Seiche in New York, January 1, 2012

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1258 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES
TODAY...WITH STRONG WINDS DEVELOPING BEHIND A COLD FRONT. THE
STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...WHILE HEAVY LAKE
EFFECT SNOW DEVELOPS EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO AND PRODUCES
LOCALIZED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL PASS
THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD SNOW AND WILL
USHER IN THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE WINTER SO FAR ON TUESDAY.
MOST OF THE SNOW WILL END BY TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO
THE REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
RADAR IMAGERY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON SHOWING RAIN SHOWERS BECOMING
MORE WIDESPREAD ACROSS WESTERN NY AS LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT
INCREASES IN ADVANCE OF SHARP HEIGHT FALLS AND DPVA AHEAD OF THE MID
LEVEL TROUGH. THE RAIN HAS INCREASED ENOUGH IN COVERAGE TO SPIKE
POPS AT 100 PERCENT THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY...PUSHING EAST INTO
THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION BY MID AFTERNOON. AMOUNTS STILL LOOK
FAIRLY LIGHT...WITH A TENTH TO QUARTER INCH IN MOST PLACES.

SOUTHERLY DOWNSLOPE WINDS AND STRONG WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE
SYSTEM WILL PUSH TEMPS WELL ABOVE AVERAGE. THE WARMEST SPOTS ARE
LIKELY TO BE IN THE GENESEE VALLEY TO CENTRAL NY WHERE A FEW SPOTS
MAY CRACK 50F. TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO FALL BACK LATER THIS AFTERNOON
FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT.

NEWEST DATA CONTINUES TO CONFIRM THAT WESTERN NEW YORK WILL BE THE
FOCAL POINT FOR A MAJOR WINTER STORM. AN EVENT WHICH HAS BEEN
UNFAMILIAR TO US THIS SEASON. DEEPENING SURFACE CYCLONE WILL EMERGE
FROM THE MIDWEST THIS MORNING AND TRACK JUST TO THE NORTHWEST OF
THE AREA ACROSS LAKE HURON/GEORGIAN BAY THIS AFTERNOON. THE
ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PLOW THROUGH THE REGION EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON WITH WINDS RAMPING UP IMMEDIATELY IN ITS WAKE.
925-850 MB WINDS INCREASE TO NEARLY 60 KNOTS AND CONSIDERING DEGREE
OF COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT...CAN EASILY ENVISION THE
BULK OF THESE WINDS MIXING DOWN ESPECIALLY DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES
WITH THE ADDITIONAL FUNNELING COMPONENT. AS IS OFTEN THE CASE WITH
THESE TYPES OF SYSTEMS...MAY SEE A FEW STRONG GUSTS WITH THE COLD
FRONT ITSELF EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN A RELATIVE LULL...THEN
STRONGER WINDS AGAIN DURING THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT AS LOW LEVEL
LAPSE RATES STEEPEN.

WE MAY INITIALLY SEE ANY PRECIPITATION FOCUSED ALONG THE FRONTAL
ZONE AND IMMEDIATELY BEHIND IT AS RAIN...BUT AS THE COLDER AIR
SURGES IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM WE WILL SEE AN INCREASED LAKE COMPONENT
OFF LAKE ERIE BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING...THEN SOON
AFTER OFF LAKE ONTARIO. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL INITIALLY SET UP ON A
WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW THEN SHIFT SOUTHWARD THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE
FLOW VEERS MORE WESTERLY.

LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE AS WE MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT
AS 850 MB TEMPERATURES DROP TO AROUND -12C BY MONDAY MORNING. THERE
IS NO QUESTION TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...BUT
THERE IS ALWAYS THE CONCERN IN STRONG WIND FIELD PATTERNS WHETHER
THERE WILL BE A LIMITATION ON DISCRETE AND INTENSE BANDS FORMING.
PATTERN RECOGNITION WOULD SUGGEST THIS WILL BE A MAJOR LAKE EFFECT
SNOW EVENT FROM BUFFALO SOUTHWARD OFF ERIE AND FROM WATERTOWN
SOUTHWARD OFF ONTARIO.

AS FOR HEADLINES...UPGRADES TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNINGS FROM
BUFFALO/WATERTOWN SOUTHWARD LOOK REASONABLE. WILL UPGRADE TO HIGH
WIND WARNINGS DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES AND WILL INCLUDE JEFFERSON
COUNTY WITH POTENTIAL GUSTS TO 60 MPH. WIND ADVISORIES ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON WILL ARRIVE ON AN ARCTIC FRONT DURING
THIS PERIOD. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ALREADY SETTING UP DURING SUNDAY NIGHT
WILL BE STRENGTHENED AND SHIFTED AS THE FRONT DROPS SOUTHWARD ACROSS
LAKE ONTARIO...AND EVENTUALLY ACROSS LAKE ERIE.

