Drought, Elbert
- When
- October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
- Where
- Elbert forecast zone
- Reported by
- County Official
- Coordinates
- 34.117, -82.840 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Unusually dry weather continued across northeast Georgia through October. Although a soaking rain near the end of the month resulted in near-normal monthly precipitation for the mountains, the Piedmont saw another month of well-below normal rainfall.
Every event with a place to put it; 6 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GSP wrote it up.
Unusually dry weather continued across northeast Georgia through October. Although a soaking rain near the end of the month resulted in near-normal monthly precipitation for the mountains, the Piedmont saw another month of well-below normal rainfall. Most areas were on pace to break yearly rainfall deficit records. By the end of the month, exceptional drought conditions were reported across the majority of the area. Water flow on area streams continued at 3 to 6 percent of normal, while lake levels remained at near-record lows. Although most cities and towns were requesting voluntary water restrictions be observed, mandatory restrictions were ordered in quite a few communities. Also, private wells were beginning to dry up in many areas. Agriculture continued to be severely impacted by the drought. At this time, county by county dollar estimates of drought damage have not been made available.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 30, 7:01 PM EST, 4 hours 59 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 801 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2007 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES THROUGH MID WEEK. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST THURSDAY BEFORE WASHING OUT NORTH OF THE AREA. THEN HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE AREA INTO NEXT WEEKEND. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/... LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED TO THE SENSIBLE WX FCST TONIGHT...MAINLY CLEAR CONDITIONS WITH JUST SOME CI PRESENT. 18 UTC MODEL SMART INITS FOR SKY GRIDS YIELDING SIMILAR RESULT TO GOING FCST...ANY DEVELOPING LATE NIGHT CLOUDS WITHIN THE NC UPSLOPE AREAS FEW IN COVERAGE WITH BETTER CVRG EAST OF THE CWFA. ANOTHER COOL EARLY MORNING IS EXPECTED WITH MONDAY MINS ABOUT A CATEGORY OR TWO BELOW NORMAL. UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN MONDAY...BUT REMAIN STRONG ENUF TO KEEP A STRONG EASTERLY MOVING UPPER LOW WELL TO OUR NORTH. COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER SYSTEM WEAKENS AND DISSIPATES AS IT REACHES THE MTNS. LITTLE TO NO MOISTURE ENTERS THE AREA AHEAD OF THE FNT AS SFC RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE. EVEN CLOUDS WILL BE LIMITED WITH THIS SYSTEM. HIGHS MID TO UPPER 70S MTN VALLEYS AND AROUND 80 OUTSIDE OF THE MTNS. && .SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... AS OF 215 PM EDT SUNDAY...THE NAM CAN CONTINUE TO BE TOSSED OUT THE WINDOW FOR THE SHORT TERM...AS IT CONTINUES TO DO A POOR JOB OF HANDLING THE TROPICAL/HYBRID LOW NEAR THE BAHAMAS. WHILE THE GFS IS FURTHER SOUTH AND WEAK WITH THIS SYSTEM...THE NAM STRENGTHENS IT SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF ON TUESDAY. THE CONSEQUENCES FOR OUR REGION IS THAT THE NAM WRAPS DEEP LAYER MOISTURE INTO THE CAROLINAS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHILE THE GFS REMAINS BONE DRY...KEEPING ANY ATLANTIC MOISTURE ALONG/OFF THE EAST COAST. THIS SEEMS VERY REASONABLE AND THE GFS WILL BE FOLLOWED CLOSELY FOR THE SHORT TERM PORTION OF THE PACKAGE. EXPECT DRY WEATHER WITH TEMPS SLIGHTLY ABOVE CLIMO THROUGH MID-WEEK. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... AS OF 215 PM EDT SUNDAY...THE LATEST RUN OF THE ECMWF ADVECTS ATLANTIC MOISTURE INTO THE REGION BY THURSDAY MORNING...SUGGESTING INCREASING CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION. HOWEVER...THE GFS REMAINS DRY THROUGH DAY 7. BOTH MODELS HAVE BEEN QUITE CONSISTENT WITH THESE DISPARATE SOLUTION FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS NOW. HPC APPEARS TO BE LEANING TOWARD THE WETTER ECMWF. HOWEVER...AFTER COLLABORATION WITH NEIGHBORING WFOS...WE HAVE OPTED TO LEAVE POPS AT A SLIGHT CHANCE OR LESS THROUGH THE PERIOD. && .AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH JUST SOME THIN CI LINGERING. IT REMAINS DEBATABLE WHETHER LOW LEVEL EASTERLY JET SETTING UP UNDER THE SUBSIDENCE INVERSION WILL BE ENUF TO DEVELOP/ADVECT LOWER CLOUDS INTO THE FA DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS... SO WILL CONTINUE TO LEAVE OUT OF THE FCST. PERSISTENCE FCST WILL CONTINUE AT KAVL FOR A PERIOD OF MVFR VSBY AT KAVL AND FEW LIFR CLOUDS AROUND DAYBREAK. EXPECT THE EAST NORTHEAST WINDS TO INCREASE TO AROUND 10 KTS MONDAY MORNING AS MIXING BEGINS. MODEL TIMEHEIGHTS INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR SOME VFR LVL CU IN THE AFTERNOON. OUTLOOK THROUGH THURSDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA. EXPECT EARLY MORNING VALLEY FOG AROUND KAVL EACH DAY. A LOW OFF THE SE COAST IS THEN EXPECTED TO HELP BRING DEEPER MOISTURE TO THE REGION. && .GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GA...NONE. NC...NONE. SC...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...SBK NEAR TERM...CSH/RWH SHORT TERM...JDL LONG TERM...JDL AVIATION...CSH
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 803 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2007 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065- 068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-020015- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER- IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA- ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS- PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK- ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 803 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
6 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Georgia in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, October 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 64555, 64556, 64557, 64558, 64559, 64560.