Winter Weather in Kansas, November 23 to 24, 2007

Name: Winter Weather in Kansas, November 23 to 24, 2007
Start: 2007-11-23T10:00
End: 2007-11-24T06:00
Location: Kansas

November 23 to 24, 2007 · NWS DDC · 27 events in 27 counties and zones

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 27 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

Tornadoes
Tropical storms and surge
Floods
Wind
Hail
Winter weather
Heat and drought
Cold
Fire, smoke and dust
Marine and coastal
Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths: 0
Injuries: 0
Property damage: None recorded
Crop damage: None recorded
Events: 27

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS DDC wrote it up.

The first snow of the season moved into southwest Kansas during Friday, November 23rd and exited early Saturday, November 24th. An upper level storm system moved out of southeastern Colorado Thursday night and by Friday morning was helping to draw moisture north from Oklahoma into southwestern Kansas. This resulted in widespread light snow. In general, 1 to 3 inches fell across the CWA. The largest snowfall amount reported was 3.5 inches at Coldwater in Comanche County. One 15 to 20 mile-wide band of 3 inches of snowfall fell from near Hugoton to northwest of Johnson. Another swath 15 to 30 miles wide of 3-inch plus snowfall fell from Hays south through eastern Rush County and continued in the Larned, Kinsley and St. John areas. One to two inches were reported across the rest of the CWA.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 23, 3:02 AM CST, 6 hours 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 23, 3:02 AM CST, 6 hours 58 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
302 AM CST FRI NOV 23 2007

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...

CLEARLY THE BIGGEST CHALLENGE IN THE FORECAST FOR THIS TIME PERIOD
IS THE FIRST SNOW EVENT FOR SOUTHWEST KANSAS LATER ON TODAY AND
TONIGHT...WITH THE MAIN QUESTION BEING JUST HOW MUCH SNOW IS GOING
TO FALL AND EXACTLY WHERE.

EARLY MORNING WV LOOP REVEALED NICE LOOKING VORTICITY MAX WITH SMALL
CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW ALONG UT/AZ BORDER.  DOWNSTREAM OF THIS SYSTEM
OVER WESTERN KANSAS EXISTS A FAIRLY STRONG MID LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE
THANKS TO DEPARTING MUCH LARGER SCALE UPPER LEVEL COLD TROUGH OVER
THE NORTHEASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS.  EVEN THOUGH THE MID LEVEL
PATTERN AND UPPER LEVEL JET DYNAMICS DO NOT SUPPORT A SIGNIFICANT
SNOWSTORM...THE EXISTENCE OF FAIRLY DECENT H6-7 BAROCLINICITY AND
30-40 KNOT SOUTHWEST FLOW IN THIS LAYER WILL SUPPORT THE NECESSARY
ISENTROPIC LIFT FOR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION.  EARLY MORNING 88D
ALREADY SHOWS THE FIRST AREAS OF SNOW MOVING INTO ERN/NERN NEW
MEXICO.  TUCUMCARI WAS ALREADY REPORTING SNOW AT 08Z.  WILL USE
NAM12 LOW LEVEL RH FIELDS AS A GUESS FOR INITIAL SNOW REACHING THE
GROUND.  IT WOULD APPEAR THAT FIRST SNOW WILL FALL IN THE ELKHART TO
JOHNSON AREAS AROUND 16-18Z.  SNOW SHOULD THEN REACH GARDEN CITY AND
DIGHTON AREAS AROUND 18-20Z THEN DODGE CITY TO HAYS AREAS AROUND
20-22Z.

