Several days of hazardous conditions impacted the east-central Florida coast, primarily along the Volusia and Brevard County beaches, due to a combination of high surf and rip currents. A man drowned in the surf at Daytona Beach after being caught in a rip current.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MLB wrote it up.
Several days of hazardous conditions impacted the east-central Florida coast, primarily along the Volusia and Brevard County beaches, due to a combination of high surf and rip currents. A man drowned in the surf at Daytona Beach after being caught in a rip current.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 30, 7:47 PM EST, 4 hours 13 minutes earlier.
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
847 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2007
.DISCUSSION...
...WINDY ONCE AGAIN ON MONDAY...
...HIGH SURF AND BEACH EROSION EXPECTED INTO TUESDAY...
AN 8 MB PRESSURE GRADIENT FROM JAX-MIA IS KEEPING STRONG ONSHORE
WINDS TONIGHT AND LITTLE CHANGE IN THIS SETUP IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.
LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE BAHAMAS MAINLY AN UPR FEATURE ATTM HOWEVER
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME SFC DEVELOPMENT OVER THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS ON MONDAY. FOR THE OVERNIGHT EXPECT BREEZY CONDITIONS TO
CONTINUE AT THE COAST WITH DECOUPLED ENVIRONMENT OVER THE INTERIOR.
WINDS AVE ALREADY DIMINISHED TO AROUND 10 MPH OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS
WITH THE COAST IN THE MID-UPR 20S. FORECAST UPDATE WAS ISSUED
EARLIER FOR EXPIRATION OF THE WIND ADVISORY. WV IMAGERY AND AFTN
MODEL RUNS INDICATE A RETURN OF PWAT AND THERE HAS BEEN A RESURGENCE
OF MARINE SHOWERS ENTERING THE RADAR HORIZON FROM THE NORTHEAST.
COASTAL SECTIONS CAN EXPECT BRIEF SHOWERS WITH A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF
AN INCH POSSIBLE AS THEY MOVE ASHORE.
&&
.MARINE...WAVE WATCH SHOWS STEADY INCREASE IN WAVE HEIGHTS WITH SEAS
NOT FULLY ARISEN UNTIL LATE MONDAY WITH A 13 TO 14 FT HEIGHT
INDICATED. WHEN COMBINED WITH NE WINDS 25 KNOTS WITH SOME GUSTS TO
AROUND 35 KNOTS OFFSHORE MON INTO MON NGT. MODEL CONSENSUS ON
GLOBALS CONTINUE TO INDICATE LOW DVLPMENT TO OUR SE...AND MAY SEE A
PERIOD OF GALES IF THIS OCCURS.
BEACH EROSION CERTAINLY REMAINS AN ISSUE WITH THESE FORECASTED WAVE
HEIGHTS AND AT LEAST 3 TO 4 HIGH TIDE CYCLES UNTIL FULLY ARISEN SEAS
ARE EXPERIENCED.
&&
.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-
INDIAN RIVER-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN BREVARD-ST.
LUCIE.
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL
VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN
BREVARD-ST. LUCIE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS
FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM
COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS
FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 10
AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO
JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH
TO COCOA BEACH OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER
INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO
COCOA BEACH 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.
&&
JPHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 600 AM EDT SUN SEP 30 2007 AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147- 302200- COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD- OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA- SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD- 600 AM EDT SUN SEP 30 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...HIGH WIND IMPACT... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT TODAY... A STRENGTHENING HIGH PRESSURE CENTER OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL PRODUCE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BOATING ON INLAND LAKES AND THE INTRACOASTAL WATERS WILL BE VERY DANGEROUS. ...COASTAL FLOOD IMPACT... ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST NORTH OF FLORIDA WHILE A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ACROSS THE BAHAMAS. THIS COMBINATION WILL RESULT IN A LONG DURATION OF STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. THE REPEATED POUNDING OF LARGE CRASHING WAVES AND WAVE RUNUPS INTO DUNES AND SEA WALLS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE BEACH EROSION NEAR THE TIME OF EACH HIGH TIDE CYCLE. SIGNIFICANT OR SEVERE BEACH EROSION MAY RESULT AFTER SEVERAL HIGH TIDE CYCLES WHICH CAN DECREASE DUNE STABILITY AND LEAD TO A COASTAL FLOOD THREAT. THE POUNDING LARGE WAVES MAY DAMAGE BEACH CROSSOVERS... VULNERABLE COASTAL STRUCTURES AND PROPERTY CLOSE TO THE DUNE LINE. HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 11AM AND NOON...AND AGAIN BETWEEN 11 PM AND MIDNIGHT...ALONG THE EAST COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...RIP CURRENT IMPACT... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY... HIGH ROUGH SURF WILL MAKE THE BEACHES EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WITH STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND LARGE BREAKING WAVES WITH RUNUPS TO THE DUNE LINES...ESPECIALLY AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. CURIOSITY OFTEN BRINGS PEOPLE TO THE COAST TO OBSERVE THE LARGE WAVES. EXPERIENCED BEACH GOERS KNOW AND RESPECT THE POWER OF WAVES. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION AS WAVE RUN UPS MAY BREAK OVER BOARDWALKS AND JETTIES WHERE SIGHTSEERS TEND TO CONGREGATE. ...WIND AND SEA IMPACT... NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS OCCASIONALLY GUSTING TO GALE FORCE HAVE BUILT SEAS UP TO 12 FEET OFFSHORE. BECAUSE OF THE STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS...VERY HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE HAZARDOUS FOR SMALL CRAFT ON THE ATLANTIC WATERS AS SEAS AT OR ABOVE 12 FEET WILL OCCUR INTO TUESDAY. THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE LARGE SWELLS IN THE SURF ZONE...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO POUND THE BEACHES. BEACH EROSION IS LIKELY AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. SWIMMING IN THE ROUGH SURF WILL BE POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING AND IS NOT ADVISED. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO RETURN TO COASTAL SECTIONS MONDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. KELLY
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 rip current, 1 high surf. Local standard time, as filed.
A 19 year old male was knocked down by high surf then likely pulled seaward by a rip current at Daytona Beach. He was last seen struggling to stay afloat. His body was recovered the following day and autopsy results confirmed he died of drowning.
High pressure over the mid-Atlantic combined with an easterly wave over the Bahamas produced large surf and beach erosion along the Brevard County coast.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rip Current, Volusia | 2007-10-01 | 19 | Male | In Water | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, October 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 467537, 63798.