THE FIRST COLD FRONT WILL BE WELL TO THE EAST OF THE REGION ON
MONDAY BUT SURFACE WINDS WILL STILL BE GENERALLY SOUTHWESTERLY EARLY
ON. THE NORTHWARD EXTENT OF THE LAKE SNOW BANDS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL
BE MIGRATING SOUTHWARD FROM THE METRO BUFFALO AND GENESEE/WYOMING
COUNTIES TO THE MORE TRADITIONAL CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND SO-CALLED SKI
COUNTRY AS THE SURFACE WINDS BECOME MORE WESTERLY.

SIMILARLY OFF LAKE ONTARIO...EXPECT THE LAKE SNOW TO SHIFT SOUTHEAST
TO ENCOMPASS MOST OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.

A SECONDARY FRONT OF ARCTIC NATURE WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS LAKE
ONTARIO...BRINGING AN EVEN SHARPER DROP IN BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS.
850MB TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP FROM AROUND -10C/-12C ON MONDAY
MORNING TO -20C/-22C BY MONDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL BE A BURST OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS SECOND
FRONT...AND LAKE SNOWS WILL ENHANCE ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE
ONTARIO MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH GREATER CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT
AND THE SHORE. THE ARCTIC FRONT WILL ENTER THE LAKE ERIE ENVIRONMENT
MONDAY NIGHT WITH A CONCENTRATION OF HEAVIER SNOW ALONG THE
CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. FOR MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...EXPECT SNOW AMOUNTS
OF TWO FEET OR MORE OVER THE TUG HILL PLATEAU AND A FOOT AND A HALF
FOR THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. ALTHOUGH THE BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS WILL BE
SUBSTANTIALLY COLDER TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...THERE WILL BE A
LACK OF MOISTURE ABOVE THIS COLD LAYER. ANY SNOW WILL BE PURELY
DERIVED FROM THE MOISTURE PROVIDED BY THE LAKES AND WILL BE LIMITED
TO ONLY A FEW INCHES OF VERY FLUFFY AND LOW WATER CONTENT SNOW.

WINDS WILL REMAIN AN ISSUE ON MONDAY AS SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY WINDS
CONTINUE SUSTAINED AROUND 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AT OR ABOVE 50
MPH...HIGHER WINDS AND GUSTS MAINLY EAST OF LAKE ERIE TO THE GENESEE
VALLEY AND ALONG THE SOUTH AND EASTERN SHORES OF LAKE ONTARIO. THIS
WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW....FURTHER
EXACERBATING THE ALREADY TREACHEROUS CONDITIONS. THE PASSAGE OF THE
ARCTIC FRONT WILL RELAX THE ISALLOBARIC GRADIENT AND THE REDUCE THE
WINDS AND GUSTS.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THIS TIME PERIOD WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
TO START THE PERIOD...WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY THE END OF THE
WEEK. SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO START THE TIME PERIOD WILL BE
REPLACED BY A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER BEFORE SOME LIGHT RAIN ENTERS
THE PICTURE TOWARDS THE WEEKEND. FOR THE DETAILS...

A SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTHERN PACIFIC WILL CROSS THE
ROCKIES AND NORTHERN PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK REACHING THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY. WILL INCLUDE A CHANCE POP EVERYWHERE WITH THE
CROSSING OF THE POTENT UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE...BUT HIGHEST POPS WILL
BE FOUND DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW. TEMPERATURES
AT 850 HPA ON THE GFS/ECMWF REMAIN AROUND -10 TO -13 THROUGH THE DAY
WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. INITIALLY
WEDNESDAY A SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PRODUCE LAKE EFFECT OFF
LAKE ERIE TOWARDS THE NORTHERN NIAGARA FRONTIER...AND OFF LAKE
ONTARIO TOWARDS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY. AS THE UPPER LEVEL SHORT
WAVE CROSSES AND WINDS VEER TO WESTERLY...BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT WILL
SHIFT TO AREAS JUST SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND BATAVIA...AND OFF LAKE
ONTARIO TOWARDS THE TUG HILL.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE COLD SIDE WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN
THE UPPER TEENS ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...AND LOW TO MID 20S
ELSEWHERE. THESE TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL...BUT WARMER THAN
TUESDAY WHICH WILL LIKELY BE THE COLDEST DAY THIS WEEK.

WARM AIR ADVECTION BEGINS THURSDAY AND THIS COMBINED WITH RISING
HEIGHTS ALOFT WILL WEAKEN AND DIMINISH LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS. LIGHT
SYNOPTIC SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT WILL END THE SNOW THREAT AS WARM AIR
CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND INTO
THE WEEKEND WILL RISE TO ABOVE NORMAL AHEAD OF ANOTHER SHORT WAVE
THAT WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TOWARDS THE END OF THE
WEEK.

