Drought in Minnesota, October 1 to 2, 2007

Name: Drought in Minnesota, October 1 to 2, 2007
Start: 2007-10-01T00:00
End: 2007-10-02T06:00
Location: Minnesota

October 1 to 2, 2007 · NWS FGF · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

Lake of the Woods, northern Beltrami, eastern Otter Tail, and Wadena Counties began the month in a D2 (severe) drought designation. Even a small portion of southern Wadena and eastern Otter Tail Counties was listed in a D3 (extreme) drought.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

Tornadoes
Tropical storms and surge
Floods
Wind
Hail
Winter weather
Heat and drought
Cold
Fire, smoke and dust
Marine and coastal
Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths: 0
Injuries: 0
Property damage: None recorded
Crop damage: None recorded
Events: 4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FGF wrote it up.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 30, 7:48 PM CST, 4 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 30, 7:48 PM CST, 4 hours 12 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
848 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2007

.DISCUSSION...MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE IS TEMPERATURES. WHEN LOOKING
AT THE CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDS
THROUGH CENTRAL ND. WHEN LOOKING AT THE MODELS...NONE OF THE MODELS
ARE HANDLING THE VERY DRY AIR UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS VERY WELL...SO
USED THE CURRENT OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS AND PERSISTENCE FORECASTING
FOR UPDATE. MODEL TIMING IS FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH HAVING THE RIDGE
AXIS CENTERED OVER E ND BY 12Z...THUS MAXIMIZING RADIATIONAL
COOLING WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CONSIDERING THAT THE
SURFACE DEWPOINTS UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS ARE IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE
20S...EXPECT TO SEE A SIMILAR TREND FOR E ND. THEREFORE...CURRENT
FORECAST LOWS ARE LIKELY TOO WARM...ESPECIALLY IN THE N HALF OF E
ND. THEREFORE... WILL NEED TO DROP LOW TEMPS...WHICH WILL ALSO
RESULT IN A NEED TO ISSUE A FROST ADVISORY AND FREEZE WARNING FOR
PARTS OF NE ND. THE TRICKY PART OF THIS FORECAST IS THAT THERE IS
STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME MID TO HIGH CLOUDS...WHICH COULD HOLD
TEMPS UP. THUS...WILL REMAIN CONSERVATIVE WITH THE HEADLINE AREAS
AT THIS TIME. ONLY MINOR CHANGE NEEDED REST OF FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THROUGH MUCH OF
TOMORROW. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT...AND
THEN TURN SE AND GUST TO 25KTS FOR KGFK AND KFAR BY MON AFTERNOON.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM CDT MONDAY FOR NDZ006>008-014-
     015-024-026-028-054.

     FROST ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM CDT MONDAY FOR NDZ016-027-029-
     030-038.

MN...FROST ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM CDT MONDAY FOR MNZ001-004-007.

&&

NG

Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 30, 1:06 PM CST, 10 hours 54 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
206 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2007

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-011215-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
206 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH
DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

TG

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Lake of the Woods

When: October 1, 12:00 AM CST to October 2, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Lake of the Woods forecast zone
Reported by: Other Federal Agency
Coordinates: 48.771, -94.905 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, North Beltrami

When: October 1, 12:00 AM CST to October 2, 6:00 AM CST
Where: North Beltrami forecast zone
Reported by: Other Federal Agency
Coordinates: 47.974, -94.938 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Wadena

When: October 1, 12:00 AM CST to October 2, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Wadena forecast zone
Reported by: Other Federal Agency
Coordinates: 46.586, -94.969 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, East Otter Tail

When: October 1, 12:00 AM CST to October 2, 6:00 AM CST
Where: East Otter Tail forecast zone
Reported by: Other Federal Agency
Coordinates: 46.409, -95.708 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Drought: A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

Every storm in Minnesota in 2007 Every state in 2007 This day in weather history Warnings in Minnesota, October 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 60288, 60289, 60290, 60291.