Strong Wind in California, February 3, 2004

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
830 AM PST TUE FEB 3 2004

.SHORT TERM...FOR THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR...FORECAST AREA
TODAY IS UNDER IDEAL CONDITIONS FOR SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN SHOWS THE SURFACE LOW NOW NEAR LAS
VEGAS, WITH THE UPPER LEVEL COLD LOW OVER SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA. A
VERY STRONG 140-150KT JET STREAM IS ALIGNED DOWN THE CALIFORNIA
COAST, LEAVING THE INTERIOR OF CALIFORNIA UNDER IDEAL CYCLONIC
SIDE OF THE JET, AND CYCLONIC CURVATURE FROM THE UPPER LOW
POSITION. MOISTURE REMAINS ABUNDANT WITH THE OAKLAND SOUNDING GIVING
AROUND .63 OF PRECIPITABLE WATER. VERY COLD TEMPERATURES ARE NOTED
AT 500 MB WITH OAKLAND SHOWING -28C AND VANDENBERG AT -26C. HANFORD
RADAR AND SURFACE REPORTS SHOW A POPCORN ECHO DISTRIBUTION AND
EXPECT SHOWERS TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE SOUTHEAST FOR MOST
OF THE DAY. AREAS SUBJECT TO NORTHWEST FLOW SHOULD SEE THE GREATEST
THREAT OF PRECIPITATION. HAVE MADE SOME MINOR CHANGES TO THE GRIDS
AND UPDATED ALL GRID RELATED PRODUCTS. WILL BE MAKING SOME MINOR
GRID BASED TWEAKS TO THE ZONES SHORTLY. OVERALL THE FORECAST IS IN
FINE SHAPE WITH THE PRECIPITATION ENDING THIS EVENING. LOOKS DRY
FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.LONG TERM...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FROM 230 AM FOR FRIDAY THROUGH
MONDAY...MEDIUM RANGE PROGS REMAIN IN AGREEMENT IN BREAKING DOWN THE
RIDGE ON FRIDAY AS AN UPPER LOW CROSSES NORCAL. ALTHOUGH THE 00Z GFS
INDICATES A NOTICEABLE INCREASE IN MID/UPPER MOISTURE AS A 90 KT
CYCLONICALLY CURVED 250 MB JET PUSHES INTO NORCAL WITH THE UPPER
LOW...OUR CWFA REMAINS UNDER THE UNFAVORABLE RFQ...AND THE MAJORITY
OF THE EXTENDED PROGS KEEP 500 MB HEIGHTS ABOVE 570 DM OVER OUR AREA
THROUGH FRIDAY. THEREFORE...WILL KEEP MENTION OF PARTLY CLOUDY AND
DRY FORECAST FOR FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A BRIEF SHOT OF
DEEPER MOISTURE AND UVM ACROSS THE YOSEMITE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT SO
CURRENTLY MENTIONED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THE YOSEMITE AREA LOOK
GOOD. WILL KEEP THE REST OF THE CWFA DRY AS THERE IS A NOTICEABLE
LACK OF DEEPER MOISTURE ELSEWHERE. COLDER AIR BEHIND THIS SYSTEM WILL
PUSH INTO CENTRAL ON SATURDAY IN A DRY NORTHERLY FLOW. UPPER RIDGING
IS PROGGED BY THE GFS AND ECM TO PUSH INTO THE PAC NW SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WHICH WILL KEEP OUR CWFA UNDER A DRY NORTHEAST FLOW ALOFT
WHICH WILL KEEP OUR AREA COOL AND DRY THROUGH THE LATTER PORTION OF
THE PERIOD.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

DUDLEY/DS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
458 AM PST TUE FEB 3 2004

CAZ089>099-041300-
WEST CENTRAL SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-EAST CENTRAL SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-
SOUTHWESTERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-SOUTHEASTERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-
MARIPOSA MADERA AND FRESNO COUNTY FOOTHILLS-TULARE COUNTY FOOTHILLS-
KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SIERRA NEVADA FROM YOSEMITE TO KINGS CANYON-
TULARE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-INDIAN WELLS VALLEY-
SOUTHEASTERN KERN COUNTY DESERT-
458 AM PST TUE FEB 3 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS TO
THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
948 AM PST TUE FEB 03 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0925 AM     HEAVY SNOW       PASCOES 9150           35.97N 118.35W
02/03/2004  15.00 INCH       TULARE             CA   OTHER FEDERAL

            24 HOUR TOTAL ESTIMATED BY SNOTEL

0925 AM     HEAVY SNOW       BIG MEADOWS 7600       36.72N 118.84W
02/03/2004  21.00 INCH       TULARE             CA   OTHER FEDERAL

            24 HOUR TOTAL ESTIMATED BY SNOTEL

0925 AM     HEAVY SNOW       UPPER BURNT CORRAL 9700 37.18N 118.94W
02/03/2004  26.00 INCH       FRESNO             CA   OTHER FEDERAL

            24 HOUR TOTAL ESTIMATED BY SNOTEL

0925 AM     HEAVY SNOW       VOLCANIC KNOB 10050    37.39N 118.90W
02/03/2004  20.00 INCH       FRESNO             CA   OTHER FEDERAL

            24 HOUR TOTAL ESTIMATED BY SNOTEL

0925 AM     HEAVY SNOW       LODGEPOLE               36.60N 118.73W
02/03/2004  14.00 INCH       TULARE             CA   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            24 HOUR MEASURED TOTAL

0925 AM     HEAVY SNOW       QUAKING ASPEN 7200     36.12N 118.54W
02/03/2004  14.00 INCH       TULARE             CA   OTHER FEDERAL

            24 HOUR AMOUNT ESTIMATED BY SNOTEL

0925 AM     HEAVY SNOW       TUOLUMNE MEADOWS        37.87N 119.36W
02/03/2004  18.00 INCH       TUOLUMNE           CA   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            24 HOUR MEASURED TOTAL

0925 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ROSAMOND                34.86N 118.20W
02/03/2004  0.70 INCH        KERN               CA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0925 AM     HEAVY SNOW       5 S TEHACHAPI           35.06N 118.44W
02/03/2004  14.00 INCH       KERN               CA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR MEASURED TOTAL AT THE 6000 FOOT LEVEL NEAR
            TEHACHAPI MOUNTAIN PARK

0925 AM     HEAVY SNOW       HUME LAKE               36.79N 118.91W
02/03/2004  9.00 INCH        FRESNO             CA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR MEASURED TOTAL

0925 AM     SNOW             GLENNVILLE              35.73N 118.70W
02/03/2004  3.00 INCH        KERN               CA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR MEASURED TOTAL

0925 AM     SNOW             FRAZIER PARK            34.82N 118.94W
02/03/2004  3.00 INCH        KERN               CA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR MEASURED TOTAL

0925 AM     HEAVY SNOW       BEAR VALLEY RAWS        35.14N 118.62W
02/03/2004  8.00 INCH        KERN               CA   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            24 HOUR MEASURED TOTAL

&&

DUDLEY