Alaska, 2003

High Wind in Alaska, November 7 to 8, 2003

November 7 to 8, 2003 · NWS AFC · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A strong low in the northern Bering Sea combined with a strong front that swept through the Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula resulted in strong gusty southwest winds across the Cold Bay area. Gusts are estimated to have peaked around 85 mph around Cold Bay.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$1,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AFC wrote it up.

A strong low in the northern Bering Sea combined with a strong front that swept through the Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula resulted in strong gusty southwest winds across the Cold Bay area. Gusts are estimated to have peaked around 85 mph around Cold Bay. Damage was minimal with reports of flying debris and a shed being blown over.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 7, 9:00 PM AST, 2 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 7, 9:00 PM AST, 2 hours 45 minutes before
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
900 PM AST FRI NOV 7 2003

.DISCUSSION...
5 WAVE PATTERN CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE THIS
EVENING. HUDSON BAY LOW IS MAKING IT/S MOVE TOWARDS A NEW HOME OVER
NORTHERN ALASKA BY MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING A CHANGE OVER ALL OF
ALASKA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

ON THE SURFACE THIS EVENING A STRONG LOW IS MOVING INTO THE BERING
STRAIT THIS EVENING KICKING A FRONT THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA...AND A
WARM FRONT THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA. EXTENDED DOWN THE FRONT
SOUTHWEST OF ATKA IS ANOTHER LOW. OVER IN THE EAST A WEAK LOW EXISTS
OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA WITH A LARGE RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH.

MODELS AGAIN OUT OF GATE IN PRETTY FAIR AGREEMENT AT THE START AND
THROUGH MOST OF THE 60 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD...HOWEVER AT THE 60 HOUR
PERIOD THE ETA DEVELOPS A SIGNIFICANT LOW SOUTH OF THE CHAIN...THE
UKMET HAS NO FEATURE AND THE GFS HAS A 1012 MB LOW. 18Z RUN OF THE
GFS HAD A BAD RUN TODAY AND THE 00Z RUN IS SIMILAR TO THE OLD 12Z
RUN. WILL SIDE WITH THE GFS SOLUTION BASED ON OVERALL PREFORMANCE
LATELY. AS THE GFS PLAYS OUT WITH TIME IT DEEPENS THE LOW TO A
SIMILAR VALUE AS THE ETA AT THE 72 HOUR FRAME. WILL BUY INTO THE
SLOWER GFS FOR THIS SOLUTION TONIGHT.

THE SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE BERING STRAIT CONTINUES ON IT/S WAY UP
INTO THE BROOKS RANGE WITH TIME. THE UPPER LOW THAT HAS BEEN HANGING
OUT OVER KAMCHATKA MAKES IT/S MOVE EASTWARD. THIS KICKS A PRETTY
STRONG WAVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE COLD
AIR ADVECTION MACHINE THEN KICKS IN FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA WITH THE
-6C 850 MB ISOTHERM MAKING IT THROUGH THE ANCHORAGE BOWL BY 06Z.
HOWEVER LAYERED OMEGA FROM 00Z-15Z IS PRETTY NEGATIVE ACROSS THE
BOWL...THE BETTER LIFT COMES 15Z-21Z SUN MORNING AS 850 MB
TEMPERATURES COOL OFF EVEN MORE. WOULD EXPECT COLD AIR ADVECTION SNOW
WITH SOME UPSLOPE AIDE SAT NIGHT. HOWEVER WILL HAVE TO SEE HOW THE
MODEL CHANGE IN THE NEXT FEW RUNS.

.AFC...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...SNOW ADVISORY 145. WIND ADVISORY 155 161 181 185 191 195.
MARINE...GALE 2B 3ABC 5AB 6AB 12A1 12B 13 STORM 8 12A 15
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

PROTON NOV 03

Event by event

1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Alaska Peninsula

When
November 7, 11:45 PM AST to November 8, 2:00 AM AST
Where
Alaska Peninsula forecast zone
Measured
85 kt (98 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
AWOS,ASOS,MESONET,ETC

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, November 2003

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5372192.