Hail in North Carolina, April 18, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
220 PM EDT THU APR 18 2002

BERMUDA HIGH STILL IN CONTROL AT THE SFC AND UPPER RIDGE STILL
CONTINUING TO FLATTEN. NO REAL AIR MASS CHANGE THRU TOMORROW SO
TEMPS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE WARM TONIGHT WITH TEMPS IN THE 65-70 RANGE
NEAR THE COAST AND LOWER 60S IN THE USUAL COOLER LOCALES. EXPECT
SOME DEBRIS CI TONIGHT FROM ANY TSTMS THAT DEVELOP LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. EXPECT THE TSTMS TO DISSIPATE SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET IF NOT
BEFORE. WOULD EXPECT SOME CI TO SPILL OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE
TOMORROW AND SATURDAY WITH SOME CU FORMING ONCE THE CONVECTIVE TEMP
HAS BEEN REACHED TOMORROW AND AGAIN SATURDAY. PC SHOULD PROBABLY
WORK FOR TOMORROW AND TEMPS CLOSE TO TODAYS VALUES. NOT MUCH OF A
TRIGGER FOR PCPN OTHER THAN SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE UNTIL TOMORROW
NIGHT WHEN A WEAK VORT MOVES ACROSS E NC. IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE
WEAK VORT THERE WILL BE AN H85 THETA-E RIDGE OVER E NC TOMORROW
NIGHT. A CHANCE OF PM TSTMS SAT.

TEMPS...ONCE AGAIN FWC TEMPS LOOK BETTER THAN MAV.

EXTENDED...MRF HAS FRONT SAGGING S SLOWER THAN YESTERDAYS SO
COOLER AIR WONT GET HERE UNTIL SUNDAY. SAT NIGHT THRU LATE MORNING
MON A SERIES OF VORTS AND WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE WILL KEEP US IN
CHANCE POPS WITH BEST CHANCE SUN NIGHT INTO MON MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN MON NIGHT AND MOVING OFF VACAPES LATE TUE.
ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES WED NIGHT AND MOVES THROUGH THU. WILL ONLY
GO WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS WED NIGHT INTO THU.

RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR TOMORROW...

EWN 91/1985   HSE 81/1995   NCA 91/1985   NKT 89/1958

MARINE: PERSISTENT PATTERN IN MARINE FCST AS SW FLOW CONTINUES. SOME
INCREASE IN WIND FRI NIGHT AS MID-LEVEL VORT CENTER PASSES OVER OUR
NRN WATERS AND THIS WILL BE REFLECTED WITH 20 KT WINDS N OF HAT FRI
NIGHT. GLOBAL WAVE MODELS HINT AT SEAS INCREASING TO THE 4 TO 5 FEET
RANGE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT AS WELL. NO FLAGS THRU THE PERIOD.

.MHX...NONE

WS/CTC

NCZ080-092-093-098-182215-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT-MOREHEAD CITY NC
316 PM EDT THU APR 18 2002

WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER INLAND
SECTIONS OF ONSLOW COUNTY...ALONG WITH JONES...CRAVEN AND BEAUFORT
COUNTIES THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL
HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

CTC

NCZ045-046-080-081-092>094-098-182200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT-MOREHEAD CITY NC
411 PM EDT THU APR 18 2002

WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA EXTENDING FROM INLAND ONSLOW COUNTY NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE NEW BERN AREA TO BEAUFORT COUNTY AND OVER TYRRELL...WASHINGTON
AND MAINLAND DARE COUNTIES. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH ALONG WITH SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS...SOME LOCALIZED
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF OVER ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE.

CTC