Montana, 2011

High Wind in Montana, January 25 to 27, 2011

January 25 to 27, 2011 · NWS TFX · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

Stong westerly winds aloft produced high winds along the Rocky Mountain Front and Eastern Glacier County. Wind gusts in excess of 60 mph was reported.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

Stong westerly winds aloft produced high winds along the Rocky Mountain Front and Eastern Glacier County. Wind gusts in excess of 60 mph was reported.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 25, 10:36 PM MST, 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 25, 10:36 PM MST, 44 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1036 PM MST TUE JAN 25 2011

UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION

.UPDATE...
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CLEAR SKIES OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND
NORTH CENTRAL MT WITH SOME AREAS OF LOW CLOUD PERSISTING OVER THE
ROCKY MTN FRONT AND SOUTHWEST MT.  A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROF SLIDING
THROUGH CENTRAL ALBERTA WILL PUSH A NARROW BAND OF HIGH CLOUDS
ACROSS THE HILINE OVERNIGHT BUT NOT EXPECTING ANY PRECIPITATION FROM
THAT SYSTEM OR THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW CLOUDS.  HIGH WIND WARNING FOR
THE ROCKY MTN FRONT AND ADJACENT PLAINS REMAINS IN EFFECT WITH NO
CHANGES AT THIS TIME.  STILL FORECASTING WINDS TO GRADUALLY INCREASE
OVERNIGHT AND INCREASE MORE QUICKLY STARTING LATE WED MORNING WITH
GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH EXPECTED BY MIDDAY.
WARANAUSKAS

.DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A STRONG UPPER RIDGE THAT WILL BE OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND WESTERN CANADA. THIS WILL KEEP THE AIRMASS STABLE
WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL AND ESPECIALLY SO OVER THE
EAST SLOPES OF THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS. EXPECT AREAS OF MOISTURE TO BE
EMBEDDED IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE FORECAST AREA WHICH WILL
BRING PERIODS OF CLOUDINESS. HOWEVER THE STABLE AIRMASS AND LACK
OF SIGNIFICANT LIFT SHOULD KEEP THE PERIOD MOSTLY DRY. ABOUT THE
ONLY THREAT OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF THE
ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT AND SOUTHERN GALLATIN COUNTY. THE MAIN
FORECAST CONCERN DURING THE PERIOD WILL BE HIGH WINDS IN THE
NORTHWEST. WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN
FRONT AND HAVE UPGRADED THE HIGH WIND WATCH THERE TO A HIGH WIND
WARNING. WILL DELAY THE START OF THE HIGH WIND WARNING FOR EASTERN
GLACIER COUNTY UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS IN THE WARNING
AREA MIGHT DIMINISH WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT WILL INCREASE ON THURSDAY
WITH WINDS EXPECTED TO BE EVEN STRONGER THAN ON WEDNESDAY. THIS
WILL BE THE RESULT OF A STRONG SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO WESTERN
CANADA WHICH WILL INCREASE THE FLOW ALOFT. THIS STRONGER FLOW
ALOFT WILL SPREAD FARTHER EAST OVER THE PLAINS BY LATE THURSDAY
BUT DO NOT SEE A GOOD MECHANISM TO MIX THE STRONG WINDS DOWN TO
THE SURFACE IN THIS LATTER AREA. FOR THAT REASON WILL HOLD OFF ON
ISSUING ANY HIGH WIND HIGHLIGHTS NEAR AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 15.
BLANK

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...A CANADIAN COOL FRONT WILL BEGIN TO
MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THIS WILL
RESULT IN COOLER AIR SLOWLY MOVING BACK INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR MOST AREAS ON
FRIDAY...AS THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS INCREASE BY LATE IN THE DAY. FOR
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...BOTH THE ECMWF/GFS START TO BRING THE
BRUNT OF THE COOLER AIRMASS INTO THE REGION...ALONG WITH INCREASED
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION. THE BEST CHANCES FOR SNOW LOOK TO BE IN
THE MOUNTAINS ON SATURDAY...AS AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW
NORMAL FOR MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA. FOR SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY...THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE COMING INTO SLIGHTLY BETTER
AGREEMENT WITH THE SOLUTION ON THE 12Z MODEL RUNS. THE GFS IS
BRINGING SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR INTO THE AREA...WHILE THE ECMWF HAS
WARMED IT SLIGHTLY. ALSO...THEY SEEM TO BOTH WANT TO KEEP A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS OVER THE MOUNTAINS...THOUGH THE FLOW ALOFT IS NOT VERY
CYCLONIC. THEREFORE...FOR THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE...HAVE KEPT
A LOW CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS SUNDAY INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. HAVE ALSO COOLED
TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES DURING THIS TIME TO REFLECT THE COOLING
GFS.  BRUSDA/COULSTON

