Daytime heating produced scattered showers and thunderstorms over extreme Southwest Tennessee during the afternoon and evening hours of October 8th, 2007. Some of the thunderstorms produced flash flooding.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
Daytime heating produced scattered showers and thunderstorms over extreme Southwest Tennessee during the afternoon and evening hours of October 8th, 2007. Some of the thunderstorms produced flash flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 8, 2:53 PM CST, 46 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 353 PM CDT MON OCT 8 2007 .DISCUSSION... RAIN CHANCES AND FLASH FLOODING THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT ARE THE MAIN CONCERNS. LATEST MODELS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN DIVERGE SOME...MAINLY WITH LARGE SCALE FEATURES OVER THE NORTHEAST U.S. AND TEMPERATURES OVER THE AREA. USED A BLEND OF THEM... GENERALLY PREFERRING THE WARMER GFS MODEL THROUGH WEDNESDAY... THEN A ECMWF/GFS BLEND/AVERAGE TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK. MADE SOME CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...MAINLY TO RAISE RAIN CHANCES THIS EVENING WEST OF THE MS RIVER AND LOWER TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AT 345 PM CDT ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WERE OCCURRING ACROSS EAST ARKANSAS. THE REST OF THE MIDSOUTH WAS DRY AND HOT WITH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 88 TO 95 DEGREE RANGE. A COLD FRONT STRETCHED FROM NEAR ST. LOUIS MO TO FORT SMITH AR. MEMPHIS HAD AT LEAST TIED ITS ALL-TIME RECORD HIGH FOR OCTOBER AS OF 330 PM CDT AS THE TEMPERATURE REACHED 95 AT 302 PM CDT. THIS ALSO SET A NEW DAILY RECORD. THE DAILY RECORD OF 89 HAS BEEN TIED AT JACKSON AS WELL. THROUGH 9 PM CDT TONIGHT...FLASH FLOODING IS THE MAIN CONCERN OVER EAST ARKANSAS WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT OVER 4 INCHES HAS FALLEN JUST SOUTH OF JONESBORO AS OF 345 PM CDT. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS...MAINLY BEFORE 7 PM CDT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS AREAS MAINLY WEST OF THE MS RIVER BEFORE DISSIPATING. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE EAST OF THE RIVER. AFTER 9 PM CDT...CLOUDY CONDITIONS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS CAN BE ANTICIPATED...THOUGH COVERAGE WILL SIGNIFICANT DIMINISH WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND WEAKER WINDS OVER THE AREA. LOWS WILL REMAIN ON THE WARM SIDE...MAINLY 65 TO 70. SOME CLEARING MAY OCCUR ACROSS NE AR AND THE MO BOOTHEEL LATE AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. TUESDAY...THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE DURING THE MORNING HOURS... BRINGING DRIER CONDITIONS AND COOLER NORTH WINDS. KEPT LOW RAIN CHANCES ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 DURING THE MORNING HOURS. MOST AREAS WILL BE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY BY AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 80S. TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...DRY AND MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. BELIEVE WEDNESDAY WILL BE WARMER THAN MODELS INDICATE WITH ABUNDANT SUN AND MIXING...WHICH MAY MAKE THINGS A BIT BREEZY. FIRE DANGER WILL BE HIGH ON WEDNESDAY WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND THESE BREEZY CONDITIONS...THOUGH RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED. WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A DRY COOLER PATTERN CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH. LATEST MODELS DIFFER WITH THE EXACT PLACEMENT OF A COLD UPPER LOW OVER THE NE U.S. REGARDLESS...TEMPERATURES WILL BE CONSIDERABLY COOLER...MORE TYPICAL OF OCTOBER WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 70S AND LOWS IN THE 45 TO 55 DEGREE RANGE. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MEM 70 83 61 84 / 40 20 0 0 MKL 65 82 52 83 / 40 20 0 0 JBR 65 82 55 81 / 60 10 0 0 TUP 69 87 57 86 / 20 20 0 0 && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. && MBS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1249 PM CDT MON OCT 8 2007 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-092000- ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA- CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER- FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY- ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON- MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT- PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY- ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA- UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 1249 PM CDT MON OCT 8 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF A PARIS TENNESSEE TO NEW ALBANY MISSISSIPPI TO CHARLESTON MISSISSIPPI LINE THROUGH 7 PM CDT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED BRIEFLY THIS AFTERNOON IN THE AREAS MENTIONED ABOVE IF A STORM OR TWO BECOMES SEVERE OR PRODUCES LOCALIZED FLOODING. MBS
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</html>SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 148 PM CDT MON OCT 8 2007 ARZ009-018-MOZ113-081915- CLAY AR-GREENE AR-DUNKLIN MO- 148 PM CDT MON OCT 8 2007 THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR... EASTERN CLAY COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... EASTERN GREENE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... NORTH CENTRAL DUNKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI... A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN WAS LOCATED OVER LAFE AT 148 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF OF OVER 1 INCH ARE POSSIBLE. PEOPLE IN CLAY...DUNKLIN AND GREENE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CAMPBELL...MARMADUKE...PIGGOTT AND RECTOR...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. TLSJR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
347 PM CDT MON OCT 08 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0326 PM FLASH FLOOD JONESBORO 35.82N 90.69W
10/08/2007 CRAIGHEAD AR LAW ENFORCEMENT
SOME ROADS ON SOUTH END OF TOWN FLOODING...AND CARS
STALLING DUE TO RISING WATER
0325 PM FLASH FLOOD GREENFIELD 35.68N 90.72W
10/08/2007 POINSETT AR PUBLIC
WATER STARTING TO COME INTO BUILDING AT THE DELTA AND
PINELAND COMPANY. HIGHWAY 1 TOTALLY COVERED WITH WATER.
0340 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SSE JONESBORO 35.80N 90.67W
10/08/2007 CRAIGHEAD AR PUBLIC
FLOODING NEAR SOUTH RIDGE FIRE DEPT...HWY 158 EAST OF HWY
163
&&
DSVThe Memphis radar (KNQA), 21 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:37 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain produced flash flooding on New Allen and Range Line Roads in the Frayser area. Streets were impassable.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, October 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 58608.