Tornadoes and Damaging Winds in Indiana, July 26, 2005

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
145 PM EST TUE JUL 26 2005

.DISCUSSION...

FORECAST FOCUS IS ON CHANCES FOR RAIN THRU WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

AT 1830Z SCT TSRA WERE DEVELOPING ACROSS WRN FORECAST AREA /FA/ IN
UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE. PREFRONTAL TROF NOTED ACROSS NRN IN WITH TSRA
DEVELOPING ALONG IT AS WELL. MAIN FRONT WAS ACROSS NRN IL WITH
PRECIP BEHIND IT.

MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THIS RUN...WITH SOME SLIGHT TIMING
DIFFERENCES. WILL GENERALLY USE A BLEND...BUT LEAN TOWARD SLIGHTLY
SLOWER SOLUTION OF THE NAM.

TSRA WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN UNSTABLE AIR AND LAST INTO THE
EVENING. MOST OF PRECIP WILL BE BEHIND FRONT THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT AS CAN BE SEEN CURRENTLY BEHIND THE FRONT. THUS WILL
CONTINUE CATEGORICAL POPS TONIGHT AND WORD AS OCCASIONAL. WILL
MENTION SEVERE DURING THE EVENING WITH DECENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND
UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE. POST FRONTAL PRECIP SHOULD BE MORE TAME. COOLER
AIR WILL WORK IN BEHIND FRONT AND WITH THE PRECIP DROP TEMPS TO NEAR
GUIDANCE NUMBERS IN THE MID 60S MOST AREAS.

PRECIP WILL SLOWLY EXIT THE FA TO THE SE DURING THE DAY ON WED UNTIL
UPPER TROF EXITS FA IN THE AFTN. WILL GO CHC POPS AND DIMINISH FROM
NW TO SE DURING THE DAY. WITH CLOUDS HANGING ON FOR AT LEAST THE
MORNING IN THE NORTH AND MUCH OF THE DAY IN THE SOUTH...HIGH TEMPS
WILL ONLY REACH MID TO UPPER 70S ENTIRE FA. THIS IS IN BETWEEN
COOLER MET AND WARMER MAV NUMBERS.

DRY WEATHER THEN EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF FORECAST AS NEXT COLD
FRONT SHOULD WASH OUT BEFORE IT REACHES US ON FRI.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
540 AM EST TUE JUL 26 2005

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-271100-
BARTHOLOMEW-BOONE-BROWN-CARROLL-CLAY-CLINTON-DAVIESS-DECATUR-
DELAWARE-FOUNTAIN-GREENE-HAMILTON-HANCOCK-HENDRICKS-HENRY-HOWARD-
JACKSON-JENNINGS-JOHNSON-KNOX-LAWRENCE-MADISON-MARION-MARTIN-MONROE-
MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-OWEN-PARKE-PUTNAM-RANDOLPH-RUSH-SHELBY-SULLIVAN-
TIPPECANOE-TIPTON-VERMILLION-VIGO-WARREN-
540 AM EST TUE JUL 26 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED OVER CENTRAL INDIANA TODAY AND
TONIGHT. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BE
SEVERE. DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN THREAT...WITH LARGE HAIL
A SECONDARY THREAT. AT THIS POINT...THE HIGHEST THREAT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE FROM THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS UNTIL ABOUT MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WHICH MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.

IN ADDITION...THE COMBINATION OF HIGH HUMIDITY AND TEMPERATURES IN
THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 100 TO
105 DEGREES DURING THE AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF A TERRE HAUTE TO TIPTON LINE. AT THIS
POINT...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT OUR WEBSITE...

HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IND

JAS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
205 PM EST TUE JUL 26 2005

INZ021-028>031-270500-
CARROLL-CLINTON-HOWARD-TIPPECANOE-WARREN-
205 PM EST TUE JUL 26 2005

...MAINTENANCE IS SCHEDULED FOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO WXK 74...

EXTENDED MAINTENANCE FOR WXK 74 AT YEOMAN INDIANA IS SET TO BEGIN
ON WEDNESDAY JULY 27 2005. AS A RESULT WXK 74 WILL NOT BROADCAST ANY
INFORMATION ON THIS FREQUENCY FROM WEDNESDAY UNTIL FRIDAY...JULY
29TH.

THE TRANSMITTER WILL BE MOVED TO A NEW BUILDING AND A NEW BACK UP
GENERATOR WILL BE INSTALLED.