of 1.2.

Winter Storm, Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island

When
January 1, 9:00 AM AKST to 6:49 PM AKST
Where
Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

Snow amounts were highly variable around Juneau 1.1 and 1.2. Lena point measured 8.9 and Auke Bay measured 7.6 inches of new snow for the evening of 1.1 while the airport only got 4.1 inches. Snow changed to rain later that evening at the airport.

High Wind, Southern Inner Channels

When
January 1, 9:00 AM AKST to 6:00 PM AKST
Where
Southern Inner Channels forecast zone
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
COOP Observer

A COOP observer near Ketchikan observed 60 KT gusts on 1.1. Ketchikan Aiport had a measured gust of 59 MPH.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, January 2012

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 356101, 356119, 356094, 356097, 356099, 356100, 356102, 356120.