WARM AIR ADVECTION IN THE PRECIPITATION FORMATION LAYER (H6-7) WILL
BE QUITE IMPRESSIVE PER NAM40 OVER SW KS PARTICULARLY IN THE 21-00Z
TIME FRAME (UPWARDS OF 13 DEGC/12HR WAA).  THE CRUX OF THIS EVENT
WILL BE DRIVEN LARGELY BY THE QUASI-GEOSTROPHIC FORCING WITHOUT MUCH
IN THE WAY OF MESOSCALE FRONTOGENETIC FORCING.  THAT SAID...THERE
WILL PROBABLY BE A DEFORMATION AXIS OF SNOW TO END THE EVENT IN THE
03-06Z TIME FRAME.  FROM A PURE MOISTURE AVAILABILITY
STANDPOINT...NAM40 FORECAST CROSS SECTION SHOWS 3 TO 3.5 G/KG MIXING
RATIO IN THE 700-650MB LAYER...WHICH WOULD SUPPORT MAXIMUM SNOWFALL
UP TO 6 INCHES (TRADITIONAL GARCIA METHOD) UNDER MODERATE TO STRONG
LARGE SCALE LIFTING FOR A 12 HOUR PERIOD.  THIS EVENT WILL BE RATHER
SHORT LIVED IN TERMS OF THE STRONGEST FORCING (WHICH WILL LIKELY BE
AROUND 4-6 HOURS OR SO AT ANY ONE POINT).  THUS...AM EXPECTING A
LARGE AREA OF 2-3 INCHES MAINLY NORTHWEST OF LIBERAL TO JETMORE TO
LACROSSE.

IN ADDITION...15 TO 20 KNOTS SURFACE WIND AT TIMES WILL HELP BLOW
THE SNOW AROUND A LITTLE...FROM A RATHER UNORTHODOX DIRECTION FOR
ACCUMULATING SNOW ON THE WESTERN PLAINS...THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST.  WILL
ISSUE FIRST SNOW HEADLINE OF THE SEASON FOR AREAS AM EXPECTING 2
INCHES SNOWFALL OR MORE...PRETTY MUCH THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE DDC
CWA.  SNOW SHOULD QUICKLY COME TO AN END AFTER MIDNIGHT FROM WEST TO
EAST...ALTHOUGH LOW CLOUDS WILL LINGER INTO AT LEAST THE MID-MORNING
HOURS SATURDAY.  GIVEN EXPECTED SNOW COVER AND WEAK COLD
ADVECTION...HIGHS SATURDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO ESCAPE THE MID 30S. -UMSCHEID

DAYS 3-7...

JUST MADE MINOR TWEAKS TO THE GOING EXTENDED.

THE LATEST RUNS OF THE GFS AND ECMWF HIRES ARE BOTH IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING OF COLD AIR AND NEXT UPPER WAVES.  THERE
WILL BE A MODERATING PERIOD WITH TEMPERATURES SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY
WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER AND MAX TEMPERATURES SLOWLY
RISING FROM THE MID 40S NW TO UPPER 40S SE ON SUNDAY TO THE UPPER
40S NW AND MID 50S SE BY TUESDAY.  THE SNOW COVER FROM THE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON/NIGHT STORM SHOULD PLAY A FACTOR IN BOTH MAX AND MIN
TEMPS...MAINLY ACROSS OUR NW 1/3RD CWA OR SO.  THUS...THE RESULTANT
TEMP GRADIENT.  AN IMPRESSIVE BUT FAST MOVING UPPER WAVE IS
ADVERTISED BY BOTH THE EC AND GFS TO APPROACH WESTERN KANSAS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  THIS SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO TRIGGER SOME PRECIP
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.  THE PRECIP TYPE IS THE BIGGER
QUESTION.  IF LOW LEVELS MODIFY AND WARM ENOUGH PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL
UP UPWARD LIFT...RAIN COULD FALL.  ON THE OTHER HAND...IF COLD AIR
SINKS SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS PRIOR TO THE SHORT WAVE
ENTRANCE...SNOW WOULD BE THE PRECIP TYPE.  BASED ON CURRENT TEMP
TRENDS...WILL GO WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW IN ABOUT OUR
WESTERN 3/4THS CWA...AND CONFINE THE RAIN ONLY SLIGHT CHANCES TO THE
FAR SOUTHEAST.  AFTER THIS IS WAVE PASSES...LOOKS LIKE FRIDAY WILL
STILL BE UNDER SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT SO WILL CONTINUE SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS FOR SNOW NW AND RAIN SE FRIDAY.   IF THE ECMWF VERIFIES...WE
COULD SEE SOME MORE SNOW AND RAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE IN NEARLY THE SAME AREA AS THE
DAY 1-2 PERIODS...OUR NORTHWEST TIER.