&&

.AVIATION...
UPDATED 0600Z.
MAIN IMPACT TO AVIATION WILL BE GUSTY WINDS DEVELOPING ALONG THE
ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT AND ADJACENT PLAINS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE REGION WILL KEEP MOST OF THE
AREA DRY THROUGH THE NEXT 24HRS WITH CLEAR SKIES EARLY TONIGHT
FOLLOWED BY INCREASING MAINLY HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS DURING THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY. FLOW ALOFT FROM THE WEST TO NORTHWEST WILL STEADILY
INCREASE LATER TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH STRONG WINDS
EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE ROCKY MTN FRONT AND IMMEDIATELY ADJACENT
PLAINS AREAS LATE TONIGHT...SPREADING FURTHER EAST ACROSS WESTERN
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL MT DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. HOENSICH

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THURSDAY...REACHING
BETWEEN 15 AND 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE
RESULTING SNOWMELT MAY CAUSE AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS TO RISE
SOMEWHAT...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER...OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING...LIMITING ANY
OVERALL RISES. THIS SITUATION WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  33  50  38  55 /   0   0   0   0
CTB  30  50  36  54 /   0   0   0   0
HLN  26  40  27  45 /   0   0   0   0
BZN  18  38  23  41 /  10   0   0   0
WEY   7  27  10  30 /  20  10  10  10
DLN  22  40  25  42 /  10   0   0   0
HVR  23  40  28  45 /   0   0   0   0
LWT  26  48  34  51 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO 5 AM MST FRIDAY
EASTERN GLACIER.

HIGH WIND WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 AM MST FRIDAY
NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT...SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT.

&&

SHORT TERM...BLANK
LONG TERM...COULSTON
AVIATION...HOENISCH

WEATHER.GOV/GREATFALLS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 25, 2:35 PM MST, 8 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
235 PM MST TUE JAN 25 2011

MTZ009-048-261300-
NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-
235 PM MST TUE JAN 25 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN
FRONT...BEGINNING AT MIDNIGHT MST TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 5 AM MST FRIDAY MORNING.

DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THURSDAY...
REACHING BETWEEN 15 AND 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THURSDAY. THE
RESULTING SNOWMELT MAY CAUSE AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS TO RISE
SOMEWHAT...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER...OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING...LIMITING ANY
OVERALL RISES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MTZ010-261300-
EASTERN GLACIER-
235 PM MST TUE JAN 25 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER THROUGH TONIGHT
IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN GLACIER COUNTY FROM
11 AM MST WEDNESDAY MORNING UNTIL 5 AM MST FRIDAY MORNING.

DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THURSDAY...
REACHING BETWEEN 15 AND 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THURSDAY. THE
RESULTING SNOWMELT MAY CAUSE AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS TO RISE
SOMEWHAT...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER...OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING...LIMITING ANY
OVERALL RISES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MTZ008-011>015-044>047-049>055-261300-
BEAVERHEAD-HILL-CASCADE-CHOUTEAU-
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LEWIS AND CLARK-MADISON-TOOLE-LIBERTY-
EASTERN PONDERA-BLAINE-EASTERN TETON-JUDITH BASIN-FERGUS-
JEFFERSON-BROADWATER-MEAGHER-GALLATIN-
235 PM MST TUE JAN 25 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MONTANA...NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA AND SOUTHWEST MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER THROUGH TONIGHT
IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THURSDAY...
REACHING BETWEEN 15 AND 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THURSDAY. THE
RESULTING SNOWMELT MAY CAUSE AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS TO RISE
SOMEWHAT...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER...OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING...LIMITING ANY
OVERALL RISES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

Event by event

3 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
January 25, 11:20 PM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

A wind gust to 61 mph was reported at East Glacier Park 8SE (the Deep Creek RAWS site).

High Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
January 26, 5:30 AM MST to 6:30 AM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
37 kt (43 mph) measured sustained
Reported by
Mesonet

Sustaind wind speeds of 42 mph were reported for over an hour at Bynum 13W (the Dellwo MSCN site).

High Wind, Eastern Glacier

When
January 27, 9:46 AM MST
Where
Eastern Glacier forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS

A wind gust to 64 mph was reported at the Cut Bank ASOS site. Sustained winds of 47 mph were also reported for more than an hour.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, January 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 278463, 278466, 278465.