2 marine thunderstorm wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 9, 6:41 PM EST, 1 hour 25 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 741 PM EDT SUN JUL 9 2006 .AVIATION... 12Z 4KM WRF FROM NCAR LOOKS TO HAVE A DECENT HANDLE ON CONVECTION THIS EVENING. ACTIVITY TO THE NORTH AND WEST HAS FILLED IN ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER...WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS NOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE EASTERN CWA. BASED ON THE EXPECTED EVOLUTION OF THE UPSTREAM ACTIVITY...WHICH IS IN LINE WITH A LINEAR EXTRAPOLATION OF THE CURRENT SOUTHEASTWARD TIMING...DELAYED MENTION OF TSRA IN MBS/FNT TAFS A COUPLE HOURS. TIMING INTO DTW/DET IS MORE DIFFICULT...AS WRF SHOWS THE CURRENT ACTIVITY WEAKENING BY LATE EVENING...WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS FROM WISCONSIN MAKING IT INTO DETROIT SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 18Z RUC IS SOMEWHAT SLOWER...BUT THE 18Z NAM IS IN LINE WITH THIS SOLUTION. WILL CARRY A PREDOMINATE GROUP OF TSRA FOR TWO HOURS...STARTING FROM 01Z AT MBS TO 05Z AT DET. BEHIND THE CONVECTION...LOW-LEVEL COLD ADVECTION ALONG THE FRONT WILL LEAD TO MVFR CIGS OVERNIGHT THROUGH LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THERE IS A DECENT COVERAGE OF IFR CIGS UPSTREAM ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES...ALTHOUGH THESE APPEAR TO BE ENHANCED BY FLOW OFF LAKE SUPERIOR. && .PREV DISCUSSION...ISSUED 253 PM EDT SUN JUL 9 2006 SHORT SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND MONDAY THE FORECAST APPEARS TO BE UNFOLDING AS EXPECTED...WITH THE 12Z NAM APPEARING TO BE DOING A GOOD JOB AND BEST REPRESENTING OUR CONCEPTUAL IMAGE. MID AFTERNOON LAPS DATA INDICATING SURFACE CAPES OF 2000+ J/KG OVER NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. SURFACE COLD FRONT IS BECOMING ACTIVE...AS OUR COLD UPPER LOW TRAVERSES ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES THIS EVENING. JET STREAK (50+ KNOTS AT 500 MB) NOSING INTO NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN LATE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A SECONDARY JET/VORT MAX TRACKING THROUGH SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. ACTUAL COLD FRONT LOOKS TO DROP SOUTHEAST INTO THE TRI-CITIES REGION TOWARD 00Z...SUPPORTING NUMEROUS POPS AND A DECENT CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS...AS THE LOSS OF INSTABILITY FROM PEAK HEATING WILL BE MINIMAL. ENHANCED WORDING FOR DAMAGING WINDS IS ALREADY IN THE ZONES FOR THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE CWA. THE BIG QUESTION IS HOW FAST WILL STORMS PROPAGATE TO THE SOUTH AND WEAKEN DURING THE EVENING AS THE DAYTIME INSTABILITY WANES AND THE STORMS MOVE AWAY FROM THE BETTER UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT/COLD POOL ALOFT. THE WILD CARD IS WHEN OR IF CONVECTION INITIATES ALONG THAT SECONDARY JET MAX ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN/SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN. IF STORMS DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA WILL ALSO STAND A DECENT CHANCE OF SEEING SEVERE WEATHER WITH ACTIVITY ARRIVING DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. RIGHT NOW THERE STILL IS DECENT CIN WITH DEW POINTS HOVERING IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. WILL THUS CONTINUE WITH CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE SOUTH THROUGH MID EVENING...AND THEN CARRY LIKELY POPS AS ACTIVITY ALONG THE COLD FRONT SINKS SOUTH...SLOWLY WEAKENING IN THE PROCESS. COLD FRONT SHOULD BE CLOSE TO THE OHIO/MICHIGAN BORDER TOMORROW MORNING. WILL CONTINUE WITH THE LOW CHANCE POPS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN AREAS...AS BUILDING HEIGHTS/ANTICYCLONIC FLOW DOES NOT MOVE IN UNTIL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. ENOUGH LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO POSSIBLY POP SOMETHING...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE SOUTHERN MICHIGAN BORDER. LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER IN SE MICHIGAN MONDAY NIGHT WITH ATTENTION TURNING TO THE NEXT SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE PLAINS. THERE IS SOME TIMING OF ARRIVAL CHALLENGES WITH THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES ON TUESDAY. THE GFS SOLUTION HAS BEEN TRENDING FASTER AND FARTHER SOUTH AND IT HAS SOME SUPPORT FROM THE CANADIAN AND UKMET AT LEAST IN TERMS OF TIMING. THE NAM SOLUTION HAS MERIT WITH A FARTHER NORTH TRACK WHEN CONSIDERING THE BUILDING LONG WAVE HEIGHT FIELD OVER THE EASTERN STATES IN THE BACKGROUND. OUR LOCAL DTX WRF HEMISPHERIC TRACKS THE SYSTEM INTO THE AREA AT ABOUT THE SAME TIMING AS THE GFS BUT FARTHER NORTH. WORKING THAT SOLUTION INTO THE 12Z NAM LOOKS GOOD ALLOWING FOR A WELL DEFINED WARM FRONT MOVING THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. SW FLOW MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL BE PLENTIFUL ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS RETURNING FRONTAL BOUNDARY COMBINED WITH A TROPICAL PACIFIC MOISTURE CONNECTION IN THE MID LEVELS THAT WILL TAKE 700 MB DEWPOINT TO AROUND 6C ACCORDING TO THE GFS AND NAM. THIS SETS UP LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY AS A LIKELY PERIOD OF SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. FACTORING IN A SURFACE SYSTEM LIKE THE NAM, BUT A LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH, WILL PLACE SE MICHIGAN IN THE WARM SECTOR SUCH AS IT IS BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT WITH A LINGERING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. PLAN TO KEEP THE CHANCE OF RAIN ON THURSDAY FOR ANOTHER MODEL