High Wind in Arizona, November 23 to 24, 2007

Name: High Wind in Arizona, November 23 to 24, 2007
Start: 2007-11-23T22:00
End: 2007-11-24T10:00
Location: Arizona

November 23 to 24, 2007 · NWS FGZ · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A low pressure center moving across northern Arizona brought very strong winds to areas down wind of the San Fransisco Peaks.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths: 0
Injuries: 0
Property damage: None recorded
Crop damage: None recorded
Events: 1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.

A low pressure center moving across northern Arizona brought very strong winds to areas down wind of the San Fransisco Peaks.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 23, 8:45 PM MST, 1 hour 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 23, 8:45 PM MST, 1 hour 15 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
845 PM MST FRI NOV 23 2007

.SYNOPSIS...A WEATHER SYSTEM DROPPING SOUTHWARD ACROSS ARIZONA
THROUGH TONIGHT WILL BRING SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS TO AREAS ALONG THE
NEW MEXICO BORDER INTO SATURDAY MORNING...WITH FAIR SKIES CONTINUING
ELSEWHERE. BRISK DAYTIME TEMPERATURES AND LOCALLY BREEZY WINDS ARE
FORECAST INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A FEW CUMULUS CAN BE SEEN OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS
EVENING...WITH NOTHING IN THE WAY OF EVEN LIGHT PRECIPITATION. MOST
OF THE ACTIVITY IS WELL TO THE SOUTH IN TWCS FORECAST AREA. MODELS
ARE SHOWING THE TROUGH AXIS OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA...WILL SLIDE TO
THE SOUTHEAST AS THE EVENING WEARS ON. THIS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE
ACTIVITY OUT OF THE WHITE MOUNTAINS SAVE FOR A FLURRY...SO THE
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS CURRENTLY IN THE FORECAST LOOK GOOD. TEMPERATURE
TRENDS ARE ALSO ON TRACK AS WELL FOR THIS EVENING. WINDS ARE ALREADY
GUSTING OUT OF THE NE IN THOSE PRIME LOCATIONS RIGHT NOW...AND IT LOOKS
LIKE IT WILL CONTINUE. BOTH GFS AND NAM H7 WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
PICK UP TONIGHT AS WE HEAD INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK FOR THIS EVENING. NO CHANGES ARE
PLANNED.

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION (330 PM MST)...MID-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY
ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE STATE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT SOUTHEASTWARD
THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH A SHORTWAVE RIDGE MOVING IN FOR THE LATTER
PORTION OF THE WEEKEND. IN THE MEANTIME...ISOLATED AND GENERALLY
LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO EARLY SATURDAY FOR AREAS ALONG
THE NEW MEXICO BORDER...MAINLY ACROSS THE WHITE MOUNTAINS THOUGH
EVEN HERE ANY PRECIP AMOUNTS LOOK TO BE RATHER PALTRY. ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE NORTHLAND...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES SHOULD PERSIST INTO THE
WEEKEND. IN ALL...MAIN IMPACT FROM THE CURRENT WEATHER PATTERN WILL
BE QUITE BRISK TEMPS AND LOCALLY GUSTY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH
THE DAY ON SATURDAY. PRIME AREA FOR WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE ALONG
THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST SIDES OF THE MOGOLLON RIM AND YAVAPAI COUNTY
MOUNTAINS.

FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK AFTER THE SHORTWAVE RIDGE
PASSAGE...UNCERTAINTY CONTINUES IN WHAT WEATHER PATTERN WILL FORM
ACROSS THE REGION. MOST LIKELY SCENARIO SEEMS TO BE A LOW PRESSURE
CENTER DEVELOPING OFF THE BAJA COAST...WITH A PROGRESSIVE LONGWAVE
TROUGH FORMING ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN UNITED STATES. IT IS
DIFFICULT TO COMPLETELY RULE OUT PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SETUP...BUT
A WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION EVENT SEEMS UNLIKELY AT THIS POINT FOR
THE NORTHLAND OVER THE 7-DAY FORECAST PERIOD. WILL HAVE SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS DURING PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH MAX
TEMPS WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF SEASONAL NORMS.

KD

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS
EVENING. WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST TONIGHT 10-15KT GUSTING 20-25
KNOTS...THEN NORTHEAST 10-20 KTS GUSTING 20-30 KNOTS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Western Mogollon Rim

When: November 23, 10:00 PM MST to November 24, 10:00 AM MST
Where: Western Mogollon Rim forecast zone
Measured: 61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 35.839, -111.770 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

High winds in northern portions of Flagstaff blew a roof off a lumber yard, blew down signs and fences, and blew down a tree near the Flagstaff Medical Center. The winds were estimated at 60 MPH gusting to 70 MPH in Fort Valley...about 7 miles west of Flagstaff.

What these are

High Wind: Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

Every storm in Arizona in 2007 Every state in 2007 This day in weather history Warnings in Arizona, November 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 63744.