&&

.AVIATION...

MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL MOVE IN FROM WEST TO EAST AFTER
15Z...GENERALLY IN THE SCT-BKN100-120 RANGE.  THEN...MVFR CIGS IN
THE BKN-OVC040-050 RANGE WILL MOVE IN AND DEVELOP ALSO FROM WEST TO
EAST...AFTER 20Z.  LIGHT SNOW WILL ACCOMPANY THE MVFR CIGS BUT IS
NOT EXPECTED TO LOWER VSBYS BELOW 4SM.  OVERNIGHT AFTER 03Z...CIGS
AND VSBYS WILL LOWER TO OVC025 AND 2SM -SN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  31  23  36  21 /  60  80  10   0
GCK  30  21  35  19 /  80  80   0   0
EHA  29  20  32  22 /  80  80   0   0
LBL  30  21  34  20 /  80  80   0   0
HYS  32  22  39  21 /  20  80  20   0
P28  37  26  41  27 /  20  60  20   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SNOW ADVISORY FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ THIS MORNING TO 3 AM CST
/2 AM MST/ SATURDAY FOR KSZ043-044-061>063-074>077-084-085.

SNOW ADVISORY FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM CST SATURDAY FOR
KSZ030-031-045-046-064-065.

&&

FN25/12/12

Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 23, 4:55 AM CST, 5 hours 5 minutes before

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The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

27 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Weather, Barber

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Barber forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 37.229, -98.685 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Clark

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Clark forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 37.236, -99.820 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Comanche

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Comanche forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 37.191, -99.272 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Edwards

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Edwards forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 37.888, -99.312 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Ellis

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Ellis forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 38.915, -99.317 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Finney

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Finney forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 38.044, -100.737 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Ford

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Ford forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 37.692, -99.888 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Grant

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Grant forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 37.562, -101.308 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Gray

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Gray forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 37.738, -100.438 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Hamilton

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Hamilton forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 37.999, -101.791 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Haskell

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Haskell forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 37.562, -100.871 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Hodgeman

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Hodgeman forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 38.088, -99.898 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Kearny

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Kearny forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 38.000, -101.320 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Kiowa

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Kiowa forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 37.558, -99.286 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Lane

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Lane forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 38.481, -100.466 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Meade

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Meade forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 37.238, -100.366 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Morton

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Morton forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 37.191, -101.799 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Ness

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Ness forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 38.479, -99.916 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Pawnee

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Pawnee forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 38.181, -99.237 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Pratt

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Pratt forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 37.648, -98.740 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Rush

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Rush forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 38.523, -99.309 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Scott

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Scott forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 38.482, -100.907 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Seward

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Seward forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 37.193, -100.851 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Stafford

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Stafford forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 38.031, -98.717 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Stanton

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Stanton forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 37.563, -101.784 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Stevens

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Stevens forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 37.192, -101.312 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Trego

When: November 23, 10:00 AM CST to November 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Trego forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 38.914, -99.873 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Winter Weather: Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

Every storm in Kansas in 2007 Every state in 2007 This day in weather history Warnings in Kansas, November 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 67167, 67168, 67169, 67170, 67171, 67172, 67173, 67174, 67175, 67176, 67177, 67178, 67179, 67180, 67181, 67182, 67183, 67184, 67185, 67186, 67187, 67188, 67189, 67190, 67191, 67192, 67193.