CYCLE AND MAKE SURE THE EXIT TIMING WILL BE FAST ENOUGH FOR DRY CONDITIONS TO HOLD. LONG WAVE HEIGHTS WILL THEN BUILD STRONGLY BEHIND THIS SYSTEM INTO THE WEEKEND AND SET THE STAGE FOR A HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS. THE LONG WAVE RIDGE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE EASTERN STATES WILL BE AIDED BY WEAK TROUGH DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE WEST COAST BUT MAYBE MORE JUST AS A DEFAULT TO VERY WEAK ENERGY IN THE WESTERLIES THROUGH THE ENTIRE WESTERN HEMISPHERE. THIS WILL FORCE THE STORM TRACK INTO CANADA OR THROUGH THE NORTHERN LAKES AT THE MOST SOUTHERN EXTENT AND REDUCE OUR CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO A BRUSH WITH A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX AT SOME POINT DURING THE WEEKEND. THIS CURRENTLY LOOKS TOO REMOTE TO INCLUDE IN THE FORECAST. PLAN INSTEAD TO FOCUS ON ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS FOR THE PERIOD. && .DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...NONE. LAKE HURON...NONE. LAKE ST CLAIR...NONE. MI WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...NONE. && AVIATION.....BRAVENDER SHORT TERM...SF LONG TERM....BT YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 820 PM EDT SUN JUL 9 2006 MIZ047>049-053-054-060-061-100900- MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE- 820 PM EDT SUN JUL 9 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN INCLUDING THE TRI-CITIES...FLINT AND WESTERN THUMB. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NUMEROUS OVER THE REGION THIS EVENING... AND A FEW COULD PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD...BUT LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTH ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. STORM MOTION WILL BE SOUTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE GREAT LAKES BY TUESDAY. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST INTO THURSDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AS THIS WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS MOVES OVER THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... DISPATCHERS...PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGER IMMEDIATELY. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING. MIZ055-062-063-068>070-075-076-082-083-100900- SANILAC-LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE- LENAWEE-MONROE- 820 PM EDT SUN JUL 9 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-69. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS EVENING...BUT STORMS ARE MORE LIKELY TOWARD MIDNIGHT AND INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER WITH THESE STORMS. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD...BUT LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE STORMS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. STORM MOTION WILL BE SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 30 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER INTO MONDAY MORNING GENERALLY SOUTH OF I-94. HOWEVER...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME. A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE GREAT LAKES BY TUESDAY. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST INTO THURSDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS THIS WARM AND MOIST AIR MOVES OVER THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... DISPATCHERS...PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGER IMMEDIATELY. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED BY THIS EVENING. LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ421-422-441>443-462>464-100900- ST. CLAIR RIVER-DETROIT RIVER-LAKE ST. CLAIR- MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE-OUTER SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY- PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- LAKE HURON OFFSHORE BEYOND 5 NM FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI- LAKE HURON OFFSHORE BEYOND 5 NM FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- LAKE HURON OFFSHORE BEYOND 5 NM FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- 820 PM EDT SUN JUL 9 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ST CLAIR...THE MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE HURON. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NUMEROUS OVER SAGINAW BAY AND LAKE HURON THIS EVENING...AND THEN OVER LAKE ST CLAIR AND WESTERN LAKE ERIE TOWARD MIDNIGHT AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER THIS EVENING OVER SAGINAW BAY AND SOUTHERN LAKE HURON...WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE ELSEWHERE. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD...BUT LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. STORM MOTION WILL BE SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER INTO MONDAY MORNING OVER WESTERN LAKE ERIE AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO OHIO...BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE GREAT LAKES BY TUESDAY. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TUESDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST INTO THURSDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AS THIS WARM AND MOIST AIR MOVES OVER THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... DISPATCHERS...PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGER IMMEDIATELY. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. BT YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).
2 marine thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Lake Huron in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather history
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5522701, 5522702.