EXPECT WIND TO INCREASE LATER FRIDAY AND INTO SATURDAY AS A
DEEPENING LOW TRACKS JUST NORTH OF THE CENTRAL LAKES. BOTH THE 12Z
GFS/ECMWF HAVE THIS LOW FILLING AS IT PASSES JUST TO OUR NORTH
SATURDAY AND GIVEN THIS TRACK PRECIPITATION ON SATURDAY WILL LIKELY
COME AS RAIN...THOUGH AT THIS POINT THERE APPEARS TO BE LIMITED
MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM AND WILL START WITH JUST SLIGHT CHC
POPS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN NY
AND DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO NEAR KART.
SOUTHERLY DOWNSLOPE WINDS AND UNSATURATED LOW LEVELS SHOULD KEEP
CIGS/VSBY PRIMARILY VFR. THE ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN TIER WITHOUT THE BENEFIT OF DOWNSLOPE
WINDS...WITH MVFR MORE COMMON THERE. LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING A LARGER AREA OF MVFR CIGS UPSTREAM ACROSS OHIO AND MICHIGAN
WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION...AND WINDS WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHWEST
AND ELIMINATE THE DOWNSLOPE FLOW COMPONENT. SHOWERS SHOULD BECOME
MORE SPARSE IN COVERAGE BY EARLY EVENING FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE.

FOR TONIGHT...OUTSIDE OF LAKE EFFECT AREAS SHOWERS WILL END AND CIGS
WILL IMPROVE FROM MVFR TO VFR. AS FOR LAKE EFFECT...OFF LAKE ERIE
EXPECT A DISORGANIZED BAND TO DEVELOP NEAR KBUF BY MID TO LATE
EVENING. THE BOUNDARY LAYER MAY STILL BE MILD ENOUGH FOR A RAIN/SNOW
MIX AT THE ONSET...CHANGING TO ALL SNOW RATHER QUICKLY. STRONG WINDS
AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP THE BAND FAIRLY DISORGANIZED
DURING ITS TIME OVER KBUF WITH IFR VSBY BUT DONT EXPECT HEAVY SNOW
OUT OF THIS BAND UNTIL IT GETS SAFELY SOUTH OF KBUF LATE TONIGHT.
THE BAND MAY BRIEFLY EXTEND INLAND TO KROC WITH A FEW SNOW SHOWERS
AND BRIEF MVFR/IFR BEFORE MOVING SOUTH LATE TONIGHT. ON MONDAY
EXPECT THE BAND TO SETTLE INTO THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND BE
QUITE INTENSE WITH LOCAL VLIFR CONDITIONS...INCLUDING AT KJHW.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO EXPECT A MIX OF LAKE EFFECT RAIN AND SNOW TO
DEVELOP NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF KART BY AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN CHANGE
TO ALL SNOW AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING WITH A
PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE BEFORE THE BAND SHIFTS
SOUTH OF KART INTO THE TUG HILL REGION LATER IN THE DAY.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY NIGHT...WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WITH IFR.
TUESDAY...AREAS OF IFR WITH SNOW SHOWERS.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...AREAS OF MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
A POWERFUL LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL LAKES TODAY WITH A
TRAILING COLD FRONT CROSSING THE LOWER LAKES BETWEEN THE MIDDAY AND
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. BEHIND THE FRONT...SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL
RAPIDLY INCREASE TO GALE FORCE. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL REACH 40-45
KNOTS ON LAKE ERIE WITH SOME STORM FORCE GUSTS TO 50-55 KNOTS.
WINDS NOT EXPECTED TO BE QUITE AS STRONG ON LAKE ONTARIO...BUT STILL
A SOLID GALE WITH 35-40 KNOTS SUSTAINED AND 45-50 KNOT GUSTS. GALE
FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY AND GRADUALLY BECOMING
WESTERLY.

WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST MONDAY NIGHT FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE
OF AN ARCTIC FRONT. SPEEDS SHOULD FALL BELOW GALE WARNING CRITERIA
BY THEN...BUT STILL EXPECT HIGH END SMALL CRAFTS TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVERHEAD BY WEDNESDAY BRINGING A
SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN WINDS.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT WATER RISES ON
LAKE ERIE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT. THIS HAS THE LOOK OF
A CLASSIC SEICHE EVENT ON LAKE ERIE WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS INITIALLY
SHIFTING QUICKLY TO SOUTHWEST AND RAPIDLY INCREASING IN STRENGTH.
MODEL GUIDANCE FROM GLERL RAISES THE LAKE LEVEL TO NEAR 7 FEET IN
BUFFALO. THIS IS TYPICALLY UNDERDONE...AND GIVEN THE PATTERN
RECOGNITION WOULD EXPECT THE LEVEL TO REACH 8 FEET ABOVE LOW
WATER DATUM.

