Hail in Indiana, April 12, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
215 PM EST FRI APR 12 2002

CDFNT MOVG INTO NW IND/SW MI THIS AFTN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY SE
ACROSS OUR AREA TONIGHT. CLUSTERS OF TSTMS HAVE DVLPD OUT AHD OF
CDFNT OVR NC IN THIS AFTN. THESE SHD CONT TO OCCUR LATE THIS
AFTN/EVE AHD OF CDFNT AS IT MOVES EAST THRU THE AREA.  S/WV SEEN ON
WATER VAPOR LOOP MOVG INTO WRN IA IS FCST TO MOVE INTO NRN
OVRNGT AND TO ERN LE BY 00Z SUN. THIS SHD CAUSE A WK SFC LOW TO DVLP
ALONG THE FRONT, ENHANCING CONVERGENCE, RESULTING IN SHWR/TSTM
ACTIVITY CONTG OVR SE ZONES OVRNGT. CUD BE SOME LINGERING
SHOWERS/TSTMS CLOSER TO SFC LOW/CDFNT OVER SE PORTION OF AREA SAT
MORNING...OTRWS MORNING LOW CLOUDS SHD GIVE WAY TO PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES AS S/WV MOVES TO OUR EAST AND DRIER AIR AND SUBSIDENCE MOVES
IN.

MODELS INDICATE UPR FLOW SPLITTING SAT NGT AS A S/WV MOVES EAST
TOWARD UPR GRTLKS AND ANOTHER MOVES SLOWLY EAST ACRS SRN PLAINS. OUR
CWA IN BTWN SYSTEMS SHD STAY REMOVED FROM DYNAMICS AND WL CONT WITH
DRY FCST SAT NGT/SUN. UPR LVL RIDGE XPCD TO BUILD OVR ERN U.S. REST
OF WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK IN ADVANCE OF DEEPENING TROF OVR WRN
U.S.. THIS SHD PROVIDE MILD AND DRY WX THRU MON.

.IWX...NONE.

JT