Strong southwest winds were sustained around 30 MPH. Gusts were measured up to 48 MPH at Carbondale.
Every event with a place to put it; 19 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Strong southwest winds were sustained around 30 MPH. Gusts were measured up to 48 MPH at Carbondale.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 19, 3:26 AM CST, 6 hours 34 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 326 AM CST THU JAN 19 2006 .DISCUSSION... WARM AIR ADVECTION REGIME WELL UNDER WAY EARLY THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES ALREADY 3-5 DEGREES ABOVE GFS/NAM/NGM MOS GUIDANCE. EXPECT TO SEE RAPID LOW CLOUD DEVELOPMENT NORTHEASTWARD TODAY ON THE I295 ISENTROPIC SURFACE. THE GFS MORE AGRESSIVE WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN...WHILE THE NAM HOLDS OFF A BIT...AND THE NAM SURFACE DEWPOINTS AT 19/06Z WERE VERY CLOSE. EXPECT LOW CLOUDS TO INCREASE THIS MORNING AND TO BE COVERING THE ENTIRE CWA BY EARLY AFTERNOON. AS THIS DECK THICKENS...MAY SEE A SPRINKLE OR TWO...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHWEST HALF WHERE THE WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL BE STRONGEST...BUT WILL REFRAIN FROM MENTIONING POPS AT THIS TIME. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS SOUTHWARD SINKING FRONT AND ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACH THE REGION. WITH LACK OF UPPER SUPPORT...MODELS DONT GO TOO CRAZY WITH POPS...SO WILL KEEP IN CHC CATEGORY. ON FRIDAY MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE AND THINGS BEGIN TO GET INTERESTING. NAM SHOWING A MORE PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN THEREFORE IT HAS THE FRONT JUST INTO THE NORTHWESTERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF OUR CWA BY 00Z SATURDAY...WHEREAS THE GFS HAS IT JUST UPSTREAM OF THOSE AREAS AROUND THE SAME TIME. MODELS BOTH SHOWING MAXIMUM JET STREAM WINDS CLEARLY ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE UPPER TROF WHICH SHOULD CAUSE IT TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AND BE MORE PROGRESSIVE...WHICH WOULD RESEMBLE THE NAM SOLUTION. BOTH MODELS ADVECT LOW TO MID 50S SURFACE DEWPOINTS INTO THE CWA PRIOR TO FROPA FRIDAY NIGHT...HOWEVER INSTABILITY AND CAPE VALUES STILL RATHER LOW. IMPRESSIVE JET ENERGY (130-140 KTS) WILL BE SITUATED TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE CWA AS THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA...BUT THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION WILL BE LAGGING TOO FAR BEHIND TO HAVE MUCH EFFECT. WIND SHEAR...BOTH DIRECTIONAL AND SPEED...WILL BE PLENTIFUL WITH IMPRESSIVE HELICITY VALUES IN EXCESS OF 400 M2/S2. FRONT SHOULD BE CLEAR OF OUR EASTERN BORDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 06Z-12Z SATURDAY MORNING...DEPENDING WHICH MODEL IS CORRECT. WILL ONLY HAVE POPS OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE CWA AFTER MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT MAKES GOOD PROGRESS ACROSS THE CWA AND MODELS NOT REALLY SHOWING A DECENT CHANCE OF WRAP AROUND MOISTURE. EXPECT PRECIP TO COME TO AN END FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE TEMPERATURES AND CRITICAL THICKNESSES BECOME TOO COLD TO CHANGE THE PRECIP OVER TO SNOW. MADE HARDLY ANY CHANGES BEYOND THE FIFTH PERIIOD...BUT WITH MODELS CONTINUING TO SHOW A GOOD SOAKING SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT...TWEAKED POPS UP THERE. FUTURE SHIFTS WILL LIKELY HAVE TO INCREASE POPS. BASED ON RECENT TRENDS AND MODEL MOS NUMBERS...TENDED TO GO AT OR ABOVE GUIDANCE FOR TEMPERATURES. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. && JAP
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 918 AM CST THU JAN 19 2006 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-201530- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 918 AM CST THU JAN 19 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL CREATE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS TODAY...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...THE STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS ON AREA LAKES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. INSTABILITY WILL BE MARGINAL...BUT THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SOME STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE...WITH A FEW ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE DUE TO IMPRESSIVE WIND FIELDS. THE MAIN HAZARD WITH ANY STORMS THAT DO BECOME SEVERE WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
19 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Illinois in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Illinois, January 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5488246, 5488247, 5488248, 5488249, 5488250, 5488335, 5488796, 5488797, 5488798, 5488799, 5489306, 5489307, 5489308, 5489309, 5489310, 5489311, 5489312, 5489313, 5489314.