WITH THIS IN MIND...WE HAVE ISSUED A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING
FOR ERIE AND CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES FOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING. EXPECT FLOODING OF HARBORS AND AT THE MOUTH OF CREEKS
ALONG THE LAKESHORE...AND ALSO ALONG FUHRMAN BLVD AND PORTIONS OF
ROUTE 5.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ001>003-010>012-
     019-020-085.
     LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ010-019-
     085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
     TUESDAY FOR NYZ006>008-012-019>021-085.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST MONDAY
     FOR NYZ007.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR
     NYZ005-006-008.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ004-013-014-021.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST
     MONDAY FOR NYZ010-011.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY FOR LEZ020-040-041.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR LOZ030.
         GALE WARNING FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST MONDAY
         FOR LOZ043>045-063>065.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY FOR LOZ042-062.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK/TMA
SHORT TERM...WCH
LONG TERM...THOMAS
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...TMA
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...HITCHCOCK/TMA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
525 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

NYZ001-002-021030-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SCATTERED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
THROUGH MONDAY...WITH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY. BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES AND AREAS OF BLOWING
AND DRIVING SNOW ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE IMPACTED BY WEATHER MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THOSE PLANNING TO TRAVEL SHOULD STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010-021030-
NORTHERN ERIE-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 AM EST MONDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE IMPACTED BY WEATHER MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. THOSE PLANNING TO TRAVEL SHOULD STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST
WEATHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ011-021030-
GENESEE-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE IMPACTED BY WEATHER MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. THOSE PLANNING TO TRAVEL SHOULD STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST
WEATHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ021-021030-
ALLEGANY-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE IMPACTED BY WEATHER MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. THOSE PLANNING TO TRAVEL SHOULD STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST
WEATHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-020-021030-
WYOMING-CATTARAUGUS-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

THOSE PLANNING TO TRAVEL MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY SHOULD STAY TUNED
FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-085-021030-
CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 AM EST MONDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE IMPACTED BY WEATHER MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THOSE PLANNING TO TRAVEL SHOULD STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ005-021030-
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND LAKE SNOWS IS LIKELY TO HAVE A
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON TRAVEL MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THOSE PLANNING TO
TRAVEL SHOULD STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-021030-
WAYNE-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND LAKE SNOWS IS LIKELY TO HAVE A
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON TRAVEL MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THOSE PLANNING TO
TRAVEL SHOULD STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003-021030-
MONROE-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND LAKE SNOWS IS LIKELY TO HAVE A
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON TRAVEL MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THOSE PLANNING
TO TRAVEL SHOULD STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ013-014-021030-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT AT TIMES WITHIN ANY HEAVIER SNOW
SHOWERS LATER MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ030-021030-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-021030-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-021030-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ043>045-063>065-021030-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042-062-021030-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-021030-
JEFFERSON-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
MONDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND LAKE SNOWS IS LIKELY TO HAVE A
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON TRAVEL MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. THOSE PLANNING
TO TRAVEL SHOULD STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-008-021030-
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
MONDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND LAKE SNOWS IS LIKELY TO HAVE A
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON TRAVEL MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THOSE PLANNING TO
TRAVEL SHOULD STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1223 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-012030-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1223 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

...STRONG WINDS APPROACHING WESTERN NEW YORK...

AT 1215 PM A STRONG COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED FROM JUST WEST OF LONG
POINT ONTARIO, SOUTH ACROSS LAKE ERIE, TO JUST WEST OF ERIE
PENNSYLVANIA. THE FRONT SHOULD REACH CHAUTAUQUA, ERIE AND NIAGARA
COUNTIES AROUND 230 PM. AS THE FRONT PASSES, THERE WILL BE AN
INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY OF VARYING INTENSITY. MOST
IMPORTANTLY, WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY, AND RAPIDLY INCREASE
TO 20 TO 30 MPH, WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 TO 50 MPH. ONCE THE STRONG
WINDS BEGIN, THEY WILL PERSIST INTO THE EVENING, AND BECOME EVEN
STRONGER WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH AFTER DARK. RESIDENTS ARE
URGED TO SECURE ANY OBJECTS THAT CAN BECOME AIRBORNE SUCH AS TRASH
CANS AND CHRISTMAS DECORATIONS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE, BE
PREPARED FOR SIGNIFICANT BUFFETING, ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH
ROADWAYS.

MRP